Thomas W. Toomey - President and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · Banc of America. Please go ahead
Thank you, Larry, and again welcome to this call. Joining me on the call today is Mark Wallis, Mike Ernst and Jerry Davis. I have some prepared remarks and then we'll open up the call to questions-and-answers. Again I want to highlight that we have a PowerPoint presentation which I will use in my comments and I encourage you to pull that up it is at udr.com, under the Corporate tab, and I encourage you to get that while I prepare... give you my prepared remarks. As Larry stated, we issued three press releases last night: one, dealing with the $1.7 billion portfolio sale; the second, the fourth quarter and full year financial results; and the third was our share repurchase program which has been expanded. We will cover all three on today's call in detail, but before I get into individual ones, let me talk about the fourth quarter operating results, which, first, were inline with our expectation at $0.43 before one-time charge of $0.03 for restructuring, a lot of that related to just a bulk of portfolio sale and a corporate wide review of the organization. We did not record any gains on sale in our RE3, I think everyone is quite aware that the fourth quarter was a turbulent financial time and liquidity was not available, so a number of transactions did not occur. And what I consider the highlight of the quarter is NOI growth of 8% on a healthy near 5% revenue line, and achieving an operating margin of nearly 70%. So, in summary, I thought it was a very good quarter, Jerry and his team did a number of great things in our marketplaces, and the Company did well. So, let me now turn my comments to the portfolio sale, and before I turn to the PowerPoint, I would like to just give you what I feel is probably hard to pick up from the press releases which is why did we do this, what we are really looking at, and how did we think about the portfolio sale? And I think there are three things that were overriding in our thought process about this transaction. First, was to take advantage of the public versus private valuation arbitrage. I mean, clearly we sold a handpicked portfolio of assets that we would classify below average compared to the remaining portfolio out of 6.5 cap rate, and we can certainly talk about how to calculate cap rate. When the stock was trading at a grater than 7% cap rate, I think, that is capturing that public to private evaluation was critical to us. The second was in a period of time that we have today where liquidity is tough to come by. Financial flexibility was critical in our view and so we wanted to create more financial flexibility for our future, in particular to acquire assets, complete our development and redevelopment efforts, and certainly repurchase shares. And the third, focus the Company. And focus the Company was important in our long-term view in executing our strategies. So with that, why don't I to the PowerPoint, and I hope by now all of you have it. First on the cover, clearly the topics, we have six to cover today. First off, is the portfolio sale, I will go through the detail of that transaction including the benefits. Second is the talk about new UDR and the characteristics of our portfolio. The third: our development activities and pipeline. Fourth is the redevelopment effort. Fifth is the corporate realignment and related charges. And our outlook for 2008. Page number two, certainly where I choose the title Transformation for Growth, because I think in the end when you get done with this presentation you are going to realize we have transformed UDR. And I think we're very excited about that future and look forward to it. But the transaction, first we are selling a little over 25,000 apartment homes for $1.7 billion. The buyer is DRA, and they are partnering with Steven D. Bell to run the assets. They are expected to close on March 3, which is less... pretty close to 30 days, that's a tight close. We are comfortable that they will get there. We'll talk about how much money they have up and the likelihood of closing, but we are very confident they will close. What will they close on? First, the portfolio that has an average rent of $744 a month. We calculate the cap rate at 6.56 that's trailing NOI that $650 a month in CapEx... 650 a door per CapEx... and a 2.75 management fee. Clearly, we believe these assets have historically consumed more than 650 a door and will get into... I am certain on this call, a little bit more about cap rate conversation. The average age was 24 years, this represents a selling price of $67,000 per door. What will we receive in win? On March 3 we expect to receive 1.5 billion in cash and a note receivable with a fixed rate of 7.5% with a maturity of six years locked out for pre-payment for 14 months. Certainly the 7.5 is the higher coupon than could be obtained in the mortgage market, so we expect to be paid off 14 months. What will we do with the capital, first acquisitions, we have got $500 million to $600 million that we are targeting of which $320 million is already under contract in targeted market and expected to close the first week of April. We expect to payoff debt $500 million to $600 million, leaving out cash between $300 million and $500 million and closing at a note receivable $200 million. The benefits of this transaction certainly a stronger portfolio for growth that we will have a little over 44,000 apartment homes in ten states with an average rent in the fourth quarter of $1,163 a month which we expect to grow past $1,200 a month with an average age of 15. We believe that this portfolio has less capital requirement than the prior enterprise, and certainly has better exposure to the right demographics and job growth. Again the other benefits we see, capturing the arbitrage between public and private, generating the ability to buy back our shares on an accretive basis, reducing our debt and creating further financial flexibility, and I would have note that we expect to continue to maintain or grow the current dividend and certainly the ability of our development and redevelopment will have a greater impact on a smaller enterprise. And lastly, we have completed the right-sizing on this organization and it will not be lingering thought or effort on our side. It is done. Let me now turn to page 3. The characteristics of the portfolio contrasting it where it was as of December 31st, where what is sold and certainly what the new UDR looks like. Highlights in my view is an operating margin of nearly 70% and an average monthly rent of |$1,200 a month and you can see how that compares with an old and a new UDR to our peers. And I would highlight in the bottom the recurring capital expenditures as a percentage of the NOI. And you can see, certainly the assets that we sold had a disproportionate amount of capital that was being spent on them. Page 4 highlights the portfolio, on 4, what assets are sold by state, and there is a detailed list now our website of every community that is being sold, the details related to them. And certainly the new UDR, certainly a focus that I think will get into in the Q&A is California, now representing 41% of our 2008 NOI forecast, Florida at 19%, and Virginia, DC, and Maryland combined are nearly 25%. So, when I back up I look at the enterprise and say that nearly 90% of the enterprise is California, the DC corridor or Florida where we see long-term growth, job formation all in positive territory. And certainly we can understand where Florida is today, and we will discuss our view on that later in this call. This is a... if you will... a handpicked portfolio. We look at every asset from a perspective of its rent, its margin, its exposure to its submarkets, its exposure to competition, its future capital requirements and we chose this portfolio. We are very excited about what it does for us both in the short-term and its long-term potential. Moving to page 5, now I want to discuss, I think, we continue to read a lot about development and how people view it, we have always had a cautious stance on development, and we do have a planned $2.6 billion program with our targeted being $400 million to $500 million annually. The targeted returns are 6.5% to 7.0%. I think it's important as we're in what I would call a transitional part of the cycle to understand what your exposure is to development. And we measure exposure in terms of how much is leasing up, where its leasing up, how much is under-construction and certainly how much of its generating NOI and how much is making dirt? And we provided that detail, you can certainly see that, one, we feel very comfortable that our pipeline is being delivered into the right markets, at the right time. With the current 400 million be coming online in 08, 80% of that is being delivered in Southern California, Texas or DC. And looking at 09, 80% coming on in Texas, Southern California and Seattle. So we think we are delivering the right pipeline at the right time and we will be... Mark will give you an update in terms of how the lease ups are going. Moving onto page 6, our redevelopment efforts, and we feel this is one of our strengths, certainly one of our better value creators with targeted returns of 8% to 10%, a lot of our efforts in the Florida, Virginia, Tennessee, and Maryland, Texas markets are coming online in '08 and will help our earnings. And certainly we are now more focused on the West Coast where we believe we have an active pipeline under review, and you'll see us starting delivering results out there in '08 and '09. Going to page 7, in connection with both the portfolio of sale, we really completed a top-down review of the organization as well as the bottom-up it looked as if we were starting over where will we go, and how would we align our resources, what areas did we not have enough resources and literally took the enterprise apart, and concluded that first and foremost we needed to change the corporate office to Denver that in fact it had been here but we just needed to recognize that, and second that we needed to realign a lot of our resources around our key drivers and our business leaders. Dallas is now about 80 individuals and represents the core of our developmental effort. Richmond is our focus for redevelopment and some backroom support functions. It has approximately 80 people as well. And then you have Denver with about 80 dealing with corporate, IT and finance and financial reporting. In connection I read from the fourth quarter, we took a $30.6 million charge which we would believe generates a $2 million annual savings, but becomes, creates a more efficient and effective UDR. The table at the bottom, I think, shows that we are pretty sensitive to our G&A as a percentage of our revenue and very comfortable with it relative to our peers. Page 8, certainly we look back in November 5th and gave guidance in a core of our portfolio as well as our RE3 gains, and as you can see without the restructuring we were right at the target level for our core but no RE3 gains, and certainly post restructuring we're $0.40 for the quarter. What else would I say, I think you look at the operating results by region and you can see that on revenue line the Southeast continues as is primarily Florida to be weak, but the rest of our regions are very strong on revenue growth, and Jerry will probably comment later in the call about how is January '08 outlook are? So, I thought again it was a good fourth quarter, performed where we expected, certainly the market threw, all of us a curveball, as it relates to capital and liquidity. Page 9, let me tell you, we have got a lot of moving parts which make it extremely difficult at this time for us to provide '08 guidance. First, we'd like to get the closing of the sales done. Second, we've got some acquisitions under contract as well as others that we're underwriting. We would like to have firmer grip on that. Share repurchase, certainly we have the authorization and the financial firepower to do so. And then the potential for a special dividend, connection with this transaction we have got $840 million tax gain. We believe we can cover a lot of that in a number of ways, but there is a potential for a special dividend. So, we provided, overall, guidance as it relates to our same-store sales outlook, and other key assumptions on our CapEx per door and G&A, and certainly you can see our market outlooks. There is number of what I would call very solid markets, some extraordinarily hot markets, and again we think Orlando and Tampa probably will have a negative for '08. One other highlight about the outlook for '08. Given this capital environment, we do not believe that giving guidance on RE3 gains is practical, that's not to say that it is not a good effort, but we have always entered into that effort saying that if someone paid us the right price, we would sell an asset. We think it's very difficult in this capital environment for us to see some of those gains. So, if we do lock-in on a few, we'll tell you about them. But we are not providing any guidance in that area. So with that I think what you will see is the transaction fits our strategies, in terms of strength in our portfolio, expanding our RE3 capability, implementing an operations platform which we call 2.0 and sourcing low cost of capital. And the transaction fits all of those strategies and helps us move forward as an enterprise. I think you will find the rest of us are extremely excited about completing this, and that it is an opportunity to create a new UDR and we are excited about that UDR. So with that, I will now open it up to questions and appreciate your time. Let's go. Question And Answer