Paul Arling
Analyst · Rosenblatt
Yes, Jeff, it's Paul. I don't think that anything has changed. The projects that we've spoken about are all coming on board. The only thing that may have changed is just the macro environment. I just feel like customers, major companies within the industry are looking at the economy with some wonderman, where it will be three months from now, probably two months from now, but three, four, five, six months from now is a difficult prediction right now. Will inflation temper, will gas prices drop? If those things begin to happen, more of consumers' money will be able to be spent on other things. If it gets worse, then it won't. You've got other smaller factors. This year, the World Cup, which doesn't really affect the U.S. as much as it does the rest of the world. But the World Cup for the first time, is being held in the winter. This is in some ways like Christmas being in July. It's different. It's difficult to determine exactly what the effect of it will be. It's usually a very positive effect for entertainment. So there's that as a potential upside. But there's just so much uncertainty right now as to where the economy will be even six months out, more than we've seen in past years, you usually would know six months out, you have at least a decent prediction. Right now, I just think it's difficult to gauge where the consumer will be really six months from now. We have a pretty good view of the next three because customers, of course, have lead times and orders. And of course, as Bryan said, sequentially, we're up, and we've got some new projects in there that we think are good. But the effect of these things in a really good market are very strong, and the effect of a new project in a weaker market is still good, but not quite as strong. So it's difficult to gauge where things will be. We know they'll be okay. And again, our products are on track, will come out, but in what type of environment. We've been so burned over the last few years, not just us, but every company in the world by unpredicted things that have happened between COVID and the chip supply, the economy, the gas prices, et cetera, that it's just difficult to know where things will be six months from now or 12 months from now.