Earnings Labs

Unifi, Inc. (UFI)

Q3 2023 Earnings Call· Sat, May 6, 2023

$3.62

-0.82%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to Q3 2023 Unifi Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] And finally, I would like to advise all participants that this call is being recorded. Thank you. I’d now like to welcome A.J. Eaker, Vice President of Finance and Treasurer, to begin the conference. A.J., over to you.

A.J. Eaker

Analyst

Thank you, Connie, and good morning, everyone. On the call today is Al Carey, Executive Chairman; Eddie Ingle, Chief Executive Officer; and Craig Creaturo, Chief Financial Officer. During this call, management will be referencing a webcast presentation that can be found in the Investor Relations section of our website, unifi.com. Please turn to Page 2 of that slide deck for our cautionary statements. Management advises you that certain statements included in today’s call will be forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Management cautions that these statements are based on current expectations, estimates and/or projections about the markets in which Unifi operates. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks that are difficult to predict. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed, forecasted, or implied by these statements. You are directed to the disclosures filed with the SEC on Unifi’s Forms 10-Q and 10-K regarding various factors that may impact these results. Also, please be advised that certain non-GAAP financial measures, such as adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EPS, adjusted working capital and net debt may be discussed on this call. I will now turn it over to Al Carey.

Al Carey

Analyst

Thank you, A.J., and thanks to all of you joining the call this morning. I’m going to start with a few comments about the Q3 trends, and then I’ll turn it right over to Eddie Ingle, our CEO. So if you remember back at the end of Q2, we said that we believe that we got the worst behind us at that time, and we believe that’s true. The U.S. sales have improved, and that’s compared to the previous quarter. And additionally, we made some improvements in our cost containment activities such as SG&A and plant labor and raw materials. And this has allowed us to have an improvement in our U.S. gross margins compared to the prior quarter as well. It was interesting, though, to look at the time frame of January through March at retail. And we were able to look at about 16 categories that are sold at retail, everything from apparel to food to electronics. And no doubt, apparel unit sales are declining January through March, but no more than most of the categories, all of them are declining mid-single digits. But if you add to that, the fact that inventory levels are still high in apparel, they are improved, but they’re still high. And we see that there’s apparently less deep discounting during the same time frame. So if you add these 3 factors together, it explains why the apparel business has not come back more robustly than what we’re seeing right now. It also explains for us why our Asian business has not opened up bigger because most of our Asian sales, as most of you may know, are shipped into U.S. retailers and U.S. brands. So all of that being said, it’s realistic to assume, though, that there will be a gradual improvement in sales trends going forward. I’d also like to mention that as the business opens back up, REPREVE sales should pick up even faster at our large customers, because they are very definitely still focused on their sustainability goals. We have very favorable discussions with our customers about the future expansion of REPREVE. You just don’t see it in the numbers today, but we will at some point in the near future. Finally, I’d say our teams have done a very good job of preserving cash and our balance sheet is solid. So if I had to say how we feel about the quarter, I’d say solid progress, still headwinds for the apparel markets, and we expect a gradual improvement going into the next few quarters. So, I’ll turn it over to Eddie at this point.

Eddie Ingle

Analyst

Thanks, Al, and good morning, everyone. Our third quarter results showed significant sequential improvement in both our sales and profitability, which we believe signals some apparel production recovery as retailers and customers continue to work through their inventory destocking. We are optimistic that this improvement is an indication that the worst of the demand disruptions and various industry headwinds that Al indicated earlier, that have hindered our performance over the last several quarters are definitely behind us. Now as demand levels normalize, we have confidence that we are well positioned to carry this positive momentum forward and we’ll continue to see overall improvements across the business in the quarters ahead. And this is a testament to the resilience of all our employees around the world. And I want to thank them for their commitment to a very difficult operating environment over the past year. Now moving to Slide 3 of the presentation for an overview of the quarter. Our net sales in the third quarter were $156.7 million, marking a 15.1% sequential increase compared to the second quarter as we experienced some normalization from the recent suppressed demand levels. As Al noted, the sequential recovery was most evident in the Americas segment, our improved profitability and margin profile can be attributed to the combined impact of leaner and more efficient manufacturing with a higher level of volume driving better fixed cost absorption. We remain in a healthy pricing position as it relates to the input costs moving into the fourth quarter, which allows for some predictability and stability. Now while we continue to emerge from a challenging operating environment, we remain diligent in our efforts to control costs and manage our capital. We’ve implemented several cost containment measures to help protect our margins and maximize our efficiency through the current…

Craig Creaturo

Analyst

Thank you, Eddie, and good morning, everyone. The quarter we just completed exhibited the continued impact of reduced demand by retailers and brands throughout the apparel supply chain. Like the rest of the team, I am very pleased to see the beginning stages of demand recovery and production activity during the just completed quarter, and we look forward to seeing more progress on this recovery in future periods. We believe the initial demand rebound supports the overall demand for our products, allowing our management team to focus on managing operating costs and working capital to remain nimble as we continue to pursue our strategic initiatives. Let’s turn to Slide 5 of the webcast presentation and review segment performance. Here, we will start with a discussion of the year-over-year changes followed by a review of the sequential quarter recovery. For the Americas segment, revenues decreased 14.9%, driven by lower sales volumes. The price and mix impact demonstrate a higher proportion of chip and flake sales commensurate with our beyond apparel initiatives. In Brazil, higher volumes from the pursuit of market share were offset by low average selling prices in connection with the anticipated pressure from Asian imports that we mentioned in the most recent earnings call. For our Asia segment, sales volumes were challenged by the overall apparel weakness, especially in the Asian countries we service outside of China, while pricing and mix remained strong. Accordingly, consolidated net sales were $156.7 million, impacted by the near-term apparel production weakness. Turning to Slide 6 for the year-over-year gross profit overview. Consolidated gross profit decreased from $19.1 million to $9.7 million, with gross margin declining from 9.5% to 6.2%. The gross profit declines in the Americas segment and Asia segment were both attributable to the apparel demand disruption, while gross profit from the…

Eddie Ingle

Analyst

Thank you, Craig. Before we turn the call over to our Q&A session, I’ll turn to Slide 10 and provide an outlook for the fourth quarter and an update to our longer-term financial goals. For the remainder of calendar 2023, we expect the operating environment and textile demand trends for the apparel market to continue to recover at a modest pace. And as this recovery unfolds and our cost control measures show benefits, we expect continued improvement in our sales and profitability to take hold in fiscal 2024. Our outlook for the fourth quarter includes sales and profitability performance that is generally consistent with the just completed third quarter, along with the continued volatility in the effective tax rate. Capital expenditures should also trend downwards in connection with the pause of the eAFKEvoCooler machinery purchases. Let’s talk quickly through the financial goals we laid out in our Investor Day back in February of 2022. Due to the unanticipated significant disruptions to our business, such as the fluctuating China COVID policies, conflict in Ukraine, inflation and elevated interest rates and the inventory destocking situation, we are revising the time line to achieving our initial goals past 2025. Our goals are $1.1 billion in revenue with 50% of the mix coming from REPREVE Fiber sales and $110 million in adjusted EBITDA are still realistic and attainable targets as the long-term drivers of our business has not changed. We will, however, need to work through the immediate and near-term lingering economic issues, so we are moving these goals to long-term targets. As our markets and the economy heal, we’ll reconsider putting a time table to these critical milestones, and they will continue to guide our strategy and focus on long-term goals moving forward. One trend has not changed despite all the headwinds is the demand for sustainable products and specifically the reuse of plastic water bottles. With this, we still expect to reach our target of recycling 50 billion bottles by December 2025, despite the change to our financial targets. We look forward to the quarters ahead with more normalized volumes and macroeconomic factors will convey our underlying strength and hard work as we remain focused on sustainable growth with Unifi and delivering long-term value for our shareholders. We will now open the line for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Anthony Lebiedzinski. Anthony?

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst

So, certainly, now nice to see some sequential improvement in the business and stabilization here at least near term. So, Eddie, I guess, I’m just curious, so when you talk to the key apparel retailers and brand partners, I know, I heard a comment about the inventory levels still being high, but off their peak levels. I mean -- but when you talk with them, I mean, what is their sense as to when do they expect their inventories to be in good shape?

Eddie Ingle

Analyst

Yes. Across the board, with the exception of 1 or 2 brands or retailers, there’s still inventory in their possession, but also across the mills that supply them, those inventory. And the slowdown in the consumer demand has what sort of made this last longer than was expected. We’re still hearing from these brands or retailers that they expect this inventory hang to last for another 1 to 2 quarters. But everybody is quite optimistic that by the end of calendar 2023, most of that destocking would have taken place, not just at the retail level but also at the mill level.

Al Carey

Analyst

Just one other factor I’d mention is some of the retailers have mentioned to us that there’s less deep discounting going on in the marketplace because they like to hang on to the pricing they’ve taken and seen improved margin. So a little bit of that is slowing down volume as well. But as you know, in retail, usually, that won’t last long, mostly -- some customers will want to get back in there and gain market share, and that should change things. But they still have a fair amount of inventory. It’s expected to be down, as Eddie said, soon.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst

That’s very helpful color. And then can you comment on also the China reopening and its impact on the Asia segment. Obviously, there was sequential improvement, but I guess a little bit less of a recovery than what we would have expected. So just wanted to see if you could get some additional color on the Asia segment that can -- really can more -- China more specifically, if you can.

Eddie Ingle

Analyst

Yes. As we said, we’re talking about business in Asia is through our China business. And it was surprising to us that the business didn’t bounce back more aggressively after the Lunar New Year. It did come back, and we were encouraged by that. But as I mentioned earlier, the inventory that still is hanging out there is impacting the demand. And I also think on top of that, there’s a general nervousness in the market about jumping back in and placing orders due to the nervousness around the consumer situation in the U.S. and Western Europe. So I think it’s nice for us to have seen this business come back. It’s stronger today than it was right before the New Year and, of course, during the January period, but it still has some -- it will be some time before all of those inventories start translating into bigger orders for us. But we are encouraged by the conversations we have. The Shanghai Textile Show it’s the first time that foreign buyers went to the show in Shanghai and a lot of interest in our REPREVE brand, a lot of interest in our Textile Takeback supply chain. So we’re encouraged by that. It’s just going to take longer than expected.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst

Understood. Okay. That’s definitely helpful color there. And then can you also comment on the trends that you’re seeing for your input costs? What is your expectation for that?

Eddie Ingle

Analyst

Yes. As I mentioned on the call, we have quite a stable environment right now when it comes to both our virgin and our recycled inputs, mainly in the U.S., but even across the globe because of the downturn in demand in textiles in China, it has sort of kept a lid on any cost escalations that might have occurred due to the current oil prices. So we’re pleased to where we are in our raw material situation relative to our selling price, especially in the U.S.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst

Understood. Okay. And then, I guess, my last question is, obviously, you guys have done a nice job of controlling SG&A. Looking forward, at some point, obviously, a business will recover. So as that business recovers, hopefully, in fiscal ‘24, how should we then think about the SG&A expenses on a go-forward basis?

Craig Creaturo

Analyst

The last 3 quarters, Anthony, we’ve averaged right on top of $12 million of SG&A per quarter. We’ll probably see that go up a little bit here in the last quarter of FY ‘23. I think we realized that part of the value that Unifi adds is the relationship and the connections we have with the brand and with REPREVE with those brand partners, and that is going to be an area we continue to invest in. So we think it will tick up. This year, we’ll be probably for the whole year under $50 million or so in SG&A, but it will probably tick up a little bit from there. Not drastically. I don’t think, especially during the first half of FY ‘24, but we are planning on some further investments in that area, mostly on the marketing and advertising side of things.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst

Got it. Okay. I appreciate it and the best of luck.

Eddie Ingle

Analyst

Thanks, Anthony.

Craig Creaturo

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] So there are no further questions. I would like to thank our speakers for today’s presentation, and thank you all for joining us. This concludes today’s conference. You may now disconnect. Thank you.