Earnings Labs

U-Haul Holding Company (UHAL)

Q4 2012 Earnings Call· Thu, Jun 7, 2012

$52.36

-0.42%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name is Tabatha, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the AMERCO Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2012 Year-end Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. Ms. Flachman, you may begin the conference.

Jennifer Flachman

Analyst

Good morning. Thank you for joining us today, and welcome to the AMERCO Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2012 Year-end Investor Call. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone that certain of the statements during this call regarding general revenues, income and general growth of our business constitute forward-looking statements contemplated under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and certain factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. For a brief discussion of the risks and uncertainties that may affect AMERCO's business and future operating results, please refer to Form 10-K for the quarter ended -- for the year ended March 31, 2012, which is on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Participating in today's call will be Jason Berg, AMERCO's Chief Accounting Officer. I'll now turn the call over to Jason.

Jason Berg

Analyst

Thanks, Jennifer. Good morning. Speaking to you today from Phoenix, Arizona. Also on the call with me here in Phoenix is Gary Horton, AMERCO's Treasurer. And from our offices in Reno, Nevada, Rocky Wardrip, AMERCO's Assistant Treasurer, is on the call. We will all be available for questions after the prepared remarks. Joe Shoen, the Chairman of AMERCO, is unable to participate in today's call. Yesterday, we reported fourth quarter earnings of $1.29 per share compared with $0.52 for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2011. For the full year of fiscal 2012, we reported net earnings of $10.09 a share versus $8.80 in the previous year. Included in the fiscal 2012 result was a $1.61 after-tax noncash charge in the third quarter for the reserve strengthening at our property and casualty insurance subsidiary. Excluding this charge, our adjusted earnings per share for fiscal 2012 were $11.70. We posted another record year for our equipment rental revenues. These U-Move revenues for the fourth quarter increased about $27 million, which is an 8% increase. And for the full year, we had a $131 million increase, which is about a 9% increase. The fourth quarter of this year was aided nominally by the extra day in the month of February. Key to these improvements was growth in transactions, and this took place in both our truck and trailer fleet as well as in both our in-town and one-way rental markets. Total truck rental transactions grew by about 6% over the course of the year. Utilization of the truck fleet and our average revenue per transaction have both improved. Looking at early data from the first quarter of fiscal 2013, which should be April and most of May this year, it showed that revenue growth for equipment rentals has moderated compared to the last…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And we have a question from the line of Ian Gilson with Zacks Investment.

Ian Gilson

Analyst

I've got several questions, actually. In the fourth quarter -- all my comments specifically relate only to the quarter, not to the full year. Lease expense declined, interest expense declined, depreciation went up slightly. But is there anything behind these numbers that basically will show a continuation of those trends into 2013?

Jason Berg

Analyst

Yes, Ian, it's Jason. As I mentioned in the prepared remarks, our depreciation expense is going to continue to increase. Over the last several years now, we've switched our -- some of our financing allocations from lease financing to on-balance-sheet financing, and that's going to result in the interest expense. We'll see that kind of increase a little bit year-over-year, the lease expense decrease and the depreciation go up. Now it's important to note that the -- our -- the increase in our average debt outstanding has been more than offset by our average borrowing costs, which are down year-over-year by a little over 50 basis points all in. So that's helped to moderate that.

Ian Gilson

Analyst

Okay. So the reason the interest expense went down was the decline in borrowing costs, not a decline in the financing of purchased trucks?

Jason Berg

Analyst

That's correct.

Ian Gilson

Analyst

Okay. You did a special dividend, which you did not mention. Is that likely to be a regular occurrence, or was it just this -- was this just a onetime event?

Jason Berg

Analyst

From what I can tell, that was onetime in nature. Although, every year, I believe the board considers this. So depending upon where we're at in fiscal 2013, it's going to be reconsidered again. So I really can't give you any guidance as far as whether or not that's going to happen. Again, all I can say is that it will be considered again.

Ian Gilson

Analyst

Okay. Although it's not a very significant change, but if we look at accounts payable and accrued expenses on the balance sheet for the end of the year and look at them as a percentage of revenue for the fourth quarter at -- this percentage increased at -- year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter sequentially. Is there anything behind that increase, or is it too small to worry about?

Jason Berg

Analyst

Well, that's -- it was a multimillion-dollar increase. And what happened there is that we were somewhat subject to when the year closes and that has an effect upon when we settle our credit card transactions and debit transactions. So we finished the year with about -- an increase of about 115,000 transactions that hadn't settled at the end of the year. So it's really transient and that number came back down then in April immediately. So now I wouldn't put a lot of significance in that change other than just the day of the month that we happened to -- the year closed on.

Ian Gilson

Analyst

Okay. And then finally, I know I'm being lazy, but could you give me, for the quarter: room count, square foot rooms occupied, occupancy rate, square feet occupied?

Jason Berg

Analyst

And I know you like to hear the owned and managed numbers, so I'll provide you that. We finished the quarter with 423,000 rooms available and that translates to 37,762,000 net rentable square feet. Of that, we had occupied rooms at the end of the year -- for the quarter of 329,000, which is occupied square feet of 29,856,000. And total owned and managed occupancy was, for the quarter, 77%, which was up about 1.3% compared to last year.

Ian Gilson

Analyst

Okay. Can you give me total square feet again, was that 77?

Jason Berg

Analyst

37,762,000.

Ian Gilson

Analyst

Okay, all right. And you mentioned that, looking at the first quarter of the year, the gains are slightly -- the trend has been slightly down. And I note that my weather records for the first quarter showed that we were fairly benign in the weather across the U.S. And I know -- although I see your trucks in Mexico, I know you had no business in Mexico. And but was the weather a factor in boosting the first quarter? And then in the June quarter, we'd get back to a more normal weather pattern?

Jason Berg

Analyst

No, I don't think that's the case. The comment was directed more towards what we've seen in April and May of this year, which really haven't been affected by weather. We haven't had, to my knowledge, a significant disturbance in the system due to weather. What we're looking at is the last couple first quarters. I think we've been around somewhere 6% to 7% increases. We also had the way that Memorial Day and Easter fell, some of our statistics are a little off there. So we're just noting a little bit of caution and that what we've seen is that revenues certainly are increasing at the same rate that we saw in the first quarter of last year, yet this is an incomplete number. June is always a big month for us. And we're geared up for that, so we'll wait and see how the rest of the quarter develops.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jim Barrett with CL King & Associates.

James Barrett

Analyst · CL King & Associates.

Just to clarify: Did you just say that your rate of growth in Moving and Storage in April and May was comparable to your rate of growth in April and May of last year?

Jason Berg

Analyst · CL King & Associates.

No. I was saying that we're looking at some tough comparables in previous years in which we had some fairly large increases in April and May in prior years. So we're still doing quite well. It's just trying to eclipse those results has been somewhat of a challenge this year so far.

James Barrett

Analyst · CL King & Associates.

I see. And you touched upon it, what is the current outlook for used truck pricing?

Jason Berg

Analyst · CL King & Associates.

Well, so far, we haven't seen any material changes in that. I just wanted to note that we have increased the pick-up and cargo van fleet a significant number, which I think it was 3 or 4 years ago, maybe a little bit longer, when we saw a pullback in truck and in pick-up pricing that has an effect on our gain-and-loss number. We don't anticipate that happening, but we are a little more exposed to price fluctuations in that fleet on a go-forward basis.

James Barrett

Analyst · CL King & Associates.

And you did reference that you plan to spend $490 million in CapEx this year?

Jason Berg

Analyst · CL King & Associates.

For the truck and trailer fleet.

James Barrett

Analyst · CL King & Associates.

I see. Because the company overall spent, I believe, $590 million in fiscal 2012.

Jason Berg

Analyst · CL King & Associates.

That's right. So then, on a real estate side, which was about $100 million in fiscal 2012, we would love to meet or exceed that objective here in 2013. But we -- I can't give you a specific number on that because it -- that number comes and goes as the opportunities come and go.

James Barrett

Analyst · CL King & Associates.

I see, okay. And could you talk broadly in terms of the March quarter? You've had 2 years where you've actually earned a profit in the quarter. Is there any reason to believe that -- if competitive factors remain unchanged, that March will prove to be a profitable quarter for you, going forward?

Jason Berg

Analyst · CL King & Associates.

Well, certainly, we expect to do better every year. So we've had a good fourth quarter in the last couple of years. Our goal is certainly to meet or exceed that going forward. And I'm not -- and I can't point to any specific items that took place in the fourth quarter that were that significantly unusual that they wouldn't recur in the future if we do everything right.

James Barrett

Analyst · CL King & Associates.

Well, this past year, unlike last year, you did have the -- what seemed to be very favorable weather that may or may not repeat next year. Was that a key factor in making the $1.29 that you made?

Jason Berg

Analyst · CL King & Associates.

Well, it helped. But I can't really assign a dollar amount to that.

James Barrett

Analyst · CL King & Associates.

Okay. And then finally, can you give us an update on the expansion and the success to-date of U-Box?

Jason Berg

Analyst · CL King & Associates.

Sure. I think we're in over either 1,200 or 1,300 of our locations now or virtually in every U-Haul location. Our revenues for that, although not large enough yet to break out, over the last couple of years have essentially been doubling each year. And we continue to roll out some fine-tuning and some improvements to the product and the way that we deliver the service. So we're still high on the product. Although, as Joe would certainly say if he was here, we're not ready yet to say that's accretive to earnings. But it certainly is starting to take on some size and substance here.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Jamie Linewood [ph] with [indiscernible] Management.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

Just a few questions. First back to what you said regarding the June quarter. You, I believe, said the rate of growth would not be equivalent to the 6% to 7% growth you've been enjoying in -- enjoyed in the last 2 years, but are you saying that you're still seeing growth in the April and May time frame, just not as large as last year? Or you're not seeing growth?

Jason Berg

Analyst

We have seen growth in April and may.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

Okay. Secondly, the depreciable life of the vehicles versus what the real life expectancy is of a truck, could you describe that?

Jason Berg

Analyst

Sure. We target our depreciation to match the useful life. Now what happens is, is that our trucks, once they get out to year 12 or so, we start to make decisions based upon the current needs of the business. So we may accelerate or we may extend the life of a truck based upon the needs of the fleet. On average, we're depreciating our trucks out over 15 years, and they certainly do last that long. Our trucks have several different lives. We -- and when we first put the truck into the fleet, we run them in what we call our one-way fleet, which is our higher-use, longer-mileage rentals. And then, we can downshift them after a few years to what we call our in-town market. And then towards the latter years of their life, we use them at dealers or we use them for several other programs that we have, from mobile storage to other things. So we find various uses for them over their entire 15-year life. Over time, we found that those -- it averages out to work quite well with our depreciation. We use an accelerated depreciation method, whereas the majority of the cost of that truck is recognized in the first 3 or 4 years. We depreciate 16% of a truck's value in the first year alone. So we're pretty aggressive in those costs, which is why when we fleet-up and we have those trucks on balance sheet, you see our depreciation number climb, like what we're seeing right now.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

So after the first 4 or 5 years, you've depreciated more than 1/2 the value of the truck. But at that point in time, it's -- the residual value was much more than it's carried for in the balance sheet, I would assume.

Jason Berg

Analyst

Well, I wouldn't say that. We don't do a lot of truck sales at that point, so the value that we have that truck on is we're also trying to match revenue and expense. So in later years, that truck is running a little bit less, there's a little bit less revenue attached to it as well. So from an economic value on our balance sheet, we think that we have valued appropriately. By the end of the life of the truck, we feel that we've matched the residual value quite well.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

And lastly, you utilize your vehicles. You advertise your services very effectively on the back and side, on -- and the cab of the truck, yet you seem to use the side panels as a public service to -- just to be nice to the world. And as I look at the math, you have about 130,000 trucks on the road these days. And if -- maybe -- I realize you've looked at this many times in the past, but if you could rent out a movable billboard to a Coca-Cola, McDonald's or Kraft for $1,000 a side, that adds up to pretax profitability of somewhere in the neighborhood of $0.75 billion. Now I think it's nice to do things as a public service and it's wonderful for the states to see mountains and birds, but as a public company, to -- it would seem to be a very easy thing to capture this extra $0.75 billion of profit without doing a whole lot of effort. And it's probably -- you could probably lease those sides for a lot more than that, anyway. But it just seems like you're doing a very nice thing but there's going to be some balance between being a great corporate citizen. And I think giving up $0.75 billion to the world is being a great corporate citizen and being a nice guy but also earning a reasonable amount of profit on really underutilized assets in those movable billboards.

Jason Berg

Analyst

I certainly appreciate the question. And yes, we've heard that before. And our view on this is a little longer term in nature and maybe a little difficult to quantify in the short term. But the -- our equipment is our best advertising tool, and we don't have really other advertising expense outside of a dwindling amount for yellow page advertising. So the clarity of message having just U-Haul in the trucks is important to us and there's -- are costs that we don't incur by having that. We also have several other concerns that work in tandem with this and that is that the success of U-Haul is based upon the breadth and depth of the availability of our equipment and the system and our ability to get into neighborhood and into communities. And we need to have a positive relationship with the entities that regulate us in those places. And -- I'm sorry, I just lost my train of thought. We think that there's some customer goodwill with us that we could recognize some short-term revenue from that but that our sense of it is still that, that is something that might cause more harm to us over the long term than what we could collect in the short term. And opinion, there's the diversity of opinion on this and I -- we certainly respect those that think that way. But we've taken the choice of not going down that route.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

I mean, you talk as if it's a short-term minimal impact. I'm talking profitability of $0.75 billion a year. I don't know if the state of Montana really gives you any great benefits by promoting them. Do you really think that's -- you'd get that much of a benefit from that?

Jason Berg

Analyst

Well, if we're not allowed to rent equipment in New York City or if we're not allowed to enter a market, the long-term effect of that is going to be extremely significant to us. And there's some regulatory concerns with that. And again, we think that there is a relationship that we have with the customer that we're not going to compromise our brand for that. But we have done some things on a limited basis. And when I spoke with you about the other useful lives of our trucks, we do have programs when a truck enters older life. We have utilized those vehicles for signage for people who can rent those trucks and put signs on the side. But it's no longer a U-Haul rental truck, it's not in the moving transaction. So we have experimented with the idea, but we haven't gone anywhere close to rolling it out to all of our fleet.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

And you -- to clarify, you -- perhaps you not have -- have you gotten pushbacks from the states when you've ever approached the subject to anyone?

Jason Berg

Analyst

There are rules about advertising and signage as far as us being able to put equipment places and what constitutes an advertisement and what doesn't and what constitutes a sign and what doesn't. And each municipality has fairly strict rules about the signage that you're allowed to have. It opens up a bit of a can of worms and it's very unique to each jurisdiction.

Operator

Operator

And you have a follow-up from the line of Ian Gilson.

Ian Gilson

Analyst

On the pick-up trucks, you don't depreciate those over 15 years, do you?

Jason Berg

Analyst

No. No, those -- we're targeting those for anywhere for 12 to 18 months.

Ian Gilson

Analyst

Okay. What percentage of the fleet is that type of truck?

Jason Berg

Analyst

Those right now make up maybe about 12,000 units in our fleet.

Ian Gilson

Analyst

Okay. A couple of years ago, you've introduced a new computer system. Has that added to the incremental profits?

Jason Berg

Analyst

The -- we've done a few new systems. I'll go through a few of them. We did our new rate and reservation system, which I think any cost savings that we've -- drive from that pale in comparison to the revenue improvements that we've gained from that. But certainly, we've picked up profitability from that system. We've been able to improve utilization of the fleet and expand the number of transactions that our fleet can handle without having to really increase the fleet size that much. We also rolled out a voice over IP system at our centers nationwide here in the last 24 months, and that certainly have had the benefit of containing some costs but then more so improving customer service. So I think a lot of these things have contained costs, maybe lower them a bit, but also improved customer service and allowed us to improve our revenue line.

Operator

Operator

And at this time, there are no questions.

Jason Berg

Analyst

I'd like to thank everyone for their participation in the call. And we look forward to speaking to you after our first quarter earnings release. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

That does conclude today's conference call. You may now disconnect.