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Unisys Corporation (UIS)

Q3 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 6, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Unisys Corporation Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Michaela Pawerski, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Michaela Pewarski

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. Yesterday afternoon, Unisys released its third-quarter 2025 financial results. Joining me to discuss those results are Mike Thomson, our CEO and President, and Deb McCann, our CFO. As a reminder, today's call contains estimates and other forward-looking statements within the meaning of the securities laws. We caution listeners that current expectations, assumptions, and beliefs forming the basis of these statements include factors beyond our ability to control or precisely estimate. This could cause results to differ materially from expectations. These items can be found in the forward-looking statements section of yesterday's earnings release furnished on Form 8-K and in our most recent Forms 10-K and 10-Q filed with the SEC. We do not assume any obligation to review or revise any forward-looking statements in light of future events. We will also refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures, such as non-GAAP operating profit or adjusted EBITDA, that exclude certain items such as postretirement expense, cost reduction activities, and other expenses the company believes are not indicative of its ongoing operations, as they may be unusual or nonrecurring. We believe these measures provide a more complete understanding of our financial performance. However, they are not intended to be a substitute for GAAP. Reconciliations for non-GAAP measures are provided within the presentation. Slides for today's call are available on our investor website. And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to Mike.

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Thank you, Michaela, and good morning, and thank you for joining us to discuss the company's third quarter 2025 financial results. We continue to demonstrate our steady focus on improving delivery and operational efficiency, which is helping us successfully navigate the macroeconomic uncertainty in the market and other headwinds impacting revenue. We remain on track to meet or exceed the midpoint of the improved non-GAAP operating profit margin guidance of 8% to 9% provided last quarter, as we expect to generate $110 million of pre-pension free cash flow for the full year. We're on track to meet our increased L&S expectations of $430 million for the current year, $40 million above our original expectations, supported by strong retention and consumption trends in our high-value software ecosystem. These trends have now helped generate upside in each of the past 3 years, and we're increasing our projection for out years to approximately $400 million of average annual L&S revenue for the 3 years of 2026 through 2028. The quarter also reflects our commitment to executing the pension strategy we laid out and the realization of the benefits we said we would achieve. We said we would remove substantially all market volatility from our aggregate U.S. pension contributions, and those have remained stable. Our pension debt has come down with our quarterly contributions, and we executed an annuity purchase in September to remove more than $300 million of U.S. pension liabilities, over half of our stated $600 million target by the end of 2026. While revenue was light relative to the color provided last quarter, much of this was related to timing, including a shift of a large license and support renewal, which closed early in the fourth quarter. Timing on Ex-L&S hardware pass-through also contributed to the quarterly miss on top line.…

Debra McCann

Analyst

Thank you, Mike, and good morning, everyone. As a reminder, my discussion today will reference slides from the supplemental presentation posted on our website. I will discuss total revenue growth, both as reported and in constant currency, and segment growth in constant currency only. I will also provide information excluding license and support or Ex-L&S to allow investors to assess the progress we are making outside the portion of ECS where revenue and profit recognition is tied to license renewal timing, which can be uneven between quarters. To echo Mike's comments, we remain in a good position to achieve our increased profitability and free cash flow outlook to maintain our strong liquidity position. And we took another step forward on the journey to removing our U.S. pensions with the annuity purchase we executed in September. While we have faced some Ex-L&S revenue headwinds, our license and support cash engine is being powered by our base of high-quality clients who continue to commit to and increase consumption on our platforms. At the same time, we are fine-tuning our strategy to ensure we capitalize on the advantages offered by technology like Agentic and generative AI and quantum encryption to expand the scope of our efficiency initiatives and deliver innovation that advances our clients' efficiency goals. Looking at our results in more detail, you can see on Slide 4 that third quarter revenue was $460 million, a decline of 7.4% year-over-year or 9% in constant currency. We had an approximate $12 million impact from the shift in timing on a license and support renewal that closed just outside the quarter, which will benefit L&S's fourth quarter revenue. Excluding license and support, third quarter revenue was $377 million, down 3.9% or 5.8% in constant currency. This was below our expectation of $390 million we…

Operator

Operator

[Operator instructions] Our first question will come from Rod Bourgeois of DeepDive Equity Research.

Rod Bourgeois

Analyst

I could ask a long-winded question on AI, but I'll make it short-winded. How are you seeing AI's impact overall on your P&L?

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Rod, it's Mike. Thanks so much for joining and for the question. Really appreciate it. Although a short-winded question, it may be a long-winded answer. As you would expect, lots of impacts in regard to the application of AI. In general, what I would say to you is that the impact of our transformation of our delivery model, which allows us to continue to deliver our solutions in a more, I'll say, cost-friendly way or reducing our delivery cost, certainly helps our margin profile, and we've seen a lot of green shoots in that regard. As I mentioned in some of my prepared remarks and Deb did as well, there's a knock-on impact to the top line for that. Typically, the AI component of a lower delivery cost means that our clients are seeing some of the benefit of that, and we share some of that savings with our clients, but it makes us obviously a lot more profitable and allows us to be a lot more competitive from a pricing perspective. We think that's the right way to approach that in regards to the new solution uptake. Then, obviously, as we continue to grow and add new logos to the mix, the application of those new logos certainly has an uplift that is much more top-line and bottom-line accretive because we've already baked that into our model. We're seeing, as you know, within our L&S business, increases in our consumption rate. We think that's pretty much driven by the application of AI across the board. This whole data abstraction layer, we are seeing some nice improvements in our HPC business. So clearly, with ClearPath Forward consumption, we've increased that guidance, as you know, and we're actually talking about the increase of the out years '26 through '28. I think…

Rod Bourgeois

Analyst

Then I guess as an extension of that and applying it to the results for the quarter, despite the revenue shortfall, you seem on track to meet your margin and free cash flow targets. So I'd like to ask what's enabling the margin performance to come through even though revenues are coming in less than planned?

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Yes. Great question, Rod. Thanks for that. Well, look, the first and most obvious is the increase in L&S. So that's obviously a higher profit component, and we're seeing a step-up in that, which is giving us margin pull-through. The second, and probably less obvious, is that there are plenty of green shoots embedded in Ex-L&S for our new solutions. We've had quite a bit of renewal activity this year. It's probably an unusually high renewal activity coming through in the year and being able to sign those accounts with our new solutions at a better margin profile and in a lot of cases, being able to expand either expansion of the work that we're doing or add new scope to those renewals is also benefiting us from a margin profile. So I think what you're really seeing here on the top line is you're seeing some reduction or accretion in top line related to either contracts that have accreted off or the slowness of some of the PC cycle or some hardware shifting. But all 3 of those are lower margin accreted off. And what we're adding is a higher margin addition. So right now, the top line is suffering a little bit from the accretion being a little higher than the addition, but we feel like that's the right path from our perspective, and we've tried our best here to fully delever what the risk is for the remainder of the year for the impacts that we've been seeing over time, whether that's the PC refresh cycle, whether that's a slowdown in the adoption of Microsoft 10 to 11 or whether that's just the uptake in project work in public sector due to the prevailing issues there in the U.S. with the government shutdown and others. So a little bit of a balance. But in general, it's allowed us, and I think it proves our margin continues to improve in our new solution delivery. I mean, just as a reminder, over the course of the last 3 years, we've improved that gross margin in Ex-L&S by almost 600 basis points, and we continue to see an opportunity to continue to see that expansion, regardless really on what's going on, on the top line.

Debra McCann

Analyst

And also, Rod, this is Deb. Just to add, we also increased some of the SG&A savings we talked about at Investor Day; we're accelerating some of those. Some of those were through 2026. We've accelerated some of those into '25, and we're ramping up our efforts overall on rationalizing our cost base.

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Yes. Look, I think Deb mentioned too in her prepared remarks around the variability of that workforce. So clearly, we're going to take some level of action to make sure that we continue the margin improvement that we've been seeing over the last couple of years.

Rod Bourgeois

Analyst

And then just a final quick one here as inputs to the modeling. Can you give your view on the pace of your delivery improvement going forward, and how that would impact Q4 cost reduction charges specifically?

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Yes. Thanks, Rod. So look, I mean, we've always been and continue to refine our delivery costs. And so there is some level of BAU cost reduction that you normally see. I would expect that you'll see some of that increment in Q4, and the cadence will probably be a little higher in Q4, just to mirror the variability in the workforce. I don't think it's going to be like a crazy significant increase in that, but there certainly will be actions taken to mitigate the exposure that we've seen on top line or some of the derisking efforts that we're going to do to maintain the margin profile.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Mayank Tandon of Needham & Company.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

This is Brandon on for Mayank. I guess I was just wondering what are you guys seeing on the demand front in cloud spending, particularly on the AI front. I know you guys mentioned like increased competition. But I guess what are you guys doing to navigate those increased competition dynamics that you guys are seeing?

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Brandon, thanks for the question, and thanks for your participation in the call. Look, the demand is certainly there. I will tell you, I was just on the road, frankly, in Europe, and met with a whole host of clients and just had what we call a CIO and CTO forum and had a big discussion with 20-some-odd potential clients and existing clients in that forum. So clearly, the demand is there for the application of AI. I think what we're bumping up against is the application of that technology into an ecosystem that is very sensitive. There are many attributes that need to be addressed, security being one of the primary ones involved with that. So there's money there, certainly to be spent. The demand is there. We continue to get validation from clients and industry analysts that our solutions are there and what they want. And as I mentioned, the competition continues to be fairly aggressive in that. So we've got to really make sure from a defensive posture that education is key and really having those dialogues around what that output looks like and why our client-centricity model and being, I think, a little bit pragmatic in how it gets adopted, where it gets adopted, and the time of adoption is really important. So there's an equal amount of hype as there is an equal amount of practicality in the adoption of these AI models. And I think from our perspective, we're taking a tack to really try to be very conscious around setting the right expectations with our clients, not promising things we can't deliver. And in some cases, where those expectations aren't met, then we have to attrit that potential client opportunity because we're not looking for a race to the bottom here. We're really talking about adding value and experience to our clients. And one of the stats I like to use when having discussions with our clients and potential clients is that for our top 50, on average, we've serviced those clients for roughly 20 years. You don't have that level of experience with the client base because you're looking at a short-term adoption of a technology.  We really like to think our technology is state-of-the-art, and we want to talk about the future and how we get our clients to the future. So the demand is certainly there. Our solutions certainly meet that demand. And the key is really about client education and setting an adoption road map. 

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

Then I know you guys last quarter, you guys touched on the public sector, I think specifically for the cloud business. I was wondering if you guys mentioned the call a little bit, but any update on that with the government shutdown in terms of client conversations and client demand with the shutdown? 

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Yes. Great question. Thanks, Brandon. So yes, we did talk about that last quarter. In fact, last quarter, we mentioned that we started to see a little bit of green shoots in the public sector and thought that sector was coming around a bit from a project orientation. That has reverted. That I'll say, the influx of project work is basically really quiet. Now, Deb mentioned in her remarks, and I think it's important, we've got a lot of renewals and have had a lot of renewals this year in the public sector, and are doing well to renew those particular accounts. But we're not seeing the uptick in the project work that we had started to see.  So there are a couple of areas where we're leaning in. We talked about that a little bit on the call, but we talked about the justice system. We talk about access management and things like that. There are what I would consider nondiscretionary areas in the public sector where the demand is fairly constant, and there's some project work in that space. But clearly, there continues to be a pause in project work in the public sector, specifically related to the U.S. public sector.  I wouldn't say that holds true across the board. We mentioned on the call about an Australian client that we had some good success with an expansion in other regions. But the U.S. public sector is also where a good chunk of our CA&I business is allocated. So there's definitely been a pause in project work there. And so the green shoots that we started to see in Q2 have really subsided. And I think there's a little bit of a wait-and-see approach here, and we expect that that's going to continue for a couple of quarters. So we're sitting tight. We're having good conversations with folks, but there's a lot of uncertainty there. 

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Anja  Soderstrom of Sidoti. 

Anja Soderstrom

Analyst

A lot of them have been covered already. But I think you mentioned you're starting to see pricing pressure. Is that something you only started to see now in the third quarter? Or can you talk a little bit more about that? 

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Yes. Now, we did mention that. I wouldn't say it's something we're just seeing in the third quarter. As you know, this is a highly competitive space that we're in. I would say in the third quarter and especially as we go through renewal cycles with clients, there are more and more players in that renewal cycle. And frankly, in a couple of instances, we've seen competitors really just undercut pricing to, in my mind, levels that we're just not willing to go to.  We've made a commitment as a management team that we're going to stay disciplined in the contracts that we're signing. We know we've got value. We know that we can bring that value to our clients. But we're not just going to sign contracts to maintain a top line if it's not helping our bottom line. Our objectives were very clear, and we continue to follow them. We're trying to grow profit dollars. We want that margin percentage to increase. We're increasing cash flow, or obviously moving positively in the cash flow arena. And we think that's the better way to drive shareholder value. And so that pricing pressure, I think, is certainly relevant and continues to be relevant in our discussions. But please don't take that comment to think that we're not competitive in pricing. We are. We're right there in every deal that we're talking about, but there's a limit to how far we're willing to go. And from our perspective, if the client doesn't have the capability for us to grow or the capability or want to move to our next-gen solutions, we're really not interested in just resigning a contract at lower values for the old delivery model. 

Anja Soderstrom

Analyst

And then also, just maybe go over some puts and takes for the free cash flow for 2026. 

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Sure. Deb, do you want to take that? 

Debra McCann

Analyst

Yes. So, as far as 2026, we're not giving guidance at this point for 2026, and we'll discuss that when we report the fourth quarter. But there are, to your point, a lot of moving pieces. So obviously, with the capital market transformation we did, right, we lowered our pension contributions, but the interest expense will move higher. And so there are moving parts that, as we're formulating our plan for '26, we'll lay out to you when we report that next quarter. But I think the key thing is the biggest driver, L&S, is clearly a big driver at a 70% margin. So as we finalize that number, we said on average $400 million, and those are 70% margins. So those have a big impact.  But I think what's most important is we feel we have a really strong liquidity position. So as we go into 2026, right now, our cash balance is $320 million. If you look at the cash color we've given to hit about $110 million pre-pension, that puts us about $390 million of cash by the end of the year. So we feel like we'll be entering 2026 in a good place from a liquidity perspective. And we also have that $125 million ABL, we just renewed that, which is also undrawn. So we feel good from a liquidity position. And as we shape the algorithm, what that's going to look like in '26, we feel confident in that. 

Anja Soderstrom

Analyst

And then also, if I understand correctly, the lower L&S this quarter was due to some being pushed into the fourth quarter and into 2026. Can you just elaborate on that a little bit and what you're seeing there? 

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Yes. So just to be clear, the push in the quarter got signed in the early days of Q4 for L&S. So that's not anything into '26. That is really just a shift of something we thought was going to sign by September 30, signed in October. All of it was signed, all of it is in-house. So, no real issue from an L&S cash perspective, just the quarterly timing. Deb, anything?

Debra McCann

Analyst

Yes. No, no, that's just all within this year. 

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And our next question will come from Arun Seshadri of Forza. 

Arun Seshadri

Analyst

Just a couple from me. It sounds like the book-to-bill is still pretty strong. So does that reflect confidence, I guess, were there timing impacts in Ex-L&S as well? And sort of what are you seeing in terms of that renewal activity? You talked a little bit about renewal activity being enhanced this year. I guess those 2 are potentially related. But any color there?  And then secondly, is there any way you could size that renewal in L&S that moved over to Q4, that would be helpful? 

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Yes. So I'll start that, and Deb, I'll ask you to kind of chime in here with some color as well. So you're right, the book-to-bill, I think we were at 1.1, is what we're talking about on book-to-bill. And clearly, that's a solid book-to-bill and happy with that, and aligned to our contracting models and our normal modeling for our forecasting. So, the renewal cycle that I talked about, and I was actually talking more about Ex-L&S. L&S, we've talked about the renewal cycle quite a bit.  And as we've indicated, that renewal cycle is actually increasing our L&S expectations over the next 3 years. So I'm going to discount that for a second, Arun, and based on your question, and really speak about Ex-L&S. So, for this year, just to give you a sample, the Ex-L&S renewal cycle for this year is about 3x what it will be for next year. So it gives you a sense of the baseline that we're actually renewing this year. And if you think about that, the resources it takes to go after all of those renewals are also obviously putting some pressure on the work that we're able to do in new logo acquisitions.  So there's a pretty high renewal cycle this year. We've been very successful in that renewal cycle. Now I'm not saying we've renewed every single contract that was out there. And a couple of them, as I've mentioned, we didn't because the investment that the client was looking for us to make was not conducive to the pricing that we expected to get. So, a couple of those contracts we did not renew. But the lion's share we did, and for many of those, we've actually renewed them at better margin profiles and have increased some scope and/or expansion in those accounts.  We've been pleased so far with the ability to renew those and to renew that work under our new delivery model. That's really key that we're converting these clients upon renewal to the delivery model that's technology-based, and that's an important element of that cycle because that brings in the enhanced margin profile.  So again, happy with the current book-to-bill, happy with the progress we're making on renewals. We have quite a bit of renewals coming up in Q4. Progress on those has been very good. So again, pleased with where we're at there. Would I have liked to win every single one and get them at higher margins? Sure. Is that a realistic assumption? Probably not. Deb, anything you want to add to that? 

Debra McCann

Analyst

Yes. Just as you can see, I mean, the TCV year-to-date, right, Ex-L&S renewals, is $572 million versus last year, $321 million. So, a 78% increase over last year, just to demonstrate how big the renewal cycle has been this year. And then, related to your point on the L&S renewal that shifted out, that was just a few days after the quarter. That was about $12 million we had mentioned of revenue that shifted out in 1 quarter. But it will not impact the full year. 

Arun Seshadri

Analyst

And you also have a fairly significant expectation, I think, for Q4 that's factored into the numbers, and it sounds like your confidence is pretty high in terms of those Ex-L&S renewals in Q4. 

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Yes. I think Deb's comment on the renewals was the L&S component. And of course, we're super confident in the L&S component. And we're also confident in the Ex-L&S component of renewals. So look, everything that we're not confident about has been baked into our updated guidance. So we feel pretty good about what's out there to close. And obviously, at this point in the year, we have pretty good insight into how the next couple of months are going to close out. 

Debra McCann

Analyst

Yes. But to your point, Arun, the L&S renewals, a few days slip, can shift. And so we mentioned that throughout the script, right, that we do have high expectations for Q4, which we feel confident in, but there is always that slip of an element. 

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Yes. Wonderful point, Deb. And really, if you think about it, Arun, our talk on that has always been around not if, but when. So we're really confident that it's going to renew, and we're very confident that it's going to renew in the timing that we expect it to. But as we've just seen in this quarter, a shift of a couple of days makes a difference. 

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Matthew Galinko of Maxim Group. 

Matthew Galinko

Analyst

If we see the other side of the government shutdown in the relatively near future, do you expect a quick return on forward momentum on project work that's been gummed up? Or how quickly do you see the market responding to things opening up? 

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Matt, thanks for the question. Good to talk to you again. Look, I don't think our expectations are that it's going to be a light switch effect where the government opens back up and all of a sudden, all this project work starts to open up immediately. As we indicated last quarter, we just started seeing some green shoots on that work, and then it shut back down. So we think that's going to linger, frankly, for a couple of quarters.  So do I think it's going to be like a Q1 recovery if the government opens up before then? No, I do not. We've got to reengage. They've got to reassess what the outputs of that government work are. The focus is going to be on nondiscretionary work first and then project work second. So we're baking into our expectation that, that's going to be several quarters prolonged. 

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Michael Thomson for any closing remarks. 

Michael Thomson

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Before we wrap up, I just want to reiterate a few key points we hope you take away from today's call. First, the trends remain strong in our most powerful profit and cash driver, which is L&S Support Solutions. We plan to meet our increased expectation of $430 million for this year and have increased our expectations for the average annual L&S revenue in our years from '26 through '28 to $400 million per year.  Second, while the market dynamics posted headwinds in our Ex-L&S business that we don't expect to dissipate overnight, we're adjusting our approach to mitigate those impacts. And importantly, we're continuing to deliver on our profit and cash flow objectives.  Then lastly, we're building momentum in our AI-led solutions with technology-first delivery models. This is making us more competitive, supporting our margins, and enabling us to scale our most differentiated innovation more quickly. And we're seeing more and more clients and industry analysts support the belief in that momentum. So I'd like to just make sure we take away those 3 points from today's call. And operator, thank you for your time, and you can close the call. 

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation, and you may now disconnect.