Earnings Labs

Universal Technical Institute, Inc. (UTI)

Q3 2020 Earnings Call· Sun, Aug 9, 2020

$35.67

-1.41%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, everyone, and welcome to UTI's Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2020 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. And after todays prepared remarks, we'll open the lines for questions. As a reminder, today's conference call is being recorded. A replay of the call will be available at www.uti.edu or through September 6, 2020 by dialing (412) 317-0088 or (877) 344-7529 and entering passcode 10146789. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Ms. Jody Kent, Vice President of Communications and Public Affairs for Universal Technical Institute. Please go ahead.

Jody Kent

Analyst

Hello, and thanks for joining us. With me today are CEO, Jerome Grant; and CFO, Troy Anderson. During the call today, we'll update you on our fiscal third quarter 2020 business highlights, our financial results and our vision for the future. Then we will open the call for your questions. Before we begin, we must remind everyone that except for historical information, today's call may contain forward-looking statements as defined by Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933. I'll refer you to today's news release for UTI's comments on that topic. The Safe Harbor statement in the release also applies to everything discussed during this conference call. During today's call, we will refer to adjusted operating income or loss, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted free cash flow, which are non-GAAP measures. Adjusted operating income or loss is income or loss from operations adjusted for items that affect trends and underlying performance from year-to-year and are not considered normal recurring cash operating expenses. Adjusted EBITDA is net income or loss before interest expense, interest income, income taxes, depreciation, amortization, and adjusted for items not considered as part of the Company's normal recurring operations. Adjusted free cash flow is net cash provided by our use in operating activities less capital expenditures, adjusted for items not considered as part of the Company's normal recurring operations. Management uses adjusted operating income and loss, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted free cash flow as performance measures internally, and those will be the figures discussed on today's call. Starting with the third quarter of fiscal 2019 and through fiscal 2020, we will report operating metrics such as student applications and starts, excluding our Norwood, Massachusetts campus. As we have shared previously, Norwood stopped accepting new student applications in the second quarter of fiscal 2019 and the campus was fully closed in July 2020. So we believe it is appropriate to exclude its impact. It is now my pleasure to turn the call to Jerome Grant.

Jerome Grant

Analyst

Thank you, Jody. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you all for joining us today. I want to begin today's call by thanking all our UTI team members for their heroic efforts these past months on behalf of our students and communities as we continue to manage through this difficult environment. Despite the many pandemic-driven challenges we face, we continue to provide the highest quality industry-aligned technical training for which we are known. I believe that the educational offerings and credentials that UTI provides to its students are even more valuable than ever right now, especially in the face of record unemployment across the nation. As the single-largest provider of transportation technicians in the country, UTI's graduates service trucks that deliver groceries and essential supplies, keep EMT, police, and fire department fleets operating, repair and maintain equipment in essential industries, including health care, energy and manufacturing. We are proud that UTI graduates keep America moving forward. Since we were able to resume our lab work on our campuses in late May and into July, we've graduated over 1,300 students, and we are seeing strong demand from employers. Job placement rates continue to be in excess of 80% for our graduates with the 2019 grad cohort now at 82% and increasing. Those are impressive numbers, but they don't do justice to what UTI education is delivering to our graduates. One such graduate is a gentleman by the name of Corey. Corey had two courses and four weeks left in his diesel program when the pandemic hit. He was one of the students who made the transition from our purely in-person education model to a blend of online learning and hands-on instruction using CDC safety guidelines. He used the CARES Act emergency grant to help support himself and stay in school during this…

Troy Anderson

Analyst

Thank you, Jerome. Before I get into the details of our results for the quarter, let me begin with a review of the five key variables related to COVID-19 that can impact our business and that we discussed on our call 90 days ago. The five variables are timing of students resuming hands-on labs at our campuses, timing of students returning from LOAs, engagement of students in the online curriculum, potential cost recoveries from the CARES Act and post-COVID-19 student demand. First, the timing of resuming hands-on labs at our campuses. To safely open our campuses, we modified the lab designs to meet the health and safety guidelines as established by the CDC in state and local jurisdictions. Throughout May and June, we resumed labs at all our campuses with the exception of our Bloomfield, New Jersey campus, which was brought back online on July 1. As of the end of July, we had 87% of our active students caught up on their labs or in the process of catching up, and we are actively working with the remaining 13% who are still only participating in the online portion of the curriculum. Keep in mind that getting students to return to on-campus lab work is a process that takes several items into account. For example, almost half our students relocate to their respective campuses. Bus travel and student housing are important factors for these students. Also, as Jerome mentioned, even after students return to campus, we are seeing variability in their pace of completing their catch-up labs. Second, the timing of students returning from LOAs, approximately 91% of UTI students are active as of the end of July versus 75% in early May at the time of our last earnings call. For comparison, at this time last year, 95% of…

Jerome Grant

Analyst

Thank you, Troy. To summarize, the outlook for our business is bright, and we're seeing significant growing interest in our highly valued programs across the country. Yet, as I mentioned, some caution is warranted as the health emergency and economic recession we're battling our way through is very unusual. It doesn't look much like past economic downturns. Adjusting to the COVID-19 environment and managing through its ups and downs has and will continue to test all of us, yet we are continuing to move our business model forward. We're making key investments in our core propositions, our programs and our talent. We're not in a bunker nor are we retreating from the opportunity that offers the future period returns. We're continuing to engage our prospective students via new pathways and methods, and they are responding. We're continuing to innovate with respect to our educational delivery model in ways that support us today, but also open new opportunities in the future. We are adapting every day to the changes occurring in the market and business environment and have demonstrated that we can operate effectively given the present turbulence. We're proud that these adaptations and improvements that we have made and will make have made us stronger UTI today and a UTI better positioned for the future. Our business remains resilient. We continue to make meaningful improvements. Our financial position is solid and clearly superior to many of our contemporaries. Finally, the academic and employment proposition we offer is more valuable than ever to students, potential employers and industry partners. I want to thank you all for your time and attention this afternoon. And I'll now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A. Operator?

Operator

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] The first question will come from Eric Martinuzzi of Lake Street.

Eric Martinuzzi

Analyst

Gentlemen, I wanted to dive into the revenue for the June quarter. I see, specifically, you call out the primary driver of the decrease here being the higher number of students on leave of absence due to COVID-19 crisis and then the timing of students progressing through the lab makeup process. As we kind of jump back in time to three months ago, there was an expectation, maybe not an expectation or a guidance, but just a scenario that you had laid out that said, you know what, maybe we can be as good as 2019. Obviously, that's no longer in the cards. And I'm just wondering, at what point in - from 90 days ago through to the end of the quarter did you guys come to that realization? And what were the primary drivers?

Troy Anderson

Analyst

Yes. Thanks for the question, Eric. I'll point to a few things. I mean relative to that scenario, I would say the LOAs, I pointed out in my comments. We saw the most progression on that in the month of June. So that was on the back end of the quarter. We did start opening our campuses throughout May and June, but several of those were late in May and at the beginning of June. So there was a timing element I would attribute to that. And then really, the primary element being the revisiting of the revenue recognition in light of the student progression through the labs, some students remain in the online curriculum and delaying coming in for labs, other students only doing labs and not doing the online curriculum while they get caught up. So there were a number of different dynamics that we saw really that we didn't have good insight until we, frankly, we're rolling up the quarter and had gotten far enough along in the process with all of our campuses that we had good data on that to revisit. So that $11 million deferral, which again, will be recognized as those students complete their lab work over Q4, some will go into Q1, depending upon again, the individual student's preferences. But that would be obviously the biggest piece of the driver.

Eric Martinuzzi

Analyst

Okay. And then given that we've got all the campuses open now, shifting from Q3 into Q4, is it an oversimplification on my part projecting the revenue for the year to just take that shortfall in Q3 and take down my full-year estimate by the amount of that shortfall?

Troy Anderson

Analyst

Yes. Well, again we're not in a position to give guidance. But clearly, progressing from Q3 into Q4, we talked about the progress on the LOAs. We've got the engagement with the students on the lab. We have a big start quarter in Q4. More than half our starts, as you know, arise in the fourth quarter that brings a revenue uplift over Q3. So there are a number of variables. We will have to see how the quarter plays out, but we would not expect a deferral like we saw in Q3, although we could still have some residual deferral. So when you layer all those things together, clearly, Q4 should look better than Q3, but I can't really tell you specifically on what the number would be.

Eric Martinuzzi

Analyst

Okay. And then last question for me. I know it sounds like there was a moment during the rolling up of the numbers where you guys had to make a management decision about revenue recognition. Help me understand the puts and takes there on this $11 million deferral.

Troy Anderson

Analyst

Yes, it really breaks down into three pieces, Eric. There's - and I tried to call that out in my comments. They are - some students have not yet engaged in a makeup lab. So they're still an active student. They're progressing in the online curriculum, but their campus has now been open for one, two - going on three months or some of the early ones, and they have not yet come in for a lab. So those students - essentially, what we've done is split the revenue 50/50 on average, for a student that will recognize revenue based on them progressing in the online curriculum. But until they come in up for their labs, we will not recognize the other 50%. We also have students who are in the makeup labs, but they've paused on the online curriculum while they're doing their makeup labs. Again, now we're talking about half the curriculum, not a full learning student. And then we have students who are delayed graduations, and we've had to spread revenue out over a longer period of time associated with those students because their graduation, they passed while their campus was closed or passed, they can't make the date because of the makeup process. So all three of those cohorts, frankly, it's kind of roughly one-third - one-third of that $11 million, and they all have a little bit of a different dynamic associated with them. But broadly speaking, as we've taken the revenue and bifurcate it between the lab work versus the online curriculum and try to align the timing a quarter ago.

Eric Martinuzzi

Analyst

Okay. Understood. Thanks for taking the question.

Troy Anderson

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Alex Paris of Barrington Research.

Alexander Paris

Analyst

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my questions.

Jerome Grant

Analyst

Sure.

Alexander Paris

Analyst

So first off, I'm happy to see all the campuses open again with the last one opening early last month. Just looking at your national campus network, you obviously have a significant exposure in California, Arizona, Texas and Florida. I'm wondering with the resurging coronavirus in those states, had there - have there been any reversals on social distancing rules or things affecting campus operations, first off?

Jerome Grant

Analyst

No, there haven't, just to be straightforward. In a significant portion of our campuses during the opening period, we were determined to be an essential service in the state. And therefore, that essential service status serves us as any other minor close downs may happen through the process. But we haven't had any increase to that effect, and we continue to move forward.

Alexander Paris

Analyst

And then along those same lines, a typical class at UTI runs with a 27:1 student teacher ratio, and obviously due to CDC recommendations and that sort of thing, you're down to 10:1, which is really 9:1, I guess. Are there some states where that has been expanded? Or is it pretty much just that 9:1 everywhere?

Jerome Grant

Analyst

That's a great question, Alex. Actually, revised CDC guidelines were less focused on the 10 people in a room and more focused on social distancing, and so we have expanded our densities into the teens on most of our campuses by using larger facilities, spreading out the equipment, use of plexiglass between workstations and things along those lines. So we really don't have any campuses only operating at 9:1 anymore. What we really have been focusing on is how can we best utilize the space to increase the class density in order to accelerate the catch-up period and also enable to - being able to accommodate the large fourth quarter start numbers that we have traditionally.

Alexander Paris

Analyst

And then moving on, your curriculum has delivered 50/50, 50% classroom, 50% labs. Obviously, you had said previously that the classroom portion, 50%, is today 50% online, 50% in the classroom. Is that the plan going forward even once we have a vaccine in place?

Jerome Grant

Analyst

Let me put a little alteration on that. Yes, our core auto diesel curriculum is about 50% classroom, student in a classroom with their colleagues and instructor either demonstrating something or helping them understand concepts; and the other 50% has always been and continues to be hands-on in the labs working at a workstation, doing their mastery skills. The online portion of our curriculum is the entire classroom experience, not 50% of the classroom experience. And we currently have no plans to return to in-classroom experience with that 50%. All the students who are enrolled now and all the students as we move forward will be experiencing the 50% of the curriculum to classroom online, but they will get every bit of the hands on they always got in our labs under CDC-compliant standards. And so does that address your question?

Alexander Paris

Analyst

Yes, absolutely. And so that implies a significant expansion in your capacity throughout your national campus network going forward?

Jerome Grant

Analyst

Well, in the short-term, while we're working through the pandemic pre vaccinations and all the rest of that, it's giving us the opportunity to spread our labs out into spaces that previously were classrooms. Of course, not our live engine labs, but other labs that students have. We've grabbed space that previously was classroom space so that we could spread the students out and get our class densities up. So in the short term, while we continue to work through social distancing and work through the crisis, most of the excess space is being brought together in that regard. But I think down the line, as the world normalizes, you're on to an opportunity.

Alexander Paris

Analyst

Absolutely. And then last question, I guess. You said in the past that the incremental contribution margin for an additional student is in excess of 60%, maybe 60% to 70% you had said in the past. Under this new blended model going forward, should we assume that once we get back to normal, the incremental contribution margin would be higher?

Troy Anderson

Analyst

Yes. We haven't - this is Troy. We haven't gone through, I would say, what that long-term model fully realizes, as Jerome was just talking about there. But our thinking would be that there's opportunity to drive better margin opportunity as we go forward with the biggest piece. Clearly, instructor efficiency would be a component of that, but real estate optimization, which is a little bit more of something that takes time to work through. But certainly, there should be opportunities as we go forward to bolster that margin profile.

Alexander Paris

Analyst

Great. Thanks for the additional color. I appreciate it.

Troy Anderson

Analyst

Thank you, Alex.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Austin Moldow of Canaccord.

Austin Moldow

Analyst

Hi. Thanks for taking my questions. In previous quarters, you've talked about different channels in which you attract new students. Can you give a little update on those? And can you also speak specifically to the high school channel and how that's being impacted by a school year that basically ended in the midst of the pandemic?

Jerome Grant

Analyst

Yes, that's a great question, Austin. Thanks for asking. Number one, as far as 2020 is concerned, the lion's share of the enrollment and recruitment for the high school actually - from the high school channel, actually completes in the month of February and March. By then, as you probably can imagine, students have decided what they're going to do in the next fall, and they've moved on to other things. And so the number of enrollments we get out of the high school channel after March 15 is actually quite small enrollments for that year. And so our ratios this year are relatively the same as they were. As we're talking about the increased enrollment we've seen since the pandemic hit, it is more heavily weighted to the adult population as defined by people who are one year or two out of high school into their mid-20s, which makes a lot of sense, given the unemployment rate for that population is quite high. And so a lot of the interest we've seen in March, April and May is coming out of what we would call the adult population. That said we've got a very solid plan going into this next school year, assuming that most schools will be virtual for somewhere - some time to come. And we've really pivoted the way we're looking at our presentations in high schools, virtual presentations, et cetera. We've begun our outreach to counselors and department chairs, who are looking for content to bring into their virtual environment. And we believe that we're going to be able to operate, although virtually, at the same scale we are operating in the past.

Austin Moldow

Analyst

Got it. That's really helpful. My second question is how much was spent on advertising? And do you think the pandemic will permanently change how you spend on ads across the channels? Or are things expected to bounce back to the same TV digital other split you had before?

Jerome Grant

Analyst

So in the quarter, we spent about $9 million on advertising. Now what the pandemic did is change our mix, right? Sports went off of TV or the affinity channels were playing reruns from years and years and years ago. And so we took a significant portion of the investment we had planned to make into TV out of the channel. We're starting to bring that back into the channel as the live sports has begun to come back in, but we've also sort of altered our mix around social media. With an unemployment rate as high as it is for 18 to 24-year old males, one of the places you're seeing a lot of those people hanging out is in social media, in Instagram, Snapchat, TikTok, Facebook. And so we've seen quite an uptick through the social media channels from that demographic. I think our ratios will somewhat normalize, but some of that really has to do with the sustainability of live programming over the next number of months.

Austin Moldow

Analyst

Okay. Thanks very much for taking my questions.

Jerome Grant

Analyst

Sure. Thanks Austin.

Troy Anderson

Analyst

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

The next question will be from Raj Sharma of B. Riley.

Rajiv Sharma

Analyst

Hi. Good afternoon, guys. Thanks for taking my questions.

Jerome Grant

Analyst

Hi, Raj.

Troy Anderson

Analyst

Hi, Raj.

Rajiv Sharma

Analyst

Hey. So my first question is on the deferment of revenue, I just wanted to understand, so part of this is the displaced revenue. The other part is you - the displaced revenues on the LOAs, the other part is the revenue that's being deferred. What - I mean do you think you could recognize, and all of this is not lost revenue, I understand, and you would recover it, what are the chances that you recover all of it by Q1?

Troy Anderson

Analyst

Yes. Raj, this is Troy. It's a good question. And the dynamics are different again. There's kind of three distinct cohorts within there. I would expect most of that to have completed by Q1. The students, essentially, as they do their retake on their - or do the catch-ups on their labs, we'll recognize that 50% of revenue as we defer. There's one-third of that, again is a group of students right now who have not engaged on-campus labs. They're active in the online curriculum. They're progressing in the online curriculum. We have, obviously, regular interaction with them from the student instructor perspective, and that's a group that they have to get comfortable being in the environment or coming into the group setting, et cetera. And that's probably the tail end of the group. The group that's just a delayed graduation is likely mostly at Q4, maybe some of that trickles into Q1, depending upon some of the campus timing. And then the group that is just they're only - there, you're pacing through the labs differently than we designed the process, meaning they're taking longer. They couldn't get a lab at the time they wanted. They didn't want to - they wanted to take a session off, that type of thing, or they're only doing the lab portion of the curriculum. They stop doing the online until they get caught up with the labs. Again we're only getting half revenue associated with those. Again, I would expect most of that to come in Q4, but something in Q1. What's important is it's also displacing the Q4 revenue you would have expected because that student is doing that lab instead of doing other curriculum, right, for those particular students and same with the online students, so it's not necessarily additive. It's sort of pushes all the revenue to the right event.

Rajiv Sharma

Analyst

So is it fair to assume that you would, let's say, recognize 90% or most of it in Q4 and some of it would be pushed out because they couldn't graduate on time or because they couldn't finish?

Troy Anderson

Analyst

I think 90% is probably high. I would say 90% is probably high, but more than 50%.

Rajiv Sharma

Analyst

Okay. And then I wanted to understand how much of - so now the campuses are open, you have social distancing in place. You have LOAs trending in the right direction. Most of them are active. Is it - how much of this timing is sort of reticence on the part of the students versus your ability to get them through? If they were all willing today, right - if they're all willing today, would you be able to get them through classroom. So can you help me on that? Can you give me some color on that? What is going on and does it relate - clearly, it's COVID impact, but what is causing the students to delay once they're active?

Jerome Grant

Analyst

Sure. Let me - you asked two questions there, whether is the lion's share of the delay due to reticence? The answer to that is yes, right. I think we're all reading day in and day out about college students returning to campuses and how parents are feeling about that and how the environment is affecting it, especially with sort of the roller coaster of the lockdown, having cases at a certain level, then spiking when people, especially young people are out on their own, doing a lot of things. And now it's - in many of these states, it's getting to sort of a new normal level of where they are. So reticence really does fit very largely into the factor of a student's engagement, whether coming off of the online platform into the labs or their initial show rate for starting their classes in this time period, so that's absolutely the case. Your second question was, if everybody wanted to catch up, could we make that happen? The answer to us is, yes. If everybody wanted to catch up, we absolutely can make that happen. Yet the challenge around that is, as we told you in our last report, we had our labs open and continue to have them open from seven in the morning until midnight to do the catch-up work, and that continues on some of our locations where catch-up is still going on. The other issue associated with that also has to do with the students' lives. When they - I have a job that goes from 3:00 to 11:00, so I must be in the morning, or I have a job that goes from 7:00 until 3:00, so I must be in the afternoon. And so thinking that we could utilize our full capacity to satisfy everyone is a bit of an overstatement based on students' ability to schedule when they can come in versus when we have availability for them to come in.

Rajiv Sharma

Analyst

Got it. My next question is on the show rates. And I see that they worsened, do you - they worsened 400 basis points. Do you expect them to kind of stay like this through Q4?

Troy Anderson

Analyst

Yes, Raj, thanks. This is Troy. We will see some pressure on show rate in Q4. We've seen a bit in July, on the start we had in July. We have another start coming up here this Monday. They are three weeks. And certainly, the big ones really are coming up here in August and September, and it's the same conversation as the return to lab and the LOA.

Jerome Grant

Analyst

Right.

Troy Anderson

Analyst

It's the same exact same conversation. Do I start? Or do I wait? And it's frankly pretty easy to just wait. There's no penalty. There's no restock fee. We're happy to slot you into the next spot. So we've seen both students who miss - postponements as well. So the only difference between someone who doesn't show and a postponement is that the postponement actually called us ahead of time and said, hey, I want to change my start date. The person who doesn't show just didn't tell us ahead of time, and we're still trying to work with them to see if we can get them back into another spot down the road. So we've seen uptick in all of those. And again, they're all related to the same variables.

Jerome Grant

Analyst

Yes. And a couple of - well, I'll give you a couple of half-full notions on this. Number one, we're working day in and day out with the students who are in the glide path to come to school. We look for flexible ways for them to be able to engage both digitally from a distance standpoint and come in and do the labs at a much more flexible fashion than we've been able to do in the past. That's going to bring more people in. And these are learning experiences we have through a pandemic about how we need to engage with the students to make them comfortable, fit their timeframes, et cetera. That's one thing that I think is helping us in the fourth quarter as we move forward. The second thing that's helping us in the fourth quarter, which I mentioned in my speech, is that we're outpacing our expectations for enrollments for the fourth quarter, and we're continuing to write enrollments for the fourth quarter. Adult students who are unemployed can start pretty quickly. And so the mitigating factors to the erosion of the show rate are the cup is filling more full with more enrollments and we're - we've learned a lot to work more flexibly with students about engagement.

Rajiv Sharma

Analyst

Got it. Got it. Thank you. I'll get offline.

Jerome Grant

Analyst

Thanks Raj.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I'll turn the call back over to Mr. Jerome Grant, if there's any closing remarks.

Jerome Grant

Analyst

Well, I don't have any closing remarks. I gave them to you right before that. I want to thank you all for your time. As Troy and I have always made it very clear to our partners in the investment community and analysts, our doors and phones are open for conversations. We look forward to discussing this more deeply with you. We once again want to reiterate that we see a bright and growing future here, and we thank you all for the time you've taken and your support of UTI. Thanks, and have a great afternoon.

Troy Anderson

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines. Have a great day.