Earnings Labs

Universal Corporation (UVV)

Q2 2015 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 6, 2014

$54.06

+0.81%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good evening. My name is Terry, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time I would like to welcome everyone to the second quarter fiscal year 2015 conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks there will be a question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions) Thank you. We would now turn the conference over to Ms. Candace Formacek. Please go ahead.

Candace Formacek

Analyst

Thank you, Terry, and thank you for joining us today. George Freeman, our Chairman, President, and CEO; and David Moore, our Chief Financial Officer are here with me today. They will join me in answering questions after these brief remarks. This call is being webcast live and will be available on our website and on telephone taped replay. It will remain on our website through February 5, 2015. If you are listening to this call after that date or if you are reading a transcription, we have not authorized such recording or transcription. It has been made available to you without our permission, review or approval. We take no responsibility for such presentation. Any transcription, inaccuracies or omissions or failures to present available updates are the responsibility of the party who is providing it to you. Before I begin to discuss our results I caution you that we will be making forward-looking statements that are based on our current knowledge and some assumptions about the future. For information on some of the factors that can affect our estimates, I urge you to read our 10-K for the year-ended March 31, 2014, as well as our Form 10-Q for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2014, which was filed with the SEC today. The factors that can affect our estimates include such things as customer-mandated timing of shipments, weather conditions, political and economic environment, changes in currency, industry consolidation and evolution and changes in market structure or sources. Finally, some of the information I have for you today is based on un-audited allocations and is subject to reclassification. In an effort to provide useful information to investors, our comments today may include non-GAAP financial measures. For details on these measures including reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures, please refer to…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) And we do have a question from the line of Ann Gurkin with Davenport. Ann Gurkin – Davenport & Company: I wanted to start with what I review as very positive news and that’s your announcement yesterday regarding the new leaf supply agreement with PMI. I think that is a very positive development for you and for the whole industry. And I was wondering that, that could possibly lead to additional discussions in other markets, if you care to shed any light on that potential direction of the industry?

George Freeman

Analyst

Well, I would just say that you clearly -- it is no secret about what our customers’ sales volumes are doing and we continue to explore opportunities to add efficiencies throughout the supply chain. And I think there's plenty of opportunities to add efficiencies in the supply chain. I will leave it at that. Ann Gurkin – Davenport & Company: George, I always appreciate your insight into the global supply – leaf for oversupply situation right now, have you seen any major changes since the last call, any areas where you’re seeing more concern or better concern, just any update that’s significant?

George Freeman

Analyst

No, I think the other crops in the ground -- the Zimbabwe number is always hard to peg but I sure wish it were sort of showing at flat or slightly up. I sure wish it were coming down, I think that will occur soon enough. But that’s one of the ones that really worries me.

Candace Formacek

Analyst

Ann, I’ll also point out the fact that we did post our new outlook for leaf production globally and I think as we mentioned last time it normally takes a couple of years to work through the leaf oversupply. We are at this time seeing projections of declining production volume around for the globe for next year's crop.

George Freeman

Analyst

And the Zimbabwe customer base is not the same as in a lot of other countries, it’s unique but at some point to – all tobacco is smoked. Ann Gurkin – Davenport & Company: I look at the leaf production by crop here and it looks like there was not a major shift, the US seems to be coming down and I guess that’s due to maybe the late harvest or weather conditions, I was wondering is there anything else?

Candace Formacek

Analyst

Yes, I have to look at the last one. I don’t think that there's been a major shift in that number for the current crop year. Ann Gurkin – Davenport & Company: And then in the current quarter, equity and pretax earnings are stronger than we were looking for. So can you give me an update as to what’s behind that number and how to think about that number in the second half of the year? The 3.3. million number –

Candace Formacek

Analyst

Yes, yes, well we did see some benefits in our Oriental joint venture this year and those in part were from better margins on product mix and the absence of last year’s currency exchange losses from devaluation.

George Freeman

Analyst

And a lot of those currency exchange losses they suffered last year. They were recouped because the price of leaf tobacco is lower and so as they ship those tobaccos throughout the year you'll pick up that improvement. Ann Gurkin – Davenport & Company: I thought that market was recovering and so I was just curious if there was a pickup in just the underlying strength of the market that was maybe faster than expected – not putting the currency issue –

George Freeman

Analyst

Little bit but I wouldn't get too excited at this point. Ann Gurkin – Davenport & Company: And then you called out on cost deficit [ph] with your new illiquid venture, can you quantify those costs?

Candace Formacek

Analyst

No, we are not quantifying that. But I just wanted to point that out that is one of the elements that is in that segment. And we have two new ventures underway at this point. So [that’s maybe the reason but I’d note]. Ann Gurkin – Davenport & Company: And then the tax rate was lower this quarter and any insight, David, you can share with us on the tax rate for the year?

David Moore

Analyst

I think probably for the year end, you're probably looking at a range of 27 to 32. You know the items that drove the six months lower are r permit for the year. So it does have a favorable impact. Longer-term, though, I think I would stick with the 34%, 34.5% we’ve given you in the past. Ann Gurkin – Davenport & Company: And then CapEx it looks like you lowered that a little bit to a $70 million to $80 million range, what’s behind that change?

David Moore

Analyst

It didn’t change that much, it's all relative to timing for paying the bills for the CapEx. So we just sort of rejigged the next 12 month number but nothing appreciable change in it. It’s still the completion of the expansions in Africa, now entry into the food ingredients business are the larger unusual items. Ann Gurkin – Davenport & Company: And can you give a worldwide uncommitted inventory number, not for the industry?

Candace Formacek

Analyst

Yes I do. Sorry I have just misplaced. So yes, so our worldwide estimate for the flue-cured and barley stock is 92 million kilos. That's at June 30. Ann Gurkin – Davenport & Company: And then my last question is how should I think about operating margin in the back half of the year given the oversupply, given lower prices, given customer delays, is there a risk that you will have lower fixed cost absorption like, how should I think about the risk to that operating margin in the second half of the year?

Candace Formacek

Analyst

I don’t know, I’d say, Ann, that there is definitely going to be some factor that’s built in based on the differences in volumes that you see. And I would also look at what we did last year in comparison to this year for that indicator. But we don't have some of the same one-off items that we had last year but there are other different factors certainly way weighed in, in undersupply environment where there is some reduction in pricing. Ann Gurkin – Davenport & Company: And I was glad to see the 44th year of the dividend increase, that’s nice to see.

Candace Formacek

Analyst

Yes, thank you.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) And I am showing no further questions at this time.

Candace Formacek

Analyst

That’s great, Terry. Thank you and thank you all for joining us on our call today.

George Freeman

Analyst

Thank you.