Carl Trowell
Analyst · BTIG. Please go ahead
Well, I’d draw you back to what we said in the prepared comments. I think in the jackup market, simplistically the answer is yes. We started to see – actually in the jackup market, rates certainly, for our fleet, didn’t bottom out at zero cash impact. In fact the bottom point in the jackup pricing was still cash generative on most contracts and it started to build up as we went through 2018. So as we said, we saw pickup in some key markets in 2018 and we are anticipating based on what we see today that that will broaden. So, I think as we go through 2019, we would be expecting to see certainly in the back half of the year, the margin, particularly, the cash margin element from the Jackup segment starting to build. In the Floater segment, we’re not there yet, certainly not on how I see 2019 pricing, but rates do seem to have bottomed. People are not chasing rates down. People are eager to fill white space on the drillship, particularly, the drillship outlook in 2019. And therefore, rate is still competitive and I would say, marginally above costs – capital costs break-even, depending on how you roll in – you roll in mob costs. But what we do see is that, if you brought forward the number of tenders that we have coming now for 2020 and beyond and then 2021 starts, you start to see that there is a increased utilization, particularly on the very high-end drillships. And we’re seeing people – we’re seeing pricing points been put into tenders and people holding out for future, higher pricing in the back year. So – to rather round that off, if I were you, I wouldn’t expect materially pick up in cash margin on Floaters in 2019. But if we see the pricing points that we see out there at the moment for discussion and intend for 2020 and 2021, then that’s when we’d be looking to start to see that margin increase on the Floater segment.