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Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET)

Q2 2014 Earnings Call· Sun, Aug 3, 2014

$13.12

+4.04%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name is Chrissy, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Vermilion Energy Incorporated Second Quarter Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions) I would now like to turn the call over to Lorenzo Donadeo, CEO of Vermilion Energy. You may begin.

Lorenzo Donadeo

Management

Thank you, operator, and good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for joining us today to discuss our second quarter 2014 financial and operating results. I'm Lorenzo Donadeo, CEO of Vermilion. Joining me today are Tony Marino, President and Chief Operating Officer; Curtis Hicks, Executive Vice President and CFO; and Dean Morrison, our Director of Investor Relations. Earlier this morning, we announced record operating results driven by our recent acquisitions, successful organic activity, and our consistent operational execution. We generated record quarterly fund flows from operation of $216.1 million, or $2.05 per share, in the second quarter of 2014. Combined with our strong funds flows from operations during the first quarter of 2014, this resulted in record six months fund flows from operations of $421 million, an increase of 25% year-over-year. Average production also reached record levels at 52,089 BOEs a day in the second quarter, an increase of 12% quarter-over-quarter and 22% year-over-year. Our current growth is primarily attributable to strong results from our Cardium and Mannville developments in Canada and production additions from our recent acquisitions. Second quarter Canadian volumes of 25,070 BOEs per day include approximately two months of production contribution from our southeast Saskatchewan acquisition completed at the end of April, while European volumes of 20,536 BOEs a day include our first full quarter of production contribution from our German acquisition completed in February. Today, in view of our consistent operational performance, we’re further increasing our production guidance for 2014 to a range of 48,500 to 49,500 BOEs a day, up from our previous guidance of 48,000 to 49,000 BOEs a day, and original guidance for 2014, including Elkhorn, of 47,500 to 48,500 BOEs a day. In Canada, we increased average Cardium production by 17% during the second quarter to over 12,000 BOEs a day.…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) And our first question comes from the line of Pavan Hoskote from Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Pavan Hoskote - Goldman Sachs

Analyst

I'll start with a question on Australia. Your execution in Australia has been solid, and over the years, if anything, your inventory has surprised to the upside. Can you discuss how much more running room you have in the region? And also, do you see opportunities for acquisitions in this area as some of the larger companies potentially exit the region?

Curtis Hicks

Analyst

In terms of the future development inventory in Australia, I think it’s quite strong. As you know, we had a really successful 2013 sidetrack program. It’s a typical type of development that we use drilling quite long horizontal laterals off the existing wells in the field. The couple of sidetracks that we did in the 2013 program continue to give us quite significant deliverability on the order of - we can deliver probably 2,500 barrels of oil a day per well still at this point. They will decline over time. We produced them part of the time, as we optimize the production from the field and maintain the market for the crude oil that we have there. In terms of the inventory going forward, we identify about a dozen future sidetrack locations. The typical drilling period that we’ve had is about, to mobilize a rig, about every year and a half. So, drilling two to three sidetracks at a time at a two sidetrack-pace, that would give us six drilling programs and close to 10 years of sidetrack inventory. In addition, there are two exploratory prospects to the west of the field that we may drill at some point and if either of those were successful that would add to the future drilling inventory. So, I guess in summary we see around a decade of remaining development inventory in Australia.

Lorenzo Donadeo

Management

In terms of the A&D market in Australia, we do have our eye on that. As you stated, there are potentially some opportunities that are coming along. What we’re starting to see in the acquisition market is that it seems to be a well supplied and buyer-friendly acquisition market. It’s providing us with a number of opportunities at, we believe, pretty attractive prices that will help supplement our organic growth. With the planned ramp up of Corrib next year, where we’ve got lower capital requirements and material free cash flow, coupled with the company’s strong cost of capital and clean balance sheet, we believe we are very well positioned for future accretive acquisitions.

Pavan Hoskote - Goldman Sachs

Analyst

And then, looking ahead into 2015 in Canada, how should we expect you to allocate capital? You obviously have two assets, the Cardium and Mannville, where we are already seeing very strong execution, but then you also have two new assets that could compete for capital between the assets that you recently acquired and the Duvernay shale. Should we expect a step-up in CapEx in Canada going forward?

Curtis Hicks

Analyst

We haven’t set the 2015 capital budget yet. We’re working on that now and we’ll present it to our Board in the fall, but I think I could safely say that as the company grows, you will see probably an in line increase in capital spending in all of the non-Corrib units in aggregate. The allocation between the business units may vary a little bit. What it means for Canada given the really good results that we’ve had so far, is that I think you will see an overall increase in the level of spending. You‘ll see pretty strong growth rates in our production and cash flows from Canada. With respect to the four programs that you mentioned, we’re actually quite optimistic about all of them. You’ll see significant spending in the Cardium, I don’t know if it will be as high as it has been in the previous years, but nonetheless sufficient to maintain quite strong productivity and depending on how we decide to allocate the capital potential for additional growth in that program, you will see more capital going into Mannville and significant growth in the production from that program. We will have a meaningful level of capital spending in southeast Saskatchewan. Just like in the Drayton Valley area, we’ve got multiple elevations to drill dedicated horizontal wells there that use the same surface infrastructure, they are good targets, and we will grow the production and cash flow from that asset with a moderate level of capital spending going in there. With respect to the Duvernay, I would not anticipate a large program in 2015. We’re not particularly driven by expiries. We have very few licenses that expire in 2015 that need to be validated. So we’ll have a measured program, I imagine we will have some Duvernay spending, but since we are not driven by expiries nor are we driven by a need to provide production growth out of that particular asset given the number of sources worldwide that we have to provide production growth, I would expect a moderate level of spending. I don’t know exactly what that would be. It could be comparable to the well counts that we have this year or perhaps it could be a little bit greater just depending on how we do on our initial wells and how rapidly we want to pursue the delineation and development of that play. I would also point out that, as Corrib comes on, mid-2015, we do expect that the need for capital spending there is going to essentially be eliminated and so we do have that advantage in our capital profile going from 2014 to 2015 with partial year Corrib spending, and then probably I would expect quite low spending, if any, in 2016 on Corrib.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) And our next question comes from the line of Travis Wood from TD Securities. Your line is open.

Travis Wood - TD Securities

Analyst

Quick question on the Duvernay, you mentioned you ran into some drilling issues through the two wells. But can you share any details around the technical aspects that you’ve found over the last three or four months from the Duvernay progress so far?

Curtis Hicks

Analyst

Travis, I think we’ve learned a great deal about drilling in the Duvernay. We are in the middle area between K Bob and Williston Green where there hasn’t been a huge amount of activity historically although it does look like it’s picking up for the industry overall in this middle area in Edson, Drayton Valley area. I guess from a technical standpoint specifically on the drilling, I think from the first two wells, the well in Drayton Valley and the well in Edson that in the future, we know how to handle some of these thin intervals that they turn out to be a bit clayer -- clayier and therefore presenting some addition problems with hole stability and I think we know the right mud weight and mud program to use to control those. I wouldn’t expect to have to re-drill in the future, so I think our future Duvernay wells are going to have a significantly lower drilling cost than we saw in these wells. I think we’ve learned a great deal about the completions looking at this whole range of industry activity from K Bob through Williston Green and this is one reason that we waited so long to make our first Duvernay efforts after putting together that land base beginning in 2011. As I mentioned on the previous question, we weren’t driven by expiries, we’re not particularly driven by a need to produce production growth out of this specific play, and it gave us a luxury of being able to move down that industry learning curve in completions. Completions are the critical part of the - really the critical part of the well. They determine the entire productivity that we’re going to have, it’s the biggest part of the cost as well, and of course, it being a relative expensive play, we were very fortunate to be able to kind of test the play I guess, test the completion techniques using the rest of the industry’s experience and therefore capital and I do think we’ve learned a lot about the completions. I think we’re quite ready to complete these wells and we’re certainly hoping that we have a pretty good effort on the initial couple of wells that we’ve drilled with respect to the completions and all that said, I would expect some further completion improvement even after these first couple of wells because every area in the Duvernay is going to have its specific completion needs.

Travis Wood - TD Securities

Analyst

And do you guys happen to have the next several targets already identified, or are you just continuing to focus on the two that you're in the process of completing now?

Curtis Hicks

Analyst

In terms of identifying the next couple of drilling targets, we are thinking ahead -- looking at our land position and where we want to get additional data points about productivity, so we have a number of choices given that it’s such a big land base, but for the moment we’re, as you say, we are focused on making sure that we hit relatively high productivity completions out of these first 2 gross, 1.35 net wells that we’ve drilled.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) We have no further questions in queue; I'll turn the call back over to our presenters.

Lorenzo Donadeo

Management

Thank you, operator, and thank you to all the participants for participating in our conference call today.