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VinFast Auto Ltd. (VFS)

Q4 2025 Earnings Call· Mon, Mar 16, 2026

$4.05

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the VinFast Q4 2025 Financial Results and Q&A. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Amandae Baey, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to VinFast quarterly earnings call. Joining me today are Chairwoman of the Board, Madam Thuy Le; Deputy CEO of Investments, Ms. Anne Pham; and our CFO, Ms. Lan Anh Nguyen. Before we begin this call, please note today's call will include forward-looking statements under U.S. federal securities law. These statements reflect our current views on future events, financial operational performance and other matters that involve risks and uncertainties. These may cause actual results to differ materially. Please refer to our most recent filings with the SEC for a discussion of these risk factors. We will also reference certain non-GAAP financial measures and a reconciliation of these measures to GAAP figures, along with an explanation are included in our presentation issued earlier today. With that, I would like to invite Madam Thuy to begin the management remarks.

Thuy Thi Le

Analyst

Hello, everyone. It's great to be with you again. 2025 was another landmark year for VinFast. But more importantly, it was a year of disciplined investment behind our core mission, making electric mobility accessible to everyone. Fourth quarter of 2025 was our strongest quarter to date across several key financial metrics. Every strategic decision we make, including investing in technology, industrial capabilities and global expansion is anchored to that objective. Let me briefly reflect on our evolution. From 2017 to 2023, we established our brand and industrial foundation with a firm belief that electrification is the future of mobility. In 2024, we earned the trust of customers in our home market, Vietnam, and became the #1 mobility brand in the country by vehicle sales, a position that we continue to maintain to date. So during 2025, we rolled out a comprehensive product portfolio to serve diverse mobility use cases, laid the foundation for a green mobility ecosystem in international markets and shared plans about our next generation of vehicles that are built on a new platform and new EE architecture. Across the industry, there is a clear shift as electric mobility companies move towards AI-driven software-defined vehicles. VinFast has been working on this since day one with our R&D philosophy centered around a vertically integrated software-defined EV platform. With over 400,000 cumulative cars delivered and more than 4 years of real-world driving data accumulated, our engineers are able to design ADAS and software road maps with the customers in mind. For 2026, our strategic investment focused on scale and unit cost optimization, which are the primary levers in our path to profitability. This will be supported by overseas capacity expansion, the commercialization of the next-gen vehicles and the integration of more AI across our vehicles and factories to deliver smart…

Thu Nguyen Pham

Analyst

Thank you, Madam Thuy. VinFast is more than an EV manufacturer. Our mission is to make electric mobility accessible to everyone, which directly shapes how we allocate capital and make strategic investments. We are deliberately investing in owning more of our technology stack so that we can deliver more compelling features at a lower cost over time. At Mobility Day last November, we shared our autonomy road map for Level 2+ and Level 2++ towards Level 4 with a demonstration of a self-driving robot car in partnership with Autobrains Technologies at Vinhomes Ocean Park, a project in Vietnam. A leading AI mobility company based in Israel, Autobrains has been working with us for a number of years. VinFast has taken a capital-efficient approach with an in-house ADAS research institute while working with strategic technology partners for Level 4. We also plan to expand our trials of Robo-Car to larger cities and international markets. We are also pleased to share that we've entered into a collaboration with Tensor, a pioneering AI company developing personally owned Level 4 autonomous robo cars company based in California. Under this partnership, VinFast will serve as the manufacturing and industrialization partner for Tensor's Robo-Car program. Fully functional prototypes of the program have already been tested by Tensor across multiple regions, and the program is currently in the preproduction phase and is being advanced towards commercialization. This collaboration is compelling for both a commercial and financial standpoint while reinforcing VinFast's strategic role in the next generation of mobility solutions. In parallel, we are also in active discussions with a number of technology and mobility companies exploring robotaxi development. We look forward to sharing further updates as these discussions progress in the coming quarters. Internally, we continue to make steady progress in owning more of our core technology…

Anh Thi Nguyen

Analyst

Thank you, Anh. Our 2025 results reflects a focus on accelerating revenue growth while improving operating efficiency over time. By exceeding our 2025 guidance and operating at roughly 2/3 of our flagship factory's capacity during December, we have demonstrated our ability to scale in a disciplined manner. At the same time, the sales policies and promotional initiatives introduced to sharpen brand awareness in our key markets are starting to gain traction. Concurrently, our ongoing cost optimization programs are beginning to deliver tangible results, and we are seeing early signs of operating leverage emerge in the business. Fourth quarter of 2025 reflected the strongest financial performance we have delivered to date with several key metrics reaching new levels as we begin to see early benefits of scale. As Madam Thuy and Anne highlighted, strengthening VinFast's competitiveness requires deliberate strategic investments that are essential to improving efficiency, enhancing cost control and positioning the company for the more sustainable margin profile over the long term. Now let me walk you through our results in more detail. Revenue for the fourth quarter of 2025 was USD 1.6 billion, up by 118% quarter-over-quarter and 139% year-over-year. Full year revenue was USD 3.6 billion, increased by 105% year-over-year. Gross margin was negative 40% in Q4 2025 compared to negative 79% in Q4 2024. For the full year, gross margin improved to negative 43% compared to a negative 57% in 2024, with full year revenue increased by 105% and fourth quarter revenue up 139% year-over-year. Higher production volumes allowed us to better absorb fixed manufacturing overhead and improve operating leverage. Recall that in fiscal year 2024, revenue was impacted by a onetime adjustment related to our free charging program. We applied the program retrospectively to all vehicles delivered through 31st of December 2024, which resulted in revenue…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Operator, while we get the live questions, let's move on to the WebEx questions. We've got a few of them.

Operator

Operator

Sure. Please go ahead.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

The first question we have is from Jesse actually. There have been rumors you'll be interested in launching a hybrid vehicle. Can you confirm this is something you're interested in pursuing? And if so, how could it impact your future financial results? And would you like to take this question?

Thu Nguyen Pham

Analyst

Certainly. Well, VF-8 REEV was planned for launch in Vietnam starting 2027 and with overseas rollout expected over time. The development basically leverages our existing BEV platforms and incremental R&D requirements will be fairly manageable. We also expect limited impact on broader R&D priorities for the next couple of years as we have very well planned out our R&D road map, our ADAS as well as our EE architecture. REEV for us is viewed as a practical interim solution to expand EV accessibility and address a broader market segment as opposed to a material shift. Thank you.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thank you. The next question is from [ Chang Ho of HSC. ] Congratulations on the quarter's results. Could you please elaborate on the drivers behind the narrowing of the gross profit loss and whether these improvements are sustainable in the coming quarters? Additionally, could you share the recent results or achievements in your key export markets and the company's plans for these markets going forward? Lan Anh, would you like to take this?

Anh Thi Nguyen

Analyst

Okay. So for the narrowing of the gross profit loss, the improvement is mainly driven by BOM optimization and production scale, supplier pricing, localization and engineering optimization. And we believe these drivers are sustainable. The largest reduction in BOM cost, VF6, around 13% and VF-7 around 23% in BOM cost reduction. In 2026, we expect further improvements across multiple models with -- around 20% up to -- I think maybe the 30% cost reduction, supported by our transition to next-generation vehicle platforms in the following years. So we also expect more moderate around 5% annual BOM optimization. So for the part of the international markets, we also saw a very strong ramp-up in deliveries in Indonesia, the Philippines and India in Q4 2025, with international deliveries accounting for about 17% of total deliveries. And for India, we also have India positioned as a strategic long-term growth market. And -- but for the other markets like Indonesia and the Philippines also, that we leverage for the brand awareness with the cooperation, GSM for the brand awareness, both for the consumer like a perspective. So we expect that we can boost our overseas sales in 2026 also.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thank you, Lan Anh. The next question we have is a macro question. So I think Madam Thuy will take this. With oil prices trending higher, do you expect that to influence EV adoption dynamics? And separately, could you comment on the current macro environment and how that could potentially affect VinFast's operating outlook?

Thuy Thi Le

Analyst

Thank you, Amandae. Well, we -- I think, everywhere in Vietnam as well, we immediately, we saw the impact of higher oil prices where people started switching to EVs or even for the ride-hailing of taxi, we started seeing people choosing consciously our GSM platform over the normal taxi. Higher oil prices reinforce the long-term EV value proposition as consumer focus more on total cost of ownership. So fuel prices may influence short-term sentiment, but structural EV adoption drivers remain affordability, product availability and charging infrastructure, which are everything that we're working toward. Our strategy focused on improving cost competitiveness and expanding the product lineup to broaden EV accessibility. We monitor macro developments closely, especially now, but no material impact on operating outlook at this stage right now. Our expansion focus on markets where EV adoption remains early with strong long-term growth potential. Priority remains scaling production, improving cost efficiency and executing the product road map. We -- the industry commentary suggests about $4 per gallon gasoline could accelerate mass EV adoption. So in some of the states in the U.S. right now, we're exceeding that level as well.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thank you, Madam Thuy. The next question from the WebEx is regarding our North Carolina factory. It's good to hear an update about the North Carolina factory. Could you elaborate on your decision to proceed with a U.S. manufacturing presence when EV demand is expected to be slower? And could you also share some more color on the impairment charge that you took?

Thuy Thi Le

Analyst

So like for the last years, right, we've been saying that we are committed to the U.S. market, and U.S. is an important market to us, and we still commit to that. U.S. still remains an important strategic market for us. And U.S. manufacturing base provides flexibility as the market conditions and regulations evolve. North Carolina factory construction expected to resume this year. We have been working in the background towards that and the SOP is targeted for 2028. For -- out of prudence, we recorded a $236 million impairment in Q4 2025. This was a one-off charge reflecting the revised project timing. However, we expect that we will reverse this impairment in the future as the factory construction will start again. Again, there's no change to long-term commitment to the U.S. market.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thank you, Madam Thuy. The next question is regarding our ADAS strategy. How much of the cost reduction will come from simplifying the hardware stack or tailoring features to different markets? Anne, would you like to take that question?

Thu Nguyen Pham

Analyst

Thanks, Amandae. Well, I think, first of all, the next-generation ADAS stack will launch with refreshes in the VF-6,VF-7. SOP is started to be from the second half of 2026 onwards. So it will be a combination of both simplifying the hardware stack as well as tailoring features to different markets that will really be the anchors of our strategy. So the new architecture basically will use more integrated computing and simplified hardware stack. And at the same time, we're also increasing the component of in-house development in order to reduce reliance on third parties and being able to tailor the features to different markets. And both of these features, as I've mentioned, will help us lower the cost. I hope that answers the question.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thank you, Anne. The next question is regarding the company's CapEx plans. Can you please share what the company's CapEx plans are for 2026? Lan Anh, would you like to take this?

Anh Thi Nguyen

Analyst

Yes. Okay. So in 2026, -- in 2026, most of the -- our CapEx is still going into building out the core manufacturing footprint, roughly USD 400 million for domestic and around USD 600 million for international factories. And then additional CapEx like for machinery and equipment. So in 2026, 2027, our CapEx needs are a continuation of our intention to scale our manufacturing globally as we position the overseas factory as export hubs. We expect to incur CapEx for Phase 2 of Indonesia and India factories. and CapEx for Phase 1 of U.S. factory, as Madam Thuy just mentioned. So that kind of action to account for the future business plans to introduce e-scooter and e-buses also in those markets.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thank you, Lan Anh. The next question is regarding the VF-7. Can you walk us through the VF-7's current status for North America, specifically where it stands in the regulatory approval process, expected time line for deliveries and whether production will come out of the India or Vietnam facility? And separately, any update on dealership and service center expansion in the region? Madam Thuy, please?

Thuy Thi Le

Analyst

So we are preparing to bring the VF-7 to the U.S. before the end of the year. I think we're pretty much done with all the regulatory approval process, homologations and all the approvals. I think the target is to start the production by the end of next month and with the plan to bring the VF7 soon after. This is going to be -- this is a midsized crossover SUV, so in that segment. And we focus on the customer experience, the feature competitiveness and ownership value rather than other features. So this is going to be a very good addition to the market and will help elevate the VF-8 as we bring more VF-8 to the market. Regarding the dealers, the dealership network and the service center, we are -- until -- I mean, with all the uncertainties in the U.S. market with the EVs in the U.S. and the automotive tariff, right? So until we have the factory open in 2028, we will take a very disciplined approach with our expanding our dealership network. And I think this year, we're looking to add more like 2 more dealers in California, where we sell -- where EV sell the most, and we maintain the existing dealership network. I think our focus is trying to make sure that the dealers will be profitable and retain the dealers that were willing to invest in the brand and continue to stay with us for a long run. In terms of repair, the service shop, our strategy is to expand also the third-party service network. Last year, I think in California alone, we added about 55 service shop. This year, we're adding a few more, but what is more important is to improve the quality of the service network and gradually really improve and -- improve the quality of those service network rather than focusing on the quantity.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thank you, Madam Thuy. Operator, can we check for live questions?

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We will take our next question. Your question comes from the line of Jim McIlree from Chardan.

James McIlree

Analyst

Yes. You've talked about the gross margin improvements and the BOM cost improvements that you're looking for this year. When do you think that you can achieve a positive gross margin? Is that something that could happen at the end of this year? Or is that something that's more likely to occur in 2027?

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thank you for the question. Lan Anh, over to you.

Anh Thi Nguyen

Analyst

Yes. So for profitability, especially mentioned about gross margin, you see that for the [ business ] we consistent with many scaling EV manufacturers, like we focus on the execution milestones that drive margin improvement. So for VinFast, we have the 2 primary levers like the first one for the higher deliveries spread fixed cost, of course, manufacturing, R&D and SG&A, improving operating leverage. And also for the BOM cost, yes, we have the next-generation platforms design with the optimized architecture. The next-generation vehicle is also expected to deliver around 30% to 40% lower of the bill of materials, I mean, the BOM cost versus earlier modules. And because as these modules scale in production because we have the production expansion, the unit economics is expected to improve meaningfully. And in addition that for platform transition and volume ramp and continue for the cost discipline expected to make the path to profitability increasingly like visible over the medium term. But a lot of things to boost for the margin improvement for both Vietnam and also for the overseas. And we expect that like the path to profitability increasingly visible over like in the medium term.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thanks, Lan Anh. Operator, are there any more live questions? Or Jim, do you have a follow-up question?

James McIlree

Analyst

Yes. I was curious if you could share with us what your expected cash usage will be this year?

Anh Thi Nguyen

Analyst

Yes. For the CapEx for this year, we expect that around USD 1.6 billion in CapEx for R&D with the next-generation model. So we expect that we spend around USD 1.4 billion for R&D.

Operator

Operator

There seems to be no further questions -- excuse me, please stand. We do have a question in the queue. Your question comes from the line of Jesse Sobelson from BTIG. There is no response, and we have no further questions in the queue.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thanks, operator. Actually, Jesse had sent in his question on the WebEx. So I'm going to read it out. This is regarding our guidance of 300,000 global EV deliveries in 2026. From a manufacturing standpoint, are you -- are you already capable of producing at that annualized run rate today? And what are the key amounts, either utilization, supply chain, labor or localization that needs to happen to support that volume? There's also been discussions of competitors expanding their manufacturing footprint into Southeast Asia and namely Vietnam. So how do you think about -- how do you want investors to think about VinFast's core differentiation, whether it's product, pricing, ecosystem or aftersales? And where do you believe you have the most defensible advantage over the next 12 to 18 months? Thank you for that question, Jesse. That's very comprehensive. Madam Thuy, over to you.

Thuy Thi Le

Analyst

Yes. So absolutely, we're capable of manufacturing and delivering that volume of at least 300,000 vehicles in 2026. Regarding the 300,000 or at least 300,000 delivery target for 2026, the growth will mainly be driven by Vietnam and our core Asian markets. From a manufacturing perspective, we already have sufficient capacity. I think with -- as I mentioned in my speech, with facilities in Hai Phong, Ha Tinh and India, our combined capacity exceeds 600,000 vehicles per year already. So that will support our growth target. As an example, our flagship factory in Hai Phong has ramped up to above 70% capacity at the end of 2025 and still have headroom to produce more. From the supply chain perspective, we have developed a global supplier network of 1,700 partners and about 800 direct suppliers that are ready to supply to us. Well, I think on your second question, beyond pricing, we differentiate through our EV ecosystem, including the rollout of the V-GREEN charging infrastructure and the expansion of GSM ride-hailing fleet, which have built the long-term consumer confidence. Over time, our scale increases and our ecosystem matures, we expect promotions to normalize with differentiation increasingly driven by great value to money, the vehicle products and enhanced ownership experience and aftersales service and of course, the best-in-class warranty coverage. So I think those are the differentiating points between us and other competitors that might want to enter Southeast Asia and Vietnam in particular.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thank you, Madam Thuy. Our next question is regarding robotics manufacturing. Can you give us a sense of the time line for when VinFast would begin manufacturing robots for the robotics companies within the Vingroup ecosystem? And would that require additional CapEx or changes to your existing production lines? Anne, would you like to take this, please?

Thu Nguyen Pham

Analyst

Sure. Thanks, Amandae. So basically, I think humanoid robot trials are already planned for the second half of 2026 across 2 of our factory plants in Vietnam for certain operational tests. And we'll continue to conduct ongoing evaluation of robotics integration within our smart manufacturing road map and making sure that the humanoid or the robot arm visual AI programs work seamlessly with what we currently have, which is already fairly highly automated. And at the same time, we also do not want our testing to disrupt the core EV production because the plant in Hai Phong is basically operating at full capacity and the one in Ha Tinh is also ramping up very fast. So I'm very excited, and we hope to share further updates in the coming quarters. Thank you.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thank you, Anne. Our next question is from Harry of Edison Research. Could you possibly give a little bit more color on the geographic breakdown of the e-scooter growth you are expecting this year? Will the majority of the growth be driven by an increased number of scooters sold in Vietnam? Or do you expect it to be driven by international markets? And a follow-up question is, should -- with this growth, should we expect e-scooters to have a meaningful margin impact moving forward? Madam, Thuy.

Thuy Thi Le

Analyst

Well, so last year experienced a very strong growth in e-scooter for us, and that was all in Vietnam. This year, we expect to expand to 5 international markets in Asia as well. As you know, you go to Asia, you see mostly -- you see a lot of 2-wheel vehicles in Asia. So this is a very strong market just beyond Vietnam. But we expect most of the growth for 2026 will still come from Vietnam for various reasons, driven by like the policy tailwinds in Vietnam, including the expected restrictions on gasoline motorbike in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City, the 2 big cities in Vietnam by -- in the middle of 2026. So -- and then we focus on the largest segment of 2-wheels, the student and daily commuters. So the adoption is accelerating as well. I mentioned the international expansion before. So there will be -- we will expand into India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and the Philippines. Another interesting fact about our e-scooter is the battery swapping rollout by V-GREEN that reduces the charging barriers, especially for people that use e-scooter or use 2-wheel vehicles for food deliveries or for delivery purposes. So as of January 2026, there are already 4,500 battery swapping stations installed across Vietnam, supported by retail and logistics partnership. Well, as the 2-wheeler segment scale, we expect it to become an increasingly meaningful contributor to both revenues and profitability for VinFast, and it will be a great support for our 4-wheels business. Thank you.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thank you, Madam Thuy. We are just at about time. So we're going to end with the last question from the WebEx regarding our guidance. Can you provide a breakdown or give us a sense of which markets or models do you expect to contribute the most to your target of at least 300,000 EVs this year?

Thuy Thi Le

Analyst

Well, I think for -- even for 2026, the primary growth expected still from Vietnam and the core Asian markets. There will be new model launches in India, Indonesia and the Philippines. And the expansion of GSM operations in international market will also drive the growth as well. We are building the dealership network across Vietnam and Asia. So just those are the factors that would help drive the EV guidance to at least 300,000 vehicles this year.

Amandae Baey

Analyst

Thank you, Madam Thuy. Operator, that concludes the earnings call.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.