Miguel Galuccio
Analyst · Creadit Suisse.
Thank you very much for your question. So look at related to the exports that is probably the most straightforward one, every single barrel that we had goes to export. If you remember in our Investor Day, we said that -- I mean, we calculate that we will have probably a mix of 60% of [fporan], 40% in the local market. considering the volume that we have calculated at that time that there was an average of 80,000 barrel oil per day of production arriving in 2026. So that 60-40 today, if we have more production, it could be higher than 50%. That's the reality. Today, any additional barrel seen we have the local market as the industry fully supplied. It goes to airport. And if you follow the export market as the percentage bit under rest, you see the incremental in the industry mine-by-month, quarter-by-quarter, how we are adding more cargoes and adding more exportation quarter-by-quarter. In terms of cash flow, yes, of course, we will have more production. We have better prices than the one that we calculate when we have the Investor Day toward 2026, that was 60. Therefore, -- and there, I think we signal that on that plan, cash flow generation towards 2026 of around $2.5 billion if you remember correctly. Therefore, I think we will have additional cash. Now today, the cash that we are generating, we are taking care, of course, of the CapEx. We have a rate of growth that we want to meet and also it's in line with infrastructure that we have that is around 15%, 20% in terms of production. And the rest, we are using it for buyback programs. Of course, we are at the moment that we have to front-end infrastructure to meet that plan. So there will be CapEx that is going to be in the first 2 years, dedicated not only to West, but now we will have an infrastructure component. The main case is the expansion of OldelVal. After that, 2024, 2025, 2026, we will have to have -- we will aim to continue probably reducing debt, using buyback or dividends or whatever is the best means that we have to really retribute to our shareholders. We don't have another plan. Of course, we can always come up with a plan with additional CapEx in order to have higher growth than the one that we have signaled to the market. And this is something that we will consider based on performance and based on oil prices, yes. But I will say that decision will be 2025 onward. So that is the way that we are thinking and basically what we are doing. So in terms of CapEx, you have to think that 2025 onward, we will have enough cash to think on what as we have to do from now to 2023, 2024, infrastructure, buybacks and continue the equity of growth story that we have today.