Donald M. James - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Good morning. Thank you for joining us for this conference call to discuss our second quarter results and our outlook for the remainder of 2008. I'm Don James, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Vulcan Materials. We appreciate your interest in Vulcan; we hope our remarks and dialogue today will be helpful to you. A replay of this conference call will be available later today at our website. Joining me today is Dan Sansone, our Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Bag Badgett and Ron McAbee, Senior Vice Presidents in our Construction Materials Business. Before I begin, let me remind you that certain matters discussed in this conference call contain forward-looking statement, which are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. Descriptions of these risk and uncertainties are detailed in the company's SEC reports, including our most recent report on Form 10-K. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof and the company assumes no obligation to update such statements. Moving now to the quarterly results; we reported our second quarter financial results yesterday after the market close. Those results included net sales with $966 million and EBITDA of $339 million. Our net sales increased 20% from the prior year second quarter, and our EBITDA increased 21%, despite lower aggregate sales volume. Earnings per diluted share were $1.27 versus $1.45 in the prior year second quarter. Higher energy related input cost accounted for approximately 25% of the total year-over-year decrease in earnings per share. Liquid asphalt which is produced from a barrel of oil and used to make asphalt mix which would sell, and diesel fuel used to operate our large mobile equipment accounted for most of this year-over-year decrease in earnings per share. The average unit price for liquid asphalt increased 60% from the prior year second quarter, and reduced our company earnings approximately $0.12 per diluted share. The unit average price pay for diesel fuel in our legacy operations increased 70% from the prior year second quarter, and reduced earnings approximately $0.09 per diluted share. Additionally the current year second quarter results include $0.34 per share referable to the gain on sale of quarry sites divested as part of the Florida Rock acquisition. While the economic environment in which these results were achieve is challenging, we remain focused on positioning our business to benefit from our recovery and demand, by effectively managing our cost structure, and capturing the operational cost synergies from integrating the Florida Rock assets and development. Before I move into specific comments regarding consolidated second quarter results; let me remind everyone that current year's second quarter results include Florida Rock, while the prior year results do not. Historical comparison for Vulcan's and Florida Rock's legacy businesses are difficult, because we have rapidly integrated and restructured the combined businesses into five of Vulcan's operating divisions. However we will continue to provide legacy comparisons throughout the current year where possible, if those comparisons will help you understand our results. Generally our business has performed well in the second quarter, notwithstanding difficult economic conditions in many key markets. Higher pricing, the inclusion of Florida Rock and our cost control initiatives, partially offset the earnings impact due to lower aggregate volumes and higher energy related costs. Aggregate EBITDA decreased approximately 60 million versus the prior year second quarter. The average price [indiscernible] the units sales price for aggregates increased 8% from the prior year second quarter. Total aggregate shipments declined 6% compared to the second quarter of 2007. Aggregate shipments in most Legacy Vulcan serve markets saw double-digit volume declines when compared with the prior year second quarter, except for markets in Texas and along the Central Gulf Coast where volumes increased year-over-year. These markets in Texas and along the Gulf coast are benefiting from large industrial and energy construction projects which are contributing to growing demand. During the quarter, we drove production levels down to match the lower level of demand. Our plant mangers did an excellent job of managing cost in the quarter despite the upward pressures due to higher energy prices and lower volumes. The results of their efforts will benefit our earnings when volumes begin to recover. Excluding energy related costs, such as diesel fuel and electric utilities, unit variable production cost in legacy Vulcan aggregates operations were relatively flat when compared to the prior year second quarter. Additionally cash fixed cost at Vulcan's legacy aggregate operations were approximately 14% lower than the prior year second quarter. These cost control results demonstrate relatively greater production flexibility, our aggregate plant managers are able to achieve, compared with most of other continuous process type manufacturing facilities. Earnings for the asphalt and concrete segment were equal to the prior year second quarter. Concrete earnings increased from the prior year second quarter due to the addition of Florida Rock's concrete operations. But asphalt earnings were lower verses the prior year, due principally to the higher unit cost for liquid asphalt. One of the bright spots in this quarter is our 4% increase in asphalt volumes. Asphalt prices increased approximately 8% from the prior year second quarter. However we were not able to move prices up fast enough in the quarter to offset the sharp increase in liquid asphalt costs. The average unit price paid for liquid asphalt at the end of the second quarter was 60% higher than the prior year second quarter and was 42%... I'm sorry, 26% higher than the unit price at the end of the first quarter of 2008. The rapid rate at which liquid asphalt prices escalated during the second quarter, have created a timing difference. With appropriate increases in average unit sales price for asphalt mix, we expect some of this timing difference to dissipate in the second half of 2008 if liquid asphalt prices remain at current levels. The average concrete selling price, including Florida Rock's operations, increased approximately 2% from the prior year second quarter. The inclusion of Florida Rock's operations more than offset the earnings effect of lower volumes from our legacy operations. Selling, administrative and general expenses in the current year second quarter, were approximately $85 million, versus $71 million last year. Legacy Vulcan SAG expenses were approximately $11 million lower than the prior year, but more than offset by the inclusion of the new Florida Rock operations. Also included in our second quarter SAG expenses, is $6 million of expense referable to the fair market value of donated real state. This donated real state had virtually no earnings impact, because the difference between the fair value of the properties and the carrying value of the properties are recorded as a gain on sale of property, plant and equipment. Interest expense increased to approximately $30 million from the prior year second quarter, due primarily to the financing related to the acquisition of Florida Rock. In June, we completed the planned issuance of long-term debt financing related to the Florida Rock transaction. As a result we added approximately $950 million of new long-term debt and reduced our short-term debt by a commensurate amount. Our business generates very good cash flows throughout the business cycle. Debt reduction and achieving target debt ratios remain a priority use of these cash flows. In summary, we achieved good second quarter results during this time of rapidly rising energy related cost, and weaker demand for our products. The aspects of the business which we can control, such as production and overhead cost were lower, versus the prior year if energy related costs are excluded. Our effectiveness at managing controlled cost coupled with price improvement, despite lower sales volumes, gives me confidence that we are executing well in a tough economic environment. Turning to our earnings outlook for the full year. We now forecast EBITDA of approximately $1 billion to $1.1 billion in 2008. This guidance reflects a slight increase in EBITDA in the second half of 2008, compared to the second half of 2007. Our outlook assumed diesel fuel and liquid asphalt remaining at the high levels existing at the end of the second quarter. Our sensitivity of $0.10 per gallon change in diesel fuel is about $6 million pre-tax for the year. Fortunately crude oil prices have fallen, since the end of the quarter. And if that trend continues, we have some upside through our projected earnings. Additionally, our guidance reflects a prolong downturn in residential construction and weakness in non-residential and highway construction activity. Through June, private non-residential construction spending in the U.S. is measured by the seasonally adjusted value of construction put in place, shows growth versus the same period in the prior year. However the leading indicator such as contract awards are down double-digit year-to-date through June pointing to some future weakness in this end market. Public constructions spending including highways is also increase, versus the prior year in nominal terms. However the cost of construction input such as liquid asphalt, diesel fuel and steel, are consuming a larger proportion of highway and infrastructure construction dollars resulting in fewer new construction projects. In Vulcan served markets contract awards for June are lower when compared with the same period in the prior year. The section in this trend is the large industrial and energy projects in Texas and along the Gulf coast. We now expect residential aggregates demand in 2008 to decrease over 30% from 2007 levels. This decreases is indicative of further weakness that materialized in the second quarter of 2008. Our aggregates demand forecast for non-residential and highway construction also compares unfavorably to the relatively flat demand forecast at the end of 2007. As result we now estimate full year aggregate shipments, including former Florida Rock operations for the full year to decrease from 2% to 5%, versus last year. This forecast reflects total aggregate shipments in the second half of 2008 to be slightly lower than in the second half of 2007. The market environment that recognizes the high cost of replacing reserves has been instrumental in helping us achieve price improvement despite nine consecutive quarters with lower volumes. Additionally, aggregate production continues to be burdened by increasing cost for energy related and steel based materials. Pricing momentum, we achieved in 2005 and 2006, continued in 2007. In 2008, we believe this momentum will continue, resulting in price improvement for the year of approximately 8%. We expect to achieve this price improvement in spite of lower shipments and our higher price markets, particularly Florida and California. Consolidated earnings from continuing operation, should be in the range of $2.95 to $3.25 per diluted share. Our 2008 earnings outlook, includes 74 million of EBITDA and $0.34 per diluted share, referable to gains related to the two divested properties that were owned by Vulcan prior to the acquisition of Florida Rock. The integration of Florida Rock is perceiving as planned. And will certainly help make Vulcan a stronger organization for the future. We continue to expect an annual synergies level of $50 million to be achieved by the end of 2008. These savings are being realized, both operationally and for overhead reductions. During the first half of 2008, we completed several transactions that when combined added approximately $210 million tons of aggregate reserves, net of the justice department required divestitures. These new quarries will enhance our ability to serve our customers effectively. These transactions include four quarries in California. Including a rail connected quarry to serve the greater sacramental market. The California geological survey estimates that total industry-permitted reserves to serve Sacramento County will be depleted in less than 10 years. We also acquired two quarries in Virginia that complement our existing operations, and that serve attractive markets and the Shenandoah Valley along the interstate 81 corridor. We also required a quarry in the growth quarter west of Chicago. Finally in Texas and North Carolina, we acquired land with valuable permitted reserves that are adjacent to our existing quarries; those reserves will extend the reserve light at both of these quarries. Each of these transactions enabled us to differ income taxes, arising from the sale of quarry sites required by the Justice Department as part of the Florida Rock acquisition. The cash benefit from these tax deferrals is being used in large parts to fund strategic capital spending projects that would have otherwise been funded with debt, thereby allowing us to reduce our borrowing requirements. In closing, I would like to reiterate our confidence in future sales and earnings growth for Vulcan. Our construction materials business has generated good results during times of weaker demand for our products at much better results as demand improves. The foundation of our confidence is the strategy we have employed to establish an aggregate focused business that has the great advantage of strategic locations in major U.S. markets expected to experience above average growth in aggregates demand for many years into the future. Summarizing the key attributes of our aggregates focused business and how this strategy benefits Vulcan and our shareholders. Our 2008 results should benefit from the following attributes. Aggressive management of controllable cost, the diversified regional exposure, an increasing value of permitted reserves in fast growing metropolitan markets, and the broad use of aggregates and downstream products in diverse end markets including relatively stable demand from public funding where multiyear construction projects are typical. Again I thank you for your interest in Vulcan. Now the operator will give you the required instructions, we'll be pleased to respond to your questions. Question And Answer