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Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI)

Q4 2025 Earnings Call· Tue, Feb 17, 2026

$495.62

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Valmont Industries, Inc. Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Renee Campbell, Senior Vice President, Capital Markets and Risk. Ms. Campbell, you may begin.

Renee Campbell

Analyst

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. With me today are Avner Applbaum, President and Chief Executive Officer; Tom Liguori, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; and Eric Johnson, Chief Accounting Officer. Earlier this morning, we issued a press release announcing our fourth quarter and full year 2025 results. Both the release and the presentation for today's webcast are available on the Investors page of our website at valmont.com. A replay of the webcast will be available later this morning. To stay updated with Valmont's latest news releases and information, please sign up for e-mail alerts on our Investor site. We'll begin today's call with prepared remarks and then open it up for questions. Please note that this call is subject to our disclosure on forward-looking statements, which is outlined on Slide 2 of the presentation and will be read in full after Q&A. With that, I'd now like to turn the call over to Avner.

Avner Applbaum

Analyst

Thank you, Renee. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. I'd like to start with the full year highlights and key messages summarized on Slide 4. 2025 was a solid year for Valmont. Our team delivered strong performance as they continue to navigate a mixed demand environment, delivering unique value-added solutions for our customers. We strengthened our core to support future value creation. Our track record of success is grounded in a clear understanding of our customers' need and our core strength in serving them. They're managing multiple demand drivers, including load growth, aging infrastructure and increasing complexity. In this environment, reliability, quality and on-time delivery are critical to their financial and operational performance. Delivering consistently at scale requires disciplined execution and that discipline guided our actions throughout the year. We simplified the business, sharpened our priorities and aligned capital and resources where execution drives the greatest positive impact. As a result, Valmont is more resilient, more aligned and better positioned to support our customers. I want to thank our nearly 11,000 employees around the world for their dedication and efforts throughout the year. Their work has strengthened the foundation of the business and positioned Valmont well for what we expect to be strong growth in 2026 and beyond. Turning to Slide 5. I want to highlight how our actions in 2025 are providing us with momentum as we move into 2026. In Utility, customer demand for large-scale projects to support grid expansion and rising electricity load remains strong. This past year, we increased capacity to serve that demand through targeted investments in equipment, layout optimization and workflow redesign. We also began deploying AI-enabled scheduling and planning tools to improve throughput. Together, these actions position us to support continued growth in 2026 and beyond. In Agriculture, we made…

Nathan Jones

Analyst

Thank you, Avner. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Turning to Slide 10. Our fourth quarter results include a few unusual items. So I'll start with a summary of our top-level results and explain the impact of these items on our earnings per share. GAAP EPS of $9.05 includes a tax benefit of $78.5 million or $3.98 per share, primarily due to a U.S. tax deduction associated with the loss on our Prospera investment as we wound down business operations in 2025. The $78.5 million is excluded from adjusted EPS. It is also a cash flow benefit, approximately half of which is reflected in 2025 results and the remainder is expected to benefit first half 2026 cash flows. Adjusted diluted earnings per share was $4.92, up 28.1% year-over-year. Adjusted EPS includes a $16.5 million legal reserve for our Brazil Agriculture business related to cases involving various disputes dating as far back as 2019. In the fourth quarter, we had an adverse court ruling on one of these cases and for the others, entered into settlement discussions with parties involved, both of which led to the reserves. Adjusted EPS also includes $11 million of credit losses in Brazil. As we explained last quarter, Brazil is operating in a tight credit environment, which unfortunately is causing financial distress for farmers. For total year, Brazil Agriculture expenses include $24 million of legal reserves and $26 million of credit losses for a total of $50 million. We believe we have fully accrued and covered our financial exposures in Brazil and do not expect additional unusual expenses in the future. Combined, these expenses reduced adjusted EPS by $0.92 in the fourth quarter and $1.70 for the total year. The remainder of my comments will focus on the adjusted results as outlined…

Renee Campbell

Analyst

Thank you, Tom. At this time, the operator will open up the call for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question will come from Tomo Sano with JPMorgan.

Tomohiko Sano

Analyst

On the Utility side, could you talk us through your confidence in the continued strong demand for this segment? And have you seen any changes in customer investment appetite or competitive landscape, please?

Avner Applbaum

Analyst

Well, thank you for your question. We feel very confident with the strength in the Utility market that has several strong drivers such as -- we're seeing electrification, we're seeing the AI and data centers, industrial onshoring, aging infrastructure replacement. So there are many drivers that support our outlook. On top of that, we have daily conversations with our customers, and we're tied in to their multiyear plans to make sure we're strongly aligned overall with their growth investments. And it's evident by when you look at our backlog, roughly $1.5 billion. It gives a pretty strong support for our 2026 outlook. We're booking into 2027. And the utility customers are looking out to plans going through 2030 and beyond. So overall, to sum it up, we are very bullish about the utility market over the near and midterm future.

Tomohiko Sano

Analyst

A follow-up on Ag. Could you talk about excluding onetime items, what specific actions are you being taken to restore agriculture margins? And when do you expect to see a meaningful recovery?

Thomas Liguori

Analyst

Thanks, Tomo. Well, we expect to see a meaningful recovery in this current quarter, Q1 of 2026. And we did take some charges in the fourth quarter. The goal was to get these problems behind us. Let me add some color on this. I think it will be helpful. We spent a lot of time with the Brazil team and did a deep dive of their balance sheet, their receivables, customer by customer, inventory and Avner and I went down to Sao Paulo. We met with our outside legal counsel to go through these cases. So we feel like we understand these exposures, and we feel like we have them covered. Now that said, the Brazil economy still has high interest rate, crop prices are low. So we're not saying there will be none, but we feel we have covered it in our guidance going forward. We've taken a number of steps in Brazil to strengthen the foundation. Tomo in the end, Brazil is an excellent market for us, which we believe is going to grow for years to come. They have multiple crop cycles. So the things we have taken, we did hire a new outside legal counsel. We added a lawyer. We replaced our finance leader there. So I think we've taken the appropriate steps there. So given that those are behind us, in the fourth quarter, we were at 10%, excluding those. We -- North America is doing quite well. Do you want to bring out that the North America team in Ag, they've been at a double-digit operating margin throughout 2025. So we think that's going to continue. In the Middle East, we expect to get more project wins as we get into the middle year that will help our margins. And we think Brazil, we're not expecting a lot from Brazil in our guidance for 2026, but we have a great team there and things going forward. So we think -- we believe and we're confident you will see a substantial uptick in our margins in Agriculture in our first quarter.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Nathan Jones with Stifel.

Nathan Jones

Analyst · Stifel.

I guess I'll start with trying to put a finer point on the Ag margins, double-digit, a pretty big range there, Tom. Is there any kind of finer point you can put on where you expect them to be in the first quarter and where you expect them to be for the full year?

Thomas Liguori

Analyst · Stifel.

We think we'll be in the low teens in the first quarter, maybe approaching the mid-teens by the end of the year.

Nathan Jones

Analyst · Stifel.

That's helpful. I guess the second question I'm interested in is the increasing capital spending in 2026 over 2025, which is probably a good thing, right? I assume that's going to Utility capacity expansions. So can you talk about kind of what you're doing there? I think you guys had talked about $100 million CapEx in that business to add $100 million capacity per year for the next few years. Is that now not enough to keep up with the demand? We need to ramp that up a little bit? And are you expecting to stay above that $100 million for the next few years?

Avner Applbaum

Analyst · Stifel.

Thank you, Nathan. Let me start off with what's behind the step-up in capital. And in our guidance, we said we're going to spend $170 million to $200 million in 2026, primarily directed towards Utility. We continue to see by durable multiyear demand, as I mentioned earlier, by load growth, grid expansion and resiliency. The approach we took, right, we're doing brownfields. We're adding equipment. We're modernizing our lines. We're improving it being our flow, increasing automation, using AI. And all that is in our existing footprint, which will increase our throughput, and it is all supported by the industry, our customer commitments, our customers' view, and that's the disciplined approach we're taking. We're going to see TD&S. We're going to see the Utility business grow high single digits, low double digits over the foreseeable future, probably to the end of this decade. And when we take those investments, they're adding incremental capacity, right? We're getting in excess of 20% on each one of those investments. And as we continue to optimize, we're going to see more than that. So there -- overall, they're very high-return projects. We believe that's the #1 area for us to invest. It supports our ROIC. It supports our path to $30. Now specifically about your questions about $100 million, driving $100 million we're actually very pleased with the output we're getting from their capital. And I can say that we're doing considerably better than $1 of investment for $1 in sale. And it's multiple projects or a little differently, but we're getting very strong ROI from our investments. So just to sum it up, right, it's disciplined scaling. We're adding the capacity where the demand is visible, and it has very strong returns.

Operator

Operator

Moving next to Chris Moore with CJS Securities.

Christopher Moore

Analyst

Maybe just talk a little bit about balance sheet. Are there certain areas, perhaps product lines where Valmont is using -- could be using its balance sheet to trade better price for less prepayments?

Thomas Liguori

Analyst

Well, we're a leader in the markets. We're differentiated. We get good pricing. So we're not really looking at doing that. What we do see is we see opportunities to use our balance sheet to -- number one, we have low leverage gives us the cash to really explore all different types of opportunities. And Chris, actually, we see an opportunity in things like our working capital to continue to make improvements. I want to say, I think our team has done an excellent job on the inventory and receivables and bringing those down. We have some elevated what we call on the balance sheet contract assets, which is basically the work in process for our Utility customers. That's been kind of elevated because of the volume going through, and we have some growing pains there, but we see an opportunity to bring down our working capital. Long term, it should be 90, 95 days. So I wouldn't say we're going to trade our balance sheet for price. I would say we're going to use our balance sheet for growth.

Christopher Moore

Analyst

Got it. Makes sense. And maybe just on the Ag side in terms of obviously still soft market. But what types of things can you do perhaps to get a higher share on the aftermarket parts side of a soft Ag market. You guys are the replacement process is, I guess, one of your strengths, making things very easy for the farmers and dealers. Maybe could you just talk in terms of kind of the aftermarket side of things and kind of momentum that you might have there?

Thomas Liguori

Analyst

Yes. We've put a lot of resources into this. And I got to say the Ag team did an excellent job with the e-commerce system. The farmer can be in the field. they can figure out what part they need. They can place an order with the dealer and hopefully get it in the next day or so. That's just job well done. What we're working on is making sure we have the proper inventory positioned through the field and I think the latest one is we want to take this and do more of it on our international regions. So more to come, and there's more upside in that.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] and we'll go next to Brent Thielman with D.A. Davidson.

Brent Thielman

Analyst

Yes, I want to follow up on Utility. I appreciate the outlook bridge as well in the deck. But the $150 million in growth assumed for the Utility piece, '26 versus '25. I guess if we assume sort of a stable steel price environment, is there still sort of a higher potential ceiling for that business this year? Or does that sort of limit out just based on the capacity you'll have in place this year?

Thomas Liguori

Analyst

I got to say the operations team is doing a great job of getting the capacity in place. And I think you're asking is there some upside in the Utility. And definitely, we think there's some upside there.

Brent Thielman

Analyst

Okay. And then on the Ag side, Tom, I think I heard you mention looking towards some -- maybe some potential wins on the project side, maybe more midyear. Does the outlook for that business sort of assume kind of pressure through first half then a stronger second half contingent on winning these projects? Maybe if you could just clarify that.

Thomas Liguori

Analyst

Yes. I think we'll have a slower first quarter, probably a slower first half and as these come in, that will improve. But...

Avner Applbaum

Analyst

Yes. Let me just add a little bit, right? The underlying demand drivers for that region are intact, right? Food security, domestic production. But we take a very disciplined and selective approach to the projects. It's important that we meet our financial thresholds. There are several opportunities. They didn't reach the finish line yet. We're pretty confident in the pipeline, our ability to convert them with -- in line with our financial criteria. So we're going to make sure when we win these projects, we're happy with the returns. Overall, as you know, it's a lumpy business, but the long-term drivers are solid.

Operator

Operator

Moving next to Brian Drab with William Blair.

Brian Drab

Analyst

I just wanted to follow up on that Utility growth. This bridge is really helpful. And of course, I think $150 million incremental in utility indicates about 10% growth in the outlook for Utility for 2026. I'm just wondering, is that how to think about it? And then how do you expect price and volume to contribute to that 10% growth proportionately?

Thomas Liguori

Analyst

Yes. So you're correct in your assumptions. And most -- in '25, I would say there was more price than volume. In '26, there's more volume than price. And we're starting to see drop-through from these capacity expansions in the mid- to upper 20%, even approaching 30%. So we feel really good about where the Utility business is.

Avner Applbaum

Analyst

Yes. And I'll just add, right, when you think about the volume and price, right, it really represents the strength in the market. But when you think of price, we have a very strong value proposition for our customers in a constrained environment. It is mission-critical parts with high level of complexity and needs to deliver on time with the highest quality to make sure we could support their operational needs. And it's significant value to our customers, and that is the price that we command in the market.

Brian Drab

Analyst

Got it. And then on the nonutility infrastructure piece, it looks like that will be up about 3%. I'm just wondering, is it fair to assume that you get some more growth maybe in Telecom, but Lighting & Transportation and Coatings is roughly flat? Or do you see any growth in those other pieces?

Thomas Liguori

Analyst

We still have growth in all 3 meaning, Coatings as well. So Coatings, Telecom, L&T.

Avner Applbaum

Analyst

Yes. And the highest level, right, Telecom, we see our carriers continue to invest in -- they are in the execution phase. They're investing in wireless and RAN. So we kind of see that growing in the low to mid-single digits. Coatings has a very strong driver around data centers and AI. And on the Lighting & Transportation, we're seeing good progress about the initiatives that we took in 2025 around by enhancing our leadership, investing in the operations, deselecting of noncore products and overall seeing growth driven by DOT spend and stabilization in the international markets. So at the high level, we should see growth across the Infrastructure segment.

Brian Drab

Analyst

Okay. For Coatings, obviously, tailwind within your intersegment work that you do for your Utility business and data center AI. What other tailwinds does that business see from data center and AI?

Avner Applbaum

Analyst

Yes. So right, structurally, the Coatings business supports our internal business, which is a strong value proposition for our customers. But we have a strong third-party business within the Coatings with the highest Net Promoter Score in the industry, and it's broad-based, but we are taking a strategic approach to support the states, the regions, the industry where we're seeing growth. If you look at the Midwest or Southwest, we're seeing a lot of good investments around infrastructure growth and data centers and AI. So we're aligned well, and we should see that business contribute to our growth in 2026.

Brian Drab

Analyst

And can I just sneak in one more to Tom. Tom, I think on the last call, it was -- you mentioned that the incremental margins -- operating margins on the additional capacity and Utility were coming in. I think you're phrasing was something like well above 20%. How is that incremental margin on that additional capacity looking lately?

Thomas Liguori

Analyst

It's mid- to upper 20% range. And actually, we think through 2026 is approaching 30%. So it's looking very positive. And why is that? That's because when we're adding this capacity, the whole approach is to add incremental capital, get more throughput through that journey, improve the flow, so we're getting a lower unit cost as well as covering fixed overhead. So applaud to the ops team for the work they're doing.

Operator

Operator

And we have reached the end of the question-and-answer session. I will now turn the call over to Renee Campbell for closing remarks.

Renee Campbell

Analyst

Thank you for joining us today. A replay of this call will be available for playback on our website and by phone for the next 7 days. We look forward to speaking with you again next quarter.

Operator

Operator

These slides and the accompanying oral discussion contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are based on assumptions made by management considering its experience in the industries where Valmont operates, perceptions of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other relevant factors. It is important to note that these statements are not guarantees of future performance or results. They involve risks, uncertainties, some of which are beyond Valmont's control and assumptions. While management believes these forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, numerous factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. These factors include, among other things, risks described in Valmont's reports to the Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC, the company's actual cash flows and net income, future economic and market circumstances, industry conditions, company performance and financial results, operational efficiencies, availability and price of raw materials, availability and market acceptance of new products, product pricing, domestic and international competitive environments, geopolitical risks and actions and policy changes by domestic and foreign governments, including tariffs. The company cautions that any forward-looking statements in this release are made as of its publication date and does not undertake to update these statements, except as required by law. The company's guidance includes certain non-GAAP financial measures, adjusted diluted earnings per share and adjusted effective tax rate presented on a forward-looking basis. These measures are typically calculated by excluding the impact of items such as foreign exchange, acquisitions, divestitures, realignment or restructuring expenses, goodwill or intangible asset impairment, changes in tax laws or rates, change in redemption value of redeemable noncontrolling interests and other nonrecurring items. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are not provided as the company cannot do so without unreasonable effort due to the inherent uncertainty and difficulty in predicting the timing and financial impact of such items. For the same reasons, the company cannot assess the likely significance of unavailable information, which could be material to future results. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. This does conclude today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines, and have a wonderful day.