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Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (VRTX) Q2 2026 Earnings Report, Transcript and Summary

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Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (VRTX)

Q2 2026 Earnings Call· Mon, Aug 3, 2026

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Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated Q2 2026 Earnings Call Key Takeaways

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Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Vertex Pharmaceuticals Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Ms. Susie Lisa. Please go ahead.

Susie Lisa

Analyst

Good evening, all. My name is Susie Lisa, and as the Senior Vice President of Investor Relations, it is my pleasure to welcome you to our Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results Conference Call. On tonight's call, making prepared remarks, we have Dr. Reshma Kewalramani, Vertex's CEO and President; Charlie Wagner, Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer; and Duncan McKechnie, Chief Commercial Officer. We recommend that you access the webcast slides as you listen to this call. The call is being recorded, and a replay will be available on our website. We will make forward-looking statements on this call that are subject to the risks and uncertainties discussed in detail in today's press release and in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These statements, including, without limitation, those regarding Vertex's marketed medicines for cystic fibrosis, sickle cell disease, beta-thalassemia and moderate-to-severe acute pain, our pipeline, the proposed acquisition of Crinetics Pharmaceuticals and the expected benefits of that transaction and Vertex's future financial performance, are based on management's current assumptions. Actual outcomes and events could differ materially. I would also note that select financial results and guidance that we will review on the call this evening are presented on a non-GAAP basis. I'll now turn the call over to Reshma.

Reshma Kewalramani

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

Thanks, Susie. Good evening, all, and thank you for joining us on the call today. Vertex's second quarter performance was excellent, with strong momentum in the commercial portfolio, rapid progress across our R&D pipeline, and the announcement of the definitive agreement to acquire Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, which brings rare endocrine diseases as a fifth pillar to Vertex. Second quarter total revenue grew 12% year-on-year, driven by the strength of our cystic fibrosis portfolio and the growing contributions from our newer products, CASGEVY and JOURNAVX. As I've previously highlighted, this is a year of execution for Vertex across commercial, clinical and regulatory. And on each of those fronts, we advanced significantly in the second quarter. Commercially, we delivered strong revenue growth across all diseases, made meaningful progress in reimbursed access and continue to execute on near-term launch planning to drive the next phase of growth. Clinically, we continue to make significant progress in advancing our pipeline, including completing enrollment in the AGLOW Phase II study of VX-407 in ADPKD, tracking to complete enrollment in the AMPLITUDE Phase III study in AMKD by the end of this year and reporting results from the interim analysis cohort of AMPLITUDE in the beginning of 2027. We also remain on track to release results later this year from a proof-of-concept study in DM1 and an expanded population for AMKD in the AMPLIFIED trial as well as the initial patient data from VX-828 in CF. On the regulatory front, the BLA for Pove in IgAN was accepted in the U.S. with a November 30 PDUFA date. We achieved expanded labeling in record time for CASGEVY in patients ages 2 to 11 in the U.S. And I'm very pleased to share that as we continue to dose the Phase I/II/III study of zimislecel in type 1 diabetes, the IND was cleared for the blood type O islet cells in our T1D program, VX-017. We expect initiation of the VX-017 Phase I/II study in the near term. Finally, with the announced acquisition of Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, we look forward to multiple benefits of the deal, establishing a fifth pillar in rare endocrine diseases, adding to our innovative R&D pipeline, accelerating revenue growth and enhancing long-term earnings. Tonight, I'll limit my R&D comments to new news in CF, renal and type 1 diabetes and close with some additional remarks regarding the Crinetics acquisition. Let me start with CF, where we continue to extend our market leadership. Data we presented at ECFS reinforced that ALYFTREK best restores CFTR function amongst the available CFTR modulators. In particular, among children with CF under 12 years of age, the majority across all eligible genotypes achieve a sweat chloride less than 30 millimoles, which is the median among CF carriers. This is remarkable because at these sweat chloride levels, CF carriers do not exhibit manifestations of disease. In addition, we have initiated global regulatory submissions for ALYFTREK in children, ages 2 to 5. Global regulatory submissions for TRIKAFTA in patients ages 1 to 2 are also in progress. Turning to our next wave in CF and VX-828, our next-generation 3.0 CFTR modulator recently completed dosing in the patient cohort and data are expected in the second half of this year. Behind VX-828, we continue to advance additional correctors in the NextGen 3.0 family and both VX-581 and VX-272 are in healthy volunteer studies. Let me close on CF with this. Our ultimate goal has been consistent for 2-plus decades to bring patients to carrier levels of sweat chloride. Frankly, ALYFTREK's remarkable results, where nearly 2/3 of younger patients achieved sweat chloride levels less than 30 millimole per liter and for patients ages 12 plus more than 75% achieved sweat chloride levels within the carrier range of CFTR function means we are very close to that goal. Given the improvements in sweat chloride, ppFEV1, pulmonary exacerbations, hospitalizations, lung transplant and survival that we have seen in patients in clinical trials and/or the real world, we recognize that the unmet need is far lower today and the bar for any medicine to beat ALYFTREK is very, very high. Thus, as we develop our next-gen 3.0 and Beyond programs, we will evaluate multiple regimens in Phase I in cohorts of patients with CF. However, we will only advance assets into Phase II in Beyond that show promise to beat ALYFTREK. In other words, to bring even more patients to sweat chloride levels less than 30 millimoles across all genotypes with once-daily dosing and excellent drug-like properties, including drug-drug interactions. Anything less would not be competitive. Moving now to our renal franchise, where we have 4 programs in mid- and late-stage development, povetacicept in IgAN and primary membranous nephropathy, inaxaplin in APOL1-mediated kidney disease and VX-407 in ADPKD, or autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease. Let me start with the most advanced program and significant milestone. In late May, the FDA accepted our BLA for Pove in IgAN and assigned a PDUFA date of November 30 of this year. As a reminder, the RAINIER Phase III interim analysis was a home run, delivering statistically significant and clinically meaningful results across the primary and all secondary endpoints with a favorable safety profile and consistency in the primary endpoint of change from baseline in proteinuria across all groups. We are in the final stages of launch readiness. Duncan will provide more details regarding our approach and excitement to go to market with Pove's differentiated profile of potentially best-in-class efficacy, a well-tolerated safety profile and patient-centric administration through small volume once-monthly dosing via an auto-injector at home. We are also advancing Pove internationally. We have completed the regulatory submission for accelerated approval of Pove in IgAN in Saudi Arabia, where Pove has received breakthrough designation. Turning to Pove in membranous nephropathy, our OLYMPUS Phase II/III pivotal trial is well underway. The Phase II portion is complete and the Phase III portion initiated last quarter. I'm pleased to share that the IDMC has completed its review and selected the Phase III dose, 80 milligrams subcutaneously every 4 weeks. We hold fast track, orphan drug designation and EMA PRIME designations for Pove in membranous. Stepping briefly outside of renal, on Pove in myasthenia gravis, I'm also pleased to share that the 30-patient Phase II proof-of-concept study is on track to complete enrollment by the end of this year. Recall this study evaluates 80 milligrams and 240-milligram doses of Pove versus placebo for 12 weeks. Turning now to inaxaplin in AMKD. On AMPLITUDE, our pivotal Phase II/III study in AMKD, we completed enrollment of the interim analysis cohort in September of last year and are on track to complete full enrollment by the end of this year. The interim analysis will be conducted following 48 weeks of treatment, and we remain on track to share these IA results in early 2027. If positive, we would be positioned to file for potential accelerated approval in the U.S. thereafter. AMPLIFIED is our Phase IIb basket study of inaxaplin in AMKD patients with either lower proteinuria or AMKD patients with diabetes, expanded patient populations not studied in AMPLITUDE. The AMPLIFIED study has completed enrollment and dosing and we expect to share results this fall. Lastly, in the renal portfolio is VX-407 in ADPKD, or autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease. Our AGLOW Phase II study has completed enrollment. This is a proof-of-concept study with up to 52 weeks of treatment. We are excited about the potential for VX-407 in ADPKD and look forward to sharing more information as dosing continues and the data matures. Let me now touch on type 1 diabetes. We had very constructive meetings with the FDA following our voluntary pause in order to conduct a manufacturing analysis of zimislecel. As we shared on our Q1 call, we have resumed dosing patients in the zimislecel Phase I/II/III study. The new news today is that the FDA has cleared the IND for VX-017, our Type O or universal donor cell product. VX-017 has a similar target product profile to zimislecel, but is designed for people of all blood types and we expect the VX-017 Phase I/II study to initiate in the near term. By designing and bringing to market VX-017, another allogeneic, off-the-shelf, glucose responsive insulin producing, fully differentiated islet cell therapy, in this case, for any blood type, we anticipate doubling our market opportunity from about 60,000 to about 120,000 patients. A silver lining to the pause we took in the zimislecel Type A program is that the Type O program time differential versus zimislecel has shortened. Type O is making rapid progress. And thus, we are considering options to further streamline our regulatory strategy and commercialization approach. We expect to provide updated T1D plans, including time lines later this year. We also continue to progress our serial innovation work focused on improved immunosuppression and hypoimmune programs to make our potentially one-and-done curative therapy available to even more patients with type 1 diabetes. Let me close with a few words on our announced acquisition of Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, which we detailed in a separate call last month. Crinetics is an excellent strategic fit for Vertex with its focus on serious endocrine diseases, high unmet need, validated targets and well-understood causal biology as well as a strong people and culture fit. We believe the 2 lead assets, PALSONIFY and Atumelnant, together represent a peak sales opportunity of about $5 billion. Both are small molecules that address serious diseases for patients treated by a concentrated group of specialized endocrinologists. This fits directly within Vertex's proven, efficient, specialty commercial model. We enter this transaction from a position of strength. We view CF as a long-duration franchise with sustained growth. We continue to expect both CASGEVY and JOURNAVX to be multibillion-dollar assets and we anticipate our emerging renal franchise could one day rival CF in revenue. In addition, we have a broad and deep pipeline in earlier stages of development. The Crinetics acquisition will add to this innovation pipeline and enhance our revenue growth and long-term earnings profile by adding a fifth commercial pillar in rare endocrine diseases. The transaction is expected to close in the third quarter, and we really look forward to welcoming the talented Crinetics team to Vertex. With that, I'll turn the call over to Duncan for a commercial update.

Duncan J. McKechnie

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

Thanks very much, Reshma. Our commercial story this quarter is one of building momentum across each of our franchises, supported by the appropriate investments to drive growth. We are very excited for the close of the Crinetics acquisition and for Vertex to establish a new pillar in specialty endocrine diseases like acromegaly, CAH and Cushing's syndrome. Crinetics Q2 results were excellent, with strong growth in PALSONIFY revenue and patients treated, but I will hold any further comments until after the deal closes. So tonight, let me start with CF. CF continues to perform very well. Global CF revenue grew 11% year-over-year in the second quarter with balanced growth across the U.S. and internationally and continued strength from both ALYFTREK and TRIKAFTA. ALYFTREK performance has been excellent and crossed another significant milestone, exceeding $1 billion in revenue in the first half of 2026. In the U.S., we continue to see patients initiating ALYFTREK who are new to therapy, returning to therapy and patients switching from TRIKAFTA. The majority of ALYFTREK revenue continues to come from these TRIKAFTA switch patients, which reflects the benefits of ALYFTREK and our success establishing ALYFTREK as the new standard of care. We're pleased with the pace at which physicians and patients are embracing ALYFTREK given its improved sweat chloride profile and once daily dosing. We've seen accelerated uptake of ALYFTREK from the recent approvals in rare mutations as well as patients rolling off our open-label extension studies. Outside the U.S., the ALYFTREK European launches remain very strong with no requirement for augmented liver monitoring in the EU, we are seeing rapid uptake by patients in Europe, transitioning from TRIKAFTA or one of our other CFTR modulators. In fact, in Germany and the U.K., more than 1 in 3 eligible CF patients are now benefiting from ALYFTREK. Globally, the CF growth drivers for the remainder of 2026 are clear: continued ALYFTREK uptake, the label expansion into rare mutations, younger patients and additional geographies. Shifting to heme and CASGEVY, where the momentum continues to build. During the second quarter, we delivered $76 million in CASGEVY revenue, reflecting approximately 75% sequential growth versus quarter 1, 2026 and over 150% year-over-year growth. This was in line with our expectations based on our visibility into patient scheduling patterns. The strength of the CASGEVY franchise continues to build. New data on CASGEVY at EHA with simultaneous publication in the New England Journal of Medicine demonstrated its transformative potential in pediatric patients as well as durable benefits, reinforcing the importance of early intervention to prevent the complications of sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia in children. Stemming from this compelling data, last month CASGEVY became the first and only gene therapy FDA approved to treat children as young as 2 years old in both sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia. CASGEVY received supplemental approval in the U.S. in a record 53 days post-filing, and our first pediatric patient has already initiated therapy and conducted cell collection. Outside the U.S., CASGEVY regulatory submissions in the 5 to 11 age group are now complete in Saudi Arabia and the United Kingdom. On the reimbursement front, we are seeing strong trends in initiations in Germany after reaching a historic reimbursement agreement there as well as continued strong uptake in the U.K., Italy and the Middle East following the negotiations of sustainable access agreements. The CASGEVY story continues to be one of an increasingly robust pipeline of patients initiating the treatment journey. There were more CASGEVY infusions in the first half of 2026 than in all of 2025. Second quarter 2026 was also the third sequential quarter with more than 100 patient initiations, which enhances our visibility to continued growth for the rest of this year and early 2027 as patients continue to move through cell collection, editing and infusion. Quarter-to-quarter variability in CASGEVY revenue will continue and reflects the timing of patient infusions as people choose to receive their infusions when it best suits them. As we look forward, we expect continued CASGEVY momentum with the pipeline of patients at every stage continuing to build. CASGEVY is well positioned to contribute meaningfully to our $500 million non-CF revenue goal this year and to achieve its stand-alone multibillion-dollar potential. Turning to JOURNAVX in moderate-to-severe acute pain, where our launch continues to gain traction. In the second quarter, JOURNAVX generated $50 million in revenue, reflecting sequential revenue growth of approximately 70% and sequential prescription growth of approximately 45% versus quarter 1, 2026. Unpacking Q2 performance, revenue was positively impacted by channel build after we've seen a drawdown in quarter 1. At this stage in an acute product launch, we continue to expect some quarterly volatility in inventory build and drawdown as full-line wholesalers and retail channel buying patterns normalize to reflect formulary adoption, physician awareness and seasonality in elective surgeries. We are building a pain franchise for the long term and are focused on the following 4 critical markers of success: prescription growth, breadth and depth of prescribers, the addition of JOURNAVX to hospital and IDN pathways and broad payer coverage. These are the building blocks of a sustainable, long-term, multibillion-dollar business. We are extremely pleased with the prescription growth we continue to build, which is ahead of our forecast for 2026. The breadth and depth of prescriptions across a wide range of settings of care as well as the clinical impact of JOURNAVX continue to be very strong and all bode well for the long-term growth of JOURNAVX in acute pain. The consequence of this rapid prescription growth is that we are seeing greater use of the PSP program than we forecast as securing unrestricted payer access and physician education catches up with prescription growth. Let me break down what I mean by that. At this point, we have a total of 260 million lives covered out of a total possible of approximately 320 million. Of the 260 million covered lives, 180 million of them have unrestricted coverage. This means that there are 60 million lives yet to be covered and about 80 million lives who have coverage, but with some form of restriction, making some of them eligible for the PSP program. These restrictions are usually very minor in nature, such as a 14-day quantity limit or a prior authorization to indication. As we continue to educate physicians and their office staff about the quantity limits and prior authorizations, we expect the PSP to be triggered less frequently and therefore, more revenue to be recognized. Let me now provide you with some more details on prescriptions, prescribers and access before concluding our thinking on the PSP program and gross-to-net. In terms of prescriptions, quarter 2, 2026 JOURNAVX prescriptions totaled approximately 535,000 and just over 900,000 for the first half of 2026. The prescriptions continue to be split roughly 50-50 between the hospital and retail channels. In both channels, monthly prescriptions were approximately 50,000 in January and doubled to approximately 100,000 in each channel in June. In terms of prescribers, we added approximately 18,000 new HCP prescribers to JOURNAVX in Q2 '26 and are pleased that JOURNAVX is now on 1,400 hospital and 130 IDN pathways in terms of formulary, protocol or order sets. These are important metrics as we seek to convert practices and continue to embed the use of JOURNAVX among our target physicians. We've also made further progress with respect to access. We recently signed agreements to expand reimbursed access to JOURNAVX with 2 additional Medicare Part D plans, effective from July 1. With these additions, 3 of the big 4 Medicare Part D plans now provide covered access alongside the 3 large commercial PBMs. As mentioned, this brings the total covered lives for JOURNAVX to approximately 260 million out of a total possible of 320 million and within that, approximately 180 million lives with unrestricted access. Our goal continues to be to ensure the prescribing experience for physicians and patients is as seamless as possible in a market where the delivery of the medicine is highly time-sensitive. We will continue to work to educate physicians to navigate the minimal quantity limits and prior authorizations that exist and secure ever broader coverage. In the meantime, we will maintain the PSP program so that patients who are prescribed JOURNAVX can get it. We continue to see this as a strategic choice as we seek to convert physician practices away from decades of reliance on opioids to ongoing and sustained use of JOURNAVX for many years to come. As a result, we continue to expect gross to net to normalize in line with other branded oral medicines, but now in the first half of 2027. To conclude on pain, we also continue to be on track to exceed our goal of more than tripling the 550,000 prescriptions and more than tripling revenue from 2025 into 2026 as well as delivering more than $500 million in revenue from CASGEVY and JOURNAVX combined in 2026. Let me conclude with an update on our commercial readiness in renal and specifically Pove in IgAN. With the FDA's acceptance of our BLA and the November 30 PDUFA date, we are in the final stages of commercial launch preparation. We're investing in our renal franchise and the nephrology community for the long term, given our innovative pipeline of multiple potentially transformative kidney disease medications that address the underlying causes of serious renal conditions. Our goal is for Pove to be physicians' first choice among disease-modifying therapies for IgAN and we know from our market research and from nephrologist feedback that physicians are looking for treatments that meaningfully and rapidly reduce proteinuria, have a favorable tolerability profile and offer a seamless treatment experience from access through patient support to convenient dosing. We believe Pove has the winning trifecta of efficacy, tolerability and ease of use for patients and physicians alike. With dual BAFF + APRIL inhibition, Pove has clear best-in-class potential and delivers effectively on all the needs we've heard from the community in research and advisory boards making it the ideal first choice after baseline therapy with ACEi, ARBs and SGLT2s. We have completed the hiring of our renal field force of whom about 90% have nephrology experience and was built with the breadth of our renal pipeline in mind. We anticipate that we will have the largest field force among the novel APRIL or APRIL + BAFF therapies for IgAN. Our payer conversations are also proceeding well. In the U.S., approximately 70% of patients with IgAN have commercial coverage. From our engagements with payers, their awareness of IgAN and the new BAFF + APRIL inhibitors is high. Payers understand the unmet need, have a good understanding of the KDIGO guidelines and how the new therapies fit into treatment pathways. Payers are also very aware of the strength of the Pove Phase III interim analysis data and Pove's November 30 PDUFA date. Our market access teams continue to actively engage with payers to prepare for the upcoming launch of Pove. Additionally, we will provide robust patient support programs drawing on our decades of experience in CF. Pove in IgAN is the first component of our emerging renal franchise, and we're excited to bring it to nephrologists and to their patients. We believe Pove's trifecta of efficacy, tolerability and ease of use delivers exactly what nephrologists are seeking. And just as we've done for over a decade in CF, Pove's success will be driven by a field force delivering a high-science sell, fueled by a potentially best-in-class product, broad reimbursement and robust high-quality patient programs. We are very excited to commercialize Pove in IgAN and begin building a multibillion-dollar renal franchise at Vertex. I'll now turn the call over to Charlie to review the financials.

Charles Wagner

Analyst · BMO

Thanks, Duncan. As Reshma noted, Vertex's second quarter results demonstrate our consistent strong performance and attractive growth profile. Second quarter 2026 total revenue of $3.3 billion increased 12% year-over-year with growth balanced between the U.S. and international markets. As expected, Q2 2026 revenue growth reflects an approximate 170 basis point benefit from foreign exchange rates. Q2 '26 Global CF revenue grew 11% year-over-year, and new disease areas also contributed with CASGEVY delivering $76 million compared to $30 million in Q2 of 2025 and JOURNAVX revenue of $50 million compared to $12 million in Q2 of 2025. As a reminder, Q2 '25 results also included $21 million of collaboration revenue. Q2 '26 U.S. CF revenue grew 9% year-over-year, led by strong volume growth from ALYFTREK uptake, continued performance from TRIKAFTA and higher realized net price. Outside the U.S., CF revenue grew 12% year-over-year, driven by strong ALYFTREK launches, timing of orders in certain geographies as well as the benefit from FX. Note that global CF revenue growth for the first half of 2026 was 8%, including the benefit of prior year U.S. price increases and foreign exchange. We expect both of these factors to contribute less to growth in the second half of the year. Our second quarter 2026 gross margin was 85.6%, an expected sequential step-down from Q1 of '26. This step down reflects the impact of product mix as well as manufacturing network investments in various products. As our new products, particularly CASGEVY, increase in revenue contribution with higher cost of goods sold than our small-molecule CF products, we continue to expect full year gross margin of just under 86%, roughly in line with this quarter's result. The impact from product mix and manufacturing network investment costs will be more pronounced in the second half than they were in the first half of 2026. Turning to operating expenses. We continue to invest appropriately given the attractive opportunity presented by our ongoing and near-term launches as well as our attractive mid- and late-stage pipeline. Second quarter non-GAAP R&D expense of $889 million increased 1% year-over-year with steady progress across multiple Phase III studies and the earlier-stage pipeline. Non-GAAP SG&A expense of $520 million increased 45% year-over-year, driven primarily by commercial investment split roughly evenly between pain and renal. We also recorded $21 million in acquired IPR&D expense in the quarter. Note that while R&D continues to account for nearly 2/3 of our operating expenses, the modest growth rate reflects that we are in a period where we can redeploy dollars from programs that wind down to fund programs that are new or scaling up. In contrast, much of our commercial spending is to build new businesses and thus is incremental, as reflected in the higher year-over-year growth rates when compared to R&D spending. Our second quarter 2026 non-GAAP effective tax rate was 21.1%, including some one-time expenses. Year-to-date, our non-GAAP effective tax rate was 20.4%, within our guidance range of 19.5% to 20.5%. Our second quarter 2026 non-GAAP earnings per share of $4.73 represents 5% growth versus prior year, reflecting strong revenue growth as well as investments in our pipeline and commercial capabilities. Turning to the balance sheet. We ended the quarter with approximately $13.6 billion in cash and investments. During the second quarter, we deployed approximately $455 million to repurchase roughly 1 million shares. This activity reflects our ongoing commitment to returning value to shareholders while maintaining the flexibility to act on strategic growth opportunities. Of course, our top priority for capital deployment remains investing in innovation as evidenced by our recent announcement to acquire Crinetics for approximately $8.8 billion net of cash acquired. Now turning to guidance. Given our strong first half performance and the momentum across the business, we are raising our full year 2026 total revenue guidance to a range of $13.1 billion to $13.2 billion, 2026 revenue guidance reflects continued strong performance from the CF franchise, including ALYFTREK and TRIKAFTA as well as growing year-over-year contributions from CASGEVY and JOURNAVX. We continue to expect revenue of $500 million or greater from our non-CF products, and our outlook also continues to include an expected 150 basis point benefit from foreign exchange net of our hedging program. As I previously mentioned, we continue to expect full year gross margin of just under 86%. On operating expenses, we are reiterating our combined non-GAAP operating expense guidance of $5.65 billion to $5.75 billion, though we now expect to be at the high end of that range. This reflects continued investment in our late-stage clinical pipeline and the commercial infrastructure and activities that support our new launches and revenue diversification. We continue to expect our non-GAAP effective tax rate to be in the range of 19.5% to 20.5% for the full year 2026. I would note that today's guidance does not yet reflect the pending Crinetics acquisition, which is expected to close in the third quarter. Given the anticipated timing, we expect the impact to 2026 revenue and non-GAAP operating expenses to be relatively modest, and we will provide updated guidance for 2026 around the time of closing. As a reminder, we expect to fund the transaction through a combination of cash on hand and proceeds from a $4.5 billion term loan, and we expect the transaction to become accretive to non-GAAP operating income in 2029. In summary, Vertex delivered strong second quarter results. Our commercial launches and diversification are gaining momentum, and we continue to invest with discipline in both innovation and commercialization. Overall, our financial performance and outlook remain compelling, with expanding CF leadership, heme and pain scaling, renal on the doorstep of launch and the addition of a fifth pillar in specialty endocrine through the pending Crinetics acquisition, Vertex is exceptionally well positioned for continued growth. Our high success rate in R&D and our disciplined specialty commercial model allow us to maintain industry-leading margins even as we step up investments to support our launches and pipeline. With this unique profile, we are well positioned to continue expanding our impact for patients, investors and all stakeholders. We look forward to updating you on our continued progress across multiple disease areas with key upcoming milestones detailed on Slide 19. I'll now ask Susie to begin the Q&A period.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question for today will come from Salveen Richter with Goldman Sachs.

Salveen Richter

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

Two for me. One is you announced that the Phase II/III OLYMPUS study for Pove in pMN is going to move to Phase III with an 80-milligram dose every 4 weeks. Can you frame what signal this was based on and whether you or the DSMB or what you or the DSMB saw on the Phase IIb portion to move forward? And then on the pain front, it was really nice to see the progress here. Maybe help us understand where the bottlenecks lie now or what needs to be worked on with regard to formulary as well as the payer dynamics as you look at co-pay, et cetera.

Reshma Kewalramani

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

Sure thing, Salveen. Let me kick us off with the first question, which is about Pove in membranous. The Phase II is complete, the Phase III was already initiated, you might recall, a couple of months ago as we designed it as a seamless Phase II/III. The DSMB was asked to base their decision and it was their decision because we do not have access to the unblinded data to look at on efficacy PLA2R, which is the biomarker equivalent in membranous as Gd-IgA1 is to IgAN. Of course, they had full access to the safety results as they made their decision. I suppose in many ways, it's not surprising that they picked the 80-milligram dose given the RUBY-3 results, where you could see that the 80 milligrams had a very nice reduction in PLA2R, but that's how the decision was made. Study is well on its Phase III portion, and we look forward to getting that study enrolled and completed. Duncan, I'm going to turn it over to you for a little commentary on JOURNAVX scripts and what more we're working on.

Duncan J. McKechnie

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

Salveen, so as you know, our goal with JOURNAVX is to fundamentally transform how pain is treated and to move physician practices away from decades of reliance on opioids. In terms of our progress, we're very pleased with the prescription numbers that we're seeing. We are also very pleased with the increased number of hospitals that have adopted JOURNAVX, now 1,400 or so with 130 IDNs, having it on formularies and we have also now secured 2 additional Medicare Part D plans to cover JOURNAVX starting from July 1. So overall, our progress is very well and going very well. And I would add that those prescriptions are coming from a broad range of physician types and being used in a broad range of pain types consistent with our label. In terms of the payer side and access, we're very pleased with the coverage that we've secured to date, 200 -- 260 million lives, and that's ahead of those 2 Medicare Part D plans coming in. And I would say we have obviously more work to do to secure the final elements of access for JOURNAVX. And we also have to make sure that those patients whose physicians might have, say, a quantity limit are able to navigate that in order to ensure the patient can secure access. In the meantime, we have the PSP program in place and anticipate that we'll continue to see prescriptions transition to increasing growth in revenue in the second half of 2026. And indeed, as we've communicated before that our gross to net will ultimately normalize at the same level as our oral branded medicines in the pharmaceutical arena. So we're very happy with the progress. We have a little bit more work to do, but we are very happy with where we're at right now in terms of physician adoption, payer coverage and hospital usage.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Geoff Meacham with Citibank.

Geoffrey Meacham

Analyst · Citibank

Have 2 quick ones. The first one is CF on 828 or the other assets in Phase I, what are some of the clinical attributes you're looking for? I wasn't sure if you're looking for perhaps a not only better treatment effect or if there is a potential to not need liver monitoring, for example, in future combos. Second question on JOURNAVX. You guys have had substantial discussions with payers, hospital systems, physicians on acute pain. But in these conversations, have you gotten any perspectives or context on DPN like what the clinical profile needs to show as we look to the data end of the year, beginning of next year, what the access and reimbursement could look like in this setting?

Reshma Kewalramani

Analyst · Citibank

Sure thing, Geoff. Let me take the second question first. On JOURNAVX, we have been hyper-focused on JOURNAVX in acute pain to make sure that we get all of those reimbursement contracts done and get access. So I think it would be just very fair to say, we've spent all of our time hyper focused on acute pain. We'll have more to say on where we are with DPN, the data, what payers are looking for, what doctors are looking for, et cetera, in the coming months. But for here and now, it's acute pain. On VX-828 and the next-gen molecule, so just to give you all of the numbers, VX-828 is the first of the next next-gen. The second and third are 581, VX-581 and VX-272. We are looking for potential improvement in efficacy, i.e., more people who can get down to less than 30 millimoles. And of course, we're looking for safety as well. So the monitoring will depend on what the results in the clinical trial are. So sure, there's opportunity for monitoring to be different with this VX-828 program. It just depends on what the actual results are through the clinical trial program. Last thing to say, once daily dosing, really good-looking DDIs as well as other drug-like properties remain really important as I mentioned in my prepared remarks.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Jessica Fye with JPMorgan.

Jessica Fye

Analyst · JPMorgan

Maybe for Reshma. I'm curious if you expect to see material differentiation on eGFR across the new IgAN products like Pove and its competitors? And if so, over what time horizon do you think any differentiation on that endpoint would become apparent?

Reshma Kewalramani

Analyst · JPMorgan

Sure thing, Jess. As we've discussed before, in IgAN in particular, but you could say this for homogeneous proteinuric kidney diseases in general. Good reductions in proteinuria should, based on everything we know, result in stabilization of GFR. I expect that to be the case with APRIL-BAFF inhibitors as well. I think so that your question is asking a very important second point. And to me, the most important point. What is the differentiation we can expect between various molecules if you have more reduction in proteinuria or hematuria or in the case of IgA nephropathy, Gd-IgA1, these inciting antibodies. And I think for that, the answer is it's really about time to ESRD. That's to say time to dialysis, transplantation or death. And I do expect that the medicine that has the stronger reductions in proteinuria, the medicine that gets more patients to less than 0.5 or 0.3, better improvements in hematuria and Gd-IgA1 are more likely to have an improved profile when it comes to that ultimate endpoint. Proteinuria, 1-year GFR, 2-year GFR, these are all endpoints on the way to the ultimate endpoint. And I think that's where you'll see the real differentiation.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Cory Kasimov with Evercore ISI.

Cory Kasimov

Analyst · Evercore ISI

Wanted to ask about inaxaplin in the AMPLITUDE study? And what kind of data would be necessary in that interim analysis to file for accelerated approval? Basically, like what constitutes the win with this first data look.

Reshma Kewalramani

Analyst · Evercore ISI

Sure thing. Cory, I think you're asking about AMPLITUDE. So the core study that's now in Phase III in patients with 2 APOL1 alleles, moderate-to-heavy proteinuria and depressed GFR. We were really pleased and remain very pleased that the agency has provided and we have an agreement with the agency for a potential accelerated approval based on the primary endpoint at the time of the IA, which is 1 year GFR. So that's what our agreement is based on. Obviously, we're also going to look at the proteinuria, but the agreement with the agency for the potential to file for accelerated approval based on the interim analysis is 1-year GFR.

Operator

Operator

Next question will come from Brian Abrahams with RBC Capital Markets.

Brian Abrahams

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets

Congrats on the quarter. On pain, we've seen some data published recently from another NaV1.8. And I'm just curious how you see the acute pain dynamics playing out with additional entrants into the market potentially? And then secondarily, just on zimi. Just wondering if you could talk about the potential impact to launch timing if you do end up syncing the filing with VX-017.

Reshma Kewalramani

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets

Yes. Thanks for the kind words, Brian. Maybe I'll do the pain one first and then come on to type 1 diabetes. I did see the publication. And maybe, Brian, what I'd say is that ever since Vertex published VX-150, which you'll remember was the molecule circa 2017 or so. We saw a spike in others following our footsteps and pursuing NaV1.8 as a target. And what I'll say is that we decided not to advance 150 -- VX-150 because we didn't think it had, as I described at the time, the perfect drug-like molecule, properties that we were looking for and we bypassed 150 in favor of what is now suzetrigine or VX-548. So we know the space very well. We know the molecule well, and we know that every time we publish a patent, there is a slew of followers. Maybe if you say, well, what's the takeaway from that, I think that there is a high appetite in the biopharma industry to make nonopioids. There is high unmet need for non-opioid effective pain medicines that have not only the right efficacy, but the right safety tolerability, drug-like properties profile. And I really like where we are well on the market with JOURNAVX, and I'm very much looking forward to the possibility of NaV1.7/NaV1.8 combination. And I've never felt better in Vertex history for the fact that may come to pass for us to be able to bring that to the clinic. Switching then to the type 1 diabetes program. So let me just say what I said in my prepared remarks. I may have gotten a little quick there. The zimislecel program is in Phase I/II/III, back up in dosing. And because it's a type A program, it serves about 60,000 people in the U.S. and Europe. The 017 program because it is Type O, has the potential to serve 120,000 people because it's the universal donor type O. And now what we're trying to do is see if we can get the type O program to go even faster and bring that program out either first or very close behind. That's what we're working on in terms of both the regulatory approach and the commercial approach. I don't have a time line for you today, but we should be able to tell you our exact plans with time lines in the back half of this year. But I am very excited about the opportunity to perhaps bring type O out first or very, very close behind.

Operator

Operator

Your next question will come from Evan Seigerman with BMO.

Evan Seigerman

Analyst · BMO

Congrats on the progress, so you've maintained the expectation for at least $500 million of non-CF revenue this year, while CASGEVY and JOURNAVX delivered roughly $125 million this quarter. So as you think about the path to this target, should we expect that the majority of the upside comes from accelerating patient starts with CASGEVY, continued growth with JOURNAVX or kind of a relatively balanced contribution from both franchises.

Reshma Kewalramani

Analyst · BMO

Evan, I'll ask Charlie, if he wants to make any additional comments on our guidance on the $500 million.

Charles Wagner

Analyst · BMO

Yes, Evan, thanks. As you pointed out, so far in the first half of the year, CASGEVY and JOURNAVX combined delivered about $200 million in revenue. So we're well on our way to achieving our target of $500 million-plus in that first half. CASGEVY has been a bigger contributor than JOURNAVX, but I'm not willing to give further color on the balance of the year other than to say we're very confident in getting to that $500 million plus.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Michael Yee with UBS.

Michael Yee

Analyst · UBS

I guess the IgAN competitor data to your eGFR data is hot off the press, and it's out there on the tape, and you can see that the approved product has essentially a stabilization of eGFR, if not slightly above the baseline. So to what extent Reshma, given that you have an approval coming up soon, should we think about comparing the 2, either from a launch perspective or perhaps given the strong numbers that they're putting up, it speaks to the significant market opportunity and you can get equivalent share? Maybe just talk a little bit about the data that the competitor is putting up and how you think about your launch?

Reshma Kewalramani

Analyst · UBS

Sure thing. Mike, the -- I did just see the eGFR data, but I've just seen the top-line number. And as you say, it shows a stabilization right around 0. That is what we should expect given the proteinuria reduction. So that seems very much in line. With regard to what it means for the povetacicept IgAN program, I would say all the more reason if anybody needed a little bit more conviction, you can certainly look at these data that were presented today, look at the proteinuria reduction, look at the GFR and reconfirm for yourself that significant reductions in proteinuria should and have resulted in GFR stabilization. So it makes a lot of sense to me. For what I see for Pove, I see us putting up very strong numbers on proteinuria, numerically, the best out there, 52% change from baseline in terms of proteinuria reduction, 70-plus percent reductions in hematuria and 70-plus percent reductions in Gd-IgA1. That bodes very well for Pove. And then I'll emphasize, Mike, the patient-centric attributes of delivery once-monthly, small-volume, 0.46 ml via an auto-injector. And I think when you put all of that together, real excitement for me for what Pove may bring to patients once the PDUFA date comes and goes, and we have the opportunity to launch.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Tazeen Ahmad with Bank of America.

Tazeen Ahmad

Analyst · Bank of America

Are you still planning on presenting additional data from the RAINIER study this year? And if so, what level of data? And where could that be? And then secondly, for Pove in gMG, it's becoming an increasingly competitive space. So how are you thinking about what additional benefit your drug could provide into this space either with efficacy, safety or dosing frequency?

Reshma Kewalramani

Analyst · Bank of America

Yes, on RAINIER. We are planning to present data. The conferences don't like it when we suggest the name when submissions have been made, but acceptances haven't come through yet. So maybe I'll just leave it at, yes, we plan to present the full RAINIER IA data set. We're looking forward to do so. I'll say at a fall conference, and I'll leave it to your imagination for which one. On gMG and Pove, this one is really exciting. And you gave me 3 options for why we're excited about Pove in gMG: efficacy, safety or patient benefits administration, all 3. This is another one of those trifectas that Duncan has talked about. On efficacy, there is another molecule, a wild-type TACI, so not engineered for optimal potency, binding affinity or tissue distribution. That has already shown substantial efficacy benefit. And remember, that's a wild-type TACI compared to Pove, which is an engineered TACI. So that's on efficacy. On safety, Pove does not need to have a cycle on and a cycle off. That gives real benefit on safety, but that also has the secondary benefit on efficacy because you don't have that off period where the autoantibodies are allowed to return. And the third is same thing, auto-injector. We have to figure out whether it's the 80 milligrams or 240 milligrams, but in either case, it will be auto-injector, once-monthly at-home low-volume dosing. So of your options, I expect Pove to be better across the board on all 3 dimensions.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Philip Nadeau with TD Cowen.

Philip Nadeau

Analyst · TD Cowen

There's a lot of focus on the upcoming data from one of your competitors where we're going to get incremental sweat chloride reductions above TRIKAFTA. We're curious to hear Vertex's opinion on how you're going to interpret that data? Is there a level of sweat chloride reduction that would get your attention or Reshma, as you've suggested in the prepared remarks, is it more about simply the proportion of patients who get to less than 30 millimoles per liter and the exact reduction maybe isn't as meaningful because it can be influenced by things like baseline characteristics?

Reshma Kewalramani

Analyst · TD Cowen

Yes. Phil, I think you have it right on our perspective. Where we sit today with ALYFTREK. We already know we can get 2/3 of patients to less than 30 millimoles. That's that normal or carrier threshold. And furthermore, if you think about as all physiologic parameters do, there is a Gaussian distribution around that median sweat chloride 30 millimoles. If you superimpose across all age groups, the ALYFTREK data on the carrier data, more than 75% of people across age groups overlap that distribution. So with those kind of data, I think that the bar is exceptionally high and rests on getting more patients to less than 30 millimoles. That is the mark and that's the mark that we or anyone else has to hit in order to have a competitive medicine. And of course, it goes without saying it has to be safe, it has to be well tolerated. It has to have good DDIs, it has to be once daily. But on pure efficacy, it has to be a molecule that gets more patients to less than 30 millimoles in terms of sweat chloride.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Terence Flynn with Morgan Stanley.

Terence Flynn

Analyst · Morgan Stanley

I have another one on inaxaplin. I was just wondering if you can help set expectations for the upcoming AMPLIFIED Phase II trial? And then how to think about any read-through to AMPLITUDE?

Reshma Kewalramani

Analyst · Morgan Stanley

Yes. So AMPLIFIED is the study that's Phase II. It's the expanded AMKD population. By that, I mean, it's the population with 2 APOL1 alleles. And in one arm of the basket study, it's 2 APOL1 alleles diabetes and in the other arm, it's 2 APOL1 alleles, and let's call it, modest proteinuria, so low-grade proteinuria. The way I would frame it up is the study is completed. We are on track for us to be able to share results this fall. And what I'd be looking for and looking to understand is can we derive benefit on proteinuria when you have very modest proteinuria to start with. So this is 0.2 grams to 0.7 grams of protein as opposed to 0.7 grams and above. And of course, it all comes down to what the mean entry baseline level of protein is. Or in the case of diabetes, can we alter the proteinuria when you have second kidney disease involved. These are questions worth studying, but there are clearly different populations than AMPLITUDE, which is why we specifically did not include them in the Phase II original study of inaxaplin and equally why we didn't include them in the Phase III study called AMPLITUDE. So we're super excited to look at these results. We're going to learn a lot and I'm very, very, very happy, and I think you'll see the wisdom of our approach, given what has happened in the field for others to keep these populations, which are expanded populations separate and look at each one individually in this basket AMPLIFIED study.

Operator

Operator

The next question will come from Mohit Bansal with Wells Fargo.

Mohit Bansal

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Just maybe a question for Duncan, if you want to help with the prescription trends here for JOURNAVX, so obviously, prescription growth is very strong. But how should we think about the prescribing behavior in terms of how many days of therapy physicians are writing? Has it changed at all in last few quarters or so because it does seem like you have good access, you have good prescription, but probably -- this is probably a missing piece, which could improve here.

Duncan J. McKechnie

Analyst · Wells Fargo

To answer your question specifically, as I think we've communicated before, in hospitals, the prescription duration is around about 5 days or so. In retail, it's around about 12, 14 days. So on average, you net out at around about 10 or 11 days or so for each JOURNAVX prescription. And candidly, that dynamic has not changed since the launch because it's really driven by the dynamics of the institution that the patient is in rather than anything else. So to answer your question simply, those are the numbers, and it has not changed over the last few months.

Operator

Operator

The last question will come from Ellie Merle with Barclays.

Eliana Merle

Analyst · Barclays

So in terms of the DM1 program, what would be good data at the data update in the second half? And how are you thinking about it in the context of the broader competitive landscape in DM1?

Reshma Kewalramani

Analyst · Barclays

Sure, Ellie. Maybe I can take that one. In DM1, as you know, there hasn't been a clear correlation between the various endpoints that others in the field have looked at, albeit with different approaches. What people have tended to do in their Phase II studies to get an early read is look at splicing, a functional endpoint called vHOT and another functional endpoint called QMT, vHOT is sort of how long does it take to open/close your hand and QMT is a measure of muscle function. And what I would say is that of all of those, splicing is an important one, and we certainly are looking at splicing and these measures of muscle function are also something that we're looking at. The reason I like this approach compared to anything else has more to do with mechanism of action. And that has to do with the fact that it's an oligo, which others are also trying but it's an oligo linked to a circular peptide to a nuclear localizing domain peptide which we believe will allow it to get into the cell and get into the nucleus where it has to do its work. So that is a plus. And I would also say some of the other programs in order to get into the cell have used mechanisms that have some safety tolerability concerns, and that has not been a concern through the circular peptide program that we use. So for the efficacy endpoints in Phase II splicing, and we will also look at these QMT and vHOT endpoints, albeit in small numbers of patients.

Operator

Operator

And that will conclude our question-and-answer session as well as our conference call for today. Thank you for your participation. A replay will be available shortly after the call concludes by dialing 1 (855) 669-9658 or 1 (412) 317-0088 using replay access code 10208186. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.