Christopher Bradshaw
Management
So taking different components of that, first, I would start with a reminder that the March quarter is historically our weakest quarter. It's where we see the most impact from seasonality due to inclement weather and fewer daylight hours depressing flight activity. The biggest impacts there would be in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, the North Sea and also in Nigeria for different reasons, but due to sandstorm issues in Nigeria. And so there is a seasonal component to the March quarter. In terms of other headwinds that the business is currently facing, we have -- not as much in the March quarter as the December quarter, but we are going through a period from a timing of repairs standpoint where we are having heavier than normal full cycle timing impacts from repairs, primarily related to the AW139 portion of our fleet, not exclusively, but that's the biggest driver is in our AW139, which are not all the current AW139 fleet is on a full just to sell PBH program. So we do have some variability and timing of repairs moving through that portion of our fleet, which is sizable. You've noted the fixed-wing business in Australia, which we also talked about in our commentary, historically that was a positive EBITDA, positive cash flow contributor to the company. It's going through a difficult time right now for a couple of reasons, one, top line has been depressed by the COVID-19 pandemic. We're optimistic that those effects are receding and hopefully will be behind us soon for that business. And then, at the same time, from a cost standpoint, we are working through a fleet transition in that business, rotating out of some older smaller E170 regional jets into newer larger E190 regional jets. There are some lease return costs, one-time lease return costs associated with that fleet transition that are significant -- placing a significant drag on profitability for that portion of the business today. I think, I've made some comments already on the oil and gas side and some of the regions. Just quickly, would refer for the purposes of this discussion two, for example, the Nigeria commentary, addressable market over the last few years is contracted by more than half. We also lost a couple of customer contracts to smaller regional competitor. An opportunity now where that competitor was not delivering, so we expect to recapture some customer share there, and expect to benefit when that market activity increases. Again, from a broad based market increased activity, we really think calendar 2023 and beyond is when we'll start to see that in earnest for our business. A few projects, new projects that were supporting this calendar year, again, I noted where those are in the Americas today. We think the rest of the world starts to join that party in earnest next year.