John D. Sheehan
Analyst · Randall Stanicky from RBC Capital Markets
Thank you, Rajiv, and good morning, everyone. Today, I'm going to be referring to certain financial metrics that have been prepared on an adjusted basis. These are non-GAAP financial measures. I refer you back to Kris' comments at the beginning of today's call regarding our use of non-GAAP measures. Before we begin, I'd like to take a moment to introduce Colleen Ostrowski as our new Senior Vice President and Treasurer. In addition to her role as Treasurer, Colleen will also have overall responsibility for Mylan's Investor Relations and will be supported by Kris King. Our financial results for the fourth quarter of 2013 were in line with our expectations and represent a strong finish to another successful year for our company. As detailed on Slide 13, 2013 capped a 6-year period where we generated exceptional adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS growth for our shareholders through consistent execution despite difficult economic conditions in many locations around the world. Let me walk you through our financial results for the full year of 2013, which built upon already -- an already robust 2012 double-digit growth. As a reminder, the operating results of Agila have only been included in Mylan's consolidated financial statements since the acquisition date of December 4, and they weren't material to the quarter. Also, as a result of the acquisition, we've revised the Asia Pacific region within our Generics segment to include the operating results from Agila's Brazilian operation, and we'll now refer to this region as the Rest of World. Additionally, in 2014, our regions within our Generics business will be North America, Europe and Rest of World. The Rest of World region will also include our export businesses, which to date have been included in the EMEA region. Our double-digit adjusted diluted EPS growth in the fourth quarter was achieved through strong results at our North American Generics business, whose top line grew by 7% in the quarter due to favorable product mix; as well as our Specialty business, which generated revenue growth of 13% for the quarter, fueled by an EpiPen sales growth rate in the high teens. Finally, in the Rest of World region, our Indian business continued its double-digit constant currency revenue growth. Starting at the top of our income statement, on Slide 15, total revenues for the full year were $6.9 billion as compared to $6.8 billion in 2012. And for the fourth quarter of 2013, they were $1.8 billion as compared to last year's fourth quarter revenues of $1.7 billion. Foreign currency, especially the U.S. dollar relative to Asia Pacific currencies such as the rupee, the yen and the Australian dollar, negatively affected our top line in 2013. Excluding the effect of foreign currency, our top line grew by 4% for the full year in 2013 and by approximately 7% in the fourth quarter, which was in line with our guidance from February 2013. Within our Generics segment, third-party revenues were $1.6 billion for the quarter and $5.9 billion for the full year, up 7% in constant currency versus the 2012 fourth quarter and 1% versus the full year 2012. Revenues from our North American Generics business were approximately $854 million for the quarter, an increase of 7% when compared to the prior year period. Revenues from new products in the quarter in North America totaled $77 million as compared to $181 million in the comparable prior year period. As you will recall, the fourth quarter of last year was positively impacted from the 2012 launches of Valsartan, HCTZ and pioglitazone. Offsetting the lower level of new product revenues in North America was increased volumes and favorable product mix. Revenues in North America for the full year were $3 billion, representing a decrease of 7% as compared to 2012, even though revenues from new product launches in 2013 declined approximately 75% as compared to 2012. Turning to our other regions within our Generics segment. Constant currency third-party revenues in EMEA increased 3% in the current quarter. And the full year revenues in EMEA totaled $1.5 billion, an increase of 8% on a constant currency basis. We are particularly encouraged by our double-digit revenue growth in 2013 for France and Italy, as new product introductions and volume growth more than offset the negative impacts from single-digit price erosions in the region. In the Rest of World region, we grew constant currency third-party revenues by approximately $41 million or 11% in the fourth quarter, principally as a result of the growth by our Indian operations, specifically within our antiretroviral business. For the full year, revenues totaled $1.4 billion, representing constant currency growth of 14% as a result of the strong performance by our Indian operations and the double-digit growth in Japan as a result of new product introduction and volume growth driven by our collaboration with Pfizer Japan. Within our Specialty segment, third-party revenues in the fourth quarter increased $20 million or 13%. And for the full year, revenues increased over $146 million or approximately 18% when compared to 2012. We remain confident in our ability to continue to generate growth in our EpiPen franchise and maintain our leadership position within the market. Adjusted gross margin for the fourth quarter of 2013 was a very strong 51%, up over 2 percentage points from the same prior year period. And our full year adjusted gross margins were 50%, up slightly from 2012. Our strong margins are primarily the result of growth in our Specialty business and an improved product mix within our Generics business due to an increase in sales of high barrier-to-entry products. Additionally, our margins continue to benefit from the efficiencies of our vertically integrated platform. For 2013, adjusted earnings from operations was $1.7 billion, up slightly from the prior year. Adjusted operating income in -- for 2013 includes an additional $70 million of investment in R&D. As planned, we continue to invest a significant amount in our respiratory and biologics platforms, which accounts for the majority of the increase from the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA was $1.96 billion for the full year of 2013, which is near the midpoint of our guidance range of $1.9 billion to $2.1 billion. Fourth quarter adjusted net income was $308 million or $0.78 per share, a 20% increase from our Q4 2012 adjusted diluted EPS of $0.65 per share and in line with our expectations. Of -- our full year adjusted net income was $1.14 billion or $2.89 per share, a 12% increase from our 2012 adjusted diluted EPS of $2.59 and at the upper end of our guidance range. With that, I'd now like to discuss our guidance -- financial guidance for 2014, which can be seen on Slide 16. Our adjusted diluted EPS guidance for 2014 is $3.25 to $3.60 per share. This guidance range is arrived at with the following income statement line item metrics, all of which are on an adjusted basis, with the exception of total revenues and CapEx: Total revenues of 7.8% to $8.2 billion, with Specialty generating growth of approximately 20% and our Generics business generating approximately 15% revenue growth. I'll speak further in a few minutes on the drivers of our year-over-year revenue growth. Gross margins between 51% and 53%, the midpoint of which is 200 basis points higher than 2013. Drivers of this increase include new product revenues, EpiPen growth and the strength of our North American Generics business as we continue to benefit from an improved product mix combined with the efficiencies of our global platform. R&D of between 7% and 8% of total revenue as we continue to invest in our future, and SG&A of between 18% and 20% of total revenue. Included in our earnings release this morning is a table of assumed foreign exchange rates used in developing our 2014 financial guidance. Using all of these guidance metrics, we project adjusted EBITDA of between 2.4 and 2.4 -- $2.2 billion and $2.4 billion. We expect our adjusted effective tax rate to be in the range of 24% to 26%, net income to be between $1.3 billion and $1.5 billion and adjusted EPS to increase 19% as compared to the midpoint of our 2014 guidance range. In addition to the above, we are providing the following additional adjusted 2014 guidance metrics: adjusted cash provided by operating activities of $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion and capital expenditures of between $350 million and $450 million, yielding an adjusted free cash flow guidance range of $750 million to just over $1 billion, with a midpoint of $900 million. Our strong free cash flow provides us the flexibility to reinvest in our business, returning capital to shareholders, and/or pursue other strategic uses of our capital. Finally, we are projecting an average diluted share count of between 389 million and 405 million shares. As a reminder, under our cash convertible notes, we have approximately $43 million warrants outstanding, with the majority of the warrants having a strike price of $30. For every dollar that our average stock price increases above $30, the diluted impact of the warrants and employee stock options is initially approximately 1.3 million shares. This diluted impact decreases as our average stock price increases. For changes in our average stock price between its current level and the $60 -- the average diluted impact -- and $60, the average diluted impact is approximately 600,000 shares. As you will see later in our Capital Structure Achievements slide, our 2014 projected diluted share count range is based upon an assumed share price in the range of $40 to $60 per share. Slide 17 represents a projected bridge between our actual revenues for 2013 of $6.9 billion and the midpoint of our 2014 guidance range of $8 billion. We expect new product launches to contribute approximately $700 million of incremental revenue in 2014. Volume growth in our base business will serve to offset single-digit price erosion on our existing products. Additionally, the benefits of a full year of Agila are incorporated into each of the individual regions within our Generics business. We expect that Agila will be the engine to drive our injectables growth by providing products to our commercial businesses around the globe. Slide 18 shows a projected bridge between our actual 2013 adjusted diluted EPS of $2.89 and the midpoint of our 2014 guidance range of $3.43. New product launches and margin expansion will drive our earnings growth in 2014. With respect to new product launches, all unsettled products are in our guidance at risk-adjusted amounts and include the estimated impact of competition. In addition, our interest expense is forecasted to increase by approximately $35 million due to higher debt associated with the Agila acquisition, partially offset by lower rates from proactively managing our debt. We expect our third quarter EPS to once again be the strongest quarter in terms of earnings and slightly stronger than our second quarter. We expect the first quarter EPS to be approximately equal to our Q1 2013 EPS. Turning to our cash flow and liquidity metrics on Slide 19. Cash flow from operations on an adjusted basis was $1.2 billion for the full year, leaving us with unrestricted cash and cash equivalents totaling almost $300 million. We continue to benefit from short -- low short-term interest rates. As of December 31, 2013, the average rate on all of our outstanding borrowings was slightly below 4%. We continue to use interest rate swaps in order to target a long-term 70-30 fixed floating debt portfolio, which we believe is an optimal ratio. As we previously stated, in 2014, we intend to redeem our high-yield bonds maturing in 2018. During 2013, we executed forward starting rate -- starting interest rate swap that fixed the benchmark interest rates on the planned debt issuance that will fund this redemption. Capital spending for 2013 was $335 million, which was below the midpoint of our guidance range of $350 million. And that was a result of timing of spending. In addition, during 2013, we repurchased approximately 29 million shares of our common stock for $1 billion. Over the past 3 years, we have returned nearly $2.4 billion to shareholders through our share repurchase programs, and we will continue to look at additional opportunities to return capital to shareholders. At the end of the quarter, following the share repurchase programs and the additional borrowings due to the Agila acquisition, our gross debt-to-EBITDA leverage ratio is approximately 3.5:1. We continue to have ample borrowing capacity and financial flexibility and remain committed to our 3:1 long-term gross leverage ratio target. To summarize, our fourth quarter provided a strong finish to 2013 and provides yet another example of our ability to manage our business through a variety of industry and market headwinds while producing top and bottom line growth for our shareholders. We look forward to doing more of the same in 2014 and beyond. That concludes my remarks. And I'm now going to turn the call over to the operator for Q&A. Operator?