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WESCO International, Inc. (WCC)

Q4 2013 Earnings Call· Thu, Jan 30, 2014

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the WESCO International Fourth Quarter and Full Year Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Dan Brailer. Please go ahead, sir.

Daniel A. Brailer

Analyst

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining us for WESCO International's conference call to review our fourth quarter 2013 financial results. Participating in the earnings conference call this morning are the following officers: Mr. John Engel, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Mr. Ken Parks, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. In addition to this morning's release of our earnings announcement, an earnings webcast presentation has been produced, which provides a summary of certain financial and end market information to be reviewed in today's commentary by management. We have filed the presentation with the Securities and Exchange Commission and posted it on our corporate website. During today's call, we will be webcasting selected slides from the presentation to facilitate our review of the results. As John and Ken go through their prepared remarks, they will reference specific page numbers that relate to their comments. To make year-over-year comparisons more meaningful, we have adjusted our results for certain non-recurring items, as shown throughout the webcast presentation. The reconciliation of the adjustments are shown in the appendix of the presentation. For today's call, John and Ken will reference the adjusted results. This conference call includes forward-looking statements and, therefore, actual results may differ materially from expectations. For additional information on WESCO International, please refer to the company's SEC filings, including the risk factors described therein. Finally, the following presentation includes a discussion of certain non-GAAP financial measures. Information required by Regulation G, with respect to such non-GAAP financial measures, can be obtained via WESCO's website at www.wesco.com. Means to access this conference call via webcast was disclosed in the press release and was posted on our corporate website. Replays of this conference call will be archived and available for 7 days. I would now like to turn the conference call over to John.

John J. Engel

Analyst

Thank you, Dan. Good morning, everyone. Our fourth quarter results were consistent with the third quarter, reflecting continued execution in a low-growth economic environment. Sales growth was below our expectations and we're disappointed with these results. Organic sales grew 1.5% versus prior year, driven by growth in Data Communications and Lighting and continued strength in Utility and CIG. Organic sales per workday varied across the quarter and were up 3.5% in October, were flat in November and were up 1% in December. Adjusting for the impact of Hurricane Sandy in 2012, November organic sales per workday would have been up approximately 2%. Sales remained stable in Canada in the fourth quarter, with sales being up 2% versus prior year for WESCO Canada and, on a positive note, up 8% versus prior year for EECOL, both on a local currency basis. Operating margins expanded 40 basis points to 5.9%, and that was driven by tighter cost controls. And as a result, operating profit and EPS grew double digits in the fourth quarter. Gross margins were down 40 basis points versus prior year, driven by a reduction in supplier volume rebates rates and the business mix impact of large Utility and Datacom wins. Free cash flow generation was a record in the quarter and continues to be directed at debt production, resulting in liquidity over $600 million. Financial leverage is now well within our targeted range. On a full year basis, we posted record sales, profitability and free cash flow. Our acquisitions are performing well and we delivered on our full year EPS accretion expectations of $1 for EECOL. EPS also reached a record level of $5.02 in 2013, marking the third year in a row of double-digit EPS growth. We're encouraged with the progress of our One WESCO initiative as we…

Kenneth S. Parks

Analyst

Thanks, John, and good morning. I'm going to review the results in the context of the outlook we've provided in October during our third quarter earnings call. As Dan indicated, I'm going to be speaking to adjusted results. At the third quarter earnings call, we expected fourth quarter consolidated sales growth of approximately 14% to 17% and organic sales growth between 2% and 4% year-over-year. Consolidated sales in the quarter were $1.9 billion, an increase of 14.3% year-over-year, and this includes 13.8 points of growth from acquisitions, 1.5 points of organic growth and 1 point of unfavorable foreign exchange impact. Pricing for the fourth quarter was flat. Sequentially, organic sales declined a little more than 1 point on a workday-adjusted basis, which is consistent with our typical seasonality. As John indicated, monthly organic sales per workday were varied during the quarter, however, December did end up, up 1%. Backlog remains at a healthy level overall. Core backlog was up approximately 3% versus year-end 2012, while U.S. backlog was actually up over 10% during the same time period. While sales growth continues to be weak overall, the indicators continue to point to an improving U.S. economy. In October, we estimated that fourth quarter gross margin will be approximately 20.5%. We were disappointed that gross margin came in at 20%; that's 50 basis points short of our outlook and 40 basis points down from the fourth quarter of 2012. Gross margin for the quarter was impacted primarily by final supplier volume rebate adjustments on the lower-than-expected top line growth. SG&A expenses for the quarter were $249 million, compared to $231 million in the prior-year quarter, and EECOL accounted for all of that growth, while core SG&A expenses were down about $13 million over last year's quarter. Sequentially, Q4 SG&A decreased approximately $7…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Now our first question comes from Deane Dray of Citi Research.

Deane M. Dray - Citigroup Inc, Research Division

Analyst

I was hoping we -- you could expand on the comment about the conditions you're seeing so far in January, the down 4%, because your guidance for the quarter's flat to up 3%, so how significant is this slow start? How much would you attribute to the weather? And maybe, size the FX hit that you're assuming as well.

John J. Engel

Analyst

I'll start out with the weather, with the January start weather impacts, et cetera. Ken, maybe you can talk about the FX. Yes, we're down approximately 4%. We're seeing a broad-based impact on our business due to weather. It's showing up in our kind of our stock business as opposed to DS. And when you think about it, in winter conditions, if it's -- if the ground is freezing, DS orders are lined up to ship from a supplier. They pretty much ship the balance of that construction project if it's delayed due to weather, that ultimately is serviced on via stock or special order type materials that are not DS impacted. And so we're not through the whole month yet, we got a couple of days left. But this is with 2, 3 days left. We'll see where we end up. We're down approximately 4%. If you look underneath that, Utility is still growing in the month. Datacom is growing in the month. Our OEM electronics business is growing in the month, the old Carlton-Bates, AA Electric, RS Electronics, those combined together, the electronics-based distribution, which is an indication that, that part of the business is performing okay. And EECOL Canada, on our Canadian dollar basis, is up a bit as well so far. But we're definitely seeing the weather impacts. And I would say that they're more substantial in January than we had expected. And they're more substantial in January then we saw in the latter part of Q4. Although we did see a little bit of weather impact as we moved through the fourth quarter, particularly in Canada. And I know it's a long answer. Maybe I'll just give -- put a spotlight on that. EECOL had a record sales month in October. November softened quite a bit and finished flat. It was very cold -- and this is Western Canadian provinces, and day-to-day business kind of slowed down and ground to a halt. December was up a bit versus prior year. But the backlog heading into 2014 for EECOL business was stronger than it was heading into 2014. So I think we've seen this weather impact. I mean, it is our belief that, that's not perishable demand as it impacts construction. It's just a timing factor. And that there'll be some recovery as the weather improves, as we move through the first quarter and enter the spring season.

Kenneth S. Parks

Analyst

So on FX. I'd size it for you this way. It's obviously hard to kind of predict what will happen to the rates in the next couple of months. But you've certainly seen, over the last years, we have the Canadian currency consistently weaken each quarter-by-quarter against the U.S. dollar. So if you think about our relative share of Canadian revenue, it's about 25% as we disclosed of our total WESCO revenues. And the first quarter of 2013, the rate was pretty much at parity, moved down through the year. And when you look at it in the first quarter, it's down beyond how you average, 8% to 10% year-over-year. And if you apply that 25% of revenue rate against it, you can see how I size about a couple of points on the top line. It's important to note, and I highlighted in the first quarter outlook, we consistently have talked about the fact that our Canadian business is relatively more profitable than the WESCO average overall. Therefore, the FX impact on the bottom line would be slightly bigger than the impact on the top line.

Deane M. Dray - Citigroup Inc, Research Division

Analyst

Ken, just so we're clear. What is the exchange rate that you're assuming in the first quarter for the Canadian dollar?

Kenneth S. Parks

Analyst

We're pretty much assuming it's a couple of pennies above where it's ending today because the way it's averaged down so far. We don't really forecast rates through the -- like I said, through the end of quarter, but what we do is say it's trended down this much, this month and we'll just carry that kind of to size the outlook.

Deane M. Dray - Citigroup Inc, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And then just a second question, on the bridge for the guidance, the lower guidance, and this is the guidance that you said back in August. One of the changes right towards the end is, that I heard you cite, was the fact you're not including any assumed unannounced acquisitions. And I check that from the investor data, there was 2 or 3 percentage points of your sales growth that was assumed. Just low -- and that's fine. I mean most companies don't assume unannounced deals either. But flow that through to the EPS side and that will help bridge for us the change.

Kenneth S. Parks

Analyst

Sure. Sure. So if you think about -- what we said in August was an outlook range for 2014 of $5.70 a share to $6.10 a share. And what we just told you was essentially $0.40 lower on either end of that range. At the time we were with you in August, our outlook for 2013 was $5.15 to $5.35 for 2013 full year. So pick a midpoint, $5.25, we ended up close to $5. You can kind of say that's the first kind of level of anticipated reduction between what we told you in August and what we look at in 2014. The second, I would say, would be the FX impact, which has certainly changed even more to the negative since August. And what I would say, as you, again, kind of go through the math there, look at where the rate was in August versus where we're kind of sitting today. Again, not necessarily projecting 4 quarters but looking at a relative change since August. You can easily get to $0.10 from that itself. And then the remainder of it, I would say, is the absence of the acquisitions in the outlook. We have announced and intend to close quickly on the LaPrairie acquisition. We've told you that is about $0.03 a share to the current year. But we had a larger kind of placeholder in our guidance as we started in August. And I would say pulling that out is the remainder of the variance. Hopefully, that kind of gives you the 3 pieces of the bridge.

John J. Engel

Analyst

And, Deane, let me follow-on. We've been doing Annual Investor Days in the August timeframe since we started them 4 or 5 years ago. And, yes, we've gotten feedback on the timing of that and such. We've discussed this is as a team and we're going to make a change in 2014. Because, I think, in retrospect, the August Investor Day had good attendance. It's been a terrific meeting the last 4-plus years. But we're out a bit early versus everyone else. And so we're going to go to a more traditional schedule in 2014, where we have a conference call with the entire investor community, analyst community, in the December timeframe to give the outlook for 2015. So we'll do that in December of this year for 2015. And then we'll follow that with a full-blown Investor Day, similar to what we've done in the past, in the first quarter. Probably the latter part of the first quarter of 2015 we've not locked down the scheduling on that yet. So I just -- I did want to relay that we've looked at that as part of the process, too. And that's a change we're going to make going forward.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from John Baliotti of Janney Capital Markets.

John Anthony Baliotti - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division

Analyst

John, I was wondering, could you -- any color you're getting from your customers in terms of whether it's the shorter cycle demand or the longer cycle demand, as you went through the quarter? But as they're -- as you're talking to them about 2014, is there a difference -- different behavior that you expect in -- now that we've started the year?

John J. Engel

Analyst

No. Clearly, we're disappointed with the fourth quarter, John. We came in below our outlook -- sales outlook guidance. But when you kind of deconstruct the pieces, Industrial is the one that kind of jumps out, I know, to all of you and to us as well. Some tighter spending on CapEx and MRO spending as we've kind of moved through the first quarter. We looked at last -- looked at 2012, we had some real nice Petrochem projects, and that was true in the earlier part of 2012 as well. So a little tougher comp. When you look at us sequentially for Industrial, it was down 0.9%, Q4 versus Q3. So that gives you a little sense of kind of momentum back there on Industrial. As I said, I think, as we move into this first part of this quarter, our backlog held up, we burned a little bit of backlog in Q4, typical in every fourth quarter, but it was still at a record level when we ended, we were at 3% up overall, year end '13 versus '12. And U.S. portion of the backlog, U.S. portion of the backlog was up double digits. And our book-to-bill ratio consistently through January thus far has been nicely above 1.0. So our bookings rate's higher than our sales rates. So I'm not seeing a real shift in customer behavior in the industrial market per se. And I'm not -- we're not seeing a fundamental shift in customer-driven behavior that's impacting our sales on Construction or Utility or even the parts of CIG for that matter. I think it's just a slow start and that we're working hard to kind of drive the execution. So...

John Anthony Baliotti - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Do you feel, to follow on that, when we had your Investor Day, we visited one of your Utility customers. There was a lot of, seems like, points and catalysts for why they have used you more extensively than in the past. Is it fair to assume that the longer cycle, the more project-related business you have more of an immediate ability to consolidate competition there, whether it's between Construction, Utility and maybe, even to a degree, the CIG area?

John J. Engel

Analyst

Yes. I mean, the project-oriented business is more episodic, and so -- but when you're looking at building a bigger, stronger relationship, whether it's a Global Accounts relationship, an Integrated Supply relationship or one that what we call these big utility alliance agreements, which, in essence, is like a Global Accounts model. That's -- it's a longer sales cycle, right? And so that's where it's really important to work the pipeline and work it consistently over time. I think we feel really, really good about our results in the Utility business, particularly when you calibrate it against the economic backdrop and the end market of Utility and look at what power demand did in 2013, and what Utility spending was in aggregate. And so I think, it's really a great example of our One WESCO approach where we really knitted together branches, we're providing complete service value proposition to these utilities. And I think, as we move into 2014, our view of the utility market is similar to what it was a quarter ago, the distribution portion of the power chain will be up very low single-digit growth, 2% plus or minus, transmission is down probably a little bit, but we're more biased to the -- both ends of the power chain, right, generation and distribution. But I think that our value proposition is really resonating well with customers. And we do see some potential for increasing investment with utilities and distribution, automation and demand response, along with gas plants. And I think that has upside as we move forward when you look at just the impact of shale gas development as a growth driver over the mid to long term, I think, in the U.S. and Canada for that matter.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Steve Tusa of JPMorgan. Charles Stephen Tusa - JP Morgan Chase & Co, Research Division: So the -- I guess, just kind of digging into the Industrial business a little bit. One of your suppliers put up pretty good U.S. results on the automation side, they were up double digit. I know you guys include Canada in there. Could you maybe just talk about what you saw geographically on the automation side? I'm just trying to kind of reconcile those 2 things.

John J. Engel

Analyst

Yes. Yes, Steve, thanks. I think you're probably referring to Rockwell. We are -- Rockwell has an interesting model of how they go to market through distribution, it's called a limited distribution model. And they have territories that they outline in North America -- U.S. and North America. They call those APRs. So they're authorized territories. And in the United States, there is only a single distributor for every territory in the U.S., other than Chicago and Minneapolis. Parts of Chicago, parts of Minneapolis have 2 distributors in a particular APR geographic region. So we don't have a meaningful relationship with Rockwell in Canada. Our relationship is predominantly in the U.S. And so when you look at the relationship of Rockwell through us as a distributor, and our approved APRs, our geographies, which range -- they include Minneapolis, Chicago and the upper Midwest. And then we have some territories down in the Southeast United States. Our results are consistent with theirs. They are, by definition, because all Rockwell sales go through distribution in those geographies. Charles Stephen Tusa - JP Morgan Chase & Co, Research Division: Right. Right. Okay, that's really helpful. So your view on kind of U.S. automation is still reasonably positive. And the growth there are kind of -- is consistent with what you talked about kind of heading into the first quarter here.

John J. Engel

Analyst

Yes. Our views are unchanged on automation. I think it's -- that adds some nice upside, it's a growth driver, and so, yes, I concur. The only other comment I'll make is another one of our suppliers has reported, as well, since you raised it. I think you're only referring to Rockwell, but I'll at least mention. Hubbell had their results out. And look, we look at this very -- in a detailed fashion. Remember, supplier sales are, essentially, we compare that to our purchases, because our purchases are their sales. And Hubbell's organic sales growth, I think, was roughly 3%, 3.5% in that range and -- for the fourth quarter versus prior year. We got a very nice long-standing, broad and diverse relationship with Hubbell, as we do with Rockwell, both are terrific companies, terrific supplier partners of WESCO. And our purchases, year-over-year, for Hubbell are very much in line with their sales. And I won't give exact numbers but very, very interesting. And that's what we do with every supplier. And they give us, we share data as well. But -- so we triangulate, obviously, consistently to make sure that we're supporting our suppliers appropriately. A measure for us is we would like to be growing with that supplier at a faster rate than the rest of their channel partners. If we are, we think we're -- that means we're doing a better job for them and we're creating more differential value for them in terms of demand creation and fulfillment. So...

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Sam Darkatsh of Raymond James. Sam Darkatsh - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division: A couple questions. First, Ken, regarding the backlog. I'm trying to reconcile it. Overall backlog up 3%, U.S. up double digits. I think you mentioned or John might have mentioned that EECOL backlog was up. So how do you get to the plus 3? Does that suggest that the core Canadian business backlog was down dramatically or how do I get to that 3% number?

John J. Engel

Analyst

I mean, what's left in is in Canada and other international, which is very project-driven episodic. So, yes. Sam Darkatsh - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division: So there are core Canadian...

John J. Engel

Analyst

And let me just say, that EECOL backlog is -- their effective backlog number as a percentage of their sales is relatively small because that's a very house-driven [ph] model. So U.S. is up, Canada -- core Canada is down. In the U.S., Datacom, in particular, is up very strongly. And that's how you get to the number. So we -- year-to-year, Canada, WESCO Canada, year end to year end, had a drop in backlog, yes.

Kenneth S. Parks

Analyst

And if you remember the way it built up last year, Canadian backlog really built up and we talked about kind of record levels of backlog in Canada. So we ended last year very strong with WESCO legacy Canada solid. And it has burned down backlog this year on the softer booking rates. So you read it exactly right. Sam Darkatsh - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division: Okay. So then, in your guidance, when you did the walk, Ken, which was very helpful, by the way, from the prior guidance to today, I guess the suggestion is that you haven't really changed any of your incremental growth expectations for 2014 from August until today. You're just using the different baseline and the FX. Might the fact that the Canadian backlog is weakening, why wouldn't you be a little bit more conservative and assume some additional deterioration in the Canadian markets then for '14?

Kenneth S. Parks

Analyst

I guess I would answer it this way, and it's a good point. It gives me the opportunity to highlight. On the top line in August, excluding acquisition, we talked about 4 to 6 points of overall growth. With this guidance, we have held the top end of that because we believe that's still in the range. We did take the low end down to 3%. So we did soften it up the low end a little bit based upon a little bit of softer potential outlook for 2014.

John J. Engel

Analyst

And then to be clear, Sam, our backlog in Canada was down on a Canadian dollar basis, year end to year end, and then you add the FX impact is -- yes, that caused a little bigger impact, obviously. Sam Darkatsh - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division: My final question, Ken. What's your nonresi construction for domestic assumption, inherent within your expectations for '14?

Kenneth S. Parks

Analyst

I mean, we're probably all looking at the same indicators. And it depends on which verticals we play in. But we're in the nonresi buildings, as well as the nonbuildings. It's low to mid-single digits.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Noelle Dilts of Stifel. Noelle C. Dilts - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc., Research Division: I just wanted to start off, first, taking into EECOL a little bit more. It looked like in the third quarter you got about $0.33 of accretion off of $243 million in revenue, this quarter $0.25 off of $251 million. So it looks like there was maybe some sequential margin compression. Could you kind of just discuss what you're seeing there? And if that's the case, what the drivers were?

Kenneth S. Parks

Analyst

Sure. It's really less operational. So in the sense of if you're thinking about margins on the sales going through the business, it's really tied to them closing out the year on a -- while a very good volume, a very good performance, a softer sales performance in 2013, than effectively they have been anticipating on an SBR basis. So the SBR number gets adjusted at the end of the year in their case. And that was really the margin pressure from Q3 to Q4. Noelle C. Dilts - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc., Research Division: Okay. So was the SBR impact a little bit disproportionally weighted to EECOL?

Kenneth S. Parks

Analyst

Correct. Noelle C. Dilts - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc., Research Division: Okay. And I think this is stretching it a little bit, but I don't know -- you hit your dollar of accretion target for 2013. Any thoughts on what your -- are you going to set a new target for 2014? Or could you just talk about, specifically, your expectations for EECOL as you move into this year?

John J. Engel

Analyst

Yes. Well, first, let me say we're thrilled with EECOL. I mean, the cultural integration, the president of the business when we acquired it has retired, that was all part of the plan. And the Chief Operating Officer has assumed the overall leadership role for EECOL Canada. And he reports to Harald Henze, our overall Canadian leader. And we -- the leader of EECOL South America, terrific leader, reports as well -- reports into Les Kebler. I think it's gone very, very well and we're thrilled with the first year under the -- as part of the WESCO family. And the way I think about it, Noelle, is this way: when we closed that acquisition a year ago December, in December 2012, we had a certain outlook for the Canadian market, and that was the basis upon which we articulated the dollar of EPS accretion for EECOL in the first year of operation. And at the end of the day, the Canadian market in 2013 was much more challenging and softer than our outlook a year ago. And we started out okay. You'll recall in the first quarter of last year, WESCO Canada grew 4%, EECOL grew 5% in Q1. But in Q2, going forward, in Q2, we had that late and rainy spring with record flooding in Alberta. And Q3, we started seeing CapEx delays, clearly, and stuff moving out a bit. And Q4, CapEx management, tight management delays and then the beginning of the weather impacts. And so we're very pleased, overall, to deliver that, given that backdrop. Our outlook for the Canadian market is still bullish, mid to long term, given it's a natural resource-based economy. And I think there's an ongoing debate on railroad versus pipeline, to transport oil from the oil sands, that will get, ultimately get resolved. But clearly, demand continues for Canada's heavy crude by U.S. Gulf Coast refiners. And so our view of Canada, mid- to long term, has not changed, even given that it's a little bit tougher market in 2013. Our expectation is that 2014 is no worse than 2013 in terms of end market. And we're hopeful, as we move through the year, that it gets a bit better. But that's our basis for 2014. And consistent with what we've done with every acquisition, when we get into year 2, it becomes part of our core operations. We don't break out and shine a spotlight on it. Noelle C. Dilts - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc., Research Division: Okay. Second quick question. John, you referenced the Datacom backlog being up strong. If you could talk about maybe how much that's up? Touch on the trends in that market. If you're seeing some acceleration in the base market or whether you think you're getting some share?

John J. Engel

Analyst

Well, we grew. I don't think I mentioned the growth number yet. So let me start there. Our sales were up 5% in the fourth quarter versus prior year for Datacom. You'll recall, in the third quarter, they were up 8% and that was -- so we basically grew nicely in the second half. And we had not grown since Q2 of 2012 in Datacom. And the Datacom sales growth was balanced, it was in the U.S., it was in Canada and rest of world. So we won some international business as well. Backlog for Datacom finished up very strong double digits. I'll just say approaching in the 20% kind of range. So we entered the year very nicely. And I mentioned, in response to Deane's question earlier, the Datacom is out of the gates in January and growing still. So I think we like what we're seeing. Part of the Datacom business is our IP physical security business. And that was up very strong double digits for full year 2013 after being up very strong double digits in 2012. David Bemoras put a spotlight on our capabilities there in the Investor Day, you'll recall. So I will tell you, I think the quarter was better not just for WESCO, we feel good about our results, but even for the market in Q4. Our suppliers said it's -- they experienced an uptick in year-end project purchases; certain categories, however, remain under pressure, I think, particularly, copper cable as it comes under pressure versus other competing products. So hopefully, that gives you a little color. Maybe one other data point is that I still think the overall Datacom market will be a bit challenging, it will be tied to IT spending. It's very price-competitive. But I think we got a real winning One WESCO solution, and we're starting to see the results in Datacom. I alluded to that, from an analogy standpoint, in our Investor Day of what we've done in Utility over the past 4-plus years. And it's translating into very strong results. And that One WESCO approach to Datacom, we're taking that same approach and we've had a few recent very nice wins. So hopefully, that helps, Noelle.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Ryan Merkel of William Blair. Ryan Merkel - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division: A question on gross margin, to start. Your guidance assumes a pickup in the first quarter and also for the year from where we ended in the fourth quarter. Can you just walk through some of the factors that are driving that?

Kenneth S. Parks

Analyst

Yes. There's really just one major factor and that is SBR. As we finished out this year, we obviously had a flat organic sales growth rate or, essentially, no sales. And as we move into 2014, as you know, we're looking at 3% to 6% growth. We estimate SBR for the year when we accrue it ratably and that really accounts for the step up. Ryan Merkel - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division: Okay, figured. And then I guess a follow-up question to that. What does your guidance assume about price inflation? And then maybe you could talk about the competitive dynamics, if anything's changed there.

Kenneth S. Parks

Analyst

Yes. As far as the guidance, specifically, we assume really no change in pricing. Ryan Merkel - William Blair & Company L.L.C., Research Division: Okay. And then competitive dynamics? Has anything changed in this quarter versus...

John J. Engel

Analyst

Yes. It's fourth quarter was tough. I mean, look at our pricing versus -- and look at some of our investor peer, other distributors, they're pricing impacts. And so it's tough, Ryan. And this quarter, no change. I mean, we're seeing, basically, an extension of the conditions that exist into the fourth quarter, relative to pricing occurring, so far, in Q1.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Josh Pokrzywinski of MKM Partners.

Joshua C. Pokrzywinski - MKM Partners LLC, Research Division

Analyst

So just taking a look at the full year outlook. And I appreciate some of the drivers that are allowing you to keep the underlying assumptions the same, the [indiscernible] base year all notwithstanding. But comp seems like they're as easy as they're going to get in the first quarter. And okay, I get that there's weather impact right now that's holding down January. But you still have a bit of a hole to dig out of just to get to the guidance range. I guess, what -- where is the visibility coming from, that we get this pick up 2Q to 4Q? And maybe beyond that, that there's good marginal leverage on it. Particularly in this 0 price environment.

John J. Engel

Analyst

Well, I think your -- the setup of your question is very good because we don't quite have January done, but once January is done, we've got 1/3 of the quarter done. And so I think now you see the basis for what Ken articulated, our 0 to 3% growth in Q1. We do understand how our business traditionally performs. January to February to March inside Q1, and there's typically a very significant step up in sales as we move through the first quarter. And it's our expectation that, barring unforeseen weather conditions that continue to extend through the quarter, that we should start to see that pick up. And then we understand what the seasonality of our business is, Josh, as we move through -- from a Q1 by month through a Q2, through a Q3, et cetera. So that's the basis of it. And we've got good traction in our Utility business, in our Datacom business. I didn't mention Lighting, I probably should have mentioned Lighting. Lighting grew 5% in the quarter and it grown in the third quarter as well. And so we've had very nice momentum in Lighting. What I think is important to understand with our Lighting business is we have a full Lighting solution capability. It includes traditional lamps, replacement lamps for existing sockets. But then it also includes fixtures, balance, controls for new applications, whether it's a LED retrofit or tied with some new construction, or an upgrade project. If you look inside the fourth quarter, our fix -- everything other than lamps was up double digits. Back to the comment I made earlier, we look at suppliers. Acuity, one of our supplier partners, terrific company, had terrific results in terms of Lighting growth in the fourth quarter. A nice double-digit growth. We had nice double-digit growth, lamps aside. With lamps, it was 5% growth. So it gives you a little sense on that. And for the full year, we grew nicely, 6%, for Lighting on the fixtures side. So we're seeing a nice pickup in momentum in Lighting side. It's a long answer to your question, Josh, but I think we've got a very clear view of how Q1 should behave. Barring a typical return to normal weather as we move through the quarter or that's -- let's say assuming, not barring, assuming a return of difficult weather. And we know what the kind of linearity of our business is. We do have a better sense now for EECOL's seasonality now there's been 1 year under our belt. And as we talked to our EECOL leaders, they've given us good sense of what was traditional versus nontraditional, given how last year unfolded so we've factored that in.

Kenneth S. Parks

Analyst

And I would just add one thing to it. You talked about the comps are probably the easiest or best with Q1. But also keep in mind, as you watch what happened with the margin rates in 2013. It's actually the reverse of that. That's the hardest comp. And as we move through the year with the sales softening, that actually had pressure on the margins as we move through. So that is not the easiest comp, but just factor that in to how you look at Q1 as well.

Joshua C. Pokrzywinski - MKM Partners LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. I guess a follow-up on that, though. It does seem like if you look over the past few years, the gap between the 1Q margin and where you ended up for the full year seemed like it was sub-50 basis points. And what was arguably a better pricing environment than where we're at today. And now, we're working closer to 80 basis points. So I guess, I'm wondering, again, in this low price environment, if there's something holding back the mix in 1Q to where it's a much bigger leap than we're normally able to see.

Kenneth S. Parks

Analyst

Yes. I don't think that plays into it at all. I don't see a mix differential. Maybe we can even take it off-line and kind of work through the mechanics a little bit.

John J. Engel

Analyst

I think we have -- I know we are running a bit out of time. We still have a few in the queue. I think we'll take one more and then we'll -- Dan and Ken and I will, obviously -- I think, Dan, you've got a full set of calls schedule that we'll be available to follow-up.

Operator

Operator

Next question comes from Kwame Webb of Morningstar.

Kwame Webb

Analyst

At the August Investor Day, you talked about a 22% long-term gross margin goal. If you could maybe comment on how much of that goal is going to be accomplished through further scale such as EECOL. That clearly added about 100 basis points versus further improvements and procurement and leaning out that process.

John J. Engel

Analyst

Sure. And thanks for the question. We look at 2 major drivers to our gross margin improvement. And I'll put it in 2 categories: one is our base business; two is the acquisitions that we're doing. If you look at the 8 acquisitions that we've done since June 2010, they were -- they had -- they were accretive and helped our operating margins and many of them, in fact, helped gross margin, not all but many of them helped gross margins as well. So acquisitions is a leverage. We buy other categories or strengthen an existing category. If we strengthen an existing product category, it gives us [indiscernible] benefit, it translates into better pricing power and margins. If we're adding new categories, by and large, we're looking at attractive categories that provide attractive margins, like our Conney Safety business that we added back in July, 1.5 years ago, which is a terrific Industrial MRO and Supplies business. On the base business, Kwame, Stephen also, you'll recall at the Investor Day laid out all the various initiatives that we're aggressively trying to execute to improve for core margins. Core being that the base business without acquisitions. There's a series of pricing actions and initiatives. There's a series of sourcing and supply chain and purchasing actions and initiatives. And all of those are being executed with teams, driving that execution. And we work very hard at that. Now that's into a backdrop of what's a dynamic pricing environment. The dynamic pricing environment is a challenging environment. But, hopefully, I've given you a little bit of a framework in terms of how we're going after fundamental margin expansion. For gross margins, right? The 2 contributors. The other lever for out margin expansion is our operating cost leverage. And when we get nice growth at the 6%, 7%, 8% kind of organic growth range, we have tremendous operating profit pull-through because of our kind of very cost-efficient SG&A structure and the way that we've managed that over time. So those 2, combined, are what form the recipe of our operating margin expansion. So let me make a few wrap-up comments. Thank you for your time today and your continued support. I'll end on this note: we remain sharply focused on executing our One WESCO initiatives this year, while continuing to make investments in our people, our processes and our business. Thanks. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your line.