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WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC)

Q4 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 5, 2026

$114.65

-0.98%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon and welcome to WEC Energy Group's Conference Call for Fourth Quarter and Year End 2025 Results. This call is being recorded for rebroadcast and all participants are in a listen-only mode at this time. After the presentation, the conference will be open to analysts for questions and answers. In conjunction with this call, a package of detailed financial information is posted at wecenergygroup.com. A replay will be available approximately two hours after the conclusion of this call. Before the conference call begins, please note that all statements in the presentation other than historical facts are forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties that are subject to change at any time. Such statements are based on management's expectation at the time they are made. In addition to the assumption and other factors referred to in connection with the statements, factors described in Energy Group's latest form 10-K and subsequent reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated. During the discussion, referenced earnings per share will be based on diluted earnings per share unless otherwise noted. This call also will include non-GAAP financial information. The company has provided reconciliations to the most direct comparable GAAP measures in the materials posted on its website for this conference call. And now it's my pleasure to introduce Scott Lauber, president and chief executive officer of WEC Energy Group.

Scott Lauber

President

Good afternoon, everyone. And thank you for joining us today as we review our results for the calendar year 2025. Here with me are Xia Liu, our chief financial officer, and Beth Straka, senior vice president of corporate communications and investor relations. As you saw from our news release this morning, we reported full-year 2025 adjusted earnings of $5.27 a share. This excludes a one-time charge of 46¢ per share related to a proposed settlement in Illinois. We expect the settlement will fully resolve all open reconciliation dockets on rider QIP spending from 2017 to the rider sunset in 2023. It will also resolve all open reconciliations of the uncollectible rider for the period 2019 through 2023. I'll provide more details on this in a few minutes. Across the company, I'm pleased to report that we delivered another year of solid results in virtually every meaningful measure. From customer satisfaction to financial performance to steady execution of our capital plan. In just a few minutes, Shaw will provide more details on our financial results and outlook. But first, let me highlight the strong economic growth in our region that's driving our robust capital plan. There have been many exciting announcements and developments in our state. Microsoft is making good progress on its large data center complex, with more than 2,000 acres purchased to date. We have energy flowing to the site, and the first phase of the project is expected to go online this year. Just last week, Microsoft received approval from local officials to expand the campus further with 15 additional data center buildings. Based on our updated plan, we are adding 500 megawatts of customer demand to the forecast. This is resulting in an estimated $1 billion of additional incremental capital to our capital plan. This brings our…

Xia Liu

Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Scott. Turning now to earnings. Our 2025 adjusted earnings were $5.27 per share. An increase of $0.39 per share over 2024 adjusted earnings. Now let's take a closer look at our year-over-year variances. Our earnings package includes a comparison of adjusted full-year results on Page 17. I'll walk through the significant drivers. Starting with our utility operations, adjusted earnings were $0.63 higher in 2025 compared to 2024. Weather positively impacted utility earnings by approximately $0.35 relative to last year. Compared to normal conditions, we estimate that weather had a 10¢ favorable impact in 2025 compared to a 25¢ unfavorable impact in 2024. Rate-based growth contributed $0.74 more to earnings. This was largely driven by the Wisconsin rate review outcomes that were effective on 01/01/2025. It also includes 12¢ of incremental AFUDC equity from projects under construction. These positive drivers were partially offset by 46¢ from higher depreciation and amortization expense, day-to-day O&M, as well as tax and other items. Now before I discuss earnings comparisons at the other segments, let me briefly comment on our weather-normal electric sales. For 2025, retail electric deliveries in Wisconsin excluding the iron ore mine, increased 1.1% year over year. We were slightly ahead of our forecast in every segment. For 2026, we are projecting weather-normal retail electric sales in Wisconsin to grow 1.6% from 2025 levels. I'll note that we expect a large commercial and industrial segment to grow 5.8%, fueled by our forecasted data center load. Now back to our earnings comparison. Regarding our investment in American Transmission Company, earnings increased 2¢ compared to 2024 driven by a $0.06 increase from continued capital investment to meet demand growth and maintain reliability partially offset by a one-time gain we recognized in 2024. And at our energy infrastructure segment, earnings increased 10¢ in 2025…

Scott Lauber

President

Thank you, Shaul. As you may have seen, our board at its January meeting increased the dividend by 6.7% to an annualized $3.81 per share. This will mark the twenty-third consecutive year that our shareholders will be rewarded with higher dividends. The increase is consistent with our policy of paying out 65% to 70% of our earnings in dividends. Before I open up for Q&A, I want to summarize some of the highlights of the call. We hit the top end of the 2025 earnings guidance on an adjusted basis. We reached an agreement with the Illinois attorney general on the terms of a proposed settlement that would allow us to put 12 historical reconciliation dockets behind us so we can now focus on the future. Economic growth is driving another 500 megawatts of forecasted demand for a total of 3.9 gigawatt increase in our five-year plan. This growth is adding $1 billion to our five-year capital plan, which is now at $37.5 billion. All of these developments give us even more confidence in our 7% to 8% long-term EPS compound annual growth rate with acceleration to the upper half of the range starting in 2028. Overall, we're on track and focused on providing value for our customers and our stockholders. Operator, we are now ready for the question and answer portion of the call.

Operator

Operator

Now we will take your questions. The question and answer session will be conducted electronically. To ask a question, please press the star key followed by the digit one on your phone. If you are using a speakerphone, turn off your mute function to allow your signal to reach our equipment. We will take as many questions as time permits. Once again, press star, and then one on your phone, to ask a question. Your first question comes from the line of Julien Dumoulin-Smith with Jefferies. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is now open. Please go ahead

Hey. Good afternoon, team. Nicely done. Gotta say a bevy of updates here today. No doubt, nonetheless. I wanted to follow-up on the commentary you guys started with at the top of the call on Microsoft here. Can you elaborate a little bit more about the 500 megawatts that you're putting in here now? I mean, to what extent is there even more beyond that? Every time you give us some, we're gonna ask about the next fees. But, also, as it pertains to the CapEx, right, you talk about a billion dollars of additional CapEx. To what extent is that 500 mill the 500 megawatts or the billion dollars stretch beyond technically the five-year period as well? And what do you know about the further ramp there too?

Scott Lauber

President

Sure, Julian. Thanks for the question. And when you look at it, Microsoft has been working on that first 1,364 acres. And now and we've always talked that the growth that we have has been started in that main spot. And now they're starting to add to the north of Highway 11 locally. That's a project north. So that's where we added the 500. I think as you as we continue and when you listen to the Microsoft conference call, someone asked about the Wisconsin development, and they talked about that as a multiyear delivery. So I think there's gonna be a lot to come as we start thinking about 2031 in the future also. And remember, there's still more land that they are looking to purchase. And haven't developed yet. So I think there's a lot of opportunities here.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is now open. Please go ahead

Yeah. Do you wanna expand on that? I mean, it seems that the other parcel here might even be bigger than the first one. Can you just elaborate a little bit about what we understand in sort of the multistage? I get maybe at times folks are shy to talk about the full extent of the opportunity. But still, you know, obviously, phase one has been so large, 500 megawatts. Do we have any other further clues about just how big and how fast this could go? Sorry to press you so much on it, but it's tantalizing.

Scott Lauber

President

Yeah. I understand completely, and we're very excited about the development here. What they're doing here in Wisconsin. I do not want to get out ahead of Microsoft and their plans. All I can really say is, you know, they're starting to do LAN at about 570 acres, and that's about where we put that 500 megawatts. There's more land. You know? That's just the start of that development when you think about the amount of megawatts people are now putting on land. And then I think there's at least another couple hundred or so that they haven't developed, and they're looking for more land as we've talked to the paper. They have been very transparent here in Southeastern Wisconsin on their plan. So more to come, but and I don't want to get ahead of Microsoft by any means, so just very positive as we see their development grow.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is now open. Please go ahead

Awesome. And then just to bring up another subject real quickly on Point Beach. How are the negotiations progressing at what point do you need to make a decision about the 500 megawatts there for replacement power or what have you? For the 2030 piece.

Scott Lauber

President

Yeah. Great question. And when we look at it, you know, those contracts end in 2030. And then the second one is in 2033, I think, at the beginning of 2033. So we have time. We're still in communications with NextEra on the plant. We're gonna factor all that in and what we need, which I only can see as potentially upside in our plan, in our fall update. So we're going through our planning process like we do every summer looking at, you know, how did the winter, you know, these colds fell, how did the system perform? What do we look at in the future for additional growth? Adding another year onto our sales forecast. And then, of course, factoring in this Point Beach PPA if we need to replace it with some other generation. I see that as potential upside in the plan, but we'll factor that into the fall.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith

Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is now open. Please go ahead

Awesome. Nicely done, guys. We'll talk to you soon. Take care.

Scott Lauber

President

Sounds good. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Sharpe Pourreza with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Alex

Analyst · Sharpe Pourreza with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead

Hey. Good afternoon, everyone. It's actually Alex on for Shar. Thanks.

Scott Lauber

President

Absolutely, Alex.

Alex

Analyst · Sharpe Pourreza with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead

So, obviously, you're seeing a lot of growth on the data center front. So, you've highlighted Microsoft and the Vantage project. But can you maybe talk a little bit more, I mean, to the extent that you can, are you seeing additional interest from other hyperscaler customers? And if I could just add on, you know, there's been local opposition around data centers in other parts of the state. But can you just talk about your strategy and overall confidence level around attracting customers despite some of these headwinds we've seen recently? Thanks.

Scott Lauber

President

Sure. Sure. And you have seen a little noise around the state. I think you're seeing a couple of things now, and I'm very confident that other people are looking for opportunities in Wisconsin, and we have a lot of discussions. And even Microsoft has talked about even being more transparent, so I think everyone understands they need to be more transparent, working more with the communities, being much more proactive than they were two years ago. So I think that's all positive developments here. I think also our very large tariff that protects all our other customers, the hyperscalers understand it and like the fact that they can really point to something very transparent in protecting other customers. So, you know, we don't have a tendency to talk about a pipeline because we want to just talk about what's actually announced and developed, but there's other opportunities, and we're in multiple discussions.

Alex

Analyst · Sharpe Pourreza with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead

Got it then. That's helpful. And then just sort of, you know, looking at the five-year outlook you have out there. So 26%, 27%, you're at that 6.5% to 7% growth. Obviously, you're seeing a lot of growth. Is this just timing as to when data centers start coming online? Just want to get a sense of what could be holding you back from growing at that seven percent eight in the first half of the plan? Is there anything you see out there that could potentially move the needle? Thanks.

Scott Lauber

President

Yeah. Yeah. That's a great question. And, you know, we're six to half to seven this year. And we're consistent with what we talked about seven to eight in '27, and then in the eight range after that, it really just mirrors our capital plan. And everyone's doing a great job getting projects identified and getting things staged. It takes a while for all those capital to get ramped up. But we're right on time. And in fact, we've even ramped up maybe even a little faster than we anticipated here in a couple of projects, which is good to see. Too early to do anything, move anything. But really positive, and it really just mirrors our capital plan. But adding this extra billion, which is, as Shaw said, probably in the twenty-nine, thirty-time frame, just really is gonna strengthen the long-term outlook for our capital plan.

Alex

Analyst · Sharpe Pourreza with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead

Great. Thanks for the color. I'll leave it there.

Scott Lauber

President

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Nicholas Campanella with Barclays. Please go ahead.

Nicholas Campanella

Analyst · Nicholas Campanella with Barclays. Please go ahead

Hey. Good afternoon, everyone. Hope everyone's well. Thanks for taking my questions.

Scott Lauber

President

Absolutely. Good afternoon, you too.

Nicholas Campanella

Analyst · Nicholas Campanella with Barclays. Please go ahead

Yeah. Absolutely. Good to get all the updates. Just wanted to ask on regulatory. Just now that we kinda have, you know, all the testimonies out there on the VLC, you know, how do you feel about the potential to kinda settle this if that's important at all and if the window is open to do so? And then I'm also just wondering the timing on the GRC filing, if that's still on track for midway through this year?

Scott Lauber

President

Sure. Great question. And the very large customer tariff, I see that going the entire period that the commission makes a decision. And one of the items that we want to make sure we have when everyone talks about affordability and data center causing rate increases, this tariff is one of the best or the best out there, we think, to make sure that data centers pay their fair share. We want true transparency. And we want to go through the entire audit process and get all those questions out there. So remember, we filed it. In conjunction and Microsoft Advantage have supported the tariff. And now we're just going through a very thorough vetting process. And I don't have any concerns going through the entire process. But once again, the goal of this is to make sure the customers pay their fair share and to make sure everyone understands how it's working so we have true transparency on our largest customers. And then on the rate case filing, we're on track. Filing in April, we're still in the process of pulling the numbers together but, you know, on track to get that filing out there.

Nicholas Campanella

Analyst · Nicholas Campanella with Barclays. Please go ahead

Hey. Great. Thanks for that. And then just maybe really quick on the financing, just I know that there was a comment around the $1 billion ATM for twenty-six. Just any thoughts on further derisking the plan past that? Or could there be any downside to this number if you guys were to lean on some additional hybrids there is capacity?

Scott Lauber

President

Thank you. Yeah. I'll let Shaw answer that one.

Xia Liu

Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. Absolutely. We are all over that. So we have very limited hybrid financing so far. We had a $600 million issuance last year. So we have a significant capacity for hybrid, but this $900 to $1,100 million I talked about is for common equity financing. And as I said, we're relying on an ATM, so we fully expect to get that executed throughout the year.

Nicholas Campanella

Analyst · Nicholas Campanella with Barclays. Please go ahead

Thank you.

Scott Lauber

President

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Carly Davenport with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Carly Davenport

Analyst · Carly Davenport with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead

Hey. Good afternoon. Thanks so much for taking the questions. Maybe to start, just you talk a bit about how you're thinking about potential election rhetoric around affordability just in the face of filing a rate case in Wisconsin in the next couple of months and just how that might inform your filing or the rate case process?

Scott Lauber

President

Sure. Sure. And, you know, across the country, you're hearing affordability. And in Wisconsin here, you as you mentioned, you know, we do have a governor's race. It's a pretty open race. Our governor Eagles is not running again. So there are several Democrats who have thrown their hat in the ring. We're really early in the process. There are several issues that they're bringing up. You know, in addition to affordability and property tax, taxes. They're also looking at health care, child care, education. So there's a lot of topics that are being floated around. But we're definitely aware of affordability. And, you know, we continue to, you know, we're pulling our numbers together but we are doing a lot to try to keep our rates as low as having a lot of initiatives to keep costs low. And in fact, as we closed the books this last year, in Wisconsin Electric, when you look at the performance of our plants, and the fuel cost, we were able to be in a positive fuel recovery. And because of the warmer weather, we got into a positive position on their sharing mechanism at Wisconsin Electric. The result is approximately $55 million that we'll be able to give back to. So we think about affordability every day, but that's how we're kinda factoring stuff in.

Carly Davenport

Analyst · Carly Davenport with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead

That's great. Thank you so much for the color there. And then follow-up maybe just on Illinois. I know you're still early stages on the PR. But I guess, are there any near-term milestones we should be watching there to gauge progress and also gauge the support from the commission for those investments?

Scott Lauber

President

Sure. Great question, and you are exactly right. We are in the early stages this year. I think we're looking at retiring approximately 35 miles, and that's ramping up every year until we get to what we think is a run rate in 2028. We are, you know, this settlement is a big step forward as in we stopped looking backwards, and now we're looking forward. The early indications will be, I mean, we're working on the projects that soon start to kick off with field work. We've done a little bit last year laying out the plans. But, really, in this test year, we'll have forward-looking capital plans that the commission will also have a look at and we're working very closely now that the safety monitor is on staff and has been hired and laying out our plans of what we're doing and how we're reporting to the safety monitor. So I think the indication is gonna be probably the first one is what happens in our rate case filing that we just filed which is really forward-looking for 2027 and how we prioritize the projects.

Carly Davenport

Analyst · Carly Davenport with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead

Got it. Great. Thanks so much for the updates.

Scott Lauber

President

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Sullivan with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead.

Michael Sullivan

Analyst · Michael Sullivan with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead

Hey. Good afternoon. I'll just pick up on the last line of questions sticking with Illinois. Any chance you can settle these rate cases? And then also as it relates to the riders you just settled on, I mean, it seems like the bill credits and rate base reduction creates a little bit of a headwind. So just how you're thinking about offsetting that?

Scott Lauber

President

Sure. Sure. And it's really early to even think about settlements on the Illinois case yet, so we'll see where we get as we get through the audit. And the staff audit and intervener. So a little bit too early on all of that. When you think about the settlement we just had in Illinois and you look at that really look at it the overall picture. That's why we reaffirmed our long-term growth rate of that seven to 8% with or seven to 8% growth with the upper end of the range in 2028 and beyond. I mean, we factored all that in as we looked at that. And as you heard on the call, we just add another billion dollars of growth. And remember, that growth is really driven by the hyperscalers, which are paying their share of the electricity cost, so it doesn't have a burden on our other customers' rate. So, you know, we were able to offset it. Very quickly here, but a good spot to move forward in Illinois.

Michael Sullivan

Analyst · Michael Sullivan with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead

Okay. Great. Then maybe I'll just go there in terms of what the Microsoft ramp could do. They're paying their fair share. Is it possible they actually could lower rates for customers and maybe any sense of size you could give us on the upcoming Wisconsin rate case?

Scott Lauber

President

Yeah. Sure. I mean, you think about it. They're paying their fair share which includes corporate allocations and other common costs. Which eventually and I think you're gonna see more of this as that bill gets bigger, of course, the more corporate allocations you have, the less burden it is on all other customers. So it's hard to really quantify that until we start seeing actual real stuff go into service. Remember, their first site is just starting to go into service. And a lot of that capital spending is in the later part of the plan. But long term, it's incrementally good for customers.

Michael Sullivan

Analyst · Michael Sullivan with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead

Okay. Great. Thank you.

Scott Lauber

President

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Stephen D’Ambrisi with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Stephen D’Ambrisi: Hi, Scott. Hi, Shah. Thanks very much for taking my question.

Scott Lauber

President

Absolutely. Stephen D’Ambrisi: I just had a quick one. You know, congratulations on increasing the Microsoft load. But I really wanted to follow on to Julian's Point Beach question and just quickly understand, you know, to the extent you do move forward with replacing the Point Beach PPA with generation, do you have interconnect generation interconnect agreements? Or slots in the MISO queue, or can you participate in the ARRIS process? I think there's a rolling window where you can cycle in, and I just wasn't sure if you already had any slots or were looking to potentially add some or if that's a place that we could watch to see potential activity on your end. Thanks.

Scott Lauber

President

Yeah. That's a good question. And we work alongside with a very good developer of energy as we develop our plans to make sure we have, you know, renewables, batteries, you know, natural gas generation. And, you know, I feel very confident in talking to our generation team, not to give you too many details here that we can replace that power as we look at 2030, and '33. We're gonna look, of course, at what's economic for our customers. So we're gonna really balance the economics of our customers and what makes sense as we look at Point Beach and we look at capital investments, what's overall best for our customers.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Andrew Weisel with Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst · Andrew Weisel with Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Hey. Good afternoon, everybody.

Scott Lauber

President

Hey, Andrew.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst · Andrew Weisel with Scotiabank. Please go ahead

First, just a quick one. The gap charge you took related to Illinois, is there a cash component to that, or might there be one going forward?

Scott Lauber

President

Sure. There's two components, and the total is that 46¢ as you saw on that adjustment. The one component is a $130 million rate-based component that is forward-looking and perspective. It'll be factored in in the final rate order. That's what we're anticipating will happen. And then there's a $125 million of cash credits that go back to customers over the next three years. It's approximately $50 million in that first year, and then the last two years are split evenly for the remaining 75. So that's it'll be a little cash. It'll be a little pressure, of course, on our FFO to debt matrix, but good to get these old cases behind us.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst · Andrew Weisel with Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Got it. Thank you. Next, I'm hoping you can clarify a little the interplay between the VLC tariff and the general rate case. I've been getting enough questions. I think there's some confusion. Firstly, can you preview when you file in April, just round numbers what kind of rate impact should we expect for the general customers now that the data center customers are being separated?

Scott Lauber

President

Sure. Sure. And we're pulling those numbers together, so I really there's a lot of stuff that has to happen and look at it. But we do keep affordability in our mind as we pull this case together. But just to give you a little color on how we're looking at, you the total company will be provided on what our total expenses, capital spending, and then we'll have separated just like we do for our wholesale customers, separated these very large customers, the wholesale customers, and then what's remaining for our general rate case. So it'll be very once again, very transparent on all the assets that the very large customers are paying for in total. So that's kinda how it's gonna be broken out. Of course, you know, how the bills and stuff are set up and all the costs will be allocated that are directly assigned or allocated to those very large customers. So we're in the process of laying out how that will look right now. But that's the concepts.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst · Andrew Weisel with Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Okay. Fair enough. And then, you know, going one step further over the longer term beyond twenty-seven and twenty-eight test period that will be addressed how should we think about kind of this idea if data center activity exceeds expectations, would that help the rest of the customers by lowering their rates, or just leave them unimpacted? In other words, is the idea that data centers are completely independent, or is the idea that the excess data center activity should help the rest of the customers?

Scott Lauber

President

In general, as you look at it, and it takes several years, but a lot of corporate allocations are allocated on total rate base and cost. So as you can imagine, even like we went through the acquisition of Vetegra, we are able to spread common cost across a bigger footprint. Having data centers will have significant rate base. I think in our five-year plan, we're looking at that rate base, you know, the 14 to 15% of our earnings. So a significant part of that. So core corporate allocations will get spread across a larger rate base, and you're gonna see more of that as those assets continue to build. But that's, you know, more of it's gonna be in service in that twenty-eight, twenty-nine, thirty-time frame.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst · Andrew Weisel with Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Okay. Very good. One last one just on timing. My understanding is the VLC ruling should come pretty much around the same time as you're filing for the general rate case. Is it important that the first one concludes before the second one begins, or do you see them as independent tracks?

Scott Lauber

President

No. You know, we're pulling it together, assuming the filing that we have on the table right now and we'll be too independent because we'd have to file most likely at, like you said, about the same time or maybe even a little before that final decision is made on the rate on the VLCs.

Andrew Weisel

Analyst · Andrew Weisel with Scotiabank. Please go ahead

Okay. Great. Thank you so much.

Scott Lauber

President

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Paul Fremont with Ladenburg. Please go ahead.

Paul Fremont

Analyst · Paul Fremont with Ladenburg. Please go ahead

Hey. Thank you very much, and congratulations. First question, is the Microsoft announcement, should we think of that as the replacement for the canceled Caledonia project? Or are they still looking to do something to replace that?

Scott Lauber

President

So a great question that thanks, Paul. When you look at it, they had already purchased this land before that Caledonia, they they're looking for additional land beyond the Caledonia. So they're still looking for additional land. To replace what they decided to pull out or move away from in Caledonia.

Paul Fremont

Analyst · Paul Fremont with Ladenburg. Please go ahead

Right. And then, my next question has to do with sort of the pricing of Point Beach terminates around $120 per megawatt hour. I would think that new build would be a savings over, sort of the last years of the contract pricing? So why should we not assume that you would opt for new build versus recontracting?

Scott Lauber

President

I think you're gluing it together. A pretty good assumption there that there's price are pretty high, and if those prices, you know, they think they should be that high, a new build think about affordability, probably makes sense. But we gotta run that analysis yet, and more to come, but I do think there's upside here.

Paul Fremont

Analyst · Paul Fremont with Ladenburg. Please go ahead

Okay. And maybe last sort of a quick follow-up to that. Are there retired coal plant sites that could be sort of used as for new build?

Scott Lauber

President

No. You know, right now, actually, the coal plant that we retired multiple years ago that's actually an economic development use that site. So already developed some of those sites for other economic development. But we're looking at other locations and opportunities really gotta think of it now as where is the natural gas line for those gas, and how do you get that capacity in? So more to come, but we have spots in mind.

Paul Fremont

Analyst · Paul Fremont with Ladenburg. Please go ahead

Great. Thank you so much.

Scott Lauber

President

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your last question comes from the line of Paul Patterson with Glenrock Associates. Please go ahead.

Paul Patterson

Analyst · Glenrock Associates. Please go ahead

Hey. Good afternoon.

Scott Lauber

President

Hey, Paul.

Paul Patterson

Analyst · Glenrock Associates. Please go ahead

Just have a quick few housekeeping items. Just whether the residential number looks like you're planning a going down in 2026. Not by much, but just in general, is that because of energy efficiency, or is there something else we should be thinking about?

Xia Liu

Chief Financial Officer

We always try to be a little conservative in the forecast. So the base assumption is we do see good customer growth, but there's a little bit of decline in use per customers. Overall, it's a slight reduction, but we try to be conservative in the forecast.

Paul Patterson

Analyst · Glenrock Associates. Please go ahead

Okay. And then just in terms of the impairment on the Illinois thing, see the $130 million, I think, in the income statement. Called out. The other $75 million just from a geography, you know, AA income statement geography, where does that show up?

Xia Liu

Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. The other amount goes through revenues for some accounting reasons.

Paul Patterson

Analyst · Glenrock Associates. Please go ahead

Okay. Fair enough. Thank you so much.

Scott Lauber

President

Yep. Absolutely. Alright. That concludes our conference call for today. Thank you for participating. If you have any more questions, please feel free to contact Best Raca at (414) 221-4639.

Paul Patterson

Analyst · Glenrock Associates. Please go ahead

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.