Scott Estes
Analyst · Sandler O'Neill
Thanks, George and good morning, everyone. As George discussed, we are very excited about the recent additions to our portfolio, and our expectations that they will drive meaningful earnings and dividend growth for the company over the next several years. We were also pleased with the fundamental performance of the portfolio during the fourth quarter. We try maintaining coverage at an all-time high and strong same-store NOI growth that ranged between 2% and 5% across all of our asset segments. We made a decision to raise a significant amount of capital during the fourth quarter, which allowed us to form the additional partnerships announced last evening. These are all strategically significant partnerships with excellent operators and high-quality health systems that will help generate more significant earnings and dividend growth in 2011, 2012 and beyond. We believe our enhanced growth potential as a result of these investments more than offsets the minor near-term dilution, which occurred as a result of raising the capital early in completing the majority of our investments during the last week of December. Turning now to the details, as George discussed, we had a very successful year on the new investment front, completing $3.2 billion in total during 2010, which included a record $1.6 billion in the fourth quarter. In addition, the $1.3 billion of investments announced in 2011 to date, represent excellent additions to our portfolio and position us to generate FFO growth of at least 6% to 9% this year. Turning to portfolio performance, first in our stable, Senior housing and Care portfolio continues to perform well. Senior housing payment coverage remains at the solid 1.54x with occupancy increasing 1% to the current 89% level. Skilled nursing payments coverage increased five basis points sequentially to its historical high of 2.42x, with current occupancy of 85%. We generated strong same-store NOI growth rates within both the senior housing and skilled nursing portfolios during the fourth quarter. Our same-store senior housing NOI increased 2.9% versus last year, while our same-store skilled nursing NOI rose nearly 5% year over year. We also continued to see some nice progress at our entrance fee properties. As a result of this continued progress, on January 1 of 2011, we increased rent on the original nine communities operated by senior living communities by 8.3% or 50 basis points to 6.5%. These properties have a current investment balance of approximately $400 million. The 8.3% annual rent increase on these properties translates into a blended 2011 annual increase of 5.2% across our entire $653 million entrance fee portfolio. Next, I'll just briefly discuss our senior housing operating portfolio, which is comprised of our RIDEA partnerships. As of December 31, the operating portfolio consisted of our previously completed Merrill Gardens partnership and the recently announced Senior Star partnership, which closed on December 31. And we have included some additional disclosure regarding the operating portfolio for the first time on Page 24 of our supplement. Moving now over to the medical facilities portfolio. First, in regards to our hospital portfolio, fourth quarter stable payment coverage improved one basis point to a strong 2.7x overall. We also experienced significant 4% same-store NOI growth in our hospital portfolio during the fourth quarter versus last year. Our medical office portfolio had another strong quarter and finished the year exceeding our expectations. Occupancy increased 10 basis points sequentially in the quarter to end the year with occupancy over 93%, while our retention rate during 2010 was a strong 85%. We also generated solid same-store growth in our MOB portfolio, as fourth quarter same-store cash NOI increased 2.1% year-over-year. Our life science portfolio also continues to perform very well, as we saw a nice sequential same-store NOI increase of 4.1% versus the third quarter as depicted on Page 30 of the supplement. Turning now to financial results, we reported normalized FFO per share of $0.75 for the fourth quarter and $3.08 for the year, while normalized FAD per share was $0.68 for the quarter and $2.84 for the year. Our results came in below guidance as a direct result of the $950 million of capital raised during the quarter, which is not included in our previous forecast and the fact that the vast majority of fourth quarter investments occurred during the last week of the year. More important, this activity sets us up for significant growth in 2011 and puts us in a strong capital position to complete the 2011 transactions announced today. Regarding our dividend, the Board of Directors recently approved a quarterly cash dividend rate of $0.715 per share or $2.86 annually, commencing with the May dividend. This represents a 4% increase versus the previous rate. I'll now provide some additional details regarding our fourth quarter capital activity. The $450 million long tenure unsecured note offering completed in November enabled us to extend our weighted average debt maturity to nine years. In terms of equity, in addition to our 11.5 million share equity offerings in December, we issued 516,000 shares under our Dividend Reinvestment Program at an average net price of $46.50 per share, generating $24 million in proceeds. No shares were issued under our equity shelf [ph] (0:17:52) program during the quarter. At this point, our credit profile remained strong through December 31, with debt to undepreciated book capitalization of 45%, and interest and fixed charge coverage of 3.4x and 2.8x respectively. Finally, I'd like to review our 2011 guidance and assumptions. First, I would like to point out one change regarding our guidance methodology beginning in 2011. We will no longer assume additional investments in our guidance beyond what has been announced to date. In addition, we are discontinuing the investment press release that was typically issued about 10 days after quarter end that provided investment volumes but limited detail regarding expected returns on those investments. Instead, we plan on reporting investment results for the previous quarter at the time of our earnings release. This will enable us to include more detailed disclosures, such as cap rates, initial yields and growth potential and allow us to provide more details on the rationale behind these investments on the earnings calls. As detailed in the earnings release, we expect to report 2011 net income available to common stockholders in the range of $1.02 to $1.12 per diluted share. We anticipate 2011 FFO in the range of $3.25 to $3.35 per diluted share, representing strong 6% to 9% growth. Our 2011 FAD expectation is a range of $3.01 to $3.11 per diluted share, which also represents a strong 6% to 10% increase over normalized 2010 results. Our 2011 investment guidance assumes only the $1.3 billion of acquisitions and joint venture investments announced through today, and $212 million of funded development on the projects currently under construction. Also included in guidance is our expectation for approximately $300 million of dispositions in 2011, which are weighted towards the front half of the year. And finally, we are projecting development conversions for projects currently under construction of approximately $480 million, with an average initial cash yield of 9.1%. As George explained earlier, our overall portfolio mix is now an excellent balance of higher potential growth opportunities, supported by the more stable 2% to 3% increase as expected out of our triple net lease portfolio in medical office buildings. Including the transactions announced today, we expect that about 1/4 of our portfolio has the potential to generate internal NOI or rent growth at 5% or greater over the next several years, while the remaining 3/4 is expected to average the more traditional 2% to 3% growth per year. The higher growth vehicles in our assumptions are the senior housing operating assets, representing 22% of the pro forma portfolio and our life science investment of 3% of the portfolio. In regards to specific portfolio segments, in our triple net senior housing and hospital portfolios, we are forecasting solid same-store NOI growth of approximately 2% to 3% in 2011. As stated earlier, our senior housing operating portfolio will represent approximately 22% of our total investments, including the recently announced partnerships. We anticipate this portfolio will generate a 2011 NOI yield after management fees of approximately 7%, and it's positioned to grow approximately 5% to 6% over the next several years. In our medical office portfolio, we're expecting that occupancy will stay in the 93% range, while same-store cash NOI growth is forecast to increase approximately 1% to 2%. In addition, we have only 6% of the portfolio rolling over in 2011 and we are forecasting solid tenant retention of approximately 80% this year. Next, we expect that our life science portfolio will continue to perform well in 2011. The first two leases that came up for renewal, representing about 15% of the total life science portfolio square footage were renewed at average rate increases in excess of 35%. Since these new leases are expected to commence later this year, we are expecting average NOI growth roughly of 2% to 3% for the portfolio this year. However, we do expect to be able to achieve NOI growth in the life science portfolio in excess of 5% over time as a larger number of leases begin to roll beginning in 2012. Our G&A forecast is approximately $69 million for 2011, representing approximately 67 basis points of assets this year, including the acquisitions announced today. As George mentioned, we have continued to add a number of outstanding professionals to our team as we manage the significant growth in our portfolio. And finally, I'll take just a minute to discuss our capital needs as we enter 2011. As of December 31, we have almost $1 billion of cash and line of credit availability. And as discussed, we have announced growth investment of $1.5 billion this year. So approximately $1 billion of this $1.5 billion growth investment capital need is expected to come from the following sources: First, we will assume approximately $613 million of secured debt associated with our recently announced 2011 investments at a blended rate of 5.5%. Second, we expect $300 million of asset sales weighted towards the first half of 2011. And third, $90 million is expected through our Dividend Reinvestment Plan. This leaves only about $500 million that's not spoken for. So given our cash and line availability here of nearly $1 billion and the $400 million in committed bridge financing we obtained as discussed in our press release, we believe we're in excellent capital position and have adequate liquidity to meet our current 2011 investment needs. With that, George, that concludes my prepared remarks and operator, I guess we'd like to open the call for questions, please.