Earnings Labs

Weatherford International plc (WFRD)

Q3 2020 Earnings Call· Wed, Nov 4, 2020

$110.06

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Weatherford International Third Quarter 2020 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Sebastian Pellizzer, Senior Director, Investor Relations. Sir, you may begin.

Sebastian Pellizzer

Analyst

Welcome, everyone, to the Weatherford International Third Quarter 2020 Conference Call. I'm joined today by Girish Saligram, President and CEO; Karl Blanchard, Executive Vice President and COO; and Keith Jennings, Executive Vice President and CFO. We will start today with our prepared remarks, and then we will open it up for questions. You may download a copy of the presentation slides that correspond with today's call from the Investor Relations section of our website. I want to remind everyone that some of today's comments include forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to many risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from any expectation expressed herein. Please refer to our latest Securities and Exchange Commission filings for risk factors and cautions regarding forward-looking statements. Our comments today also include non-GAAP financial measures. As noted in our press release, the company adopted fresh-start accounting in December 2019. Our comments today include a comparison of the results of the predecessor and successor companies. The underlying details and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures are included in our third quarter press release, which can be found on our website. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Girish.

Girish Saligram

Analyst

Thanks, Sebastian, and thank you all for joining the call today. We will start on Slide 3. Let me begin by saying it's an honor to be entrusted with the responsibility to lead Weatherford. I am excited about our journey and opportunity for value creation. We are fortunate to have a talented, committed and dedicated team that has forged strong relationships with our customers, suppliers and partners. I look forward to seeing those continue to strengthen and flourish. Before we get into the topics for today, I'd like to recognize the efforts, tenacity and resilience of the Weatherford team. It has been a pleasure for me to see the concept of One Weatherford in action, and I am grateful for everyone's dedication to serving our customers and driving the business forward during a challenging year. The spirit of teamwork and collaboration, resting on a foundation built with our strong brand, technology innovation and global footprint are key factors in me deciding to take on this role. In my 3 short weeks, I've already witnessed tangible demonstrations of all of these, and I'm eager to learn more. Our senior leadership team has recently changed with the new CEO, CFO and General Counsel. Both Keith and Scott are very experienced and mature leaders, and I'm very pleased to have a team of this caliber and our company's health. Before turning it over to Karl, who will give you some additional highlights from the quarter, I'd like to thank him for his leadership over the past few months. It's a rare privilege for an incoming CEO to have someone like Karl to rely on, and I'm grateful for his continued focus, drive and leadership as we execute on our key priorities. Over to you, Karl.

Karl Blanchard

Analyst

Thank you, Girish. And once again, welcome to the One Weatherford team. Through our prepared remarks today, we will focus on our progress in 4 critical areas, which we've laid out on Slide 4. Those are safety and service quality, leveraging our product and service portfolio, expanding our margins and enhancing our liquidity position. I'm proud of how our team continues to deliver on these priorities. We made excellent progress on our cost saving efforts, having implemented the actions required to exceed our previously announced $800 million annualized cost savings target, and we expect further costs and efficiency improvements going forward. We improved our cash flow profile, generating $107 million of unlevered free cash flow during the quarter, an increase of over $300 million from the third quarter of 2019. And we continue to focus on the safety of our employees and their families, managing return to workplace plans in line with guidance from the WHO, CDC and local regulations. We also strengthened our financial position with the closing of our financing transaction, which Keith will touch on in his remarks. These transactions meaningfully enhance our liquidity profile, with Weatherford having approximately $1.3 billion of total cash on hand at the end of September. Slide 5 highlights recent trends for both rig count and drilling and completion spending in North America and international. In North America, third quarter drilling activity reductions were in line with our expectations. Average rig counts in North America declined 28% quarter-on-quarter. However, shut-ins and production cuts were lifted slightly faster than anticipated, resulting in higher completion and workover activity. Internationally, activity declines were again largely in line with our expectations for the quarter, with average rig counts declining by 12% sequentially. Europe stabilized in the quarter and the recovery in parts of Latin America materialized…

H. Jennings

Analyst

Thank you, Karl. I am excited to join Weatherford and look forward to engaging with all of you during my time here. Let's turn to Slide 8, and I will begin with a summary of our third quarter results. Revenues in the third quarter were $807 million, 2% below the second quarter and 39% below the same period in 2019. This sequential decline primarily resulted from reduced drilling activity in the Middle East and Mexico, which were partially offset by low single-digit growth elsewhere. Third quarter adjusted EBITDA was $104 million or adjusted EBITDA margin of 13%. Despite the revenue decline during the quarter, EBITDA margins reduced slightly versus prior year but expanded over 300 basis points sequentially from our actions to expand margins as well as a onetime benefit related to capital sales from 2019. This has resulted in favorable EBITDA decrementals, defined as a change in adjusted EBITDA or the change in revenue. Our year-over-year EBITDA decrementals were an impressive 15% during the third quarter and 7% year-to-date 2020. Let me now provide a regional breakdown, starting with the Western Hemisphere on Slide 9. Western Hemisphere revenues of $316 million in the third quarter grew 2% sequentially and declined 53% versus prior year. Revenue in North America grew 2% sequentially, outperforming a corresponding 28% decline in average North American rig count and in line with the estimated growth of hydrocarbon production in North America during the quarter. Production and completion, or P&C, revenue increased 6% sequentially as producers lifted shut-ins, which resulted in increased well completion and workover activity. Revenues for drilling, evaluation and intervention, or DEI, declined 6% sequentially due to lower drilling activity as well as changes in our business model to improve profitability within our wireline and drilling services product lines. Additionally, both product lines…

Girish Saligram

Analyst

Thank you, Keith. Our team has delivered a strong third quarter. We generated EBITDA of $104 million, free cash flow of $105 million and we will continue to execute on our cost savings actions. These strong results, coupled with the closing of the liquidity-enhancing transactions and the removal of the substantial doubt language in our filings, give me confidence in our future. I'd like to close today by discussing our outlook for the market and my objectives and approach going forward. In North America, we do not anticipate a meaningful recovery in drilling activity over the near term, given the fact that the forward curve for commodity prices remains range bound. However, we do expect to see gradual increases in completion and production activity as operators work through DUCs and continue bringing production back online. Internationally, we expect activity to be flat to slightly down overall, with perhaps a slightly negative bias as the reductions in customer spending in the Middle East and parts of Latin America may outweigh recoveries in other locations. We have seen significant reductions in rig count and customer spending globally this year, and our near-term outlook for the market remains cautious. However, there are many external factors whose impact and outcome on our industry are far from certain, including a recovery in global economic activity, rising COVID-19 cases and the reinstatement of community protection measures, the timing and effectiveness of a potential vaccine and global policy measures. Clearly, as the last couple of weeks have indicated, volatility remains high, and it is likely too early to draw any definitive conclusions based on near-term trends. As a result, we are continuing our planning based on current activity levels with the confidence that we can act quickly and adapt to evolving conditions as we have demonstrated. Moving…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Today's first question comes from Marc Bianchi with Cowen.

Marc Bianchi

Analyst

First question has to do with just the revenue outlook for fourth quarter here. Eastern Hemisphere, down mid- to high single digits. Seems like a bit more severe than what we've heard from other companies so far this quarter, would that have given their fourth quarter outlook for international. Curious if there's anything unique to Weatherford that you'd point out. And if in fact it is unique, how do you see that progressing as we go into '21?

H. Jennings

Analyst

Good question. So a few things that are, I think, are specific to our set of circumstances. We have certain contracts and certain customers that are scaling back their activities. We believe that this is in line with the rig count decline that we've seen in the Middle East. We've also seen some activity being pushed out to 2021. So that's the outlook that we have at the moment. It's different from others. I'll invite Karl to say anything specific about some commercial activities or color you may have.

Karl Blanchard

Analyst

Yes. Marc, this is Karl. I think the -- one of the differences may be just the timing of some of our contractual work where we, I think, held ground a little longer in certain areas in the Middle East, particularly. But as you all know, and in the market, you understand what the rigs are doing in some countries over there, some of the major countries continue to drop. But it isn't a reflection of any lost work or lost contractual work. It's more just the sequencing of when the work occurs for us, is the way we see it. But we still feel good about the position we've got. We've got some great contract positions and some, looking forward into next year, a good position as well. But it's more timing, I think, than specifics to contract changes or losses, et cetera.

Marc Bianchi

Analyst

Okay. Okay, great. And the -- if I sort of look at the guidance here for adjusted EBITDA, I mean, you can get a very wide range for fourth quarter if I use 10% decrementals or 15% decrementals. It kind of goes to between breakeven and maybe $75 million. Curious if you guys are willing to kind of comment how you see it within that range. Is it closer to $75 million? Or could it be down so much? And if it is down so much, what's really driving that because I would have thought the cost savings would be a tailwind?

H. Jennings

Analyst

Marc, again, good question. Thank you. If you look at where we've been through year-to-date, September, our decrementals have been a respectable roughly 7%. And so barring any material changes in the macro environment and customer spending activity, we do expect to come in on the low side of that range, meaning both in terms of outlook for revenues because we've got 3 quarters in. We've given a flat to slightly down for Q4. And in terms of flow-through, we think that we should be able to hit the low side of that range. But as we think about how to calculate that, I think we also have to remember, there needs to be a slight adjustment. We calculate that with -- excluding executive stock comp. So if you're looking at the baseline for full year '19, you're looking at revenues of $5.2 billion. And then when you adjust for the exec stock comp, it's a base of $591 million. So...

Marc Bianchi

Analyst

Got it. Got it. Okay. So just to clarify, when you say the low end of the flow-through, you're talking about we should be using closer to 10% decremental...

H. Jennings

Analyst

Yes. It's 10%.

Marc Bianchi

Analyst

Okay. As the fall?

H. Jennings

Analyst

Yes.

Marc Bianchi

Analyst

Got it. Got it. And then just a follow-up on that is, as we think about going into '21, and I know nobody's got the crystal ball on revenue. But if we think that things are fairly stable, as you mentioned, North America may be grinding a little bit higher, how should we think about these cost savings beyond the $800 million program that you've talked about? How material is that? And what's the time frame of realizing?

H. Jennings

Analyst

So the way we've looked at the cost savings right now is we've used an algorithm of looking at a run rate at December 2019 as our baseline. And so we took a snapshot of our run rate at September 2020 and asked ourselves if you annualize that delta enough. And so we believe if you annualize that run rate delta, we are now easily above the $800 million of annualized target that we set for ourselves. If we look at the characteristics of the savings, I would say that it's a 50-50 split between what structural and what came out because of lower activity. And so as we put that all together and think about going forward, in the future, that will play out as we finish the planning and think about them giving some kind of guidance for 2021. So that's where we are.

Operator

Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, our next question comes from Gregg Brody with Bank of America.

Gregg Brody

Analyst · Bank of America.

Just -- I'm sorry, I joined a couple of minutes late. Did you clarify how much the onetime capital sale in 3Q '20 impacted your results?

H. Jennings

Analyst · Bank of America.

Yes. So it was a $12 million gain in the quarter.

Gregg Brody

Analyst · Bank of America.

And that was straight to EBITDA?

H. Jennings

Analyst · Bank of America.

Straight to EBITDA. It's -- if you think of the nature of the transaction, it's not an unusual transaction for us. It's just really an infrequent transaction for us. It happened in the Eastern Hemisphere. We deployed, as you know, last year, when we disclosed it the first time, deployed our crews, so performed some service work. The customer changed their minds about how the work should be done and instead they wanted to purchase our service equipment. So this is not equipment we do not sell. We do sell it. But since we had equipment on the ground, we basically sold equipment from our capital fleet versus equipment from our inventory. And that created the nature to disclose the excessive gain on the transaction.

Gregg Brody

Analyst · Bank of America.

Got it. That makes sense. I'll just sort of run through some free cash flow line items just to see if you can provide clarity for the fourth quarter and just maybe beyond. So I appreciate you have the big interest payment in the fourth quarter. Can you give us a sense of how we should think about taxes, restructuring cash expenses and then working capital? And if you can talk about for '21, it would be helpful, too.

H. Jennings

Analyst · Bank of America.

We're not yet prepared to talk about '21. But if we think about cash taxes, I think we're going to come in below what we've said before. I think we had given a range of $90 million to $100 million earlier in the year. It should be inside of that. In terms of cash interest, I think we are in line. In terms of CapEx, I think the guidance that we gave was $100 million to $150 million. And I think we're in line with that. And in terms of all the other components, restructuring, other and so forth, I think that's -- we're also going to be in line with the guidance that we've given of between $150 million to $200 million.

Gregg Brody

Analyst · Bank of America.

And there's -- and this other line item that shows up in the quarter, is there -- would you remind us if there's an expectation there?

H. Jennings

Analyst · Bank of America.

Which other line item?

Gregg Brody

Analyst · Bank of America.

Just the -- when I look at the way you reconcile your unlevered free cash flow for this quarter, you had $25 million positive of other. Last quarter -- the quarter before, it was $11 million. Is there a number to think about there?

H. Jennings

Analyst · Bank of America.

In other? So for us, other includes everything, severance, restructuring, FX, LC fees, all the different pieces. So everything that I've covered here is included in that line.

Gregg Brody

Analyst · Bank of America.

Perfect. That's helpful. And then maybe just my last question. So congrats on getting the capital raise done. If you could just -- is there a way to quantify how long you think -- how -- if in today's environment, how much of that $500 million you would use before you get to sort of a recovery or a cash flow situation -- or free cash flow? And then also just is there ability to raise any more capital within the indenture? If you can clarify that, that'd be great?

H. Jennings

Analyst · Bank of America.

So I think if you think about our situation at the moment, we do have some covenants inside the indentures that we have to think about, if we were to indeed to raise more capital. I think the best way to think of it at this time that we don't need to raise more capital. We have raised $500 million to raise our ABL, which affords us the full right to manage our business with liquidity on hand versus having to work through a complicated ABL structure that was not designed for the current dynamics in our business. And so we will think about how to best use this runway. And over the course of time, hopefully, we can replace the ABL with something that better reflects the nature of our business, which is an international business. If you look at our earnings, Eastern Hemisphere still delivers a lot of our EBITDA and as such, we need to think about how to operate and have tools that work with the structure of our business. In terms of time, as we work through the model for 2021, it will tell us what our free cash flow profile is. But if you look at our free cash flow profile year-to-date, we're positive. And so once we pay the interest in Q4, we'll probably be slightly negative in terms of free cash flow. But when you're sitting on $1.3 billion of cash, then we do have a fair bit of runway to think about how to structure our business.

Operator

Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to the management team for any final remarks.

Girish Saligram

Analyst

That's it. Okay. Thanks, everyone, for calling in. Appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Thanks, everybody. This concludes today's conference call. We thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines, and have a wonderful day.