Earnings Labs

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG)

Q3 2019 Earnings Call· Tue, Aug 6, 2019

$27.50

-3.68%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to Warner Music Group's third quarter earnings call for the period ended June 30, 2019. At the request of Warner Music Group, today's call is being recorded for replay purposes, and if you object, you may disconnect at any time. [Operator Instructions] Now I'd like to turn today's call over to your host, Mr. James Steven, Executive Vice President and Chief Communications Officer. You may begin, sir.

James Steven

Analyst

Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Warner Music Group's Fiscal Third Quarter Ended June 30, 2019, Conference Call. Both our earnings press release and the Form 10-Q we filed this morning are available on our website. Today, our CEO, Steve Cooper, will update you on our business performance and strategy; our Executive Vice President and CFO, Eric Levin, will discuss our financial condition and results, and then we'll take your questions. Before Steve's comments, let me remind you that this communication includes forward-looking statements that reflect the current views of Warner Music Group about future events and financial performance. All forward-looking statements are made as of today, and we disclaim any duty to update such statements. Our expectations, beliefs and projections are expressed in good faith, and we believe there is a reasonable basis for them. However, there can be no assurance that management's expectations, beliefs and projections will result or be achieved. Investors should not rely on forward-looking statements because they are subject to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors that can cause actual results that differ materially from our expectations. Information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements is contained in our earnings press release, our Form 10-Q and Form 10-K and other SEC filings. We plan to present certain non-GAAP results during this conference call. We have provided schedules reconciling these results to our GAAP results in our earnings press release posted on our website. Also please note that all revenue figures and comparisons discussed today will be presented in constant currency unless otherwise noted. With that, let me turn it over to Steve.

Stephen Cooper

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us. Our Q3 results are further proof of the momentum created by our artists, songwriters and operators around the world. This quarter, we grew total revenue by 13%, digital revenue by 16% and OIBDA by 25%. The overall trends in the recorded music industry remain healthy. For the first half of calendar '19, consumption rose 16% in the U.S. and 8% in the U.K. And in Germany, trade revenue was up 8%, its highest increase in over 25 years. While all of this is obviously good news, I'd like to take a moment to address an important point about industry growth. We value our relationships with streaming services, and there's no question that they provide strong distribution platforms which help music travel around the world faster than ever. But I often hear that streaming is responsible for the industry's growth, and that's an oversimplification. The sheer volume of music being released on these platforms is actually making it harder for great artists and songwriters to get noticed. In the streaming era, consumers have 50 million tracks at their fingertips, growing at a rate of over 40,000 tracks per day. That's why our recording and publishing businesses are more relevant than ever. We cut through the noise. Our A&R skills and marketing strategies are critical ingredients for any artist or songwriter who wants to build a successful global career. Bottom line, it's the music that's delighting fans and driving the businesses forward. Without the talent and creativity of our artists and songwriters and all of the investment and expertise that we put behind them, there'd be no growth. We provide the streaming services with a steady flow of great new music while helping to empower startups, new business models and entrepreneurs that benefit the…

Eric Levin

Analyst

Thank you, Steve, and good morning, everyone. The third quarter was strong with reported revenue growth of 10% or 13% in constant currency. There are a few factors impacting the numbers that I'd like to call out on a constant currency basis: first, the net impact of M&A, which was about 4 percentage points. The revenue increase includes $59 million related to the acquisition of EMP, which was partially offset by a $21 million decrease related to concert promotion divestitures. Second, the impact of adopting the new revenue recognition standard, ASC 606. In the third quarter, it had a negative $1 million impact on our total revenue. This was comprised of a $7 million benefit for recorded music and an $8 million detriment for publishing. There may be some minimal impact to our full year P&L due to timing of deals. Adjusting for these items, our total Q3 revenue would still have been strong, up closer to 9% in constant currency. From an OIBDA perspective, certain adjustments are also necessary to make the year-over-year comparisons more meaningful, the details are in our press release, but in the quarter, we had $10 million of one-time expenses related to restructuring and our LA office consolidation versus $11 million in the prior year quarter. Q3 adjusted OIBDA rose 22% to $134 million, and margin rose 1.2 percentage points to 12.7%. The improvement was driven by revenue growth, a $21 million lower expense related to our variable compensation plan and an $18 million benefit related to the implementation of ASC 606, which were partially offset by the impact of a $16 million advanced recovery in the prior year quarter. Revenue mix had a negative impact on OIBDA margin for the quarter. Our Recorded Music third quarter revenue was up 17%, with digital up 15%,…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Aaron Watts with Deutsche Bank.

Aaron Watts

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

A couple of questions from me. You spoiled us a bit with your financial performance of late. Perhaps you can put some goalposts around how we should be thinking about the growth profile of the company going forward, given not only the high-value set for yourself with your own year-over-year comparisons, but also maybe a more mature or maturing music streaming space?

Stephen Cooper

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

It's Steve. So we're optimistic about the near-term future, and my view is that we'll be able to continue to successfully manage our growth. I don't think it will be precisely linear, but I think with the continuing growth of streaming, even though it's moving into emerging markets, that we will continue to incrementally grow, maybe at not as bullish a rate that we've been growing over the last few years but I think the near-term future should be fine.

Aaron Watts

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

Okay. That's helpful. And Stephen, anything you can share at the moment on the status of your renewal cycle with the major streaming distributors? Maybe a tag on to that for Eric. How should we think about the financial impact on Warner Music, if one of those distribution agreements was to expire?

Stephen Cooper

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

Well, we are -- while we don't give the specifics, we are actively engaged with those streaming services whose contracts with this or licenses with this have either expired or about to expire. We always have provisions to ensure the continuity of our licenses. And I'm optimistic that we will be able to create the right balance between supporting our distributors and ensuring that we capture the right value of music for our artists and songwriters.

Aaron Watts

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

Okay. Fair enough. And last one for me, Stephen. I've asked you this question in various forms over the years, but given the headlines this morning around Universal, maybe I'll take another stab. From your seat, or perhaps drawing from any thoughts Mr. Blavatnik has shared, do you think Warner Music could benefit from a strategic investment or perhaps even a public offering to provide another form of currency to fund M&A? Or is the status quo still the way to go for Warner?

Stephen Cooper

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

Well, at the moment our view is status quo is the way to go. And -- but look, there's nothing absolutely certain about the future other than the fact that we intend on continuing to show the world that we are the absolutely best music destination for artists and songwriters.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And we have no further questions at this time. I'll turn the call over to Steve Cooper for closing remarks.

Stephen Cooper

Analyst · Deutsche Bank

Thanks, again, for your time today, everyone. We appreciate you slipping us into your schedule, and we will talk to you in whatever the weather shows, late summer or early fall, we can't tell anymore. So talk to you soon. Have a wonderful week.

Operator

Operator

And this concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.