Richard J. Giromini
Analyst · Vertical Research
Thanks, Jeff. Let me start by saying, we continue to be pleased with the ongoing progress that we are making with the business and the execution of our strategic plan. And once again be able to say that we did what we said we would do. The first quarter results demonstrates the benefit of our diversification strategy as we have created more balance from a top line and bottom line perspective and remain focused on maximizing the value of our three segments. The first quarter was a good start to the year especially considering the late timing of many orders that were pushed into the latter portion of the normal quote and order season which we discussed during our last call. Trailer shipments for the quarter were approximately 8,600 units consistent with our previous guidance of 8,000 to 9,000 units. Additionally, trailer shipments increased sequentially throughout the first quarter, which provides nice momentum as we move through the current quarter. Net sales for the quarter were $324 million representing a $47 million increase compared to first quarter of 2012. While adjusted earnings decreased by less then $1 million year-over-year, we must remember that last year’s adjusted earnings are not tax affected, whereas this year’s adjusted earnings reflect the tax rate of approximately 40%. Operating EBITDA maybe up more appropriate metric to highlight the year-over-year improvement in the company reflecting an increase of $14.8 million to $27.1 million in the current quarter. Said differently, operating EBITDA more than doubled year-over-year for the first quarter, which is reflective of the significantly improved operating performance in our core trailer business, in addition to the benefits of executing our diversification strategy, primarily the acquisition of the Walker business. Consolidated gross margin was 13.0% for the quarter, an improvement by 590 basis points compared to the prior year period. Sequentially, gross margin was comparable to the fourth quarter’s 13.1% down just slightly despite the lower Commercial Trailer Product segment trailer shipments during the first quarter as expected, which were partially offset by the favorable impact of the Diversified Product segment. Operating income, excluding the impact of certain acquisition related expenses for the first quarter of 2013, was $15.5 million, representing 117% increase over the first quarter of 2012 of $7.1 million. Overall, we feel very good about the first quarter results and represented one of the best first quarter performances in the company’s history in both gross margin and operating EBITDA providing a solid base line to build upon as we move through the second quarter with seasonally stronger trailer volumes to leverage. Quote and order activity throughout the first quarter remain healthy and in line with seasonal demand trends with March quote volumes reaching the second highest level for a month since 2007. Backlog further increased during the quarter reaching a healthy $674 million representing approximately six months of production. Looking forward, we continue to believe the overall demand environment for trailers will remain strong, key drivers such as excessive fleet age, customer profitability, regulatory compliance requirements, along with residential value of used trailers and improve access to financing all support continued strong demand for new trailers. And as you will hear in a moment, this sentiment is support by forecasts from both ACT and FTR. With that let’s shift focus to some highlights regarding the performance of each reporting segment and Mark will follow with additional details regarding our financial performance. We’ll start with a Commercial Trailer Product segment consisting of our dry and refrigerated van products and platforms along with fleet trade sales. This segment continues to perform well in executing their strategy with a focus on margin, over volume, operational improvement and innovation. Similar to 2012, the key thing in this segment is the expansion of margins which were significantly compressed due to the length and depth of the recession in our industry. That focus continues in 2013 where gross margin have further increased by 110 basis points compared to the year ago quarter, despite new trailer shipments that were approximately 23% lower. This margin increases the direct result of stronger trailer pricing combined with the favorable impact of productivity and efficiency improvements being delivered via now stable and more experienced workforce, as well the Group introduced the number of innovations in the first quarter designed to enhance fleet productivity, reduce maintenance costs, and improve fuel economy. Included is the new revolutionary and game-changing max clearance overhead door system, which provides a vertical door opening clearance comparable to that of swing door models providing for increased fleet flexibility and productivity. The group also introduced the high-strength bonding technology being used in pup trailer sidewalls and the new DuraPlate roof system by continuing to reduce the total cost of ownership of our fleet customers’ equipment, we will further differentiate our product offerings and enhance our competitive advantage in the markets commercial trailer product serves. Moving on to the Diversified Products segment, which includes Wabash Composites, Wabash Wood Products, and the Walker business, which now includes the Energy and Environmental Solutions business consistent with the theme for the overall company, this segment delivered a solid first quarter. Net sales of $112 million represent an increase of $80 million over the prior year period with the addition of the Walker businesses adding a net $88 million during the quarter, with the offset tied mostly to slow sales out of the Energy and Environmental Solutions business related to the continued slowness in fracking activity along with lower sales of portable storage containers in the Wabash Composites business. In addition, backlog for the segment increased during the quarter with solid Quote activity point to healthy demand levels in most of the markets served. As you know, we closed the Beall asset purchase on February 4. The acquisition of the Beall assets and brand name strategically complement our Walker business by creating the broadest product portfolio in the tank industry and expanding the Walker geographic footprint to better serve and supply customers from coast to coast. Operationally, we continue ramping up production at the Portland, Oregon manufacturing location and have been extremely pleased with the enthusiasm and capability of the associates and the overall progress to-date. In fact, our early expectations are being exceeded. Our Wabash Composites business had a strong first quarter and is on phase to yet again have a record year. AeroSkirts sales continue to grow with after-market demand for this product at record levels during the quarter. We expect that to continue especially when considering the compliance requirements for California operations. The team remains focused on developing new products for their customers and new applications for the DuraPlate composite material. With the introduction adoption of the new DuraPlate base decking system for LTL applications, we will see further top line and profit contribution from this business during the current quarter. We’re excited about this new product along with other new innovative composite-based solutions that the group has nearing commercialization. Finally, our Retail segment experienced significant improvement on a year-over-year in sequential basis. Net sales of $41 million represents a $16 million increase year-over-year, due in part to the realignment and inclusion of the former Walker parts and service network Brenner Tank Services into the Wabash National Trailer Centers business, a move made to facilitate capture of inherent synergies between these similar entities. Additionally and related to this realignment, gross margin for the quarter of 11.9% represents an al- time high for the segment driven by the higher margin liquid tank trailer parts and service and was 200 basis points higher than the prior year period. Top line and profit growth for this segment are expected going forward as the balance of the legacy Wabash National trailer center sites become certified as tank repair service centers. Before I discuss Wabash National’s expectations for the second quarter and remainder 2013, let’s first examine a few economic indicators and industry dynamics that we monitor closely and provide broader context for our expectations. Overall, The Conference Board Leading Economic Index declined 0.1% in March to 94.7 following a 0.5% increase in February and a 0.5% increase in January. In the past six months, the Index increased 1.6%, up from the 0.1% growth during the prior six months implying continued modest economic growth ahead. In March, the ISM Manufacturing Index came in at 51.3 indicating expansion in manufacturing activity for the fourth consecutive month, yet at a lower rate. And as we now all know, following the week fourth quarter 2012, increase of 0.4%. GDP in the first quarter of 2013 increased 2.5% reflecting stronger consumer spending, inventory investment, as well as exports. This marks the 15th consecutive month in which GDP has increased. The housing sector recovery continues its momentum as March housing starts of 1,36,000 units, were up a strong 47% year-over-year and above the 1 million units for the first time since 2008. March billing permits of 902,000 units were 17% higher year-over-year. Both these readings imply strength in demand for platform and dry van trailers as we look forward. Finally, the U.S. Census Bureau reported the U.S. retail and food services sales were $418.3 billion in March, down 0.4% month-over-month, but up 2.8% year-over-year. Much of the year-over-year increase came from a 13.5% rise in sales at non-store retailers and a 7.4% increase at auto dealers. Total sales for the January through March 2013 period were up 3.7% for the same period one year ago. Within the trucking industry, the story is similar. With a general economy, ATA’s Truck Tonnage Index increased 0.9% in March to 123.5, the fourth increase in the last five months after decreasing 0.7% in February. The March tonnage was 3.8% higher than in the same month last year. In addition, FTR’s Truck Loading Index for February increased 0.5% over January and 3.7% year-over-year. Near-term the latest report from ACT forecast 2013 trailer shipment are just under 252,000 units, up 5% year-over-year and just under 262,000 trailers in 2014, up an additional 4% year-over-year. Also, FTR made their latest support adjustments to their forecast for total trailer production in 2013 and 2014 with total adjustments since year end of some 28,000 units now projecting a healthier 236,000 trailers for 2013, an increase of 1.6% in [Beall’s] year-over-year and projecting a further increase to 237,000 units produced in 2014. While there remains a nearly 16,000 unit difference between the two primary industry forecasters, the GAAP has certainly narrowed in recent months as expected. First, both groups of forecasting trailer demand in 2013, well with our replacement levels with ACT expecting shipments to exceed replacement demand by more than 50,000 units. And as expected, FTR has continued to adjust their forecast upward with this past week’s latest bump up by another 6,000 units to the current 236,000 units stating that consumer spending, business investment, and housing recovery will add meaningfully to grow this year. In fact in both groups, we expect trailer demands remain reasonably or well above replacement demand levels each year through 2016, reinforcing our belief that this cycle has the potential to be one of the longest and strongest in our industry’s history. Our view for 2013 remains as previously communicated. Based on a multitude of factors including age of the fleet, CSA and Hours of Service impact, overall tonnage demand and discussions with our customers, we continue to believe that trailer demand will remain strong at levels equal to or great – slightly greater than 2012. From a regulatory standpoint, the new Hours of Service rules are scheduled to take effect on July 1 of this year. The Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration rule proposal has been challenged by the American Trucking Association and is currently under review by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit. FMCSA Administrator, Anne Ferro recently announced that there would be no delays to the July 1st effective date of the rule. Despite request from numerous law makers to postpone its implementation until the Court makes a decision. According to ATT Research the new Hours of Service rule will likely constraint fleet capacity by 2% to 3%. However, numerous key customers had commented that the impact is more likely to range from 5% to 12% productivity loss impact based on type and length of haul among other factors. Even small productivity losses may likely lead to increased demand for additional equipment to fill the gap. The new Highway Bill, MAP-21 signed by President Obama last July requires DOT to complete a study analyzing potential impact of increased truck trailer size, and weight limits by August 2014. The Federal Highway Administration which is part of the Department of Transportation took the first step in April toward completing the study by awarding a $2.3 million contract to CDM Smith to assist with the study. The study will evaluate alternative truck trailer configurations including the six-axle 97,000 pound vehicle, safety risk factors, cause of enforcement, the impact on payments in bridges, and the impact on the rail industry. All that considered, let me now share Wabash National’s expectation for the second quarter 2013 and the full-year beginning with trailer shipments. As we stated last quarter, first quarter would be a light quarter and trailer shipments would pickup in the following three quarters of the year. That’s precisely how that quarter transpired, shipments of some 8,600 units are consistent with our earlier guidance and based on production and inventory build levels along with backlog growth we are well positioned to achieve our forecasts for the current quarter and full-year with the second quarter expectations to ship between 11,000 and 12,000 units in total. Our view of full-year trailer industry volumes is consistent with the latest ACT and FTR forecast that I previously commented on. We continue to believe that full-year industry shipments will be similar to 2012 if not higher and as such based on our current full-year guidance on the assumptions that the industry will ship approximately 240,000 trailers this year. In addition, we anticipate shipments of new trailers to be higher in the remaining quarters of 2013 and our full-year guidance for new trailer shipments of 45,000 to 48,000 units remains unchanged. In summary, we did what we said we would do this past quarter, year-over-year performance in both operating income and operating EBITDA more than doubled and gross margins are near record levels for any quarter. Our Core Commercial Trailer Products business is executing on their promise to drive margin growth both at the top line and through activities on the manufacturing floor. Our Wabash Composites business continues to grow adding new product offerings and are poised to have another record year, and our Retail business is setting new standards for excellence in operating performance. We remain true to our commitment to continue to further diversify and grow the business from one who is prospects for success were tied to a narrow product line to one that now spreads that risk across a broader array of products, end markets, and geographies. Our Walker business continues to excel. In the addition, this past quarter of certain Beall assets and product offerings further emphasized the commitment to this effort expanding our presence for our tank equipment business coast to coast. We are clearly well positioned to take advantage of a continuing favorable demand environment for the industries we serve as we progress through the balance of the year. With that, let me turn it over to Mark.