Operator
Operator
At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Darren Seed, Vice President of Investor Relations and Communications. Please go ahead, sir.
Westport Fuel Systems Inc. (WPRT)
Q2 2012 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 2, 2012
$1.97
-0.25%
Same-Day
+12.86%
1 Week
+7.26%
1 Month
-1.27%
vs S&P
-4.48%
Operator
Operator
At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Darren Seed, Vice President of Investor Relations and Communications. Please go ahead, sir.
Darren Seed
Management
Thank you, and good afternoon. Welcome to our second quarter conference call for fiscal 2012. It is being held to coincide with the disclosure of our financial statement results earlier this afternoon. For those who haven't seen the release and financial statements yet, they can be found on Westport's website at www.westport.com. Speaking on behalf of the company will be Westport's Chief Executive Officer, David Demers; and Westport's Chief Financial Officer, Bill Larkin. Attendance at this call is open to the public and to the media, but for the sake of brevity, we're restricting questions to analysts. You are reminded that certain statements made in this conference call and our responses to various questions may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of U.S. and applicable Canadian securities law, and such forward-looking statements are made based on our current expectations and involve certain risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Information contained in this conference call is subject to and qualified in its entirety by information contained in the company's public filings, and except as required by applicable securities laws, we do not have any intention or obligation to update forward-looking information after this conference call. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. Now I will turn the call over to David Demers.
David Demers
Management
Thanks, Darren, and good afternoon, everyone. This has been another record-setting quarter, with a number of major milestones achieved in our business plan. As usual, I'll relinquish the floor in a few minutes to let Bill take you through the financial statements in more detail, but let me point out some of my highlights for the quarter. Consolidated revenue is up 136% over last year, and year-to-date, we're up about the same amount. Each line of business has seen strong growth in all markets. In fact, if it's one key point you can take away today is that our business is growing globally and that we don't see many signs of any degradation for that growth prospect. Two specific examples of how we see the market progressing. In China, we recently doubled the plant capacity in the Weichai Westport facility to be able to produce up to 40,000 engines annually. Seeing a similar growth profile and demand for our Westport Light-Duty products in North America, we've recently announced the completion of an assembly center in Kentucky with an annual production capacity of up to 20,000 Westport WiNG systems. CWI continues to demonstrate strong financial leverage of the joint venture business model, and with continued top line growth and strong operating profits without the need for new capital, we expect CWI to continue to grow in its existing business. Of course, next year, we're going to enter a new market with the launch of its new 12-liter ISX G product. Westport LD achieved positive adjusted EBITDA, which is a quarter earlier than we promised, with gross margins in the 28% range. Excluding the contribution from acquisitions that we completed in 2012 and excluding foreign exchange effects, the Light-Duty business grew organically by 40%. With the new Ford products, with expansion plans…
Bill Larkin
Management
Thanks, David, and good afternoon, everyone. I'll start off at Q2 highlights and then walk through the financial details for each business unit. For the second quarter 2012 ended June 30, we recorded consolidated revenue of $106.1 million. This represents an increase of $61.2 million or 136.3% compared with the prior year period. Our consolidated gross margin for the quarter ended June 30, 2012, was $40.5 million or 38.2% of total revenue, compared with $15.2 million or 33.9% of total revenue in the prior period. Our net loss attributable to Westport for the 3 months ended June 30, 2012, was $6.1 million or $0.11 loss per share, compared with a net loss of $18.1 million or a $0.38 loss per share in the prior year period. For the quarter, we recognized a net foreign exchange gain of $4.8 million, and this was just driven by the movement in the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar as we go through and translate our financial statements. Excluding this gain, the net loss attributable to Westport for the 3 months ended June 30, 2012, was $10.9 million or a loss of $0.20 per share. For the second quarter of 2012, our consolidated adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $200,000 compared with a loss of $10.6 million in the prior year period. This reduction in our adjusted EBITDA loss for the quarter was driven by a few factors, but the short-term management goal is to achieve operating income and positive cash flows in all segments. Please see a reconciliation of adjusted EBITDA in our earnings press release dated today. We break out our businesses into 4 operating segments: Westport Light-Duty; CWI; Heavy-Duty and Corporate. Our Corporate business segment includes all new market investments including our activities for high horsepower applications. I will walk…
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] The first question today comes from Graham Mattison of Lazard Capital Markets.
Graham Mattison
Analyst
Question on the Heavy-Duty side. Given your shipments to date of about 226, are you -- end up the ramp that you're expecting in the back half of the year, are you still comfortable with the shipments range of 700 to 900 for the year?
David Demers
Management
Yes, Graham, we've got lots of coverage. I think Bill said, maybe I sais it. I'm a bit foggy. So lots of coverage, lots of demand. I think we know where all these trucks are going to go, and in fact, we've got lots of action that's going take us well into 2013. So question now is how we got the infrastructure lined up. Is it going to be ready when the customer wants it? We organized the fuel supply, all those stuff that we've been talking about for months. So I think we've got -- we know where the trucks need to be. We've got to discussions with various providers. Clean Energy, of course, has been very active in announcing LNG stations. We're just going to make sure that this is all coordinated, so I don't see any big change. I guess the only caveat I'd say is we are sold out on our JumpStart so we're trying to double capacity on JumpStart, which has been very successful. But I think everybody should understand that the primary obstacle to a wide adoption of LNG is just the availability of LNG and LNG stations and that's being built out. It takes time but coming fast. Yes, so we should have a very strong back end of the year and going into next year as I think the number that we've seen is kind of 60 stations in the second half versus 3 first half, and then next year it's in the hundreds. So lots of capacity. But today, people are just lining up to get everything organized.
Graham Mattison
Analyst
Yes. I mean, so the demand is there for the trucks, it's just the timing matter with the station?
David Demers
Management
Yes. So it's a logistics issue. It's not finding a market issue.
Graham Mattison
Analyst
Got you. And then given that Shell's made an announcement that it's going to be building out stations in the U.S. and its first ramp-up in Canada is going in there, one of your marketing partners. What type of visibility do you have there in terms of both in the U.S. for 2013 and then visibility into the Alberta where they're opening stations and a liquefaction plant, both for the second half of this year and into next year?
David Demers
Management
Well, I think we're in a nice position now in that everybody wants to sell fuel. We've seen -- I'm trying to gain -- I'm trying to count looking at Bill. It was 5, I think, new companies that have entered San. They're going to start selling CNG and LNG for trucks in the United States. It's just -- it's such an obvious market opportunity. And naturally, everybody ends up at our door because it's going to be our trucks. So everybody wants to know where they should put stations and where the demand is going to be. So I think we have very good visibility, and in fact, we've got a lot of collaboration and cooperation going with everybody on making sure that investments are lined up where the demand is first. There's a broad agreement we're going to see a lot of fuel sold in, let's say, 2015, 2016. These are very, very large opportunities. But people are dependent on getting cash flow so that they can build out the infrastructure properly so they want to match the demand month-by-month with where customers are, and that's a little more complicated. It's complicated also by the fact that customers are smart enough to recognize there's a competitive market emerging, and so they're running around to see where they can get the best deal on long-term fuel. So lots of action and we just need to make sure that we get fuel to the customer in time, and I don't think we've got a problem with doing that now. It's just the case of getting the construction done.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Vance Edelson of Morgan Stanley.
Vance Edelson
Analyst
With the better-than-expected growth in China with Weichai, could you just provide some color around what the government is doing to pushing that gas adoption and how large a role the government is playing versus just sheer economics? Would you say so far it's been more just the compelling economics and perhaps we're going to get more government mandates that could serve to push adoption even higher over the next 12, 18 months?
David Demers
Management
Yes. It's -- as you know in China, it's a bit of both. Government has officially greenlighted the use of natural gas resources for trucking and transportation generally, which is always an important step. But what's the driving the crazy demand is just the economics of the fuel. In fact, a lot of what we said in China is coal bed methane, and there's a bunch of landfill gas being developed. But it's another source of methane. Everybody talks about shale. There's going to be tons of shale coming to the market in China as well but they've got some geology challenges. It's going to be a bit before they get going. But today, we are seeing a lot of coal bed methane resources and it's going into tanks and trucks. So a phenomenal buildup of infrastructure, lot of enthusiasm in the market and that's being translated into the sale of trucks. But you should be able to draw the conclusion from that, that the pace of investment in infrastructure is even faster in China than it is here because trucks use the same amount of fuel.
Vance Edelson
Analyst
Okay, that's great. And then shifting gears on the F-Series, anything you can tell us about how many may have been sold so far? And when you say more than 500 will be sold this year as opposed to the previous target of just 500, any magnitude you can share with us there? Do you think you'll just beat 500? Or based on what you're seeing, is it possible the number is going to be materially higher?
David Demers
Management
I guess materiality is all in the eye of the beholder. That said, I think we're very happy. The plant's up and running and it's doing really well, think lots of enthusiasm for the capabilities, not just the fact that there's a facility but the procedures have been working out as planned. All of our partners are happy and, of course, customers are taking them off the line. Really good reviews. I think we're all very pleased with the product and the reception it's getting. I think the order we had from Pioneer this week is a great testament to that. Obviously, we think there's lots more potential demand or we've built the facility with capacity of 20,000. I'm not predicting 20,000 but we're ramping up quickly. I think the sales volume, you should conclude we're pretty confident in the 500 this year. How much beyond that, honestly, we're not all that fussed. Really, the question is what can we do for a full year next year, and of course, we want to follow up with more product in the North American market.
Vance Edelson
Analyst
Okay, that's very helpful. And just one more question, if I may. The threshold with Cummins at which Westport starts to capture a larger percentage of the profit, is that built into your expectations for the second half of the year that you're going to get to that point?
David Demers
Management
This goes back to, I think Bill said in New York, at the Investor Day, that he's expecting to hit that threshold and let's leave it at that. We'll see it play out over the balance of the year.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Laurence Alexander of Jefferies.
Laurence Alexander
Analyst
First, just a clarification on margins. What was the margin drag from the shift in the Cummins agreement? And should we expect margins in CWI to bounce back to 39% thereabouts, assuming no other warranty swings in Q3?
David Demers
Management
Yes, Laurence, the biggest driver is this quarter, we had a little bit last quarter historically related to the warranty piece of it. And we're working through. We know what the problems are and we've got a plan to get it fixed. And hopefully, we're not going to see these type of increases in our warranty, but there's a very specific process that we've got to go through. And it's -- after going through that process, we ended up with that incremental warranty charge so that's the biggest driver. And as we've talked about, even under the new terms of the joint venture agreement, where we expect to start guiding down to the 30%, 35% range, and that's a combination of lower margins on the launch of new products next year. We launched ISX12 G. These margins are going to be lower that's going to have -- weigh down on our margins and then plus our share of the incremental overhead for the facilities.
Bill Larkin
Management
And I think I might add, too, Laurence, we've been saying there, I think, 30 -- low to mid-30s is built at the base. Low to mid-30s is the way to think about CWI. I think we got, obviously, the warranty adjustment. But don't forget, we do carry it on the balance sheet. It doesn't mean it's all taken if we solve the issues as we can. We actually get to pull it back into the margins so it's -- we may see that and some of that back, too.
Laurence Alexander
Analyst
And can you give us some perspective on the, I guess, it's the Oklahoma RFP process? I guess there's right about 20-odd states involved now. So what we should see in terms of news flow? And do you know whether the states are putting up capital or if it's just part of the regular budgets?
David Demers
Management
Yes, and Laurence, I'm familiar there's an RFP out for Oklahoma State for a lot of their natural gas, be it for most of their fleets to change and switch to natural gas vehicles. Obviously, Westport expects to benefit from that at various levels between light, medium and heavy duty. But at the moment, it's still pretty early days for us so it's tough for us to comment at this stage.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Ann Duignan of JPMorgan.
Ann Duignan
Analyst
It's Ann Duignan. Can we talk a little bit about the -- on the Light-Duty side? I just want to understand, when you ship products, are we in a stage right now where we're just filling out the channel and getting the product into warehouses and things in Kentucky, get in preparation for customer sales? Or are we actually seeing customer sales right now?
Bill Larkin
Management
I think -- I mean, Pioneer's the obvious one. We're not -- obviously not going to announce every sale of pickup truck. This product, I mean, F-250, F-350 isn't usually inventory to dealers. I'm not sure what the channel policies are, I'm sure you can ask Ford. But generally, these products are built to order so there's strong demand across the distribution channel that we're seeing. We've validated, as most of you know, 60 dealers. 50 to 60 dealers have been through the training so we are individually validating dealers. And dealers, so far all the feedback I'm getting anyways is that all the dealers that have been through the process are seeing demand in orders, which is encouraging, I think. So no, I think everything that we've seen so far is being built for a specific customer, and it's going out on the transporter to the dealer for delivery. Most orders, we expect -- just a caution because we have been telling people, we really think this is a fleet product, not a consumer product. There have been some individual orders we've heard because it is a biofuel product. So if you've got access to CNG in your neighborhood, there's no reason why not. But this is a big truck and we expect it mostly to be a fleet vehicle and so fleets will order in their normal cycle.
Ann Duignan
Analyst
Yes, there seemed to be a heightened interest by fleets to switch, that's for sure. And then on the Heavy-Duty side, can you just explain the beach line and the average selling price? If I just take the revenue divided by the units, I get something closer to a $50,000 average selling price. And in that context, how does that play? And is that the go-forward price? And how does that play in with your expectation of 500 units, if $60,000 gets you to breakeven?
Bill Larkin
Management
As we've mentioned before, the price of a single tank system in the high 40s, the price of a dual tank is right at the $60,000 range. And probably that average selling price is going to shift from quarter-to-quarter, all dependent on that mix. And as we've talked about before, we are trying to drive our costs down and eventually get the price down to the market. But it's -- we're working through the distribution channel so that we can capture as much revenue and profit on the sale of those systems. Yes, I wouldn't read too much into it. I guess maybe, Ann, I'll be the takeaway just it sounds like product...
David Demers
Management
Depends on the big customer. The difference between a one tank and a two tank is basically range. And we've been improving range with slightly bigger tanks, which allows us to save people a bunch of money. So I think you should expect to see more one-tank systems, but also I think we've be pretty consistent saying that we think the price of the product will come down over the next 2 to 3 years. We see a lot more opportunity to reduce cost, particularly as we get more production -- in the production line as the supply chain gets more efficient so we have more consistent ordering. We want to see that cost and price come down, and of course, I'm looking at Bill now, we're going to see a better margin, too, at the same time, right? So I think the right expectation over the next couple of years is you will see ASPs come down, particularly as we start to blend in new product from Volvo and Weichai, but we would also hope that margin content is going to go up.
Ann Duignan
Analyst
Okay. And one final one, just as a follow-up on the Heavy-Duty side. Are you seeing any delays in orders or any request for delays in deliveries of trucks, just given the step-down in drilling for nat gas and/or the discussion of a 15-liter coming out of Cummins? Has anybody taken a step back and say let's just take a deep breath here?
David Demers
Management
Yes, I think there have been lots of talk about the slowdown in both China and North America. And I think even our friends at Volvo in Europe are talking about slowdown. And so far, we're such a tiny little niche in the market. I'm quite happy to say that our 0.5% of 1% market penetration is not really budging. To be a little more serious, I think what we're seeing is that people are looking at this product cycle in the stop-go economy and doing whatever they can to position for lower costs. And natural gas is such an obvious lower cost. We've got a lot of interest and some of that has been manifested in, "Can we get used trucks?" Well, there just aren't many used natural gas trucks around. But can we rebuild trucks? We've et lots of requests of can we rebuild old trucks, and the short answer to that is not realistically. So the demand is high. I think over the next couple of years, we are going to need to see a more complete ecosystem with more used trucks and more new trucks and more cycling of the inventory to allow fleets to get into natural gas in a big way. But in the short term, the fleet demand we've seen says we have to get to natural gas now and the products that are available now are what we've got. And so I think we can meet our expectations with the demand that we see. In terms of people waiting, I think most of the future products are still a long way off. I think most fleets want to wait and see what they look like and see what they can play with. So I really don't see that as a short-term factor. Whether or not if the economy was better, we'll see a big pickup. Again, I'm not sure. I think there's a natural absorption rate over the next couple of years just at the pace of can we see construction of stations, can we see LNG supply allocated? So I expect very high percentage growth rates but it's only because it's such a tiny fraction of the total truck market that we can see that. So we're happy with where we are. I don't really think that the business is going to be affected much either way unless there's a complete economic slowdown. Does that make sense?
Ann Duignan
Analyst
Yes, sure it does. I appreciate the color.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Eric Stine of Craig Hallum.
Eric Stine
Analyst
Just a couple of questions. First, I was just wondering if you could talk about the Fortis incentive program? I believe that the application period ended and notifications gone at the end of August. Just wondering how that plays out as far as timing? I know that it's still dependent on infrastructure.
David Demers
Management
I think it sounds like you're as well informed as we are on that one, Eric. So we'll defer to your knowledge. From what we know, and we're not in the middle of this, from what we know, they were oversubscribed. There's a lot of interest in the program. It's actually a pretty amazing incentive and the station construction is planned. So this is, I think, a good example of what I was talking about earlier. We're going to see an orderly rollout of trucks, fuel and infrastructure over the next couple of years in each geography that we got partners. The details of the program, I'm not sure what Fortis is saying, probably stay tuned in the next 8 weeks, probably I would guess that, that will be public.
Eric Stine
Analyst
Okay. And maybe this is getting a little ahead of things. But I mean, just given the requirements, power requirements in BC there. I mean, do you -- any thoughts on what the mix might be HPDI versus spark?
David Demers
Management
This is really aimed at long-hauls so it's going to be all HPDI, I think. That is pretty clear divide. Most of the trucks, the fleets that we're looking at are really keen on long-haul because that's where the high fuel consumption is. And so that's, I think, where the interest is in infrastructure and in the build will be the big engines and high performance, so HPDI.
Eric Stine
Analyst
Okay. Maybe just turning to the orders. You made a brief announcement of some in Texas initial orders and the first Shell bundle order. Any chance to just details on size and maybe mix there if that's HPDI as well?
David Demers
Management
Yes, that's all HPDI and honestly, let customers do their...
Eric Stine
Analyst
Yes, so it's just testing. It was just starter.
David Demers
Management
Yes, I think -- we're very happy with what's happening. I think it's typical of what we've been advising, that most of the big fleets are very serious with natural gas. They're looking at how to get into it, they're looking for how to introduce LNG into one of their operations so they'll pick a site and they'll put 10 trucks or 20 trucks or something like that into service. But the goal is to see if they can deploy it widely. And I think that pattern is getting played out pretty much everywhere we look. So that's what's up. Shell's cycle, as you know, they've been very bold in saying that they can sell fuel for anybody. The bulk of that is coming on next year and in 2014. So that's really the point of the bundle as we've been out marketing with Shell now for 6 months to their customer base. So far, the reaction has been very encouraging. As it gets rolled out, you'll see it.
Eric Stine
Analyst
Okay, maybe just one last one for me and just turning to Light-Duty. Just thoughts on timing of when maybe the Volvo -- the 2 Volvo models get launched beyond Sweden.
David Demers
Management
Oh, good question. Yes, working hard on that one. Actually, the first markets we've talked about are, of course, other countries in Europe which would be pretty simple. The big China opportunity and we are exploring that in a lot of detail. Product would have to change slightly but Volvo has got a very strong brand position in China. With the recent development of infrastructure and the demand for CNG, I think the product would do really well. We'd love to get some here in Canada and working. It's actually a lot more complicated than people suspect getting a European car illegal to sell in North America. So working hard with Volvo on that. I think you'll see strong progress over the next little while.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Colin Rusch of ThinkEquity.
Noah Kaye
Analyst
It's Noah Kaye in for Colin. Wanted to ask, could you give us an update on the timing of the launch for the CWI 11.9 liter? Obviously, we're talking about 2013 here. But can you tell us a little bit about the time frame now and how you see the volume ramping?
David Demers
Management
I don't think there's been any change. We've been talking early 2013 for a while. Trucks are in fuel trials. Early to me means early Q1. I don't think there's any known issues today in that or any change. I know there's been a bunch of confusion with some of the OEMs on availability but it's going to be widely available to everybody that wants it in Q1. So barring any last-minute changes or experience that we see over of the field trials or a slow-up in infrastructure or something like that, I think that's still the plan. So we should see pretty close to a full year in the first year. Obviously, as Darren said, we'd take a very conservative warranty in the first while, while we see it play out. But that's -- it's a very large market. We're seeing lots of interest and lots of demand so I expect CWI to have another great year next year.
Bill Larkin
Management
It's tough for us just to quantify perhaps how much or to quantify unit growth or something like that at the moment.
Noah Kaye
Analyst
Okay. And a follow-up. The service and licensing revenue, you obviously -- you characterize Caterpillar as onetime; Volvo, there's the development agreement; you also have GM. What is the right level sort of on a sustainable basis of revenue that we should be thinking about going forward?
David Demers
Management
On the services side?
Noah Kaye
Analyst
I mean, I would sort of lump them together in a way because they're technology development and product development as opposed to product sales. How should we think about this as a sustainable component of the business?
David Demers
Management
I think the -- yes, a really good question. We're scratching our head a bit on this, too. The trend we're seeing, frankly, is this was really kicked off with Volvo where we're doing work and getting reimbursed for it as part of the business model. But the model that's going to be applied to some of our other OEMs, particularly the mine truck project and the locomotive project, we've been asked to do R&D on behalf of Caterpillar and we'll get reimbursed for that. So it is becoming an interesting business. And a lot of our OEM partners are coming to us and asking us about our capability to do that because they see us as having unique expertise on a broad range. We know the components, we know the combustion recipes, we know the engines, we can develop vehicles and integrate them. So it's not really just a consulting business, it's a service business as we roll out the technology and we brought it. So I think you should expect it to increase. It will probably increase substantially. And more and more of our engineering talent is going to be dedicated to specific projects on behalf of specific customers. So certainly, over the next few years, we're expecting that demand is going to be quite high. The difficulty for us, of course, is we're just finding enough resource and making sure that we're focused on highest value add. It doesn't make a lot of sense for us to do basic durability testing and expensive test cells with things like that. But generally, our experience over the past year or so has been that most of our OEMs are expecting us to help them develop the product and in return for that, we'll get paid. Typically, this is engine development and engine testing, not necessarily new component design. But that's a rare skill and hard to find and it subsequently pretty hot demand.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Shawn Severson of JMP Securities.
Shawn Severson
Analyst
I was wondering, if you go back to the HD sector again and talking about the conversations you might be having or claim you might be having, in that case, what's the fleet in the area? I know you said it's not a question of demand, it's a question of availability and on-road refueling. And what I'm trying to understand is to get a scope of the customers you might be talking to directly? Are they regional truckers, national truckers? So in other words, they'd be able to follow the infrastructure nationwide as it builds out. I'm just trying to get a little more color on those conversations.
David Demers
Management
Good mix, I think, and you're probably going to get different answers depending on which fuel provider you're talking to. I mean, I know Clean are building out the national highways with truck stops and the typical fleet being served there aren't going to be people who are on national distribution roads, with hopefully a bunch of help from local fleets who want to use their refueling station. So I think it's pretty clear there's going to be a lot of fuel sold through those stations. And more specific things, so for example, we've seen a lot of service fleets in the oil and gas space, particularly in shale plays, there's a lot of truck movement, there's a lot of interest in using natural gas. We ticked that off in Louisiana in the Haynesville. And fortunately, Haynesville has been pretty quiet the last few months so that station is busy but it's not growing, and all the action has moved up to the Marcellus in Pennsylvania and there's no stations there. Now if you look at the map, if you look at the plans, we're going to see, I think, 4 or 5 stations, nobody knows, built there in the next few months, and that will really open up a whole bunch of fleets who are involved in that business. So it's -- I realize it's a bit of a yes, it's everything answered, it doesn't give you a specific. I think we're going to see lots of regional specialization in things like oil and gas stations that are getting built for that, big distributors like UPS. Robert Transport in Québec, they're expanding. I'm pretty sure you'll see more trucks. You will see stations being built to support them. And then as the broad network starts to get filled in, you're going to see all kinds of fleets pop up the use that. I don't think we should expect that anyone is going to build a station completely on spec. The way the place that gets selected for the next LNG station to be built is going to be predicated on having a local customer ready and waiting to take some fuel. So broad plans, I think certainly from what we've seen every station that's been identified as a candidate does have a customer name attached to it and we'll see this played out over the next 12 months.
Shawn Severson
Analyst
Great. And I just wanted to clarify on the 12-liter and the importance of on-road refueling versus your typical kind of return home-type fleet for your refueling. I'm just trying to understand if that plays into a lot of the on-road as well with the 12-liter category.
David Demers
Management
Yes, I think so, depends on your geography. I mean, you're not going to be hauling double trailers of iron ore through the Rockies with that engine. But certainly, in California and Texas, it can be a big demand, I think, maybe up the East Coast. So it depends on your duty cycle. And...
Bill Larkin
Management
The urban fleet applications.
David Demers
Management
Yes, yes, there's lots of urban fleets. I think we're going to see that engine going into refuse, frankly, some of the transfer trucks being a good candidate, even coaches. So I think 2 distinct segments but there'll be some overlap in customers. I wouldn't be surprised if customers, at least we hope to have customers, that have pickup trucks, 9-liter gas engines, maybe some 12-liter LNG and some 15-liter LNG, it depends who you are. So we're trying to fill in the product line from top to bottom with something for everybody and a long way to go, frankly, before we've got even 50% of the applications covered.
Operator
Operator
The next question is from Rob Brown [ph] of Lake Street.
Unknown Analyst
Analyst
Wonder if you could give us a little more color on sort of your thoughts on what the China market could be for the HPDI product. If you have very good volume there now, could the HPDI product get to the same level you're sort of seeing in the spark?
David Demers
Management
Yes, yes, really surprising, Rob, and look forward to hear feedback on this, too. I know you're doing some work. The -- China is always a surprise. It moved so quickly that it's really hard to predict. We were thinking it was going to be a great year with 12,000 to 15,000 engines, mostly because we were anticipating slower rollout of fuel infrastructure for the big engines. Most of the sales at the joint venture are trucks, not buses, which has surprised people and a lot of it is LNG, which is also a surprise. So infrastructure is coming fast. Truck sales are growing fast, which I would guess is really going to set us up nicely for the high-performance HPDI engine. In China, it's all going to be about price. Of course, we need to be demonstrating a real value. We might get a little bit of premium for technology and brand, but not much. So we really need to be able to launch at a competitive price. And I would clearly get the right price for the current 12-liter spark-ignited engine that the joint venture is selling. So we got a pretty good read on how that should play out. I don't think you can do anything but conclude that it's very, very encouraging and China is going to be a fabulous opportunity for natural gas over the next few years. So it's -- now it's back to the basics of price and quality and distribution. I think Weichai is the right partner. They're very engaged. We've got trucks on the road getting tested. So it's just a case of getting all those usual things sorted out before we launch it.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Alex Potter of Piper Jaffray.
Alex Potter
Analyst
I had just a follow-up question here on China, if I may. Obviously, the volume was through the roof in the quarter, which was great. If I'm reading this correctly, it looks like the profitability of the joint venture might have ticked down a bit. Just wondering if you could give a little color on that or correct me if I'm wrong.
Bill Larkin
Management
Sure. As you see, there's a lot of interest in natural gas and the race is on. And it was a conscious decision. You are correct. The margins have come down on it, but it's a conscious decision by our joint venture partner to try to capture market share. And that's the biggest driver.
Alex Potter
Analyst
Okay, okay, that makes sense. And then if we could switch over to the Light-Duty business. Obviously, nice to see that it's profitable so early. I guess, in theory, as volumes ramp, we should be expecting, I guess, a continued ramp in profitability and margin for that business. Is that accurate? And if so, can you give, I guess, maybe not explicit guidance but something directional?
Bill Larkin
Management
In terms of profitability, we're very happy with the margins, a little over 28% this quarter. And as we've talked about this quarter and previous quarters, we expect that business' margin to be between 25% and 28% for the foreseeable future.
David Demers
Management
Yes. I kind of wish it was that easy. We're through it and now it's all sunshine. I think our experience with CWI would give you some suggestion that quarters might be kind of bumpy up and down for a bit until we really start to see some scale advantage and move things up. Bill mentioned headwinds on Light-Duty. It is pretty iffy in Europe right now, lots of economic uncertainty, which is still a core market for Light-Duty business. That said, we're finding customers and we're finding customers around the world. But in that climate, I think we'd be a little bit silly to predict that it's just a way of the races. We have expectations that the team will continue to be EBITDA positive for the rest of the year. We wanted to get through this hurdle and be pretty solid. I think we're confident that's a reasonable outlook. The question, of course, is how fast the business can scale its profitability next year and the year after, and that's more challenging until we get a little more visibility on the economy.
Alex Potter
Analyst
Sure, okay. And then very last question here on Light-Duty. You had mentioned some R&D spending in response to some specific customer requests to improve the Light-Duty products. Do you care to elaborate at all on what those R&D dollars are going toward?
David Demers
Management
It should be no big secret. We're developing new models with Volvo, that's an obvious example, I think, of what Bill was referring to. There's a model year changes, there's new engines. So a lot of what, I guess, should expect to be the obvious stuff that needs to be done. New engines are coming all through the automotive industry, as you know, mostly with a push toward direct injection gasoline. We've done a bunch of corporate research at that level, as well as some of the work done directly in Light-Duty. So as we move forward, I think there's going to be some really exciting opportunities to improve natural gas vehicle performance, redesign where we put the tanks, all this stuff and that's really what we would leave in the business unit. Those are routine changes to the product that's in the market, whereas our corporate investments are more focused on what we want to launch in the market 2 to 3 years out.
Bill Larkin
Management
But there are some undisclosed...
David Demers
Management
Within the business unit, yes, of course.
Bill Larkin
Management
Yes, within the business unit.
David Demers
Management
And you'll see new product announcements over time.
Bill Larkin
Management
Yes.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from John Quealy of Canaccord Genuity.
John Quealy
Analyst
Just 2 questions. First, on the HD shipments, so we've talked about 700 to 900. Does that just get shifted a quarter or so based on your comments about building out the 60-some-odd stations in the back half of the year? Is there a normal sort of 3-month lag or 6-month lag between when these things are up and ready to service vehicles?
David Demers
Management
If we step back, because we're going back to look at what's being said, I don't think there's any change really in our view of the year. It's always being back-end weighted, always being paced with infrastructure. So no, I don't think there's any big changes. We're not seeing any change really in demand so it's just a case of can we get things organized. I don't think we have any bottlenecks that would prevent us from shipping that volume. We've always talked about 300 a quarter as a breakeven point. So we've designed the system to be able to do better than that. Obviously, we want to get some volume up and get some consistency because that just makes the supply chain a lot more efficient. But right now, we're bumping along while we're waiting for fuel. The fuel is coming. I think we're ready to start to ship. So I don't see any big problem in hitting the numbers for the rest of the year. The challenge is going to be how fast can we ship in 2013, 2014, and what is the -- how did the market change as we launch these new products. So short term, we don't see any major obstacle. The challenge is seeing how the market plays out 2 years from now.
John Quealy
Analyst
Okay, yes. And then my last question, on the political realm, the U.S. Senate gave us tax extenders yesterday and they included the de minimis home fueling and station option. There's been other vehicles talked about on Capitol Hill to talk about accelerated depreciation. I know you don't usually comment on it, but can you comment on the potential or what sort of form you think any legislative or subsidy release in the States could bring sort of postelection?
David Demers
Management
Yes. I mean, to be very clear, we've always said we like the level playing field. If there are incentives for alternative fuel vehicles and natural gas, it shouldn't be penalized. In fact, we are being penalized right now with a disproportionate tax on LNG, and you'd think that would be an easy one to fix. Why are we paying a higher tax on a BTU basis for LNG than oil fuel is? But honestly, I'm not holding my breath on any of this. So we have to move in the market and find opportunities where it's somewhat irrelevant, where we have no incentives or penalties or headwinds, we just have to work through it. I think in the near term, we're going to see continued investment in people like the utilities or the fuel companies, Clean Energy, Shell. In a way, these are subsidies because we're offering these long-term fuel contracts in return for bulk purchases and that allows people to get certainty on their cost per mile. And that's really the economic case that fleets are looking for is how certain are we on this cost, and can we spread cost out over the life of the truck? And so that confidence is what, I think, is getting people to make a decision to push ahead because it's clearly going to work economically. If we see local incentives as we are with the Fortis project here in BC or state of Oklahoma, Texas has got some incentives that can be applied, of course, so we'll have our customers use those. But I don't think it's going to have a big difference either way in the market near term.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Matthew Blair of Macquarie.
Matthew Blair
Analyst
On your Light-Duty business, we saw the U.S. Department of Energy recently award about $30 million in grants for NGVs and a lot of this went to CNG tank technology. Could you talk about the supply of CNG tanks? And do you have any concerns going forward in this area? And then also, what's your outlook for the cost of these CNG tanks? Do you think the -- are you expecting any declines in costs going forward?
David Demers
Management
Yes, we sure hope so. The short answer is I think it's great news that the DARPA program is moving to CNG vehicles. This is another big aspect of the report we saw yesterday from National Petroleum Council is that we really should be looking at CNG. It's a great story and that's why I think you're seeing more of these long-term research programs being shifted to NGVs because the Department of Energy is realizing it's actually a smart thing to do. Home refuelers, another one that's looking really interesting. So I think there's lots of ideas and lots of technology. As we talk to partners around the world, there's just going to be some fabulous changes in tank technology and fuel cell technology that let us put more fuel in a smaller space at much lower cost, and we'll see that over the next few years. So yes, lots of change coming, and we don't think it's anything but good for natural gas vehicle customers.
Matthew Blair
Analyst
Sounds good. And then on CWI, regarding the 12-liter engine next year, David, you've mentioned that this is really going to be a top-up engine for the refuse and transit markets. But we're also assuring that there's a lot of interest among the regional haulers for this engine. And I was wondering if you would be willing to wager a guess at the percentage of engines that will go into regional haulers that you'll sell for the 12-liter.
David Demers
Management
I never make wagers with Darren in the room but I think, typically, what we're seeing in the 9-liter space is we are seeing 9-liter in regional trucking. So yes, of course, primary market for the 12-liter will be regional trucking. But I wouldn't assume we don't see it in vocational vehicles like big refuse trucks, too, and big dump trucks exactly. So pretty broad market, actually. I think we're going to see demand across the scale. This is really why it's been launched in -- I think, every manufacturer of trucks has announced availability of that engine, pretty much at availability next year. So lots of demand, I think, very broad push. Again, 12-liter is not a 15-liter HPDI. So for the long-haul, heavy-haul applications, we expect that to be concentrated on HPDI. But this opens up a great new market for natural gas, and we think CWI is going to do very well.
Matthew Blair
Analyst
Yes, definitely. Just one last question. Bill, for the Caterpillar payment, it looks like this was a onetime payment related to the sale of some HPDI technology to Caterpillar. Can you confirm if that's correct? Or was it really more of the reimbursement for R&D that you've already done?
David Demers
Management
A bit of both. It's -- I'll defer to Bill on the accounting. It isn't, obviously, because it's in revenue. It's for work that's being done and services, we don't need to provide any further services. But yes, you will see more recurring payments like that or more reimbursement payments like that. We just haven't disclosed the scope of the program or the scope of the payments. So I'm afraid all we can do is say wait and see how that plays out. But for the most part, as we laid out in June, for development that we're asked to do, we'll be reimbursed. Caterpillar will pay its own costs for work that we have undertaken. We will cover our cost and the scope of that work is about the run rate that we've been showing for high horsepower in the Corporate sector for a while. So you shouldn't see any big change in the run rate. You will see more Caterpillar revenue. It's not going to be everything waiting until we launch the product. So we'll see some service revenues...
Bill Larkin
Management
Just some clarification, those are the next 2 quarters.
David Demers
Management
Yes, much like Volvo which is going to be milestone driven and reimbursement driven, so don't expect it to be necessarily a quarterly reimbursement pattern.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from David Galison of CIBC World Markets.
David Galison
Analyst
So with your HD gross margins, they're running a bit lower than with -- than what you'd like. How long do you think they'll be running at the lower levels? And then sort of looking out, when we reach the 1,500 threshold, what could margins look like in that segment?
David Demers
Management
The design point for the business is much like CWI. We want to see Heavy-Duty margins in the 30%, 35% range but we ought to get through launch. Some of the margin is an artifact of early customers. We have attractive long-term warranties and things like that. So we're taking big warranty accruals which impact margins. Sales prices are actually pretty good and it's just we've thrown in some incentives. So as we work through the early customers and the volume discounts, you should see margins getting up to more unit built, 20% are reasonable next milestone. I think that's reasonable. 20%, 25%, is our near-term target.
David Galison
Analyst
Okay, great. And the next question was the recent Pioneer order. Is that included in your 500-unit outlook for 2012? Or is that in addition to that?
David Demers
Management
That will be inclusive. So obviously, we can't sit here with a straight face and say 500 is a realistic target. We just had got one order for almost half of that so I think that's why we said in our last conference call, too, David, that obviously, we do -- we'd expect more than 500 this year. What we're not disclosing at the moment and probably have a lot more color in the November conference call for Q3 is how many more -- what kind of units we would expect in the year, how many more than 500.
David Galison
Analyst
Do you identify how many were shipped in Q2?
David Demers
Management
I don't think we did. It probably isn't material. We just started middle of June so it's a pretty small number. So I'm much not sure it's -- I'm looking at Bill, we didn't disclose the numbers.
Bill Larkin
Management
We didn't, no.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Carter Driscoll of Capstone Investments.
Carter Driscoll
Analyst
I wanted to do kind of follow up on one of the earlier questions about more of your work on the R&D side. Maybe using that relationship with one of the big OEMs out there that really hasn't made a push into this market yet. You're -- obviously, your second deal with General Motors. Maybe you can qualify whether -- they're trending to track towards more of the Ford model, looking to light-duty truck segment or really it's a passenger vehicle development and maybe longer term and then maybe extrapolate that to some of the other auto OEMs and maybe contrast some of their efforts into the alternative space from the electric perspective versus natural gas and where you see those 2 markets coexisting and maybe the time frame of adoption on the passenger vehicle side.
David Demers
Management
Yes. I'm happy to take the first try, Carter, because I think the way you're seeing most of our agreements, if you take -- as you point out, it's more of our heavy-duty or higher horsepower OEMs. It feels like Caterpillar and Volvo are evolving along more lines of both in structure along with the joint shared R&D funding reimbursed. In terms of timeline, I think what we said is a train we'd expect to have running in the next year or so and engine running same with that for a rough time frame for higher horsepower mining trucks as well. So I don't -- while I would expect that what we previously disclosed around the timing of those first prototype engine systems come to pass, I think that's very much short term. I think what we've said publicly was over the next 4 to 5 years is where we'd expect to commercialize some of those high horsepower products. In terms of Light-Duty, yes, I mean, right now, Ford has committed to its QVM, or Qualified Vehicle Modifier program for natural gas vehicles, period. And so I think where we expect to excel, obviously, is with our exceptional performance, our production capacity, the reliability testing, everything that you can actually see on the YouTube videos. I think that's a big strength for Westport and its technology. In terms of our work with other light-duty vehicle OEMs, I mean, of course, we're in discussion with General Motors on -- and then actually doing R&D with General Motors on natural gas technology and combustion technology. While we haven't disclosed the nature -- the specific nature of the combustion technology, but to be very specific, that type of agreement is more of an OEM agreement, OEM relationship or it wouldn't be like the Ford systems we do today but more of a General Motors launch product with some form of relationship, hopefully, of course, with Westport as part of its key technology. But that will be in General Motors launch product that is realistically, if General Motors decides to move ahead, that's realistically 3-plus years, anywhere from 2 to 4 years, I guess, to be fair, out by the time the product launches.
Carter Driscoll
Analyst
And I realize it's not necessarily a near-term phenomenon. I'm just trying to get a sense of those OEMs that might either be late to the ballgame or have debt on a different renewable technology in that segment and whether they think they potentially need to cover their bases in case natural gas takes off ahead of electric. Obviously, you've seen a lot of vehicle pushouts on that side. I'm just trying to get a sense. I realized it's not necessary...
David Demers
Management
No, no, that's a really interesting discussion. If you're interested -- there's a lot of detail in the NPC study on that exact issue on Light-Duty. You have to dive into the chapters, sort of beyond the executive summary. You need to get into the detail. But that -- I mean, this program does include representation from all the major OEMs in North America. I think it's unfair to say the OEMs are focused on electric and not natural gas. Most of these companies are global, and there's a lot of demand for natural gas in some markets and there's 0 demand for natural gas in other markets like North America. So as people like GM or Volkswagen do a global strategy, it's -- there's been natural gas in the plan for some time. And I think we've been pretty clear in saying we've been working with 7 of the top 10 automotive OEMs in our Light-Duty division, too. So there's lots of interest in expansion. I think what is interesting is what people are realizing in the Light-Duty space is it's not just fleet vehicles. There are interesting consumer markets where there are significant opportunities for natural gas to be very competitive with electric on every front, environmental as well as economic, and that says we're going to see market penetration for natural gas in those consumer markets. So the OEMs are responding to that, yes, I would think you should expect that in the product cycle there's going to be a mix of a lot of different things over the next couple of decades, and that's exciting for engineers and marketeers because it means there's going to be lots of innovation happening.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Rupert Merer of National Bank Financial.
Rupert Merer
Analyst
Looking at the business model for Weichai Westport, you mentioned the market in China is price-sensitive, and you priced to capture market share in the quarter. But looking forward, what gross margins are achievable here as the new plant ramps up with your current product mix? And how do you think the HPDI component sales could change the business model when that product's introduced?
David Demers
Management
Yes, good question. And if you got any input on that, Rupert, let us know. I think if you look generally at the automotive industry in China, it's going through a lot of transition. There's a lot of shifts coming, let's say, on longer-life products, higher performance products, better emission performance. That's going to raise prices generally, and that's going to result in more sophisticated fleets. We're looking at more of a life cycle cost business model. Traditionally, the market has all been about first cost and people throw things away and get a new one. So there is a market transition that people are trying to work through. But at the other side, it's such a fiercely competitive business, and scale is so important we're seeing big pressure on prices. At the same time, I think the joint venture is doing remarkably well, maintaining strong margins with such crazy growth. Hard to imagine that just a couple of years ago, we were doing a few hundred engines a quarter. So I think that if you compare the traditional truck and car market in China, gross margins are lower but volumes are higher, so companies are still quite profitable. I really don't think you're going to see a different picture with natural gas. We're going to see lower margins in China. For natural gas products, we expect higher than traditional fuel product because there's more technology and value add and less competition. But it's probably not going to match margins in Europe or North America.
Bill Larkin
Management
I think the other thing, Rupert, is we actually -- we use some very aggressive pricing in some very specific markets so it was not across all of the products within Weichai Westport. It really was a very targeted campaign to effectively steal and take all of the market share in particular.
David Demers
Management
Or grab the -- obviously, there's some big customers taking lots of engines in the quarter and they got some pretty attractive pricing.
Bill Larkin
Management
Yes.
Rupert Merer
Analyst
Okay. And that's the market share of natural gas engines rather than all engines I suppose, too. And just a quick one on the Cat license fee. Just to clarify, in the event that Cat goes ahead and launched its products in a few years' time, would you anticipate additional license fee from top of what you've received in the quarter?
Bill Larkin
Management
Additional payments, you mean, in terms of license fees?
Rupert Merer
Analyst
License fees on products sold for use of the HPI -- HPDI technology.
Bill Larkin
Management
We would have an ASP, an average selling price, Rupert, that we'd expect to incur around just as the press release stated that we'd expect to supply key components and technology to Caterpillar for the sale of the product. And for that, just like other businesses like Heavy-Duty has an average selling price. High horsepower, we would expect to have an average selling price and a portion margin -- relative margin as well. Did that answer your question?
Rupert Merer
Analyst
Yes.
David Demers
Management
The specific question was will there be more of these milestone payments for either license fees or technology payments or service fees, and the answer is yes. We will see a stream of cash flow that surround the product development cycle. And then as Darren says, we will transition into product sales cycle where we participate in the sale. But for obvious competitive reasons, we're not really mapping that out in great detail.
Operator
Operator
That is all the time we have allotted for questions on today's call. I will now turn the call back over to Darren Seed for concluding comments.
Darren Seed
Management
Thank you very much, everyone, for joining the call, and we look forward to seeing you in November for our Q3 conference call.
Operator
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, the conference has now concluded and you may disconnect your telephone. Thank you for joining and have a pleasant day. Goodbye.