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West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. (WST)

Q1 2014 Earnings Call· Thu, May 1, 2014

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the West Pharmaceutical Services Q1 2014 Results Conference Call. (Operator instructions.) And now I’d like to turn today’s meeting over to Mr. John Woolford from Westwicke Partners. Sir, you may begin.

John Woolford

Management

Thank you, Operator. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to West’s Q1 2014 Results Conference Call. We issued our financial results this morning and the release has been posted in the Investors Section on the company’s website located at www.westpharma.com. If you’ve not received a copy of this announcement please call Westwicke Partners at 443-213-0500 and a copy will be sent to you immediately. Posted on the company’s website on the Investor tab under Presentation Materials is a slide presentation that management will refer to in their remarks today. The presentation is in PDF format. Should you require a link to a free download of software that will enable users to view the presentation, it’s also available on the website. I remind you that statements made by management on this call and in the presentation will contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of US federal securities laws and that are based on management’s beliefs and assumptions, current expectations, estimates and forecasts. Many of the factors that will determine the company’s future results are beyond the ability of the company to control or predict. These statements are subject to known or unknown risks or uncertainties and therefore actual results could differ materially from past results and those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statement. For a non-exclusive list of factors which could cause actual results to differ from expectations please refer to today’s press release as well as any further disclosures the company makes on related subjects in the company’s 10(k), 10(q), and 8(k) reports. In addition, during today’s call management may make reference to non-GAAP financial measures including adjusted operating profit and adjusted diluted EPS. Reconciliations and limitations of the non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable financial results prepared in conformity to GAAP are provided in materials accompanying this morning’s earnings release. At this time I’d like to turn the call over to Don Morel, West’s Chairman and CEO. Don?

Don Morel

Management

Thank you, John, good morning everyone and welcome to West’s Q1 2014 Earnings Call. This morning Bill and I will review our results and discuss our outlook and financial guidance for the remainder of the year. We will again refer to a slide deck to support our prepared remarks that can be accessed through our website at www.westpharma.com under Investors. In the event you cannot access the presentation our commentary will cover the information both in this morning’s release and the slides. Beginning with Slide 3 which summarizes our Q1 performance, a modest increase in sales coupled with a less-than-favorable mix in the Packaging Systems segment produced a softer start to the year than we would normally see. As we discussed in our February call this was not completely unexpected and we do not believe it reflects any fundamental change in the underlying drivers of our business. On a consolidated basis sales rose 1.2% to $346.8 million excluding the effects of currency. Revenues were effectively flat in the Packaging Systems segment while sales increased 5.6% in the Delivery Systems segment driven primarily by demand for contract manufacturing services. The less than favorable mix produced a decline in our gross margin, leading to earnings of $0.38 per fully diluted share versus $0.44 in Q1 2013 which was a record year in all respects. Highlights for the operating segments are shown on Slide 4. For the quarter, Packaging Systems sales of high-value products declined by a little over 6%, primarily as a result of reduced orders for Teflon and FluroTec enclosures. This was built into our full year operating plan given the substantial growth these product lines experienced throughout 2013. Our analysis of current order flows and the rapid increase in our Packaging Systems backlog through March gives us confidence that this…

Bill Federici

Management

Thank you, Don, and good morning everyone. We issued our Q1 results this morning, reporting net income of $27.1 million or $0.38 per diluted share versus the $0.45 per diluted share we reported in Q1 2013. As explained in the release, excluding the effect of one-time items from the prior-year quarter our Q1 2013 earnings were $0.44 per adjusted diluted share. A reconciliation of those non-GAAP measures is provided on Slides 13 and 14. Turning to sales, Slide 7 shows the components of our consolidated sales increase. Consolidated Q1 sales were $346.8 million, an increase of 1.2% over Q1 2013 sales excluding exchange. Packaging Systems sales were essentially flat versus the same quarter 2013 sales excluding exchange. Sales price increases in Packaging Systems were limited to approximately 0.4 percentage points and were offset by an unfavorable mix of products sold with our high-value products declining 6.9% versus the prior year Q1. The decline in high-value products sales was not unexpected and we believe should be considered in the context of the double-digit growth experienced in each of the two last year comparable quarters benefiting from customer inventory builds. Importantly, for the remainder of 2014 we expect an 8% to 12% growth in high-value products sales versus the comparable year period. Our current packaging systems backlog growth of 11% over the prior year is mostly due to an increase in committed high-value product orders. In short, we do not believe our Q1 results represent any change in the long-term growth trajectory for our business. Delivery Systems sales increased by 5.6% or $4.9 million over sales in the prior-year quarter excluding exchange. Crystal Zenith product sales were $3 million in the current quarter, approximately $600,000 below Q1 2013 levels and were predominantly comprised of vial and cartridge samples. Overall sales of proprietary…

Don Morel

Management

Thank you very much, Bill. This concludes our commentary for this morning and we’d now be pleased to answer any questions. Operator?

Operator

Operator

(Operator instructions.) The first question comes from Arnie Ursaner of CJS Securities.\ Arnie Ursaner – CJS Securities : Good morning. Focusing first on your backlog, your lead times had been running extraordinarily high – 22 to 24 weeks. You brought it down to around twelve weeks in Q4; is that about where we are now?

Don Morel

Management

Yes. Arnie Ursaner – CJS Securities : Okay. In Q4 you had mentioned two additional development agreements I believe for SmartDose. Is there any update you can provide on that?

Don Morel

Management

The work is ongoing and we are producing samples for those clients. Arnie Ursaner – CJS Securities : Okay. And then you also referred to some deferred projects that would add to contract manufacturing revenue. You can have some fairly sizable swings in margin depending on what these products are. Can you expand any more on the deferred projects and when you expect the revenue from that to hit?

Don Morel

Management

The first project is online as we speak; we are doing validation and trial runs on the tooling. The second one will come into operation later in the year. We expect the first to contribute a good amount during the year; the second one a bit more modestly. So both of those should be up and running by Q3 or Q4. Arnie Ursaner – CJS Securities : Okay, and I do have one final question if I can. In your prepared remarks regarding guidance you talk about $10 million to $20 million in the course of the year in growth in sales and development income associated with proprietary products. Is there any change in that? I know the numbers are the same. Is there any message or change you’re trying to convey with that at this point?

Don Morel

Management

No, it’s actually comprised of a combination of paid development agreements, private (inaudible) plus revenues from proprietary products. Arnie Ursaner – CJS Securities : Okay. Thank you very much.

Don Morel

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Rafael Tejada of Bank of America. Rafael Tejada – Bank of America Merrill Lynch: Hey, good morning. Thank you for the questions. So just getting back to the backlog question again, I want to make sure I heard you right. You said backlog was up 11% year-over-year so that’s about $416 million, $415 million or so?

Don Morel

Management

Yeah, that number is up from 1st of the year 2013. Rafael Tejada – Bank of America Merrill Lynch: Alright, gotcha.

Bill Federici

Management

Our year-end number was roughly around $315 million so $351 million now. Rafael Tejada – Bank of America Merrill Lynch: Okay. And so I thought it was encouraging to hear that you do have more committed orders for more high-value products. I just wanted to get a better sense of how we should think about the burn in terms of when to expect recognition for that backlog, if anything’s changed in terms of how you see that backlog progressing through the quarters.

Bill Federici

Management

Yeah, primarily as you know the backlog will be revenue generally in the next quarter plus some that falls into the succeeding two quarters after that. That has, the curve of that has shortened – because of our shortened lead times customers don’t need to place their orders as much in advance. So you see a lot of that come through in Q2 and Q3. Rafael Tejada – Bank of America Merrill Lynch: Okay. And also just thinking about the pacing of the year, you’re reaffirming the sales growth but I’m wondering if you can give us a little bit more detail I guess in terms of how you see the sales trajectory changing, pacing through the year. And you’re reaffirming your margin outlook, too, so just given what we saw in Q1 how do we see that moving through the year? Thanks.

Don Morel

Management

We clearly think that we’re going to see stronger performance in Q2. Our visibility beyond that tails into Q3 a little bit, not so much in Q4. What we’re hearing from our customers is that those orders are going to continue to increase throughout the year, especially the ones that we highlighted in our February call when we had inventory builds for the process change in our LeNuvion facility as well as some new product launches. So we expect steady improvement both on the sales front and the margin front through the end of the year. Certainly it’s a bit unusual compared to our normal years where we’d historically see the front end loaded for the first six months, but this has happened to us in the past. I think it was ’09 or ’10 where we had a soft first half of the year and then it strengthened… Actually it was ’11 – it strengthened through Q4 of ’11 and then things really started to hit robustly. Rafael Tejada – Bank of America Merrill Lynch: Okay, just a couple more. Any impact from weather this quarter and I was wondering if you could comment just on, I guess on just purchase orders from pharma, spec pharma – any changes in habits from key end customers?

Don Morel

Management

No, I mean the weather issue was a non-issue for us actually, surprisingly. The one plant we were worried about was our upstate pharma plant in Jersey Shore. Everything was in line with expectations there. On the specialty pharma front the only change that we have really seen has been the one customer that ceased operations in 2013. They were a contract manufacturer and predominantly consumed the high-value FluroTec and West® closures. So those revenues are being picked up by other customers. We’re seeing slight increases in some and we’ve seen the status quo in others but we haven’t seen any single customer stand out. The only ones that really have a strong delta are the ones that I spoke about previously that had to do the qualification runs because of the process change at our French plant and those that had strong inventory builds in the second half of the year. But we see those orders returning in Q2. Rafael Tejada – Bank of America Merrill Lynch: Okay. And this is more of a higher-level question, Don, but one of the questions I’m getting is on basically the potential impact of some of the pharma consolidation, asset changes, etc. And basically just thinking about the way in which in the past these sort of transactions have impacted the business, whether as it relates to inventory de-stocking, and so just wanted to get your perspective on what you’re seeing out there – any concern in the business and I guess any actions to mitigate any sort of risks that may present? And a lot of these things are so early but I just wanted to get your thoughts.

Don Morel

Management

Yeah, I think the key point, Rafael, is what you said at the end – they are very early. Once they close and we consolidate some plans the merger plans begin to take effect. The principle effect on us tends to be a delay in development programs where decisions are pushed off until the organization is worked out and the various lines of decision making are established. The other way that we’re affected is often if there is a concentration in a particular therapeutic category the regulatory authorities may ask them to divest certain product lines. We usually see those picked up. So there can be a change in order patterns while those sales take place and the new producer picks up the product, but they tend to take place over time and they’re very, very hard to predict. So qualitatively one, the ways of the development programs and the decisions made there in terms of what to fund and what to prioritize; and two, the product shifts that sometimes take place. Rafael Tejada – Bank of America Merrill Lynch: Okay, very helpful. Thank you.

Don Morel

Management

Thanks, Rafael.

Operator

Operator

Thank you for your question. (Operator instructions.) Your next question comes from Ross Taylor of CL King. Ross Taylor – CL King and Associates : I just had two or three quick questions. Just first a minor question on the backlog. For last year’s March quarter can you give a percentage breakdown for the high-value products versus the more standard products, just given (inaudible)?

Bill Federici

Management

It was 53% high-value products of the total which is what it is at the end of March this year as well. At the end of December as I mentioned it was down to 49% of total. Ross Taylor – CL King and Associates : Okay.

Don Morel

Management

Ross, one comment. You have to be careful with that comparison because I would suspect the 2013 number incorporated some volume for the contract manufacturer I spoke about. So the delta is actually better on a comparative basis.

Bill Federici

Management

And we also had longer lead times in March of 2013 so if you’re trying to do apples to apples those lead times have come down. So the customers don’t need to place orders as much in front of when they want delivery as they had back in March of 2013. Ross Taylor – CL King and Associates : Okay, alright, that’s helpful. And then I’m kind of guessing that that increase in the percentage of the backlog related to the high-value products is one item that gives you a lot of confidence in that forecast you gave out of 8% to 12% growth in the high-value products over the balance of this year. Is that assumption correct?

Don Morel

Management

I think I would put it more into a family as opposed to a single product, Ross. Clearly a lot of that is FluroTec and Teflon-coated closures as well as prefilled syringe plungers. Those would be the driving categories.

Bill Federici

Management

But you’re right – the fact that there is a backlog increase in that composition of the increase is largely related to high-value products. This does give us a lot of comfort that that 8% to 12% growth for the remainder of the year makes a lot of sense to us in high-value products. Ross Taylor – CL King and Associates : Okay, that’s helpful. And then my last question relates to one of the comments in your press release on SmartDose where you stated that you expect some promising early-stage work to emerge as full-scale development programs during 2014. And if something becomes a full-scale development program does that mean it’s highly likely or 100% likely that it’s going to go into clinical trials? Or how should we think about a “full-scale development program?”

Don Morel

Management

The full-scale development to us means where we are delivering a solution to the customer for either their human use trials and/or clinical trials. When it gets to the utilization phase it usually means that we are at the start of Phase III and we have to have the lines and then we’ll produce actual devices should the regulatory bodies approve the product that will be used when the product goes to market. So full-scale development applies to us delivering those devices for the human use and early clinical trials. Ross Taylor – CL King and Associates : Okay. That’s great, thanks very much.

Don Morel

Management

Thanks, Ross.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Arnie Ursaner of CJS Securities. Arnie Ursaner – CJS Securities : Hi, a couple of quick follow-ups. Normally your Q1 is your peak gross margin quarter as you get the benefit from price increases. Obviously this year’s gross margin was somewhat less. Again, I just want to clarify – there’s nothing other than timing and mix that would affect your gross margin outlook?

Bill Federici

Management

Yeah, the price you mentioned it on, in Packaging Systems the price increase was 0.4 percentage points. If you compare that to Q1 2013 it was 2.4 percentage points. Arnie Ursaner – CJS Securities : Okay.

Don Morel

Management

Yeah, if you were to normalize the quarter, Arnie, for the HVP sales that declined I think you’d see the margins pretty much in line with where we were in prior- Arnie Ursaner – CJS Securities : And that plus the pricing.

Bill Federici

Management

And remember, Arnie, as we said in the release normal inflationary cost increases have affected our margin as well. And those things along with when you have less high-value products you have less throughput in the plants so your efficiency isn’t as good, your absorption isn’t as good. So all of those factors together caused that margin to decline by 2.2% on a consolidated basis. Arnie Ursaner – CJS Securities : And we break out your SG&A in more detail than you do. Just to freshen that up can you comment on your IT spend and your outlook for that for the year?

Bill Federici

Management

The IT spend was down, not a lot – it was roughly the same as it was in Q1 last year. And our spend for the full year will be roughly equivalent to what it was last year. Arnie Ursaner – CJS Securities : Okay. And I have a more structural question for Don if you don’t mind. There’s been tremendous discussion among healthcare analysts about reimbursement and pricing on orphan drugs. I think the thing that really highlighted this was Gilead and I will mangle the pronunciation of the drug Solvadi. And the conclusion some investors seemed to reach is that healthcare companies were going to stop development of future drugs which would obviously have an enormous impact on you. Care to comment on that, Don?

Don Morel

Management

We certainly haven’t seen any signs of that. I mean obviously the total course of therapy for the Hep-C drug out of Gilead kind of hit everybody between the eyes. I mean there’s no doubt that it’s expensive. But in terms of development programs we see coming in and customer inquiries on closure systems and devices for new drugs we see no change. I mean clearly the conversation is going to continue because of the ACA and reimbursement but if you’re the person that needs the drug I think you’re going to find a way to pay for it. So we’re optimistic. The pipeline is as good as it’s ever been. The composition of the trials coming through the FDA has a very high percentage of biologics as you know and that’s a space where West really enjoys a comfortable technology advantage currently as well as relationships with those customers that are key. So I’m optimistic. Arnie Ursaner – CJS Securities : Thank you very much.

Don Morel

Management

Thanks, Arnie.

Operator

Operator

I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Don Morel, Chairman and CEO for closing remarks.

Don Morel

Management

Thank you very much, Operator, and thank you everyone for your time this morning. We look forward to speaking with you again with our Q2 results in the latter part of July or early August. Thank you.