Amit Muni
Analyst · Citi. Your line is open
Thank you, Jono, and good morning, everyone. We got a lot to cover on today’s call. So let’s first begin by reviewing the U.S. ETF industry statistics. Turning to Slide 3, the industry reached record levels with $118.3 billion in net inflows in the fourth quarter, which helped to push the industry to a record $239 billion of net inflows for the year, as reflected on the chart on the right. We can review the category of flows on the next slide. US Equity has led the flows in the fourth quarter, followed by fixed income and emerging market equities had outflows. On the right you can see the same general trends for the full year except emerging market equities had slight inflows. Now, let’s begin to look at our results. Our U.S. AUM increased 13% to $39.3 billion and rebounding our flows in the fourth quarter, which was $4.5 billion, as reflected in the middle chart. This was the third best inflow quarter for WisdomTree. Our inflows for the full year were $5.1 billion. Turning to Slide 6, you can see the categories for our flows. Our HEDJ equity product was strong asset gatherers in the fourth quarter with HEDJ taking in $2.8 billion and DXJ taking in $1.7 billion. But as you can see in the box, we continue to face headwinds in emerging markets, where we experienced $1 billion of outflows across equity, fixed income, and currency categories. One highlight I would like to note. This quarter was the best ever quarter for our US Equity ETFs, which raised almost $1 billion. On the right for the full-year, we had $5.1 billion in HEDJ, which helped to offset the outflows we experienced in the emerging market category. Turning to the next slide, you can see the strength we demonstrated in the European category. Again, WisdomTree was the leading asset gatherer and European-focused ETFs. This was due to the success of HEDJ and we continue to be a leader in the currency HEDJ category. Turning to Slide 8. WisdomTree was the fourth best asset gatherer in the quarter, which helped us to achieve a 3.8% market share. On the next slide, you can see for the full-year, we ranked 7th and had a 2.1% market share. This came in below our target of 3% to 5% of industry inflows due to the headwinds we faced in the emerging market category during the year. However, product innovation and diversification like we demonstrated with HEDJ and the record inflow levels into our US Equity ETFs allows us to continue to grow even when certain categories are at a favor. Turning to Slide 10. We were ranked 5th in organic growth, when compared to the top 10 US ETF sponsors. As you can see in the chart on the right, we again had the best organic growth rate of any of the publicly traded asset managers. As we have said along all year, we continue to remain optimistic about our position in the fast growing ETF industry and in our long-term positioning in the asset classes in which we compete. On Slide 11, we show you how our ETFs have performed according to their Morningstar peer groups. These comparisons take into account fees and transaction costs and reflect how our equity, fixed income and alternative ETFs performed against active and passive mutual funds and other ETFs. In evaluating the performance of these funds, you can see since inception 64% of our ETFs outperformed their peer group. Put another way, 87% of the roughly $39 billion invested in our ETFs were in funds that beat their peers, a statistic we are proud of. Now, I’d like to update you on our European business on Slide 12. In the fourth quarter, we launched our first set of WisdomTree-branded ETFs in Europe. In addition, our Boost brand have shortened leverage ETPs expanded into Italy and Germany and added fixed income in currency ETPs. We achieved $175 million in net inflows for the year in our Boost ETPs and AUM in Europe reached $181 million at the end of the year, and as of this morning are just over $200 million. We are continuing to build out our sales force and look to launch up to five additional WisdomTree ETPs in 2015. On Slide 14, we can start to go to our financials. On the back of solid inflows this quarter, total revenues continue to decline, reaching nearly $15 million in the fourth quarter. Our U.S. listed revenues increased 14% from the prior year and 22% for the full year. Pre-tax income was up slightly from the fourth quarter to $16.7 million. Included in the quarter were higher compensation cost and one-time consulting expenses, which I will discuss further as well as expenses for our European business, which we acquired in April. Excluding the European business, pre-tax income declined 13% in the prior year quarter and 53% for the full year. Earnings per share was $0.07 for the quarter, which included approximately $0.01 for one-time higher consulting expense and $0.01 for higher incentive compensation than we anticipated at the end of the third quarter due to their higher inflow levels we achieved in the fourth quarter. Turning to Slide 15, you can see in the blue bar on the left chart, as a percent of our overall average AUM, the HEDJ equity category increased to 42%, which generated a 25% increase in our revenue from this category as you can see in the chart on the right. ETFs revenues reached a record $49 million this quarter and our average revenue capture remained at 52 basis points. On the next slide, we can review our key margin metrics. Gross margins for our US listed EPS business increased slightly to 82.5% and was 81.5% for the full year. And the chart on the right, you can see in the light blue, our consolidated pre-tax operating margin declined to 33.6% compared to the third quarter. Pre-tax margins for our US listed ETFs business in dark blue were 37.8%. Our pre-tax margins were particularly high during the first nine months of this year, as we significantly reduced compensation costs as a result of our inflow levels. To the right you can see for the year, our U.S. margins increased to 43% and only $35 billion of average AUM. Next, we’ll review expenses on Slide 17. Third quarter total expenses were $26.9 million. Marketing and sales related spending decreased by 113,000. Incentive compensation costs increased due to the strong inflow levels we experienced in the fourth quarter. We also incurred one-time higher professional fees. As part of our planning for 2015, we engage a strategic consulting firm to help us assess and benchmark our distribution and operational capabilities at this point in our development. This due diligence helped to validate and refined our plans across sales, marketing, technology and operations that we incorporated into our strategic spending for 2015, which I will discuss a little later. We are not planning to incur such expense in the future. Moving on expenses for our European business increased 526,000, as we launched the WisdomTree ETFs and continue to build out the team. Our inflow levels resulted in a 195,000 of additional costs, another expenses increased by 68,000 resulting in expenses of $32.9 million for the quarter, an increase of 23%. The next slide walks you through the major changes in our expenses for the full-year for your reference. Turning to Slide 19. On the right you can see from the annual numbers in the bar chart that our expenses continue to decline as a percent of revenues, reflecting the operating efficiency of our business model. Compensation as a percent of revenues for our U.S. business was 21.1% within the guidance that we gave at the beginning of the year of 20% to 23%. Based on our results for the first nine months, this was trending to the 20% level, but due to the strong rebound in inflows for – in the fourth quarter, this expense ticked higher to 21%. On the next slide, we can review the strength of our balance sheet. Total assets grew to nearly $221 million at the end of the year, which is primarily comprised of cash and investments which continues to grow, as you can see from the chart on the right. And lastly, with respect to taxes on Slide 21, as you can see on the left, the amount of future pre-tax income that is shielded from income tax is approximately $110 million at the end of the year. As the chart in the middle reflects, we continue to generate tax losses because of the deductibility of equity awards we granted to employees, assuming our closing price yesterday, we potentially have another $130 million of pre-tax income, which can be shielded from cash taxes in the future. Turning to Slide 22, as we have done previously in our year-end call, I would like to give you an outlook of our expenses in 2015. As Jono outlined at the beginning of the call, we are excited about the open-ended opportunity to the ETF industry and we continue to focus our efforts to position ourselves to take part in the industries growth. In recognition of this opportunity combining with our expanding resources, we intend to spend $12 million to $16 million over the course of 2015 on strategic investments across key opportunities continue to drive future growth. The majority of this spend directly relates to growing our top line revenues. These expenses include a significant expansion of our sales force another sales related activities in order to go deeper and broader in existing and new channels. As part of this, we will be hiring a new Head of Sales to focus exclusively on this effort and Luciano will be stepping into a larger Chief Investment Strategy’s role. We will be increasing our sales force by approximately 50%, by adding 20 to 25 new salespeople for our existing team of 40 people. We will also be adding a similar percentage of 8 to 12 employees. The team that supports our sales force with content and product support to bolster our client facing efforts. We estimate the cost for growing our sales-force, adding sales support staff and increasing other sales related spending will be approximately $7 million to $11 million. Second, we will continue to develop new products to expand and diversify our offering. We are targeting to launch 8 to 10 new ETFs this coming year. And the minimum cost for launching an ETF in the U.S. is approximately $175,000. Third, we plan to increase our marketing spend by approximately $1.5 million to support our ETFs and brand. And lastly, we plan to invest in technology initiatives to better provide business intelligent and distribution analytics for our sales-force, as well as more efficiency and risk mitigation to our operations. We also plan to increase our operational and administrative headcount by around 8 to 12 people, as we prepare for future growth. Total estimated investments for this is $2 million. Turning to Slide 23, we can walk through our estimated expense base for 2015. Our U.S. business had expenses of about $104 million in 2014. We incurred $3.7 million in one-time acquisition and consulting costs. Expenses should decrease another $1.4 million after annualizing our AUM taking into account new pricing of State Street and other savings as well as resetting compensation to baseline levels. We anticipate about $3 million in administrative and other overhead cost increases, and an additional $1.8 million in stock-based compensation. We are targeting $12 million to $16 million for strategic investments, so our baseline operating expense base in the U.S. will be $116 million to $120 million. From there we will incur additional costs based on changes in our AUM. We anticipate our gross margins will be around 83% to 84%, up closer to the 83% level in the near-term. Incentive compensation will also change based on our inflow levels. Because of the increase in our headcount from the prior year, and this year’s growth initiatives we expect compensation for the U.S. business will be between 21% and 25% of revenue for the full-year. Again this is the expense base for the U.S. business. Our expected pre-tax loss for our Europe business will be $6 million to $9 million. We have always factored in continued growth investments into our long-term margin guidance. And we are therefore still targeting a 50% U.S. pre-tax operating margin between $55 billion to $60 billion of average assets, assuming a 51 basis point revenue capture. Lastly, as to update you on our flow so far this quarter, this year is starting off very well and January has been the best month ever for WisdomTree. So far we have taken in $4.6 billion in net inflows and our AUM has almost reached $45 billion. On the right, you can see where the flows are coming from by category. So in summary, WisdomTree has grown rapidly over the last several years to become one of the leading players in the ETF industry. To support our growth in the U.S., we continue to expand our product set in existing and new asset classes and significantly increase our client facing efforts through research, sales and marketing. We have expanded our footprint by acquiring and building in operations in Europe, entering into marketing arrangements in Latin America, Australia, New Zealand, and making our ETFs available for sale in Japan. Our success has been through a combination of being focused, nimble, innovative and differentiated from our competitors. We feel the time is right to increase our strategic spending to capitalize on more opportunities to accelerate our growth. We believe these investments today are important to better position us for the long term. Thank you. Now I’ll open it up to Q&A.