Earnings Labs

Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company (WTW)

Q3 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Oct 30, 2025

$289.99

+0.22%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

-1.23%

1 Week

+1.64%

1 Month

-0.41%

vs S&P

-0.66%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the WTW Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. Please refer to the wtwco.com for the press release and supplemental information that was issued earlier today. Today's call is being recorded and will be available for the next 3 months on WTW's website. Some of the comments in today's call may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those discussed today, and the company undertakes no obligation to update these statements unless required by law. For a more detailed discussion of these and other risk factors, investors should review the forward-looking statements section of the earnings press release issued this morning as well as in the most recent Form 10-K and other subsequent WTW securities filings, SEC filings. During the call, certain non-GAAP financial measures may be discussed to provide direct comparability with period -- prior periods all complement regarding the company's revenue growth results will be on a non-GAAP organic basis, unless specifically stated otherwise. For reconciliations of the non-GAAP measures as well as other information regarding these measures please refer to the most recent earnings release and other materials in the Investor Relations section of the company's website. I'll now turn the call over to Carl Hess, WTW Executive Officer. Please go ahead, sir. Carl Hess, you may begin.

Carl A. Hess

Management

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for WTW's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. Joining me today is Andrew Krasner, our Chief Financial Officer; Julie Gebauer, our President of Health, Wealth & Career; and Lucy Clarke, our President of Risk & Broking, are also joining us for our Q&A session. We delivered another quarter of solid results, driven by consistent and strong execution of our strategy. In the third quarter, we generated 5% organic growth, 230 basis points of adjusted operating margin expansion and adjusted EPS of $3.07, up 11% year-over-year. We've sustained our momentum in the market and remain on track to deliver our full year financial objectives. I want to thank all my WTW colleagues for their hard work and dedication to achieving our strategic and financial goals. As these results show, the strategy we laid out nearly 1 year ago to accelerate performance, enhance efficiency and optimize our portfolio continues to drive value for all our stakeholders despite the volatile macroeconomic environment. Against that backdrop, I'd like to provide some observations on current market conditions. Concerns about global trade, inflation and geopolitical conditions remain, creating both opportunities and challenges. On one hand, some clients are looking for support to manage the related people and risk issues, and on the other, some companies are continuing to limit discretionary spending. We continue to monitor relevant economic indicators such as employment levels, which may affect our business prospects over the short term. In addition, we're facing headwinds from declining rates in certain segments of the commercial insurance market across various geographies. In the face of this dynamic environment, our businesses continue to be resilient as we remain intensely focused on providing relevant services that deliver value to our clients. Health, Wealth & Career career delivered steady 4% organic…

Andrew Krasner

Management

Thanks, Carl. Good morning, and thanks, everyone, for joining us today. In the third quarter, we delivered solid organic revenue growth of 5% and expanded adjusted operating margin by 230 basis points year-over-year to 20.4% or 120 basis points of year-over-year improvement when excluding TRANZACT. Adjusted diluted earnings per share were $3.07, which is an increase of approximately 11% over the prior year. As a reminder, we completed the divestiture of TRANZACT on December 31, 2024. And for the full year 2025, this will create a headwind to adjusted diluted earnings per share of $1.14. As Carl discussed, our solid third quarter results reflect the strong foundation we've built and the benefits of our investments in talent and technology. Our strategy is resonating with clients and colleagues and our businesses remain highly resilient despite the macro uncertainty. We remain firmly focused on our strategic objectives and the financial framework outlined at Investor Day to create long-term shareholder value. Turning to our segment results. Health, Wealth & Career revenue grew 4% compared to the third quarter of last year. Excluding the impact of book of business settlement activity and interest income growth was 5%. Our results for the third quarter are in line with our expectations, and we remain on track to deliver mid-single-digit growth and margin expansion for HWC in 2025. As a reminder, the vast majority of HWC's business is recurring, with only a small portion being more economically sensitive and discretionary. Our Health business achieved strong growth of 7% this quarter or 8% growth, excluding the impact of book of business settlement activity and interest income. This growth was primarily driven by double-digit increases in International and solid performance in North America. Results in International were driven by new global benefit management and local appointments, successful renewals, health…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Gregory Peters from Raymond James.

Charles Peters

Analyst

So for the first question, I'm going to focusing in on the Risk & Broking organic revenue results. I appreciate the color, both you made, both you, Carl and Andrew made specifically on the new business. And I guess what I'm getting at is how much of the third quarter result reflected sort of unusual wins that won't recur or come at it a different way. You mentioned project-based placements. Were those unusual relative to other quarters? And maybe you can just build on that by line of business? Is there something nuanced or geographies that's driving what I would characterize as a better-than-market result?

Carl A. Hess

Management

Thanks for the question. We were really pleased with the 6% growth we achieved for the R&B segment. That was on top of, right, a 10% for a solid growth result in Q3 '24. CRB delivered 6% organic or 7% when you exclude both book of business activity and fiduciary income. I think our specialization strategy and our investments in talent, data and technology continue to drive sustainable growth. Lucy, can you give us some color commentary on that?

Lucy Clarke

Analyst

Yes. Sure, Carl. Hi, Greg. Yes, let me just start by reiterating we had another good quarter overall. Within CRB, we've generated strong new business in all of our global markets and across almost every single specialty line. We saw particularly meaningful contributions from construction, M&A, surety, credit risk solutions and remain committed to delivering mid-single-digit to high single-digit growth in R&B for the year. As you know, of course, our clients are benefiting from an improving rate environment, which can translate to a revenue headwind for us. Naturally, this industry-wide dynamic will make the path to high single-digit growth for the year more challenging but not out of reach. In terms of the project-based placements, it's just important to keep in mind that the nature of our work in specialty is always a combination of recurring and one-off work. So as we noted in those prepared remarks, we did see increased contributions from placements for multiyear projects undertaken by some of our clients. Normal part of growth in our specialty businesses, particularly in construction, M&A, surety and natural resources. That specialization approach has been a key driver of growth for us in R&B, and we expect that to continue. Thanks, Greg.

Charles Peters

Analyst

I'm going to follow up just because it's important. I know part of your expectation going forward is to expand your margins in Risk & Broking each year and both Andrew and Lucy now have previewed that it's becoming more difficult to get to the higher end of your organic revenue results in Risk & Broking. Should we be worried that if we go from mid-single digit to high single digit, just to mid-single digit, that there might be some pressure on your ability to generate that 100 basis points of margin improvement in the next 2 years?

Andrew Krasner

Management

Greg, it's Andrew. I'll take that one. So we did see a strong margin improvement in the R&B segment of 70 basis points or 100 basis points, excluding the impact of foreign currency. So year-to-date, 90 basis points of operating improvement or 120 basis points, excluding the impact of foreign currency. We're not going to sort of guide to a specific number for the full year, but we do remain absolutely committed to what we laid out in Investor Day of the 100 basis points on average over the next 3 years per year. And we feel like we're on track to achieve that. It's really driven by some of the investments in technology that we've made really looking at process improvement, things of that nature, that's really going to help drive those efficiencies. So I think despite the top line, we feel like we have the appropriate tools and levers to be able to get there.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Elyse Greenspan from Wells Fargo.

Elyse Greenspan

Analyst

My first question was on free cash flow. If you can just provide more expectations for the year and the fourth quarter. I think in your prepared remarks, you commented about how the favorable second half began to play out this quarter. I just was hoping to get more comments there.

Andrew Krasner

Management

Yes. Perfect. Thanks, Elyse. Our view has not changed from what we shared last quarter. The favorable second half setup that we flagged continues to play out. Through the third quarter year-to-date, we had $838 million in free cash flow, which is $114 million year-over-year increase, that was driven by operating margin expansion and reduced transformation cash costs. Looking at the fourth quarter, the remaining transformation cash cost will continue to abate and the divestiture of TRANZACT will act as a tailwind as we lap the prior year fourth quarter. So taken together, we remain confident in our ability to deliver free cash flow margin expansion, not just in 2025, but beyond as well and just continue to build on that momentum.

Elyse Greenspan

Analyst

And then my second question, I was just hoping you guys could provide what the insurance pricing headwind was in the third quarter? And also, was that similar to the second quarter or worse?

Lucy Clarke

Analyst

Elyse, it's Lucy. Thanks for the question. So sure, pricing pressure has continued in certain areas of the market, and it's becoming more meaningful as we make progress through the year. From our perspective, property is the most impacted class, particularly in the large and complex segments but most lines are showing softening other than, of course, North American casualty where pricing continues to rise. Important to remember that these pricing improvements follow 5 years of pricing increases. So many of the markets still see these levels as rate adequate, and it's a welcome relief for our clients. So we're still expecting mid- to high single-digit organic revenue growth in Risk & Broking for the year in spite of any of the pricing developments.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Rob Cox from Goldman Sachs.

Robert Cox

Analyst

First question on HWC margins. I think if we exclude the impact of TRANZACT, the margins improved 100 basis points, as you all mentioned. If we do that in the first half of 2025, I think the margins contracted. So I was just curious sort of what changed in the quarter and how you guys are thinking about margin expansion, excluding TRANZACT in the fourth quarter and beyond?

Andrew Krasner

Management

Yes, sure. I mean, as we laid out in Investor Day, we're committed to incremental margin improvement across that sector over the long term. Over the full year here, we'll have some tailwinds, right, from the divestiture of TRANZACT, but everything is playing out exactly as we expected. And maybe, Julie, you want to comment on some of the drivers of sort of how we're going to sustain that performance going forward.

Julie Gebauer

Analyst

I would, Andrew. But first, I want to highlight that so far this year, excluding the TRANZACT divestiture, we added 40 basis points of margin in Q1, 20 basis points in Q2 and now 100 basis points in Q3, as you mentioned, in line with our commitment to build on our strong track record. We've been able to do this consistently over a lot of years for a few reasons, and that the foundation of this performance is the way that we focused our portfolio. We got businesses where we can not only differentiate but also scale and generate leverage. And then on top of that, we have a really clear view of our top line and a firm command of our cost structure. We take a very disciplined approach to resource management. And then finally, we still see opportunities with process optimization, automation and right shoring to add to margin. So while we take pride in what we like to say are industry-leading margins in HWC, we are very confident in our ability to build on that.

Robert Cox

Analyst

Great. And then I just want to follow up on the BD&O business. It sounds like the guidance is being maintained for mid-single-digit organic growth for the full year. Just looking at what you guys have done year-to-date, it looks like you might need something like high single digits organic in the fourth quarter. Could you tell us what gives you confidence on the improvement there?

Julie Gebauer

Analyst

Yes, Rob, I'll take that. I'm going to start with a reminder that BD&O overall generates nearly half of its revenue in the fourth quarter. And in addition to typically our outsourcing clients going -- new outsourcing clients going live in that quarter. About 1/3 of our revenue in this business comes from our individual marketplace business, and in that business, we generate about 80% of our revenue in the fourth quarter, as Andrew mentioned, during open enrollment that happens from October until early December. And given the new clients that we've added, our expectations for Medicare retirees to review and switch coverage during that enrollment period, we expect to see increases in commissions and fees and solid growth in the quarter ahead. So overall, we expect mid-single-digit growth for the full year and over the longer term.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Michael Zaremski from BMO.

Michael Zaremski

Analyst

Looking at the interest income levels, very healthy, better than expected. Is that the run rate or any one-timers we should be considering?

Andrew Krasner

Management

No specific one-timers, but I just -- it's important to keep in mind that some of the investment income is driven by sort of where the cash balances are held across jurisdictions and interest rates vary by geography. So sometimes geographic mix of business can have an impact there. So I think that's the only nuance I'd call out there.

Michael Zaremski

Analyst

Okay. So we'll -- I guess I'll take it as a kind of use it as directionally at the run rate. A follow-up to Greg Peter's question earlier and just not trying to split hairs and we love when you give extra color. But in the R&B segment, when you mentioned the project based placements in specialty, which is great color. It just leads to the question, is project-based mean like more nonrecurring or onetime that we should kind of be considering in our run rate on a go forward? So just wanted to try to ask that one last time to make sure we're not -- new wording.

Lucy Clarke

Analyst

It's just one last time. It's Lucy. Thanks for the question. Yes, you're right, it does mean onetime revenue. But we always have onetime revenue. The nature of our work in specialty is a combination of recurring and onetime revenue. We just saw increased contributions from the placement of multiyear projects in the quarter, so we hold it out. It's a normal part of the growth in Specialty business.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Paul Newsome from Piper.

Jon Paul Newsome

Analyst

I was hoping you could talk a little bit about the war for talent. We see a lot of headlines, particularly on the property casualty side of the house about books getting hired back and forth. And where do you think Willis fits within that? And do you think we're seeing a heightened level of poaching back and forth?

Carl A. Hess

Management

Yes. Thanks for the question. We are really happy with our ability to attract and retain top talent. As Lucy shared after she joined last year, right, the success of our strategy over the last 4 years and the world-class resources we've developed to serve clients, they're highly attractive to prospective employees. We continue to hire strategically with a focus on bringing in accretive talent, especially within our Specialty lines and geographies. More broadly, we continue to make investments in the fastest-growing and most profitable areas of our business. And so we remain very excited about the innovation fostered by both these investments and the new talent in the organization. It's helping us realize significant opportunities to accelerate profitable growth and to enhance our margins.

Jon Paul Newsome

Analyst

So do you think you're getting kind of more than a fair share at this point? Or do you think you've sort of reached a point where you're kind of at your steady state of continued growth?

Lucy Clarke

Analyst

I'll just pick up on that. Thanks. So of course, our people are it for us, and our business is built around talent. Incredibly proud of the people who work here and how they look after our clients. That really strong focus on talent has been the key driver of our organic growth and, of course, particularly for new business growth over the last few years. We will continue to complement our existing talent by making strategic hires in the areas we think that they'll be most impactful both in terms of geography and specialty. It's proven to be a real successful strategy for us, and we'll continue to execute on that.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of David Motemaden from Evercore ISI.

David Motemaden

Analyst

I had a question just on some of the R&B commentary just around the path to achieving the high single-digit growth, just getting more challenging, given the current pricing environment. And I'm not so much focused on fourth quarter, but just thinking bigger picture about the mid-single-digit to high single-digit growth targets you guys had laid out at your Investor Day about a year ago within R&B. Just given the current environment and the direction of travel, I guess, how are you thinking about that target? Is it still that mid-single to high single, mid-single, is low single digit on the table? Just interested in your thoughts on that.

Carl A. Hess

Management

Yes. I mean, stepping back, right, our solid performance this year reflects the success of the specialization strategy and demonstrated by 6%, the solid 6% we got out of CRB, that 7% we do exclude book of business and fiduciary income for the quarter. Given our performance year-to-date, we remain committed to mid- to high single-digit growth in R&B for the year. But as we've said, right, we acknowledge that high single digits, a bit more challenging now with the current environment.

Lucy Clarke

Analyst

Yes. Let me just add to that. Thanks, Carl. Yes, so we've made the comments about where we expect '25 to end up. And obviously, we're not going to comment on '26 until next quarter. But we still have plenty of room to grow across Risk & Broking. We expect client demand and the attractiveness of the specialty structure to continue to generate growth rates that continue to lead the market. So we see a lot to be optimistic about, but we'll talk about '26 next quarter.

David Motemaden

Analyst

Got it. Okay. And then just following up, just seeing an economy that looks like capital spending and spending is still solid, but then employment growth, which Carl, you mentioned that's slowed a bit. And I hear you loud and clear that HWC is vastly recurring in nature, if I think about their revenues. But could you just help me think about just general employment levels and how that might impact some of the contracts that you have, particularly in BD&O even if it is recurring. Are there different bands there that can tweak up and down based on your client employment levels? Or could you just help me think through the sensitivity of your businesses to that?

Julie Gebauer

Analyst

David, I'll pick up on that one. Look, overall, we haven't seen softening employment impact our revenue overall. And I can tell you that even with a softening employment landscape, we expect to deliver mid-single-digit revenue growth in HWC this year. And while it's worth noting that employee turnover has dropped across industry, there is still high competition for certain jobs and skills. We've got -- we do these talent intelligence reports that found that organizations are investing heavily in technology, talent, data roles, customer service jobs. And then balancing that alongside other external factors like things I've mentioned before have been mentioned before, health care inflation, healthy pension-funded status new legislation where our clients need support, we believe that overall environment is generally favorable for our HWC services, and that includes BD&O that you specifically mentioned.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Mark Hughes from Truist.

Mark Hughes

Analyst

In the Health business, I talked about the strong pipeline. How much of that do you think is you're taking share versus there's just a lot of movement, a lot of folks looking for solutions given health care inflation.

Carl A. Hess

Management

Thanks for the question. Just to take this one step back, right? The Health business at 7% for the quarter, and that's 8% before when you exclude book settlement and really reflecting broad-based growth across all regions. We think our strategy is continuing to yield meaningful results. This is the sixth consecutive quarter of growth in the high single digits range. Our expectation is that demand is going to remain solid for the rest of the year driven by a very solid pipeline and supportive external trends. And though we do recognize we have a strong comp in Q4. We continue to expect to deliver high single-digit growth for the full year. But maybe if Julie could give a bit more commentary about what we're seeing in Health.

Julie Gebauer

Analyst

Yes. Sure, Carl. And Mark, to pick up on your point, I'll start with the external environment. Health care inflation is still front and center for a lot of organizations due to the higher cost driven by things like increased utilization, technological advances, prescription drug cost increases and the list goes on. In fact, we've done some recent research that shows that 73% of company, 73% are feeling more cost pressure in this area than at any point in the last 10 years. So it isn't a surprise that they're turning to us for help in managing these costs, whether that's to take health plans out for competitive bids or considering more significant changes. So this environment has been favorable. And we've been successful with focused sales efforts and a strong service and that has generated strong retention new business and good results for some of our solutions like global benefits management and our middle market offerings. And so our pipeline is strong. And to repeat what Carl said, we are confident in delivering high single-digit growth for the full year.

Mark Hughes

Analyst

Very good. And then on the -- in the retirement business, what is the prospects for continued project work if interest rates are going to be declining here? Presumably, most pension funds are pretty -- doing pretty well. But what is -- how does 2026 shape up relative to 2025 on that front?

Carl A. Hess

Management

Yes. And again, let's ground this where we're starting from. Wealth generated 5% organic for the quarter, driven by strength in retirement. New clients and core DB services and LifeSight to your point, expanded project work for existing clients, right? Our investments business is delivering growth from new products and client wins. We continue to expect low single-digit growth for the year and over the long term. And Julie, what are we seeing on the ground and what do we think about the future?

Julie Gebauer

Analyst

Yes. Yes. I'd like to actually break this into 3 pieces. The core defined benefit work emerging work in the defined contribution area and then developing product solutions in the investments area. So starting with core defined benefit, we have added more clients in our target market. And to the point that's been made already conducted more project work. That includes not only derisking, which is interest rate dependent, but derisking readiness for the future, doing things like data cleanup, helping clients with workforce management projects and doing work to support the adoption of new legislation. We have very good momentum going in this area, and we expect these trends to continue. Now in defined contribution, we are live with our LifeSight Solution in 12 countries now, and we continue to add clients and assets under management. At the end of the quarter, last quarter, our assets under management across our Master Trust type arrangement with over $42 billion. And then we've seen strong performance in our new product launches in our Investments business. I want to highlight what I think is a really exciting example where we launched funds in collaboration with BlackRock for our clients' international defined contribution pension plans. And that has been seeded with over $1 billion in assets from a client headquartered in the Middle East. So with developments like this, we expect our Wealth businesses to grow revenue steadily in the short to medium term. Growth is expected to accelerate over the medium to long term as we build in some of these faster-growing areas that I've mentioned. And I'll just close with the momentum that we have this year, we're expecting results to be at the top end of the low single-digit range.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Ryan Tunis from Cantor.

Ryan Tunis

Analyst

Just one for me. So in Risk & Broking, the 7% organic. Can you give us some idea of geographically, how the U.S. fits in there versus International?

Andrew Krasner

Management

Yes. So we saw growth across all of our geographies. We're happy with how all of the businesses performed but don't get into the detail on geography by geography basis. The U.S. is about less than half of the total portfolio that we have within that business. So again, well diversified across geographies, lines of business markets and property casualty splits, and that's served us well.

Ryan Tunis

Analyst

Sorry. But like seems like broadly, that's where we're seeing some pressure on brokerage, organic just on the U.S. side. So you're saying that we should assume that U.S. is running somewhere in your 7% organic?

Lucy Clarke

Analyst

No, that's not what we're saying. We saw particularly good performances from the U.K. and our GB and International, and we had some outperformance there.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Mark Marcon from Robert W. Baird.

Mark Marcon

Analyst

One for Julie and one for Lucy. Julie, just with regards to the health insurance pressures that employers are facing. Typically, when we go through these time periods, how long do you see elevated levels of continued requirements for help from your clients? It seems to me like it would be a multiyear process to try to optimize benefit plans and things of that nature. But I'm wondering what your perspective is on that. And then for Lucy, obviously, we all know that we're going into a softer cycle, how would you characterize this softer cycle relative to others? And to what extent does that impact your ability to gain new clients from competitors?

Julie Gebauer

Analyst

Mark, thank you. On the health care front, you're right that this is typically a multiyear phenomenon where we have higher health care inflation around the world. We're already looking out at estimates for 2026, and it is still expected to be high. Lucy, you want to comment on...

Lucy Clarke

Analyst

I would love to Julie. Thank you. Yes, thanks Mark, for the question. So how would I characterize this soft cycle compared to other soft cycles? I guess I would just make the note that we are talking about it being a softer cycle, but it's important to remember where we've come from. We had 5 years of rating increase. And so where we are is softer, but it is still considered rate adequate in most -- by most carriers. And in terms of how does it affect our ability to attract clients. Well, I mean, clients aren't only looking for the lowest price. They will get better pricing from brokers across the board. But we think that the biggest thing we have to offer clients is the differentiation in our specialization strategy.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Meyer Shields from KBW.

Meyer Shields

Analyst

Two quick ones, hopefully. And I apologize if this has been covered before. But given the fact that you've done $1.3 billion of repurchases year-to-date and fourth quarter is the strongest free cash flow quarter. Why is $1.5 billion the right number for 2025? [indiscernible] Shouldn't it be higher?

Andrew Krasner

Management

Yes, sure. So as we mentioned in the prepared remarks, we're still targeting $1.5 billion in subject to market conditions and, of course, potential capital allocation to organic or inorganic investment opportunities. In terms of timing and potential upside, we continuously monitor our cash levels and market conditions to take advantage of opportunities to accelerate repurchases. And will lean in if the opportunity presents itself, and we think it's a prudent thing to do. As we always have, we evaluate all of our options for capital allocation, which does include share buybacks, internal investment and carefully consider strategic M&A to make sure that we're maximizing value creation for our shareholders.

Meyer Shields

Analyst

Okay. That's fair. Second question, with the survey-related results or revenues that are being deferred to the fourth quarter, were the associated expenses still booked in the third quarter?

Andrew Krasner

Management

Yes. The simple answer to that question. So we expect some revenue to bleed over into Q4 related to that sort of temporary shift in timing.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude the question-and-answer session of today's program. I'd like to hand the program back to Carl Hess for any further remarks.

Carl A. Hess

Management

Thanks, everyone, for participating today. Before we wrap up, I'd like to acknowledge the destruction caused by Hurricane Melissa and express our deepest sympathy to all of those affected. For our clients and business partners in the areas impacted our thoughts are with you, and we'll continue to lend our support through this difficult time. Thank you all for joining us this morning. I do want to thank once again all our WTW colleagues again for their hard work and dedication, and thank you to our shareholders for their continued support of our efforts. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Good day.