Scott Scheirman
Analyst · Kartik Mehta of Northcoast Research
Thank you, Hikmet. Overall, for the quarter, we delivered consolidated revenue growth of 7% on a reported basis or 5% on a constant currency basis. Currency translation added approximately $32 million to GAAP revenues in the quarter, primarily due to the strength of the European currencies. Transaction fee revenue increased 6%, while foreign exchange revenue grew 12%. Within C2C, revenue increased 8%, with transaction fee revenue up 7% and foreign exchange revenue up 12%. Foreign exchange revenue was primarily driven by growth in cross-border principal, which increased 10% in the quarter. The consolidated revenue increase reflected continued solid growth in each of our consumer-to-consumer regions, the translation effect of stronger European currencies and growth in Western Union Business Solutions. In addition, our Bill Payments business turned to positive revenue growth in the quarter. In the consumer-to-consumer segment, revenue increased 8%. Constant currency revenue growth in C2C was 5%, which was consistent with the first quarter, while transaction growth was 6%, down just slightly from the first quarter. The company's C2C cross-border principal increased 10% or 6% on a constant currency basis. C2C principal per transaction increased 4% year-over-year and was flat on a constant currency basis. In the international C2C business, revenue grew 8% on a reported basis and 5% on a constant currency basis. International transaction growth was 5%, consistent with the first quarter. International constant currency principal per transaction increased 1% compared to the prior year, which was the third consecutive quarterly increase. This is a positive trend, as consumers sending more money generally indicates they have more confidence in our economic outlook or have a better employment situation. Including the impact of currency, international principal per transaction increased 6% in the quarter. The market research from Aite just published its revised estimate of the cross-border remittance market for 2009 and 2010. Aite estimated the principal market at $398 billion in 2010, a 3% increase from 2009 and projects growth to improve to 5% in 2011 and 2012. Based on Aite's data, Western Union's cross-border market share was 17.2% in 2010, an increase of approximately 50 basis points from 2009, and we are confident we will gain share again in 2011. Turning to the regions. Our C2C business in the Europe, Middle East, Africa and South Asia region grew revenue at 8% on transaction growth of 4%. Transaction growth was consistent with the first quarter, while revenue growth improved primarily due to the strengthening of the euro. Constant currency revenue trends in Europe improved slightly compared to the first quarter led by Germany. France and Russia also continued to deliver solid growth. We completed the Angelo Costa acquisition in April and signed an agreement to purchase Finint, which we expect to close later this year for approximately EUR 100 million, subject to a working capital adjustment. Costa and Finint were 2 of our largest super agents in Europe and further advance our European strategy of having more direct access to the agent locations and creating scale efficiencies. In India, trends increased relative to the first quarter, with 11% revenue growth and 8% transaction growth. We still have some negative impact in the quarter on transactions and revenue from the Ivory Coast in Libya. Ivory Coast agent started to reopen about midway to the quarter, while Libya is still almost entirely shut down. Egypt was opened throughout the quarter. In the Gulf States, our growth rate improved from the first quarter. Turning to the Americas region. Revenue increased 5% on transaction growth of 7%. Domestic money transfer continues to have strong momentum, with revenue growth of 9% on transaction growth of 19% in the quarter. Mexico continues to be challenging, as revenue increased 1%, while transactions declined 1%. Midway through the quarter, we began to pilot some new pricing from the U.S. to Mexico to test different levels of price elasticity in consumer usage. The tests include adding a $5 for $50 promotion, a mix of other -- and a mix of other different value propositions. It is too early to make any conclusions, but initially, we have seen some positive transaction lift and relatively neutral impact on revenue. The tests are ongoing and we will continue to tweak the model based on consumer reaction. One positive impact we are seeing is some shifts from Next Day to Money in Minutes, as we have reduced the price difference between the 2. In the Asia-Pacific region, results remained strong, with revenue growth of 16% on a 12% increase in transactions. There was good growth across the region, with acceleration in Australia and China. China posted increases of 13% on revenue and 7% on transactions. For the overall C2C business, the spread between transaction and revenue growth in the quarter narrowed to 1 percentage point, excluding the impact of currency, which had a 3-point benefit. Mix was neutral in the quarter and the impact of pricing was 1%. For the full year, we now expect price decreases to be between 1% and 2%, as fee reductions are slightly smaller than planned and there are some offset by modest increases in FX spreads in some corridors. For the next couple of years, we expect net price decreases to be in the range of 1% to 3%, but we are constantly evaluating elasticity dynamics in the different corridors, and we will only implement where we think we can drive additional revenue over time. Moving to the Global Business Payments. The overall segment revenue increased 4%. The Bill Payment business turned positive, with revenue increasing 2%, as continued strong international growth increases in U.S. electronic payments and moderating declines in U.S. cash payments drove the improvement. Western Union Business Solutions revenue increased 14%, remains on track for mid-teen revenue growth for the year. Turning to margins. The second quarter consolidated GAAP operating margin was 25.7%, which compares to 24.4% in 2010. Excluding restructuring charges, the consolidated operating margin was 26.3% in this year's second quarter compared to 27.1% in the prior year. The current quarter includes $6 million of deal costs related to the acquisition of Travelex Global Business Payments. Currency translation aided revenue by approximately $32 million, but negatively impacted operating margins. As a reminder, the strengthening of the European currencies favorably impacts revenue, but has a less significant impact on operating profit due to the company's hedging programs. As we stated at the beginning of the year, a 5% movement in the European currencies would impact revenue by approximately $55 million on a full year basis but would only impact operating profit by about $7 million. The second quarter operating margin, excluding restructuring expenses, declined approximately 80 basis points from the same period last year, as the negative currency impact, higher spending on initiatives and Travelex costs offset operating efficiencies, including restructuring savings and revenue leverage. We recorded $9 million of restructuring expenses in the quarter related to our previously announced programs. Approximately $500,000 of expense is included in cost of services and $8.4 million is in SG&A. This compares to $35 million in restructuring charges in the second quarter of 2010. These charges are not included in our segment operating results. For the full year, we now expect approximately $45 million of pretax restructuring charges, which is slightly lower than our previous estimate of approximately $50 million. We continue to expect approximately $50 million related savings for the year and $70 million in 2012. We realized $30 million of savings from restructuring activities in the quarter. We recorded a $29 million gain in other income and expense in the quarter. This gain reflects the remeasurement of our previous 30% equity interest in Angelo Costa upon closing of the acquisition. The tax rate in the quarter was 21.1%, or 21.4% excluding the impacts of the restructuring charges, which compares to 18.8%, or 20.7% excluding restructuring charges in the second quarter of last year. Our full year estimated tax rate is now in a range of 23% to 24%, down from our previous range of 24% to 25%, primarily due to the resolution of certain foreign tax matters. Earnings per share in the quarter were $0.41, or $0.42 excluding restructuring charges. GAAP EPS was $0.33 in the second quarter of last year, or $0.36 excluding restructuring charges. Our C2C segment operating margin in the quarter was 28.6% compared to 29.1% in the same period last year. The decrease was due to the impact of currency and higher spending on initiatives, which offset other efficiencies, including restructuring savings and revenue leverage. Global Business Payments operating margins was 19.9% in the quarter, which compared to 18.9% in the second quarter of 2010. The margin improved compared to last year, primarily due to revenue increases, restructuring savings and lower integration and investment spending in Western Union Business Solutions. We continue to expect Business Solutions to be non-dilutive to earnings for the full year. Moving to our cash flow and balance sheet. Year-to-date cash flow from operations was $506 million, and capital expenditures were $75 million. Our year-to-date depreciation and amortization expense was approximately $90 million. At quarter end, the company had total debt of $3.6 billion and cash of $2.1 billion, of which approximately $1.1 billion was outside the United States. In the quarter, we spent $135 million to repurchase 6.6 million shares or 1% of the total shares outstanding at an average price of $20.35. We also paid $50 million in quarterly dividends. As of June 30, we have $755 million remaining under our stock repurchase authorization, which expires on December 31, 2012. Also, as of June 30, our basic shares outstanding were 627.5 million shares. We continue to manage our capital structure to target an A- credit rating. Turning to our expectations for the full year. We are raising the outlook for both revenue and earnings per share. In revenue, our outlook now calls for constant currency revenue growth in a range of 4% to 5%, and GAAP revenue growth in a range of 5% to 6%. This compares to our previous outlook of 3% to 4% constant currency growth, with no impact from foreign exchange. Constant currency revenue is benefiting from better-than-expected revenue per transaction, driven by higher principal per transaction and slightly lower pricing reductions than originally forecast. We have also changed our currency assumptions to reflect current foreign exchange outlooks around the globe. As an example, we are now projecting the euro in the lower 1.40s, compared to the low 1.30s in our February and April outlook. Our outlook does not include any revenue from Travelex Global Business Payments, which is expected to close late this year. For earnings per share, the new outlook is GAAP EPS in a range of $1.48 to $1.53, and EPS excluding restructuring charges of $1.53 to $1.58. The 2011 projected GAAP EPS range has increased by $0.07 compared to our previously stated outlook. And the EPS range, excluding restructuring expenses, has increased by $0.06. Restructuring expenses are now slightly lower than expected at $45 million, down from approximately $50 million previously. Excluding restructuring expenses, there are 4 primary drivers of the $0.06 increase in EPS. First, there's a $0.02 per share positive impact from the increase in constant currency revenue. Second, there's a $0.01 positive impact from the additional 1% increase in GAAP revenue due to currency translation, net of a partial offset from hedges. Third, there is a $0.01 positive impact from acquisition activity not included in the April outlook. And finally, the current outlook reflects a positive $0.02 impact from a 1% reduction in expected tax rate range. The current range is 23% to 24%, which is down from the prior range of 24% to 25%. The $0.01 acquisition impact is derived from the combination of Angelo Costa, Finint and Travelex. We are projecting a $0.02 benefit from an anticipated second half gain on our previous 30% ownership position in Finint and a $0.01 higher-than-expected benefit from Angelo Costa acquisition. These benefits are partially offset by a negative $0.02 impact from the deal costs related to Travelex. Other than the impact of the Travelex deal costs and the negative impact of foreign exchange, our operating margin outlook remains similar to the April outlook. The current GAAP operating margin outlook is in a range of 25% to 25.5%, including Travelex deal costs of approximately $15 million. Operating margins, excluding restructuring charges, are now projected at a range of 26% to 26.5%. On a constant currency basis, these margins are projected at 26.5% to 27%, including the Travelex deal costs. We are still projecting full year marketing expense similar to last year at approximately 4% of revenue. However, our second half timing will differ as we have extensive marketing plans for the third quarter. We expect marketing expense to be around 5% in this year's third quarter compared to about 3.7% in 2010 and then to be lower in the fourth quarter. Consequently, our fourth quarter operating margins are projected to be higher than the third quarter. The gains from the Angelo Costa and Finint are recorded in other income and therefore, not included in operating margins. GAAP cash flows from operating activities are expected to be at the lower end of our previous range of $1.2 billion to $1.3 billion for the year. Compared to 2010, operating cash flows are being negatively impacted by changes in working capital. Two factors are impacting the working capital comparison. First, in 2011, we will spend the major portion of the cash relating to the restructuring charges incurred in both years. The cash outflows associated with almost half -- the cash outflows associated with almost all the 2011 restructuring charges of $45 million and over half of the 2010 restructuring charges of $60 million will be paid in 2011. The second item impacting working capital relates to an inflow in 2010 that will not reoccur to the same extent in 2011. Specifically, we realized a significant cash inflow in 2010 relating to closing out interest rate swaps when we completed our debt exchange in the first quarter of last year. Also, as a reminder, the gains recorded on Costa and Finint in 2011 are noncash items. In 2012, we do not expect to be impacted by these working capital items, as payments from restructuring activities will be largely complete by the end of this year. In summary, we are comfortable increasing our full year revenue and earnings per share outlook based on our first half performance and our expectations for the remainder of the year. We will continue to execute against our strategies, deploy cash against investments in the business, strategic acquisitions and share buyback and dividends and target a strong balance sheet. Operator, we're now ready to take questions.