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YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF)

Q3 2021 Earnings Call· Wed, Nov 10, 2021

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name is Chris and I'll be your conference Operator today. At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to the YPF Q3 2021, Earnings Webcast Presentation. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time [Operator Instructions] Thank you. Santiago Wesenack, IR Manager for YPF, you may begin.

Santiago Wesenack

Analyst

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. This is Santiago Wesenack, YPF 's IR Manager. Thank you for joining us today in our Third Quarter 2021 Earnings Call. I hope you all continue to be safe. This presentation will be conducted by our CEO, Sergio Affronti, our CFO, Alejandro Lew, and myself. During the presentation, we will go through the main aspects and events that explain our third quarter results. And finally, we will open up for questions. Before we begin, I would like to draw your attention to our cautionary statement on Slide 2. Please take into consideration that our remarks today and answer to your questions may include forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to be materially different from the expectations contemplated by these remarks. Also, note the exchange rate using calculations to reach our main financial figures in U.S. dollars. Our financial figures are state in accordance with IFRS, but during the call, we may discuss some non - IFRS measures such as adjusted EBITDA. I will now turn the call to Sergio.

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Thank you, Santiago. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining us on the call today. The 3 months, ended last September, constituted yet another quarter with a strong financial and operational results. All the while, our operations and businesses continue to move into the post-pandemic new norm. As we move forward with our focused approach towards delivering sustainable recovery adjusted EBITDA was above the $1 billion mark for the second consecutive quarter. This results came on the back of a benign pricing environment, primarily on brand-related products and natural gas while we managed to continue recovering our oil and gas production, increasing 7 % since the last quarter, and 17 % year-to-date while containing cost pressures. CapEx activity continued to be primarily concentrated in developing our unconventional resources, reaching a historic record in terms of competitive horizontal sale wells in any given quarter since the beginning of Vaca Muerta's development. At the same time, we maintain our focus on achieving further operational efficiencies and pushing our technical boundaries to the next level. Securing further gains in drilling and fracking speeds, while also recording the longest well ever drilled in Vaca Muerta with a horizontal leg of over 4100 meters at our Loma Campana block. In terms of sale production, growth came mainly from the natural gas side based on the tie-ends accomplished during the previous quarter and early on in the third quarter. Increasing shale gas operated production, by 166 % year-to-date. This temporary prioritization of natural gas was tactically aimed, and up complying with our seasonal commitments within the Plan Gas program, and allowing for further long-term contracting outside of it. Generating a significant recovery, and stable and predictable revenues for this segment. On the other hand [indiscernible] production grew by 5 % during the quarter, recent…

Alejandro Lew

Analyst

Good morning to you all. As briefly [indiscernible]by Sergio, our third quarter results came very strong on the back of a benign pricing environment coupled with higher natural gas output and a continued recovery in local fuels demand. Adjusted EBITDA reached over $1.1 billion, 6 % higher than the previous quarter. When compared to pre -pandemic levels, these quarter's results were 18 % higher than Q3 2019, or 11 % higher than the average of the third quarters of 2017, 2018, and 2019, showcasing the strong performance achieved in the quarter. On a cumulative basis for the 9 months ended September, adjusted EBITDA reached $3 billion, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 31 %, the highest mark for the same 9-month period of the last 5 years. Within business segments, it is worth highlighting the partial shift of margins from Downstream to upstream, when compared to the previous quarter. On the back of higher recognized local crude prices, while prices at the pump remained almost flat in dollar terms. These resulted into margin for our refining and marketing business, which was lower on a sequential basis. But mostly in line with the historical leverage, at about $11 per barrel during Q3. Further supported by positive results on the petrochemical segment, that is an extra $2 per barrel when looking into the full Adjusted EBITDA, generated by our Downstream operations. However, the future evolution of margins for the downstream segment, not only for YPF, but for the industry as a whole, represents one of the key risks for our sector going forward. Pressure is mounting from local independent producers to reduce the discount of local crude prices with respect to export parity. While downstreamer's ability to pass on price increases to the pump could be challenging, considering recent actions taken by…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Frank McGann with Bank of America. Your line is open.

Frank Mcgann

Analyst

Okay. Good day. Thank you very much, everyone. I was just wondering how you're thinking about growth from here. You mentioned that oil production could continue to rise and could be a little bit higher levels perhaps than you'd originally expected at the end of the year. I was just wondering in terms of looking forward, how much upside do you see over the next couple of years, potentially? And how are you seeing that relative to gas upside, on gas -- I'm just wondering what the transportation limitations are and now that you've ramped up the production pretty aggressively to take advantage of the plant gas prices, do you see further upside in natural gas output?

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Frank, good morning. Well, clearly when looking at growth potential, as we have been saying, we see that mostly related to oil -- to crude oil. As you have just said, we had a very impressive ramp up in natural gas activity in the last few months, particularly in line with our commitments within the new Plan Gas program. And going forward on that particular segment on natural gas, we are not expecting in the short-term significant further growth on natural gas. We do see evacuation limitations out of Vaca Muerta for natural gas, and as you probably know, the government authorities have been commenting publicly about their intentions to put forward a new gas pipeline, to further increase the evacuation possibilities of natural gas out of the innovation. So clearly, for as long as those projects do materialize in coming years, we clearly are very likely to join in India [indiscernible] of putting forward further growth in natural gas. Of course, always assuming I'm preserving profitability on that front. But for as long as those new pipelines are not in place, we see our current natural gas production as being relatively stable in the near future. On the other side, in terms of oil. As you said, we will continue to see significant potential there. We are focusing our CapEx efforts on that front. As you have seen during the last quarter, the growth in oil was not relevant, was relatively stable. Clearly, as we manage, or as we focus our activity in natural gas, in line with our seasonal commitments. But now, as we have expressed already in October, we are already ramping up activity and production in crude oil and we expect that to continue going forward. We do see our CapEx plans To slowly to increase for next year, particularly in upstream. And we have already commented in the previous call our intentions to move forward with -- on the downstream segment with a revamp and an upgrade of our refineries, which will take a significant amount of CapEx in the next 3 years. But besides that, we are also expecting to increase our upstream CapEx, particularly next year. And we that hopefully and probably bringing a significant improvement and growth in our crude oil production.

Frank Mcgann

Analyst

Okay. Great [Indiscernible] If I could just follow up with a second question. In terms of hydrogen, there is announcements over the last couple of weeks about a large development being done in Rio Negro. I was just wondering, are you participating in that or do you have any other projects perhaps that you might be looking at to do green hydrogen?

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Yeah. Well, particularly on that project that was announced, we have nothing to do with it. We're not part of it. We do -- although actually are part of big consortium of Argentine companies from different segments doing R&D on green hydrogen. So mostly we are participating on that consortium through our Y-Tec R&D subsidiary which is a joint venture together with CONICET. So we are, I would say at initial steps of doing research and development on hydrogen, but not being part of that announcement that was -- that came on the media in recent weeks.

Frank Mcgann

Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much.

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Sure.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Guilherme Levy with Morgan Stanley, your line is open.

Guilherme Levy

Analyst

Hi, good morning, everyone. Yes, I have two questions. The first one on the shale production nine path. There have been a market increasing in -- during an -- it's like the recent talks. So I just wanted to get a sense from you of much more efficient that you could get. And if the bulk of the efficiency gains are already achieved. So we should assume that between peak levels are at sustainable run rate going forward. And then the second question is on the listing costs, costs have been well under control this quarter. I wanted to understand what should we expect going forward from this line considering both the high inflation rates in Argentina and also the inflation we are seeing in the global oil industry? Those are my questions. Thank you very much.

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Thank you, Guilherme, for your questions. In terms of operating efficiencies within our shale activity, I would say that we definitely have an impressive improvement, particularly in [indiscernible] but also most recently, in the last quarter in drilling. We are optimistic that we should continue seeing further improvements. I would say that more on the drilling side than on fracking, but still we would expect also some improvements in fracking as well. So clearly the numbers for the third quarter should be used as a basis for future performance, but we expect along the next few months, particularly as I said in drilling, but then also some further improvements in fracking as well. And in terms of lifting costs well -- as you said, they've been relatively stable managing to compensate the evolution of macro-variables clearly, as inflation cost been running higher than devaluation where dollar denominator, I would say dollar equivalent costs clearly are having some pressure there. But still we've managed to improve or compensate, though the evolution of those macro-variables through efficiencies, and through a higher proportion of unconventional of shale, within our total portfolio was at production. So going forward as we expect that proportion to continue increasing, meaning the proportion of shale on the total hydrocarbon production, we would expect the average lifting costs to go down. Probably below $10 on average for both segments, conventional income mentioned.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Regis Cardoso with Credit Suisse. Your line is open.

Regis Cardoso

Analyst

Congratulations on the results. Two topics I wanted to touch on. One of them is the guidance for this year. It seems to imply a big CapEx increase in the fourth quarter, assuming what you've done so far, $1.7 billion and a guidance is $3.7. I just wanted to make sure if I'm understanding this correctly, there would be a big CapEx concentration of about a billion in the fourth quarter? Likewise, still in the guidance discussion, EBITDA guidance for 2021implies fourth quarter around 800 million to 900 million, which is a sequential decrease relative to the third quarter. Is this -- am I reading it correctly? Would that decrease be related to lower gas price in the plunger lower seasonality. So that's the topic on the guidance and financial metrics. 2 other topics I wanted to touch on. 1 of them is looking beyond this year and into 2022, how do you balance CapEx with the leveraging, if any? would you maintain two times Net Debt to EBITDA and growing EBITDA, you could actually increase your absolute Net Debt, or do you see it differently? And ultimately, YPF has been in this position where it has struggled to grow production without leveraging any further [indiscernible] Whether you see 2022 as a more benign environment where you could actually either de-leverage or grill production more materially. So that's it for '22. If I may, a third one, just on the fuel prices. It appears to us that, domestic prices are still below international parity at the refinery gate in Argentina. I wonder if that entailed, that is to have some upside. Let's say [indiscernible] front for catching up with -- with import parity, or if I'm -- if I'm seeing it wrong. Thank you.

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Thank you, Regis, for your questions. I am going to start with the prices. I'm going to -- let me give you a broader answer. As you probably recall between August of last year and May this year, we made several adjustments at the pump, with the objective of compensating for fuel tax hikes, not previously translated into retail prices as well as, recovering in dollar margins. And based on those adjustments, we managed to strengthen our operating cash flow. And by that time, align net prices in dollar terms with the average for 2019 when Brent prices were at similar levels, trading in the mid-60's, providing for reasonable margins along the sector’s value chain. Since that moment, we have expressed our decision to monitor the evolution of key variables, such as the evolution of FX, as well as international and local oil prices, to determine the convenience and timing of any further adjustments, while considering the general macroeconomic environment with particular emphasis on the inflationary context. Consequently, on the back of the slower anticipated evolution of the effects in recent months, we have taken a conservative approach to address the volatility in international prices avoiding unnecessary pressure on consumers while we waited for the global market to settle down. And we managed to maintain this conservative approach on the back of a collaborative effort from most actors within our sector's sector that collectively understood the convenience to smooth out to the full effect of the rally in international prices to local consumers. In any case, it would be fair to highlight that pump-related revenues, although very relevant for our Company, represent less than 50 % of our total revenues between 40 % and 55 % of our revenues. Going forward given that market consensus is building up around the notion of international group prices, settling down around the mid-70's at minimum, we will probably consider introducing further adjustments at the pump in coming months to close that gap, reducing the price distortions currently embedded in the local prices when compared to international ones. However, at the same time, we will have to consider the evolution of the FX and adjust prices in pesos in a manageable and sustainable way. We're convinced that besides short-term fluctuations and distortions, having local prices adequately referenced to international prices is the way to ensure the healthy and sustainable development of our sector, enabling the true potential of our world-class hydrocarbon assets.

Alejandro Lew

Analyst

Thank you, Sergio. Regis, in terms of your other questions, I will try to tackle them as best as possible. If I recall correctly, you asked about CapEx in fourth quarter of this year and the actual number is an expectations of about $900 million. So the aggregate for the 9 months, it's a little bit over 1.7 rounded at 1.8. So we are expecting CapEx level to increase to above $900 million, particularly led by upstream operations. Where we see further drilling activity including on average 3 more rigs, 2 in our unconventional areas, and 1 in conventional. We also expect some further investment in facilities, ingrown facilities, particularly in our unconventional blocks. Also we expect a ramp up activity in our downstream operations as well, where we are seeing more activity on the next projects. Basically, the projects as I mentioned before, the multi-annual project that goes for revamping and improving the quality of our fuels. So that's in general for the fourth quarter in terms of CapEx. In terms of EBITDA expectations for the fourth quarter, you are looking at it correctly. We do see a sequential decrease in EBITDA generation that is mostly related to the seasonality of the natural gas segment, where we expect the significant decline mostly on prices, as you know, there are seasonal adjustments under the Plan Gas program and also little bit on volumes as well, but mostly on prices. So that's the main impact, or the main aspect that will make us project a lower EBITDA for the fourth quarter, together with the continuous evolution of macro variables, as we mentioned before. The inflation running higher than devaluation, that also affects somehow our cost structure. And finally, when looking into 2022, we would expect not to reduce -- to further reduce leverage, but rather take advantage of the very attractive opportunities that we have to accelerate the development of our shale resources, particularly [indiscernible] resources. And I think we mentioned this in the previous call as well. We will expect long-term leverage to be in the order of 2 times, or to max out at 2 times, in the future, providing for any cash flow generation to go into CapEx to foster or to accelerate the development of our shale resources. So not expecting any further deleveraging, but rather further CapEx activity.

Regis Cardoso

Analyst

Very clear. Thank you, Sergio.

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Sure. Thank you, Regis.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Bruno Amorim with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Bruno Amorim

Analyst

Thank you very much. My question has actually been answered, but just to make sure I got it correctly, it's a follow-up on Regis question on the leveraging going forward. So providing that EBITDA would be in line with this year or even above next year. If you are not assuming a lower leverage, this means that in absolute terms you do expect for net debt should be either stable or higher next year viz-a-viz, the current levels. Is that understanding correct?

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Yes. Hi, Bruno. Yes. The understanding is fairly correct. We don't expect net debt to go down next year. Of course, depending on what cash flow generation will end up being next year, which will also depend on many variables. But for as long as we continue to generate similar levels of cash, we would expect to ramp up CapEx activity not reducing absolute net debt nor leverage.

Bruno Amorim

Analyst

Thank you very much.

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Sure.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Konstantinos Papalios with Plenti Argentina. Your line is open.

Konstantinos Papalios

Analyst

Thank you very much. Good morning and congratulations on your results. My question for you today is with respect to price adjustments at the pump. Could you share your view for the next month? And if these prices are frozen in pesos, pinching your downstream margins, can you maintain your CapEx schedule? And if so, for how long? Additionally, we know that the Mega facility has been processing less NGLs in the month of October, so you do have some losses there, or some revenues that won't come in through the door, how does this --- how do you balance all this with prices frozen in pesos in downstream and then less money entering the outlook business segments of the Company. If I might just add one more question regarding cross-border financing. Could you give us some detail on the amounts of the maturity? What if -- what happens if this cross-border financing does not materialize? Thank you.

Alejandro Lew

Analyst

Sure. Good morning, Konstantinos. In terms of your question about prices at the pump, I think Sergio, went in some detail on our expectations. We do not expect prices to be frozen, but rather we expect to carefully monitor the evolution of different variables. As we've been saying, we know -- we leave that international prices have established some certain flow that probably it would be a healthy decision for the sector as a whole to try to reduce the spread to international parties and of course, that will also depend on the evolution of the effects. And we will have to carefully address any potential adjustments of the pump to figure out the potential impact in demand that that -- that such decisions could have. So we are not assuring by no means that prices are not going to move, not the opposite. We continue to carefully monitor the different variables, in the context of the macroeconomic environment that we're all leaving on. So that's why I would not definitely say that, Downstream margins are going to be significantly down. If you look at how local crude prices have been negotiated locally, we had above the average of the last quarter, so in the third quarter we had an average on the upstream side in Argentina of $55, mostly on related to [indiscernible] oil, lightweight [indiscernible] oil. Those prices have been trending upwards. As of now, the prices that are being negotiated among producers on those streamers, it's closer to $60, so already in there you are seeing an evolution in upstream because of that. We are already having a reduction in downstream margins Going forward, of course that it's -- to be able to continue that process, we will definitely need to address prices of the pump. But…

Konstantinos Papalios

Analyst

Thank you. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Ezequiel Fernandez with Balanz. Your line is open.

Ezequiel Fernandez

Analyst

Good morning to everybody. Thanks for the very complete materials as always. I have 3 questions. I would like to go one-by-one if you do not mind. Last year the Company launched an operational expenses savings program that we all saw bring in efficiencies in the last quarters, congratulations on that. Do you think you're mostly done with these efforts? Are you already satisfied with what you've done?

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Hi, Ezequiel. Not sure whether you were going to ask the 3 questions at once, but here let me quickly answer that. We are happy -- we are -- we feel okay with the results achieved so far. Clearly the evolution of micro variables in the last few months have reduced somehow the full effect of our cost cutting exercise executed last year. By the end of last year, we had expressed and we have achieved a structural cost reduction of 20 %, when compared to pre -pandemic levels. Now we've sustained for the sixth -- the first 6 months of this year. Now we're looking at the third quarter, and we're looking at the full 9 months, that amount of savings was reduced to about 15 %, when compared to the previous year. Sorry, with pre -pandemic. Actually, if you take out some standby costs related to the locating Canyon in April of this year, that would be 17 % on a fully standardized basis. We're expecting that to be maintained roughly in the 15 % cost reduction or savings by the end of the year. So we are okay with that. We definitely had expected to sustain a further savings, but we -- this is a new cultural thing within YPF to continuously look for efficiencies. The same way that we're doing in our [indiscernible] operations as discussed before. We continue to look for further savings across the Company as a new cultural way of doing and moving forward with other business.

Ezequiel Fernandez

Analyst

Okay, great. Thank you. My second question is, also during the pandemic, YPF, entertained the idea of looking for asset sales. Is the Company continuing to look for interested parties in non-core assets and if there has been any progress on specific assets, like [indiscernible] or mature concessions lately?

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Thank you, Ezequiel for your question. With respect to M&A, I'm going to cover the shale activity and also the mature fields. Let me start with shale. We mentioned, as you said, in previous calls and in line with the financial deleveraging that the Company has already been achieved. We continue to see potential M&A activity as a way to optimize our portfolio or rather than as a critical funding source. In that sense, when looking at our unconventional acreage and given prevailing market conditions in the near future, we shall only see, if any at all, some smaller scale divestment in blocks that are outside our core development strategy. We expect to mature fields, we continue moving forward, analyzing potential opportunities in our mature conventional areas. And this analysis focuses into assets or blocks that have some further development upside, but they require initial period to extract full potential. Given the positive feedback gathered through an initial round of conversation with potential interested parties, we have entered into preliminary conversations with provincial authorities where these assets are located to establish a basic framework of understanding in the case of potential this investment opportunity ends up materializing, and these are the 2 areas that we are analyzing with respect to M&A.

Ezequiel Fernandez

Analyst

Okay. Great. Thank you very much. And my final question is related to the last maybe 2 or 3 weeks towards some press articles in which the idea of the $3.5 billion CapEx for next year was a target. I don't know if this is a formal target already or does it still need to be [indiscernible] on the guidance or budget exercise that you're probably working on.

Alejandro Lew

Analyst

Yeah. Basically, that is not a formal target yet. Of course, as we commented earlier, we do expect CapEx to be higher next year than this year. Not only because of the Downstream projects that was already commented in the previous call, but also as we expect to continue increasing activity in our Upstream operations with specific focus in oil. So as of today, we have not gone through a formal budget approval for next year. We should be doing so in the next few weeks. And once we have that, then we will be in a situation or in a position to formalize a CapEx guidance from next year. But for now, it's -- I would say it's informal intentions, and in line with what we have been commenting in the previous call, and during this call as well.

Ezequiel Fernandez

Analyst

That's great. That was very clear. That's all from my side. Thank you very much.

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Thank you, Ezequiel.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Luiz Carvalho with UBS. Your line is open

Luiz Carvalho

Analyst

Hi, Sergio, Alejandro, and Santiago, thanks for taking the question. I'd like to maybe, come back on the free cash flow for 2022. You just mentioned about the activity in forming intentions about a $3.5 billion CapEx. You also mentioned during the call that you do not have the intention to potentially reduce further deleverage of the Company. But assuming the $800 million debt that you have for next year and around let's say $600 million on that interest plus this CapEx, if you do not go over any debt for next year, you're probably going to consume a significant amount of your cash, considering they would say that's close to $4 billion EBITDA, as you probably have delivered this year. So just trying to reconcile your here. How do you think the CapEx even came and potentially go up? What are your expectations in terms of the EBITDA for 2022. I know that you cannot provide any guidance, considering this baseline as $4 billion volumes. What is the likelihood that you see higher EBITDA with the current oil price that we have? and the current conditions that we have for 2022 in order to try to reconcile the [indiscernible] free cash flow for next year and forward. The second question I think that you also touch based on a previous question. It's more related to the fuel imports. So YPF did import gasoline at [Indiscernible] that's what it shows, at a higher price versus the average of domestic prices. So even if you consider the difference between the premium and the regular gasoline, I'd like to see if you can provide a bit more details or update in terms of import conditions and import needs, as we had towards the fourth quarter in 2022. Thank you.

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Hi Luis. Good morning, and thank you for your questions. In terms of how we intend to balance, our informal expectations for next year so far. As I said, before, we still have to go through a full revision of our CapEx plan for next year, and for our EBITDA generation estimates for next year. What I can guarantee is that we plan on maintaining a healthy financial approach, both in the sense of Net leverage. As I said, with net leverage being maxed-out 2 times. And cash balance, where we expect to continue having -- working with the minimum cash balancing in the order of $500 to a billion dollars. You know that temporarily, we've been above that level in some cases, but roughly speaking, in the past, we have been saying that we would be -- we targeted a billion dollar plus or minus 10 %. Right now, we have reduced that target a little bit probably to a range of 800 to a billion. That is related also to our short-term maturities. As we commented during the presentation for the first time in many, many years, our net cash position is higher than our short-term maturities and we expect that to remain the case for the next few months, and I would say a couple of years, given that maturities will continue to be relatively low. So because of that is that of course we, when you look and when you try to estimate what the EBITDA number has to be to get to that level of CapEx that was informally mentioned in the media, then definitely we need to finalize our budget for next year and come up with the final numbers for CapEx. But again, as previously said, we expect to increase our CapEx level and probably for that, we will count with still strong EBITDA generation, as well as working capital contributions that we have. We have in -- we have a few fiscal credits that we can cash in. And we also have some other account receivables that we have been making very good progress in collecting. So when you combine all of that, is that we feel pretty comfortable with our ability to increase our cash -- sorry, our CapEx next year without jeopardizing the financial health both in terms of leverage and in terms of liquidity. And in terms --

Luiz Carvalho

Analyst

So if I may challenge, let's just pretend that oil prices come down to, let's say $50 next year, something happened an OpEx level. I just would try to understand what will be the flexibility on the CapEx. Because of course, Steve, cash-generation for 2022 will be not fully impacted, because of the lower oil pricing, that scenario. As a consequence, would you say with the debt profile that you guys have and the commitment, what will be the flexibility in order to try to reduce the CapEx for -- in order to cope, where to keeps you to the net leverage at 2 times? I just wanted to understand that the Q point, around 2 times Net debt to EBITDA would be the main target? Or prediction growth for CapEx will be the main target for the Company?

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Yeah. Thank you for asking for the clarification. Yes. It's completely clear for us that the main target is the financial health. So I would say that the main target would be to be within that two times net leverage. And based on that, we will have to flexibilize our CapEx in-line with the cash flow generation, to maintain those financial targets. Clearly the answer to that would be flexibilizing CapEx, and accommodating our CapEx target to whatever cash flow generation capacity we will end up having. Even though we still believe that there is a tremendous opportunity to add value and to generate value for all of our stakeholders by accelerating the development of our shared resources [Indiscernible] primarily the shared resources, but we do believe and we're very serious about that, that the only way to seriously or sustainably do that is by maintaining a prudent financial framework. So that will be the main driver.

Luiz Carvalho

Analyst

Okay. Sorry and I interrupt you about the fuel imports. Sorry, but thank you. Very clear [indiscernible]

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Sure. In terms of your imports, as you said, the most recent data, given the rally, primarily since October, the massive rally in international prices. Our prices at the pump today are below impropriety levels. That's why we have to bear in mind the full equilibrium of the market as a whole. And in that sense, we try to balance the relatively small amount of our imports the context of the general business that we have undergoing. So in that sense, yes, the ramp up in demand, both in gasoline and diesel is creating the mean to increase our imports in the fourth quarter, primarily of gas oil. As you know, we are structurally -- for the last few years, we've been structurally a net importer of diesel not that much of gasoline. So whenever reaching the fourth quarter, we will be probably imported what was the average for the last few years, which is in the order of 20 % of our diesel sales. That could be challenging in the context of the current relationship within local fuel prices, and an improprieties. Yes, definitely that is a challenge and that's why as Regis commented in he said, when talking about the pump prices, and the future evolution of pump prices, we do have -- we do carefully monitor those variables to, basically make the right decision in terms of the future evolution of prices.

Luiz Carvalho

Analyst

Okay, very clear. Thank you very much and yes, thank you very much. Hope to see you soon.

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Sure. Thank you, Luiz.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Walter Chiarvesio with Santander. Your line is open.

Walter Chiarvesio

Analyst

Hey, good morning. Actually, all my questions have been answered, so thank you very much for that.

Operator

Operator

And with that I am showing no further questions. I'll turn the call back over to the presenters.

Sergio Affronti

Analyst

Thank you. Thank you very much guys for your interest, for following YPF, for your comment and reports, and have a good day.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call and webcast. You may now disconnect. Thank you.