Earnings Labs

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO)

Q1 2021 Earnings Call· Thu, May 20, 2021

$25.61

+0.74%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome to the ZTO Express, Inc. First Quarter 2021 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that today’s event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Ms. Sophie Li. Ms. Li, the floor is yours, ma’am.

Sophie Li

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Hello, everyone and thank you for joining us today. The company’s results in the Investor Relations presentation were released earlier today and are available on the company’s IR website at irzto.com. On the call today from ZTO are Mr. Meisong Lai, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer and Ms. Huiping Yan, Chief Financial Officer. Mr. Lai will give a brief overview of the company’s business operations and highlights, followed by Ms. Yan, who will go through the financials and guidance. They will both be available to answer your questions during the Q&A session that follows. I remind you that this call may contain forward-looking statements made under the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements are based on management’s current expectations in current market and operating conditions and relate to events that will not involve known or unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors. All of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond the company’s control, which may cause the company’s actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. Further information regarding this and other risks, uncertainties and factors is included in the company’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The company does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required under law. It is now my pleasure to introduce Mr. Meisong Lai. Mr. Lai will brief through his prepared remarks in their entirety in Chinese before I translate for him in English. Meisong, please.

Meisong Lai

Analyst

Thank you, Meisong. Please let me translate first. Hello, everyone and thank you for joining us today. In the first quarter of 2021, ZTO for field services was CNY4.5 billion, grew our volume 88.5% year-over-year and exceeding the industry average growth rate by 13.5 percentage points. ZTO’s market share expanded by 1.5 percentage points to 20.4% further solidifying our industry leadership. While accelerating an expansion, we maintained service quality to be among the top ramping. For the first quarter, ZTO achieved an adjusted net profit of CNY782 million, which increased 23.1% year-over-year. In the first quarter, the industry experienced rapid growth and the competitive dynamics continue to evolve in an environment of prolonged price decline. Major players of the industry formed diverse profit level lineup, while positively growing its profit, ZTO has made further strides in improving transit efficiency, optimizing network management and enhancing last-mile presence. First, efficiency of the sorting and transportation platform were further improved, where increased investments in self-owned transit facilities in preparation for capacity demand increase in the future. Capital expenditure in the first quarter was CNY2.28 billion. We acquired usage rights to [indiscernible] logistics land and carried out up to 3 years forward planning. Site modification and expansion, aiming to develop smart comprehensive logistics service parts. There are over 10 projects under construction at this time. For transportation, without losing sight to timeliness and cost control, we further optimized the balance between cell phone fleet and third-party vehicle usage to better leverage higher operating efficiency by our own vehicles. With the help of technology and data analysis, we continue to enhance existing rock scheduling and adding new rocks that are more direct in accordance with demand to recalibrate capacity utilization. For sorting operations, while continuing to improve coverage and functional efficiency in automation, we implemented…

Huiping Yan

Analyst

Thank you, Chairman Lai. Thank you, Sophie and hello to everyone on the call. As I go through our financials, please note that unless specifically mentioned, all numbers quoted are in RMB, which changes refer to year-over-year comparisons. Detailed analysis of our financial performance, unit economics and cash flow are posted on our website and I will go through some of the key highlights here. In the first quarter, thanks to steady economic recovery and firm implication of our consistent strategies, ZTO grew parcel volume by 88.5% to CNY4.5 billion, outperforming the industry average by 13.5 points. Our leading market share further expanded 1.5 points to 20.4%. Total revenue increased 65.3% to CNY6.5 billion. ASP for the core express delivery business declined by 12.4% or CNY0.18. This is the least amount of drop compared to industry peers, yet we have achieved the most market share gain. The CNY0.18 price decline consisted of approximately CNY0.09 volume incentives used to support our network partners to grow market share and maintain confidence as well as keep the network stable at the same time. There is CNY0.07 decline associated with parcel weight drop. Average weight per parcel declined about 10% to approximately 1.04 kilo. And then there is CNY0.02 decline due to increased use of lower-priced e-way bill, yet it is more environmentally friendly, because it’s a single sheet. The total cost of revenue increased 73.6% to CNY5.4 billion. Overall, unit cost of revenue for the core express delivery business decreased 6.7% or CNY0.08, generally benefited from economies of scale. And more specifically, unit transportation costs increased 3.6% or CNY0.02, mainly due to the combined effects of increased use of more cost efficiently run self-owned high capacity trucks and the absence of favorable ETC toll waiver policy that lasted from February through May last…

Operator

Operator

Yes, ma’am. [Operator Instructions] And the first question we have will come from Thomas Chong of Jefferies.

Thomas Chong

Analyst

Thanks management for taking my questions and congratulations on a very solid set of results. My question is about the competitive landscape, given that the market is getting more intense in terms of the price war, I just want to get a sense about how we should think about the trend of the ASP as well as our strength in operational efficiencies and how we think about the unit cost per parcel going forward? And on that front, can management also share our target on the market share in the next 1 to 2 years? Just want to get a sense if there is any chance that we can come in better than previous expectations? Thank you.

Meisong Lai

Analyst

Thank you for your question, Thomas. Operator, please allow me to translate for Chairman. Thank you. Thank you, Thomas. In the future 1 to 2 years, the question is about the business trend in the direction as also ASP and cost per parcel. So, I will translate as well supplement answers for your question. First of all, our confidence remains on the growth prospects of Chinese economy and as well as the industry growth for express delivery. The next 1 to 2 years growth will remain mid to high – high to mid-level of growth for the next 2 years for sure. And this is a – with high confidence that we have provided this outlook. With regards to competition, express delivery, the essence of it in terms of competition is about scale and efficiency, in turn, providing better quality of services. ZTO has been in the past consistently focusing on maintaining high level of quality of services, targeted profitability while focusing on gaining market share. And this will not change for the near-term. Infrastructure construction is very important. The strength of the network stability as well as the Network Partners Trust and confidence in the brand will ensure our strategy’s consistent execution. As you have observed, those with scale, with operational efficiency as well as better quality of services, are gaining market share are achieving balanced growth. ZTO’s goal is to focus on our growth rate higher than the industry and our profit expansion healthier. Today, we look at our very stable network base. With that, our confidence remains for our steady growth on our market share. ASP, we believe competition is still there as market dynamics continue to evolve. Cost per parcel is within our own control. And we have implemented, as I previously described, many initiatives for near-term as well as longer term productivity gain as volume continued to increase. So, we are confident in maintaining our goal to achieve market share expansion as well as delivering healthy bottom line while maintaining good quality of services to our consumers and customers.

Thomas Chong

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And next, we have Ronald Keung of Goldman Sachs.

Ronald Keung

Analyst

Thank you, Lai-tong, Yan-tong, Sophie. Thank you. Just want to ask on two questions. First is on the competitive landscape again, just how do we see new entrants like J&T given that they have grown very significantly over the past year? Is this industry prone to just players that could have burned money through to grow and scale? And we are very confident with our leading position that even through cash burning, those would not impact – those players will not impact our very solid scale and efficiency in our number one position here? And then a follow-up on that is recently there has been regulations on the EU pricing setting a flow on pricing levels, how do we see this trend ahead with more governments and [indiscernible] local also push through more of these and how do we see these regulations could have any impact or benefit to our business? Thank you.

Meisong Lai

Analyst

Thank you, Ronald, for your question. We have consistently believed that scale in efficiency and cost are the key competitive factors to ensure sustainability or continued growth. There are four specific segments for a package to travel from end-to-end, pickup transit, sorting, delivery. The infrastructure as well as scale and cost efficiency is the determining factor or competitive edge. J&T entered into the market with significant capital. And yes, it is indeed a cash burning model as of now. Temporarily, it does created impact to the entire industry. However, we want to point out that if you look into the past, in the industry growth. The smaller ones or those without its own sustained capabilities are all gradually exited have all gradually exited the scene. Future competition starting today or starting the year past has been the scale and cost efficiency in that area. With the top players, about eight of them, representing over 80% of the market. Their volume are in the range of CNY30 million to CNY60 million per day. For those that are running at CNY30 million per day, their profitability is very much under pressure already. So for a model that largely rely on third-party resources where cost and efficiency are less under their own control. This model, we believe, is not sustained. So our assessment is that in the longer term, you must combine capital that is deployed towards infrastructure establishment or development that could allow a model to continue to sustain, continue to grow. And on your second question, the recent EU policies issued by the government. Our view is that if career operators providing services that are below cost for a prolonged period, the revenue of all the players will be largely suppressed, and it’s hard to guarantee quality of services. Currently, there are over 4 million per year staff nationwide, and with an addition of about approximately 200,000 each year when government carries out focus and attention in supervising the market to restore healthy competition. We are welcoming that, and we support that action. It will not only ensure healthy competition but more importantly, as we always have been focusing on in ensuring the last-mile couriers for those who are small entrepreneurs to achieve healthy and high-quality of growth. This regulation issued recently also specifically prohibits price that is below cost. And then that helps narrow the gap between all different players, especially during those competitive regions where production output are more concentrated. So this will allow all the enterprises or businesses to focus more on service quality, network stability and infrastructure development instead of short-term, near-term price driven market share gain. In addition, if we may add, the policy also specifically addressed e-commerce platforms, some of the actions or practices that are restricting for in designation of specific courier operators prohibiting monopolized operations, these are all very positive. So it adds to our further confidence in an improving healthy competitive environment for us to compete for the future.

Ronald Keung

Analyst

Thank you so much Meisong and Yan-tong.

Operator

Operator

Next, we have Tianxiao Hou of TH Capital.

Tianxiao Hou

Analyst

The first question is related to those freelancer deliver guys. There are some issues regarding their insurance and warfare. And what is the company’s thoughts regard – in this regard? That’s number one. Number two, what’s the outlook for the per parcel revenue in the next several quarters from current competition point of view? The third question is related to the new business development. One is time-sensitive parcels and the one is co-chain logistics. In these two fronts, what is the current development? What is outlook for the rest of the year? Thank you.

Meisong Lai

Analyst

[Foreign Language]

Sophie Li

Analyst

[Foreign Language]

Meisong Lai

Analyst

Thank you for your question. Let me first question regarding the freelancer. Fresh delivery personnel is a very critical part of our business. And because the ZTO is a network partner model, it presented its inherent challenges to ensure the couriers, rights and also interests are well protected. In the past, ZTO has been working hard on implementing many of the initiatives to ensure that part of the equation. For example, we rolled out direct link or direct accounting approach to ensure timely payment to our carriers. Recently, we have at the headquarter level funded a nationwide policy insurance policy to ensure 24/7 protection of our personnel of couriers for any of the unexpected incidents that could harm them either during work or outside of work. We have, in the past, rolled out policies to establish standardized pricing for pickup and delivery to make sure our courier could have the opportunity to receive market price in picking up packages. Where we continue to focus on these areas, we are also in response to government’s focus as well as policies to ensuring freelancer members of the society to continue to have a healthy work environment as well as fair allocation of the payment as well as their basic rights, for example, social rights for to medical, to insurance. And all these are a process that involves not only us at the headquarter but also our network partners. And especially during fierce competition, this work becomes even more important and requires more attention and resources. And we will continue to work on those areas. And your second question relating to essentially competition, the price per parcel, what is the trend? While we cannot specifically identify or point out the time when the price may resume so we are able to provide our…

Tianxiao Hou

Analyst

Thank you, Meisong.

Operator

Operator

Well, at this time, we will conclude our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference call back over to Ms. Sophie Li for any closing remarks. Ma’am?

Sophie Li

Analyst

Thank you, everyone, for joining in the call. On behalf of the entire ZTO management team, we would like to thank you for your interest and your participation today. If you require any further information or have any interest in visiting us in China, please let us know. Thank you for joining us today.

Operator

Operator

And we thank you, ma’am and also to the rest of the management team for your time today. Again, the conference call is now concluded. At this time, you may disconnect your lines. Thank you. Take care and have a great day, everyone.