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Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS)

Q1 2018 Earnings Call· Sun, Aug 6, 2017

$51.90

-1.71%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Rexnord First Quarter Fiscal 2018 Earnings Results Conference Call with Todd Adams, President and Chief Executive Officer; Mark Peterson, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; and Rob McCarthy, Vice President of Investor Relations for Rexnord. This call is being recorded and will be available on replay for a period of 2 weeks. The phone numbers for the replay can be found in the earnings release the company filed in an 8-K with the SEC yesterday, August 2. At this time, for opening remarks and introduction, I'll turn the call over to Rob McCarthy.

Rob McCarthy

Management

Good morning, and welcome, everyone. Before we get started, I need to remind you that this call contains certain forward-looking statements that are subject to the safe harbor language contained in the press release that we issued yesterday afternoon as well as in our filings with the SEC. In addition, some comparisons will refer to non-GAAP measures. Our earnings release and SEC filings contain additional information about these non-GAAP measures, why we use them and why we believe they're helpful to investors, and contain reconciliations to the corresponding GAAP data. Consistent with prior quarters, we will speak to core growth, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share as we feel these non-GAAP metrics provide a better understanding of our operating results. However, these measures are not a substitute for GAAP data, and we urge you to review the GAAP information in our earnings release and 10-Q. Please note that the presentation of our operating results includes adjustments to GAAP reporting for the impact of the RHF noncore product line in our Water Management segment that we exited during our fiscal 2017 in order to enable investors to better understand and assess our continuing core operating results. Today's call will provide an update on our strategic execution, our overall core performance for the first quarter of our fiscal 2018 and our outlook for our fiscal 2018. We'll cover some specifics on our 2 platforms, followed by selected highlights from our financial statements and our cash flow. Afterwards, we'll open up the call for your questions. With that, I'll turn the call over to Todd Adams, President and CEO of Rexnord.

Todd Adams

Management

Thanks, Rob, and good morning, everyone. As you saw in our release last night, we had a solid start to our fiscal '18, as the positive momentum we saw in our fourth quarter accelerated, positioning us well for the second quarter and the balance of the year. Both our core growth and order rates accelerated during the quarter and our overall backlog grew by $25 million from the end of March. We're pleased with the solid year-over-year growth in our EBITDA and are confident it can be sustained as we go through the year. We're encouraged by the breadth of the pickup in demand that we're seeing across almost every vertical and excited about the success we're having with our strategic initiatives around core growth, cost reduction and finally, our digital enterprise strategy DiRXN. DiRXN takes many of our competitive advantages to a new level and is something we think is a real game changer for our customers and channel partners, solving so many of the challenges the market faces in a much smarter way. First quarter sales of $488 million included core growth of 3% and were at the higher end of our expectations for the quarter and reflected the acceleration of core growth in our PMC platform to 5%. Our overall operational execution was strong as our adjusted EBITDA increased 9% year-over-year to $86 million. Consolidated EBITDA margin expanded by 60 basis points, while our incremental margin on core growth exceeded 40%. Adjusted EPS was $0.27 for the quarter as taxes came in a little higher than we had projected. Mark will review both the consolidated results and the performance of each platform as part of his comments a little later in the call. Turning to Slide 3. The primary strategic development that I'd like to highlight this…

Mark Peterson

Management

Thanks, Todd. Please turn to Slide 5. On a consolidated basis, our first quarter of fiscal '18 financial results were broadly in line with our expectations. Our core sales increased 3%, our adjusted EBITDA of $86 million increased by 9% on a year-over-year basis and our adjusted earnings per share was $0.27. As Todd indicated earlier, our outlook for fiscal '18 is unchanged. It incorporates low single-digit core growth and adjusted EBITDA in a range of $365 million to $385 million. The range implies year-over-year growth in adjusted EBITDA of 5% to 11% from the comparable $347 million we delivered in our fiscal 2017. In our second quarter, our year-over-year core growth comparisons will be impacted by 2 fewer shipping days in the U.S., but we expect the year-over-year EBITDA margin comparison to be similar to the 60 basis point expansion we delivered in our first quarter. Slide 6 summarizes our consolidated results in the quarter, but let's move on to Slide 7 and discuss the first of our 2 operating platforms, Process & Motion Control. Total sales increased 9% at PMC as the core sales comparison increased to 5% year-over-year and Cambridge contributed another 5%. Recall that Cambridge was acquired in June of 2016 and becomes a full contributor to our core growth in the current September quarter, our second quarter. Currency translation was a 1% offset. PMC saw growth in the majority of its end markets during the quarter, including several of the process industry end markets that have been headwinds over recent quarters or, in certain cases like mining, even longer. We also continue to benefit from sustained core growth in PMC's consumer discrete and aerospace end markets. Global aftermarket revenue increased low single digits on a core basis, driven primarily by strength in Europe and Asia.…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question is from Julian Mitchell from Credit Suisse.

Ronald Weiss

Analyst

Hey Good morning, guys. Ronnie on for Julian.

Todd Adams

Management

Hey Ronnie.

Ronald Weiss

Analyst

So if we dig into PMC a little bit more, I looked back at the commentary on the Q4 call and the expectation was low single-digit growth there and it ended up being 5%. I guess, what was the biggest change in June that you saw that kind of acceleration? Was it all in the process industries? Was it more broad-based and kind of how to think about that moving into Q2, Q3?

Todd Adams

Management

Ronnie, it's Todd. I would characterize it as more broad-based than specifically a given end market. Obviously, as Mark sort of highlighted in his comments and I may have mentioned, we clearly think some of the - the bottom is in, in some of these more challenged process end markets like mining. And the acceleration that we're seeing is really a combination of that stabilizing, a slight recovery across the broader industrial universe, and frankly, we think some of the things that we're doing organically around first-fit and new product to drive share. And so we're pleased with the growth in the quarter. We think we're well positioned should these markets continue to recover. But much of what we're doing is really, I would say, outside of what we're going to try to predict the market to do and focus on what we can control, which is grow organically through some smart things that we've been working at for a couple of years.

Ronald Weiss

Analyst

And that kind of acceleration you saw throughout the quarter, that's kind of continued you said, it's been stable?

Todd Adams

Management

It's been very stable, yes. I mean, our second quarter is - we're tracking to growth rates that look close to that, for sure.

Mark Peterson

Management

And the one thing that's right in the plan that I mentioned in my comments, the 2 days - 2 fewer shipping days trimmed a couple of points of core growth. So if you take Todd's comments, we're tracking to a similar core growth rate, you got to take a few points off that just based on the shipment days in the quarter.

Ronald Weiss

Analyst

Okay. That makes sense. And then on the margin side, could you just give us an update on what you saw for margin pressure on incentive comps and some of those investment spends you called out in Q4 and how to think about that for the rest of the year, if there's any change to that?

Todd Adams

Management

Well, again, I think we highlighted, I guess, close to $10 million, a quarter ago, of investment. We said half of it's investment, half of it's incentive comp. At this point, I would say that it sort of flows through the quarters ratably, so I don't think there's any change to that in any material way. I think, the thing to think about is we get a better benefit from the SCOFR actions as we get to the second half of the year because some of the frictional costs go away and the benefits that we expected are really coming through and it looks like they're going to come through with higher volumes. So the benefit that we outlined was on a probably a lower volume sort of environment. So as that stabilizes and improves, obviously the savings come through incrementally. So I think we're not going to walk away from the investments that we're making. In fact, we may continue to make more, but I think the incremental margins that you're seeing in PMC are probably going to get better as we go through the year.

Ronald Weiss

Analyst

Got it. Thanks. Congrats on the execution.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Mig Dobre from Baird.

Mircea Dobre

Analyst

Yes, good morning, everyone. Maybe picking up on this last point you made, Todd, on SCOFR savings. I don't know if there's any way you can help us think about the first half versus the second half numerically in terms of how these savings are coming through and some of these frictional costs. It seems like there might be some incremental frictional costs that you're experiencing for a number of reasons versus what we've heard in the past. Again, as some of these go away, how should we think about the cadence of margins?

Mark Peterson

Management

Mig, this is Mark. I'll answer the second half of your question first. I think the way to think about this is our SCOFR plan is right on track. Everything that we planned to execute through June took place as anticipated. And if you look at the volumes that we had submitted in the plan, we're executing really well on that. During the quarter, we've seen a nice ramp-up in demand for this bearing product category. So in order to make sure we are serving our customers the best to our ability, we made the decision to utilize our legacy facility a little bit longer for one operation, for one component, basically giving us and allowing our Monterrey team the ability to ramp up production at a rate above and beyond what we anticipated going into this plan. That is occurring in this quarter. So when we talk about the frictional costs or transitional costs, all it really is, is that we're just utilizing a legacy facility a little bit longer. I think it's the right thing to do better serve our customers. So the $25 million savings we talked about, it's there, it's intact. There's some volumes that will come with that because we're using our legacy cost structure on one component for an extended period of time. So that's kind of second part of your question. First part, if you think about the timing of how these savings come through, it's relatively consistent with what we talked about the last quarter of the year, about 30% of the savings coming from the first half of the year and about 70% of the savings coming through in the back half of the year.

Mircea Dobre

Analyst

Okay, that's helpful. And then maybe we can talk a little bit about Cambridge as well. A little more color on the growth and what you're seeing in some of the key end markets there. I know that Cambridge is going to start contributing to organic growth, I believe, next quarter. So even though you have fewer selling days, with the contribution from Cambridge, I'm wondering if we can continue to see pretty good pace in PMC organic.

Todd Adams

Management

Well, I think, to, I think, reiterate your thoughts, I mean, Cambridge has been an outstanding acquisition. I think, we saw very good order growth through the course of last year and through the first quarter this year. It is definitely growing above the fleet average on a core basis. And then if you couple that with, I think, some of the commercial opportunities that we see in Europe and other things that were part of the original investment thesis and case that we outlined, we're going to see that continue to accelerate through the year. So we're very pleased with the acquisition. It's absolutely contributing to core growth and will absolutely help with core growth throughout the remainder of the year. And I don't think that we're going to sort of start to dissect pieces of the core growth by product category or end market other than to say that it's very much on track and probably above where the overall platform was at 5%.

Mircea Dobre

Analyst

Okay. Lastly, maybe a bigger-picture question on your Water Management segment. I'm wondering how you're thinking strategically about the fit of the water infrastructure business. Obviously, that business is primarily focused outside of the United States. We have Zurn, your other side of the business, which is predominantly an American business. There are meaningful differences between the 2. Infrastructure is lumpy. Is there a sense here that you can either achieve higher integration of these 2 platforms or at a point in time you might consider monetizing the water infrastructure business and redeploying capital?

Todd Adams

Management

Mig, you're correct in that they do serve different end markets and geographies. I think one of the opportunities that we saw and continue to see is some level of further integration between the 2, whether it relates to production or, frankly, sort of the crossover end markets of wastewater, particularly in North America. And so what I would say is that the water infrastructure part of the water platform has had a tough, probably, last 3 or 4 quarters, largely based on the fact that we saw some project shipment timing shuffle around. I think when you look to the balance of the year, what you're going to see is a Water Management platform in its entirety growing very nicely with very strong incremental margins and clearly accretive to what it is - we think that water platform can be which is a faster grower with a margin profile in the 20% range. So we're - we've worked really hard to get through what was a tough set of comparisons. And we think that as we look forward, it's definitely something that when you take it as a whole, it contributes really nicely to the overall performance of the company.

Mircea Dobre

Analyst

Alright, I appreciate the answer.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Joe O'Dea from Vertical Research.

Joseph O'Dea

Analyst

Hi. Good morning. First question just on conversations with the distribution channel and what you are hearing on expectations for the year. Are you seeing any restocking at this point or any communication with them that suggests that, that would pick up as we go deeper into the year and some of these industrial markets are picking up?

Todd Adams

Management

It's a great question. As you look at - a couple of the public companies and/or segments of our distribution channel partners have been announced. I think they've all sort of stated that they expect things to improve over the course of the remainder of their year or the calendar year. But in terms of restocking, we're not, at this point, really seeing any, I would say, appreciable restocking. I think our view is that inventories across the channel are too low with the rates of inquiry and the demand that we see coming. It's driving us effectively to collapse lead times in order to meet that improved demand, and we'd certainly like to see some of that. But I'd say the case that we've outlined does not include any appreciable restocking. I think that the distributors are taking probably a prudent, more cautious view on their inventory levels and that's a transition from, I would say, lower - low declines to flat to an increase. And so we certainly hope that the inventory levels come up. It's not in our base case, but in the meantime, I think we're encouraged by what we're seeing on the sell-through side and expect that to continue. And whether that manifests itself in a restock is really not our decision. But we're clearly here trying to do everything we can to meet the end market demand through our channel partners.

Joseph O'Dea

Analyst

Got it. And then on the cash deployment side, just given the cash that you have on the balance sheet right now and the free cash flow expectations for the rest of the year. You talked about continuing to target bolt-ons, sometimes timing is outside of your control there. What else do you think about in terms of capital deployment and the level of cash that you're comfortable with carrying and when you feel like there is more of a need to do something?

Todd Adams

Management

We're really looking at the overall cash balance as an offset to the gross debt. So we think about it as essentially debt reduction, and I would suspect that there will be an opportunity for us to repay some debt over the course of the year to reduce our borrowing cost. I suspect that there's probably some deployment of cash into some smart tuck-in or bolt-ins. But beyond that, I think we're going to continue to evaluate what opportunities are out there, recognizing the leverage that we're at. We sort of said that we want to march it down 2.5x over the course of this year and then evaluate from there. So we're - I'd say, we're monitoring all angles to deploy the cash, but I wouldn't be surprised if we were to actually make some gross debt pay downs over the course of the remainder of the year.

Joseph O'Dea

Analyst

Thank you. I appreciate it.

Todd Adams

Management

Yep.

Operator

Operator

Next question is from Charley Brady from SunTrust.

Charles Brady

Analyst

Hey, thanks. Good morning, guys.

Todd Adams

Management

Good morning, Charley.

Charles Brady

Analyst

Just on PMC incremental margins, obviously, really good performance in the first quarter here. You've talked about 30% to 35% and I know you don't want to go too far out on a limb here, Todd, and I get that. But it sounds like if we're going to continue at kind of the pace we're running and it doesn't backtrack on you that were certainly going to come in probably at the high end of that incremental. But is there opportunity as you look down the road to see above the high end of that 35% range of incremental on PMC, at least in the near term?

Todd Adams

Management

Well, I mean, I think the 30% to 35% was at the company level, with PMC probably above that. So I think we're not - we don't feel like we're out on a limb by saying that the incremental margins for PMC over the balance of the year are going to be above that. We're pretty confident that with the SCOFR savings, regardless of the environment, we're going to generate a really nice incremental. And if you tag on some better growth, the follow-through on that is going to be also very good. So I think we're at a point where we feel really good about the structural costs that we've put in place that should allow us to turn in a nice incremental performance above that 35% for the year for PMC with, I would say, some pretty conservative assumptions around it.

Charles Brady

Analyst

Yes, got it. And just a quick one on the DiRXN initiative. So does that create - so I understand a little better, does that ultimately create a subscription-based annuity stream for you guys?

Todd Adams

Management

It ultimately could, Charley. I think the way we're thinking about it is, to the degree we know where all these components are, how they're functioning and how they - I would say, the application expertise and really the context around what's important to this component in the overall life cycle, it gives us multiple vectors of growth to be able to ultimately provide a service around monitoring. It allows our channel partners to provide a potential service around service, repair, replacement and monitoring as well. So we're really looking at it as enabling us and our channel partners to provide more value to the end users who use our equipment.

Charles Brady

Analyst

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Jeff Hammond from KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Jeffrey Hammond

Analyst

Hey, good morning, guys.

Todd Adams

Management

Good morning, Jeff.

Jeffrey Hammond

Analyst

Just a couple of questions on water. Maybe just - it seems like the order trends continue to be good and backlog is building. What's kind of visibility shaping up where you start to see, I guess, shipments more match up with that order growth? And maybe just talk about incremental in water, how you think they're shaping up for the year as you start to see growth.

Todd Adams

Management

Sure. I think just to reiterate for clarity purposes, this quarter we fully expected sort of the flattish growth and this - and the modest incremental margin - the modest margin decline relative to the prior year. From here on out, we're talking about solid core growth, mid-single-digit core growth and incremental margins in that 30-plus percent range. So we're pretty confident that we've been through the tough patch with some of the shipment timing that occurred really in prior years. And we're pleased with the backlog build. We're confident with the cost structure and we think that the incremental and core growth read out really positively from here on out the rest of the year.

Jeffrey Hammond

Analyst

Okay, great. And then a lot of discussion this quarter around price/cost and some companies kind of indicating that there has been some incremental inflation and also through different distribution channels, maybe it's proving a little more difficult. So can you just maybe speak to what you're seeing on price/cost?

Todd Adams

Management

Yes, Mark will sort of give you a more fulsome response. But our ability to perform in that inflationary sort of environment is very, very good. I mean, our ability to pass on price, control material input cost has proven to be something that Rexnord has been historically outstanding at. And so we're - I wouldn't say we look forward to some inflation, but we would look forward to some inflation because our ability to perform in that sort of environment is very strong, and I think Mark can give you some of the specifics. But we're not seeing any sort of pressure and really don't have much of any concerns as it relates to that price/cost sort of equation. We've heard it come up as well, but we're - we look forward to that sort of challenge.

Mark Peterson

Management

Yes, Todd is exactly right. You look at by platform, PMC through the first quarter and then quite frankly our expectation for the balance of the year has been overall minimal inflation. We talked in the past, we do work very closely with our vendor base on the overall cost of product with things that we're doing with RBS and VAVE. So we've got - it's really been very minimal. And then pricing has been minimal too. We haven't experienced a lot of price in our PMC platform year-over-year either. To Todd's point, if that would never change for some reason, we are very confident in our ability to deal with the pricing side as needed. In water, inflation is probably more on the modest side, we're talking less than 2% from a material cost increase standpoint. Really, I'd say, in line and maybe even a little bit less than what we actually had expected. And we've offset that with things that we're doing internally as well some modest pricing in water as well, again talking 1% to 2% here from a price increase.

Jeffrey Hammond

Analyst

Okay, thanks guys.

Mark Peterson

Management

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]

Rob McCarthy

Management

This is Rob McCarthy. Thank you, everybody, for joining us on the call today. We appreciate your interest in Rexnord, and we're looking forward to providing our next update when we announce our fiscal 2018 second quarter results in early November. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes today's call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.