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Accendra Health, Inc. (ACH)

Q4 2023 Earnings Call· Tue, Feb 20, 2024

$3.79

+10.67%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Owens & Minor Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to the first speaker today, Jackie Marcus, Investor Relations. You may begin.

Jacqueline Marcus

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Hello, everyone, and welcome to the Owens & Minor Fourth Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. Our comments on the call will be focused on the financial results for the fourth quarter of 2023 as well as our outlook for 2024, both of which are included in today's press release. The press release, along with the supplemental slides, are posted on the Investor Relations section of our website. Please note that during this call, we will make forward-looking statements. The matters addressed in these statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected or implied here today. Please refer to our SEC filings for a full description of these risks and uncertainties, including the Risk Factors section of our annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. In our discussion today, we will reference certain non-GAAP financial measures and information about these measures and reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP financial measures, which are included in our press release. Today, I'm joined by Ed Pesicka, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Alex Bruni, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. I will now turn the call over to Ed. Ed?

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

Thank you, Jackie. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on the call today. As you saw in our press release this morning, we closed out 2023 with strong positive momentum, and we exited the year in a position of strength. Our Patient Direct segment continued to outpace market growth as we leverage our proven commercial model in one of the fastest-growing areas of health care, the home. Our Products & Healthcare Services segment successfully pivoted as we reset our approach post pandemic. We did this by leveraging the Operating Model Realignment Program, executing at a high level and winning new business, which collectively put our P&HS segment on a positive trajectory for revenue growth and margin expansion. We also finished the year by launching a 5-year strategic plan to drive growth and enhance profitability. And we didn't wait until 2024 to begin executing on this strategy as we began to invest in both of our segments during the fourth quarter. And finally, we launched our purpose and vision in the fourth quarter, which will continue to solidify a results-oriented culture at Owens & Minor. I'll provide additional comments on our long-term strategy later in my prepared remarks, but now let me focus on 2023. When I reflect on our performance in 2023, I'm extremely proud of how our organization continues to perform against our objectives. And the proof of that hard work and strong execution is evident across our financial results. For example, in fiscal 2023, we generated over $740 million of operating cash flow, which was an annual record for Owens & Minor. This cash flow performance helped to significantly strengthen our financial profile as we reduced debt by nearly $600 million during the year. And this strength in balance sheet will support many of the…

Alexander Bruni

Analyst

Thank you, Ed. Good morning, everyone. Diving into our fourth quarter performance. On the top line, we posted consolidated revenue of $2.7 billion, up more than 4% over the prior year. This uptick in revenue was driven by a nearly 8% year-over-year improvement in our Patient Direct segment with growth across several product categories. We also saw a 3% growth in our Products & Healthcare Services segment compared to the prior year. Notably, there was growth in both the Medical Distribution and Global Products divisions in the quarter. For the full year, we reported revenue of $10.3 billion, up 4% year-over-year. Our fourth quarter gross margin was $570 million or 21.5% of revenue compared to $407 million or 16% of revenue in the fourth quarter of 2022. Full year gross margin was $2.1 billion or 20.6% of revenue, up 221 basis points. Our gross margin improvement can be attributed to the growing contribution from our Patient Direct segment and the efficiency and productivity gains in the Products & Healthcare Services segment. Additionally, the comparison to the prior year was impacted by the nonrecurrence of the fourth quarter 2022 inventory valuation adjustment of $92.3 million. Turning to expenses. Distribution, selling and administrative expenses for the quarter were $457 million, making up 17.2% of revenue, in line with the fourth quarter of 2022. For the full year, DS&A expenses were $1.8 billion or 17.5% of revenue. The DS&A percentage of revenue reflects the growing contribution from Patient Direct, including a full year of Apria. GAAP operating income for the quarter was $60 million, and adjusted operating income was $111 million. For the full year 2023, GAAP operating income was $105 million, and adjusted operating income was $305 million. These results reflect a notable improvement in operating income, increasing by 212% and a…

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

Thank you, Alex. So again, we had great execution in 2023. And we remain laser-focused on maintaining and accelerating our business momentum as we move forward in 2024. At our Investor Day in December, we shared our Vision 2028 plan, and I outlined 3 key pillars that are critical to our future growth. These include accelerating growth in the high-potential areas of the business, optimizing all of our businesses to drive stronger long-term profitability and leveraging our strong balance sheet by investing across our platforms to drive long-term value. In terms of the near-term priorities that support these pillars, let's start with our growth engine, and that's our Patient Direct segment. We have a proven commercial model across our core categories, including sleep, home respiratory, diabetes, ostomy, urology and wound care. These are areas for investment as we fill geographic gaps, add commercial resources and invest in technology to improve customer satisfaction, grow revenue and expand margins. The technology investments will include e-commerce enhancements in our patient management platform and innovative digital marketing. Overall, we will use technology to rethink the patient journey. Lastly, we'll focus to grow outside of our traditional areas and into adjacencies and other comorbid conditions. The results of these investments, combined with continued strong execution, will enable the Patient Direct segment to continue to grow above market rates, and we believe we can continue to do so by at least 200 basis points per year. Moving to our Products & Healthcare Services segment. We're going to optimize this business by better leveraging our scale, growing our proprietary product portfolio and expanding into adjacent markets and channels. As you can see from our results, we are already making progress in delivering on our promises. Andy and his team are investing where the customers find differentiation, and…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Daniel Grosslight from Citi.

Daniel Grosslight

Analyst

It's good to hear that in P&HS, it's both the products and the distribution that's growing this quarter. I had a question just around PPE inventory levels at your clients and how that's shaping up for '24. Some of the large hospitals have commented that they're going to -- they're hoping to save money on inventory this year. Curious how that may impact you? And then on the third-party distributors who are buying your PPE, any more clarity on how their inventory levels are shaping up?

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

Yes. So I think probably the biggest factor, Daniel -- well, first of all, Daniel, thanks for joining us this morning on the call. But I think the first factor is, and you alluded to that and you said that upfront is we actually saw growth in both parts of the business this quarter, both Products & Healthcare Services as well as Patient Direct. And if I think about the divisions within Products & Healthcare Services, we have seen the -- I don't want to say the bottom, but we're starting to see -- we've seen it level out within our products business, specifically. We're starting to see demand -- while the demand has been consistent, we're now starting to see that slightly uptick. We do still have some customers that have some additional stock, and we're helping them burn through that. We've also done a nice job beginning to build through -- burn through some of our excess inventory during 2023. So as we look into 2024, we expect that to start to ramp in the upward direction and provide some momentum. So that's how we're thinking about the PPE specifically. There are some categories where we're seeing faster growth than other. I think surgical is a great example of that. We're starting to see demand for PPE escalate as people have burned through those products, and we're seeing the surgery rates starting to slightly increase. So that's how we're seeing it from a qualitative standpoint.

Daniel Grosslight

Analyst

Got it. Okay. And then you kind of alluded to this as well at the end here, but one of the key initiatives of the model realignment plan is rethinking your manufacturing footprint, including potentially producing more products overseas. I'm curious if the current conflict in the Red Sea has changed how you're thinking about your manufacturing footprint, potentially keeping more sites in North and South and Central America or if anything has changed?

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

Sure. Just at a high level, I mean, one, we really haven't -- we did -- when we think of -- let me step back. When we think about where our manufacturing footprint should be, we don't think it should be in one specific geographic location. We take all the different circumstances and all the different issues that potentially can run as we look at it. If you look at our footprint today, it's primarily in the Americas, both North America, Central America, with the one exception is our gloves, which are in Thailand. And I think if we think about where our shipping channels are today, it really is not impacted by those issues that are in the market today because we're shipping really directly to the West Coast. And if we do, we go through the Panama Canal if we have to get to the East Coast. And we look at our shipping partners on Panama Canal, we have preset slots that enable us to get through. And we've seen about a 1- to 3-day delay at most within that. But generally speaking, we have our time slots. We have it lined up, and it hasn't impacted us. As we think about the manufacturing footprint more broadly going forward, we'll continue to look at where does it create opportunities for us to get the products that we need at the right price that the customers are -- demand and be able to service them. So I guess overall, the current situation in Suez Canal is not impacting us because it's not a primary shipping channel for us. If we think about where we are today, primarily, if we have to use one of those canals, we use Panama Canal or we ship to the West Coast. And based on our footprint, it's a different footprint we have today. And as we go into the future, we'll take those things into consideration as we continue to remap out our manufacturing footprint.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Kevin Caliendo from UBS.

Kevin Caliendo

Analyst

I want to go through the EBITDA guidance for '24 and just sort of understand what some of the assumptions are in there. First, how much is embedded for the cost savings realignment? You mentioned you were -- there was a run rate of $100 million exiting '24, and I'm -- or excuse me, exiting '23. How much of that is sort of captured in the $550 million to $590 million? And also, can you talk about the net headwind? Or is there a net headwind from the DMEPOS benefit versus the 75-25 rule?

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

Maybe I can start, and then Alex can add some color. So let me just talk a little bit about the Operating Model Realignment and the carryforward. And the bulk of that is going to end up in actually our profits or earnings before the interest -- the really earnings part of EBITDA. And one of the things I think we've tried to clearly state both at Investor Day as well as on some of our prepared remarks was the fact that the savings that we've gained from that in addition to the run rate we have, the vast majority of that is going to be reinvested back into the business. And we're pretty comfortable in the range where we are from both EBITDA as well as EPS for 2024. And if I think about some of the -- I think it's important to understand where are the big buckets we're going to be investing in that. And I'll talk about it in the 2 segments. The one is on the Patient Direct side. So we're aggressively adding commercial people because we believe with the proven commercial model we have, as we scale that up, that can drive long-term growth. And we started adding personnel in the fourth quarter, teammates in the fourth quarter. We're continuing that in Q1 and Q2. What also should be noted is if we're going to add 70 -- call it, 70-plus teammates in the commercial organization on that side of the business, those teammates don't have a positive return or they breakeven after around 12 months, and then they start to show very strong positive returns. So that's an example of taking some of that profit or savings and putting it into long-term profit investments. The other thing in Patient Direct is really around…

Alexander Bruni

Analyst

Yes. Thanks, Ed. So on adjusted EBITDA, we were obviously working hard to deliver in line with our guidance last year and fell a little bit short, frankly, of where we expected to be. And so as we head into 2024, we do feel good about where we've reset for the year. And it does reflect, as Ed mentioned, the investment. It also reflects some of the normalization of PPE pricing. So for gloves, for instance, at the end of 2023 and into 2024, we think that, that sort of normalizes here in the first half of the year. So those are a couple of areas from a broad brush stroke standpoint. And then as we think about some of the more -- the complexities around LIFO and stock comp, we expect both of those to normalize this year, which should provide us greater visibility and just less volatility around adjusted EBITDA.

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

And then I'll add one last comment on the 75-25 comment is, obviously, legislation continues to be discussed through our Congress on that. But the way we thought about it is we built in the impact that it would have on us. In addition to that, identifying ways to offset that as we move forward throughout the year.

Kevin Caliendo

Analyst

Got it. Can I ask one quick follow-up? I know that was a long answer. But just in terms of free cash flow this year, I know you had some benefits from working capital in '23, AR and the like. Would you expect the free cash flow to sort of match what we did in -- or what you did in 2023 and 2024? Is there any directional guidance you can give us around maybe working capital if you don't want to give us the free cash flow numbers?

Alexander Bruni

Analyst

Sure. Yes, Kevin, great question. So in 2024, we expect cash flow to normalize. We obviously had an extraordinary year in 2023. We expect to end the year with some debt pay down and just to be slightly north of a 3x leverage.

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

And then I'll just add one other comment is as we start to see growth in our Medical Distribution and our Global Products business, whether that's through implementation of new wins, whether that's through expanding our proprietary product portfolio, we are going to make the appropriate investments in inventory. So that way, as we scale and that business grows, we have the ability to service our customers. In addition to that, just so everyone understands the cycle of bringing on new proprietary products, generally, you're going to have them in inventory before you start to sell them in the market. In addition to that, you want to make sure you bring in the right amount so as that ramps, you don't have service issues. So there are going to be some investments in inventory in 2024 really related to 3 things. One is new win implementations. The second aspect of that is proprietary product portfolio expansion. And third is the ability to drive higher levels of service.

Kevin Caliendo

Analyst

Great.

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

And those are all good reasons to add inventory.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of John Stansel from JPMorgan.

John Stansel

Analyst

Just kind of following up on that around the new SKU launches that you highlighted at Investor Day. It sounds like what you're saying is that this is part of the driver for SG&A uptick, and it will be more of a contributor in 2025. Is that the right way to kind of frame the significant investment you're making in product line expansion? Or should we think about it as a near-term driver, too?

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

No, I think it's more of a long-term driver. And I think I use 2 examples and one on both sides of each segment. On the personnel adds and the teammate adds on the commercial side and our Patient Direct business, we know clearly that, that's -- after 12 months or so, that becomes breakeven and then highly profitable as it accelerates. So yes, on Patient Direct side and then very similar on the Products & Healthcare Services side of the business is in that -- in building out the teams to do that, that is going to be a capital -- I'm sorry, SG&A investment upfront with benefit as time progresses.

John Stansel

Analyst

Great. And then just going back to the Investor Day, you called out a new medical customer win, I believe. Can you just help qualitatively frame how that's contributing to the 2024 guide and what services are being sold there?

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

Yes, that's one that should start to implement -- should -- it's going to be starting implementing in March. So next month, we'll start to implement that business. And that's going to -- we haven't quantified the dollar amount, but it is -- it's a meaningful win. It will end up -- that will end up being one of our top 10 customers overall once we put it into the system. And it is a combination of a portion of the customers we did have in an expansion in, so it's a meaningful win, and that will begin in March.

John Stansel

Analyst

Great. And if I can just squeeze one quick one in at the end.

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

Sure.

John Stansel

Analyst

More of a long-term question. I know that in December, there was some chatter around potential changes to CMS reimbursement for CGMs. Now I know only 20% of your Patient Direct revenue comes from government sources. How are you thinking about potential changes around CGM reimbursement from someone like CMS? Is that something as you think about out years that is meaningful or are not really for the Patient Direct business?

Alexander Bruni

Analyst

Thanks, John. It's Alex Bruni. So yes, this is certainly something we continue to watch. We noted the press release in November with the OIG looking into CGM reimbursement. They don't expect to have findings until 2025. So we'll continue to watch this space, but we don't expect any implications at this point for us.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Stephanie Davis from Barclays.

Stephanie Davis

Analyst

So while I understand the ramp to the 2028 plan wasn't meant to be linear, the '24 EBITDA guidance does imply a pretty healthy step-up in the out years. So I was hoping you could help us bridge this and call any maybe one-timers or areas of potential conservatism in order to get you there.

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

Yes. I think Stephanie, you're right, it's not linear. And we wanted to make sure that when we talked about at Investor Day, we gave 2028 full year end-of-year target there. And part of it is the investments that are being made. Again, I use 2 different examples. Again, one is on the commercial aspect of what we're going to do in our Patient Direct business. The second aspect is some of the technology we're using in Patient Direct. Both of those are going to have benefits associated with them. And again, they're going to have benefits after they get implemented. So those are things that have meaningful paybacks 12 months-plus out. I think very similar on the Products & Healthcare Services business. You're absolutely right, it's on the -- if we think about the portfolio expansion, those are things that take time to develop. Again, it's something that Owens & Minor has been trying to do for years, but you have to make sure you have the investments upfront. And part of what we're leveraging is the Operating Model Realignment savings we have. We're redeploying that back into longer-term investments like the product aspect. The other aspect is network rationalization and optimization. That's something that doesn't happen overnight. It's something that we're aggressively looking at right now. But we know if that's going to take time to execute on and then that will provide material benefits as we get into the future. So that's why when we looked at our internal strategic plan for the 5-year period of time, we believe we're -- in 2024, if you look at our range, it provides, we think, pretty good reasonable returns. But also it's enabling us to make significant investments to provide those higher longer-term returns.

Stephanie Davis

Analyst

So if I had a bridge from your long-term guidance, is the right way to think of this as 2024 is more of an investment year, and then we'll start to see a step up in '25? Or is it being more of a gradual bridge as some of these things come through?

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

I think probably your first assumption is closer. 2024 is more of an investment year, but it's still going to provide -- if you just take the midpoint of our range, it's still providing double-digit growth in EPS, adjusted EPS at the midpoint of our guidance. In addition to that, I think -- so what we're trying to do is balance that as we get into -- as we go through 2024 with the right investments for long term but still providing the right level of returns in the short term. I think as you exit '24 and there's still some things that are going to take longer. The network rationalization and optimization, that's something that will bleed into '25. But as we continue to come out of '24 and into '25 and then continue to progress, you'll see that ramp accelerate in the out years even faster. And that's really been the beauty of what we've done with the Operating Model Realignment Program is it's enabled us to take cost out. It's enabled us to drive improved cash flow and profitability and then take those dollars and invest them in areas that may take a longer term to get a payback but still not impact the short-term returns, again, using -- taking the midpoint of adjusted EPS from '23 to '24 is still going to be a double-digit growth and then while we're still investing materially in the business for long-term success.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Eric Coldwell from Baird.

Eric Coldwell

Analyst

I had a couple here. First, on the commentary about cash flow normalizing in 2024. To be fair, Ed, I'm not sure there's really been a normal year since you got to the company. I mean cash flow, $114 million in 2019, then it was $280 million, then it was $74 million, then it was $158 million. Of course, this year was a blowout. What is normal? And do we just take the simple average of the 4 years before this year and, call it, $150 million of free cash flow? Or is there a ratio you can share with us that you think is a normal ratio of some sort to get a better sense on this year?

Alexander Bruni

Analyst

Yes. Thanks, Eric. This is Alex. So definitely a fair question and a fair observation about not having a normal year. So as we go forward, at Investor Day, we talked about having $400 million of cash, free cash flow, operating cash flow in 2028. So I think as we see the impact of the investments that Ed has talked about this morning, we would expect to ramp up over the next few years to be in line with that. We think that, that reflects kind of a good goal of operating cash flow once our investments take place.

Eric Coldwell

Analyst

So would '24 be in theory -- I know things can bounce around a lot, and even calendar days can have an impact each year. But is '24, in theory, the low point and then a ramp up to that $400 million in '28 pretty linear? Is that the process?

Alexander Bruni

Analyst

I'm not sure it's exactly linear, but I think that's a fair approximation of how I would think about it.

Eric Coldwell

Analyst

Yes. Okay. And then on EBITDA, I know there are some variables that are included in your EBITDA add-backs that are probably next to impossible to precisely forecast. So definitely give some hall passes on that. But technically, you did miss EBITDA by about $10 million to $30 million on the range for 2023. And I think a chunk of that was a lower LIFO charge add-back probably than you expected in the fourth quarter. I was hoping you could quantify that. And then for 2024 guidance, you -- again, you said LIFO would normalize and frankly, just not sure what that means. What is the 2024 guidance inclusion for a LIFO charge or credit or whatever it is? And how does that compare to the absolute amount in '23?

Alexander Bruni

Analyst

Yes. Thanks, Eric. So yes, on this complexity here, so just to kind of go back, when we reset or redefine the adjusted EBITDA in Q1, we talked about having $25 million in 2022 and about $30 million in 2023 combined for LIFO and stock comp. That is roughly where we ended the year, although I will say our projections did fluctuate. And so that was part of the difficulty in '23. There was about $2 million of LIFO in '23 and about $23 million of stock comp. We expect that to normalize in '24 and to be just north of $50 million combined.

Eric Coldwell

Analyst

$50 million of add-back?

Alexander Bruni

Analyst

Yes.

Eric Coldwell

Analyst

Okay. And last one, I'm going to go a little away from the call here. We did recently notice a headline that the West Virginia University, WVU Medicine deal has been delayed or at least some of the ramp, the build-out of the site has been delayed by a year. Can you tell us what's going on there? And is that having any kind of an impact on the 2024 results or outlook?

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

Yes, Eric, no impact at all. It's actually working with the contractor to get the facility built. That's the delay on the construction. It's still a -- we've actually extended our long-term deal with WVU. And so there's 0 impact on 2024. That business we've had for the last 2 years, it's been served out of another distribution center. It will continue to be served out of another distribution center until we get the facility completed. WVU has been an incredible partner to us. And there'd be no impact at all in 2024 because we are serving the business out of another distribution center, and it's just a matter of getting the new one up and running for them.

Operator

Operator

And we have no further questions in our queue at this time. I will now turn the call back to Ed Pesicka for closing remarks.

Edward Pesicka

Analyst

Thank you, operator. First of all, I want to thank everyone who joined us on the call today. Besides those on the call, I want to thank our teammates across the globe that have really worked tremendously in 2023 and to position us to where we are today. I also want to thank our customers, our patients, our partners as well as our shareholders. As we reflect on where we are, we firmly believe that we have the right team in place and even more than that, we have the right strategy. That strategy is going to enable us to continue the momentum that we've accelerated during the year as we saw tremendous progress from Q1 to Q2 to Q3 to Q4 and exited the year with strength. So as you can see, I'm pretty excited about where we are right now but even more excited about the future. And I look forward to sharing our progress with you as the year progresses. So just again, thank you, everyone, for joining us today, and look forward to talking again after the first quarter results. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation, and you may now disconnect.