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Transcript
OP
Operator
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the AMETEK Q4 2015 Earnings Call. During the presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. Afterwards, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded today, Friday, February 5, 2016. I would now like to turn the conference over to the Vice President of Investor Relations Mr. Kevin Coleman. Please go ahead, sir.
KR
Kevin C. Coleman - Vice President-Investor Relations
Management
Thank you, Brian. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to AMETEK's fourth quarter earnings conference call. Joining me this morning are Frank Hermance, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Bob Mandos, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; and Dave Zapico Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer. AMETEK's fourth quarter results were released earlier this morning. These results are available electronically on market systems and on our website at ametek.com. A tape of today's call may be accessed until February 19 by calling 800-633-8284 and entering the confirmation code 21802769. This call is also webcasted. It can be accessed at ametek.com and streetevents.com. The call will be archived on both of these sites. I will remind you that any statements made by AMETEK during the call that are not historical in nature are to be considered forward-looking statements. As such, these statements are subject to change based on various risk factors and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ significantly from expectations. A detailed discussion of the risk and uncertainties that may affect our future results, is contained in the AMETEK's filings with the SEC. AMETEK disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. I will also refer you to the Investors section of ametek.com for a reconciliation of any non-GAAP financial measures used during this conference call. We'll begin with prepared remarks, and then we'll open it up for questions. I'll now turn the meeting over to Frank. Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Thank you, Kevin, and good morning, everyone. AMETEK delivered solid operational results in the quarter to complete another strong year. We achieved a record level of operating income, operating margins, and diluted earnings per share in 2015 despite a very challenging global macro environment. Looking ahead, we expect these…
KR
Kevin C. Coleman - Vice President-Investor Relations
Management
Great. Thank you, Bob. Frank, we're now happy to open up for questions.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you.
KR
Kevin C. Coleman - Vice President-Investor Relations
Management
Frank, we would like to open up for questions now.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you.
KR
Kevin C. Coleman - Vice President-Investor Relations
Management
Operator, are you there? Okay, one moment, while we check on the status of our operator. Okay. So those people on the call, one second. We're going to have to work with the operator to get him back on the line.
OP
Operator
Operator
Our question comes for the line of Matt McConnell from RBC Capital Markets. Please proceed.
ML
Matthew McConnell - RBC Capital Markets LLC
Management
Great. Thanks. Good morning, guys. I'm not sure if you're on it. I can't hear a response, but I'll just go ahead with the question in case it's going through. I wonder if you could add any visibility around maybe your conviction for the 2016 outlook? I know you're already talking it kind of to the low-end of expectations, but just how do you about planning in an environment like this where it's probably hard to tell whether things are getting incrementally worse or not? I'll just leave it at that. Thank you.
KR
Kevin C. Coleman - Vice President-Investor Relations
Management
Hi, everyone. This is Kevin from AMETEK. The operator is dialing back in so we should get started back up here in a minute or two. Thanks for your patience.
OP
Operator
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, please continue to stand by. Your conference will resume momentarily.
OP
Operator
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, please continue to stand by. Your conference will begin momentarily. We thank you for your patience. Okay. Our first question comes from the line of Matt McConnell with RBC Capital Markets. Please proceed.
ML
Matthew McConnell - RBC Capital Markets LLC
Management
Okay. Great. Thanks very much. Good morning, guys.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Sorry for what occurred, Matt. I don't know what the technical difficulty was. It was not on our end, so.
ML
Matthew McConnell - RBC Capital Markets LLC
Management
Yeah. No problem at all. Just hoping to get some visibility around your conviction on the 2016 outlook. You're already setting expectations kind of for the low end. Just how do you go about planning in an environment like this where it's probably hard to tell whether things are getting worse or flattening out. Just any more insight into how you plan in that kind of environment and level of conviction?
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. I mean, it's very difficult as you stated. There are a lot of moving factors right now in the global economy. And in Q4, we had some difficulty in our EMIP metals business, and that will continue into Q1 which is one reason why the Q1 forecast is lower than we would have liked. So, to get conviction, it's more difficult in this environment. And that's why I mentioned in my opening talk that with that sort of cloudy outlook, it's probably best to be conservative on the guidance that I gave.
ML
Matthew McConnell - RBC Capital Markets LLC
Management
Okay. And then switching gears a bit just to the M&A that you announced.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah.
ML
Matthew McConnell - RBC Capital Markets LLC
Management
What are the EBITDA multiples and maybe margins now versus margin potential of these businesses. And what's your playbook for creating value on these deals?
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah, absolutely. The Brookfield deal, we paid about 11 times and the ESP deal we paid about 10 times. We see significant synergy with these businesses. If I look at the ESP deal, their margins are quite good. However, we can offer significant amounts of synergy in terms of international expansion. They don't do a lot outside the United States. And also, just our normal operational excellence initiatives can definitely create value. Our goals and how we price these deals, we look for a 10% return on invested capital in year three. Both of these deals actually exceed that so we're pretty confident of getting a good return for our shareholders. Following up on Brookfield, Brookfield is just a phenomenal company. Their name is well, well-known in the industry and it's almost synonymous with rheometers because they basically have a very, very strong position in that market. And their margins are lower than the AMETEK margins so we believe over time, we can definitely put our operational excellence capabilities in place there and move those margins up to the AMETEK average and possibly beyond. So we're pretty excited about both of these deals. Obviously, doing deals is the primary use of our cash flow. And we're going to continue to make acquisitions throughout the year and we think it's a very significant value creator for our shareholders.
ML
Matthew McConnell - RBC Capital Markets LLC
Management
Okay. Great. Thank you very much.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: You bet.
OP
Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Matt Summerville with Alembic Global Advisors. Please proceed.
ML
Matt J. Summerville - Alembic Global Advisors LLC
Analyst · Alembic Global Advisors. Please proceed.
Yeah. Morning. A couple of questions. First, with respect to EMG being down 8% organically in Q4, I would assume that sort of caught you by surprise. Can you talk about within EMIP or maybe even just walking through the other businesses in EMG, how much of the decline are you experiencing there that's really volume-driven versus price and/or commodity deflation driven? And I guess, when do we anniversary that commodity deflation as it sort of flows through your P&L?
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Okay, Matt. You're right. That was the surprise in the quarter. EIG came in essentially where we were expecting. But what happened during the Q4 is that there was a significant decline in metal prices. A few examples are nickel was down 13%. Copper just in the quarter was down 17%. And vanadium was down 23%. Now, in terms of how that affects the profitability, we pass the commodity prices through so that there's not a major impact from the viewpoint that the prices came down from that perspective. The issue is that because the prices were coming down and so rapidly, our customers basically stopped purchasing. They wanted to make darn sure they were purchasing at the bottom instead of at a different – higher level. So the impact here was, therefore, on the sales line from the view point that they essentially stopped buying. And that is continuing into Q1. We expect some stabilization in Q2. And I'm probably – a pretty sure bet would be by Q3 that those – that will stabilize because in essence those customers need the product. I mean that's the fundamental issue. So they'll drive their inventories down to where they're as low as they can be. And then they'll be forced to basically go ahead and purchase. So I think that covered all of your questions, Matt.
ML
Matt J. Summerville - Alembic Global Advisors LLC
Analyst · Alembic Global Advisors. Please proceed.
Yeah. Thank you. And then one quick follow-up. Just on Oil & Gas, as you entered 2015, you threw out some numbers, I think, down 10%. Is that where it sort of ended up for you guys? You were able to sort of get that right, I guess? And then what are you looking at there for 2016 on an incremental downdraft basis and also pulled in how mid and downstream impact that as well as upstream?
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. Okay, Matt. We definitely got it right in 2015. We made that call right at the beginning of the year and in essence, when we look at the results for 2015, we hit it right on, which is almost unbelievable that we were able to call it as close as we did. Looking forward, what we're expecting, if you look at the total linkage that we have to oil and gas is about $360 million. Of that, about a third is upstream, so say, $120 million, and we're projecting that piece to be down around a third, around 30% to 35% which is down an incremental $40 million. And then if you look at the remainder, which is mid- and downstream, we expect a mid single digit type decline. So overall, what's in our forecast is an incremental $50 million of decline due to essentially the price of oil being down at the $30 a barrel level right now.
ML
Matt J. Summerville - Alembic Global Advisors LLC
Analyst · Alembic Global Advisors. Please proceed.
Great. Thanks a lot, Frank.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Hey, you bet, Matt.
OP
Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Obin with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please proceed.
AL
Andrew Burris Obin - Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please proceed.
Good morning.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Hi, Andrew.
AL
Andrew Burris Obin - Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please proceed.
Just a question. This has been a very confusing earnings period, I guess, for me. When was the last time outside of a recession you remember that your businesses sort of could not grow organically? And what are you guys just seeing on a broader economic sense because some companies are talking about things re-accelerating into the first half of the year? Just sort of, if you can take a longer historical perspective first and, b, just to talk about the fact that some people are sort of calling for re-acceleration and some people are not?
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Well, I think it depends on the particular markets in your particular business concentrations. I think if you look back historically where AMETEK has had, say, negative organic growth is typically when the industrial cycle is down. And in my view, we are in an industrial recession right now. That's the view that the consensus of all of our managers is that we are in an industrial recession. And therefore, to get any sizeable organic growth in this environment is challenging. And where AMETEK shines is that we're able to be very good on the cost side of the business and therefore, we are looking to be able to hold or slightly increase our earnings in a recessionary environment. So that's probably the best I can say and if companies – I'll give you some examples without specific names, but if you have a company that doesn't have oil and gas exposure or doesn't have a lot of exposure in Asia or in metals areas, those companies are going to have a better opportunity to grow organically and that's probably why you're hearing some of this, I'll call it, confusion in the market. When we step back and we look at these kind of environments, we're going to be very aggressive on the cost side of the business and we're going to look to deploy capital to increase our earnings. And remember, the guidance that I'm giving does not include any future acquisitions. So whatever we can do to deploy more capital and bring more companies into our realm. We've got the operating capability that we've shown over many, many years and over a period of time, we always create value. As a matter of fact, the way I view this environment right now is this is a buying opportunity for AMETEK. We very seldom have a dip like our stock is experiencing right now. And I can tell you, I'm going to increase my ownership. So that shows some commitment.
AL
Andrew Burris Obin - Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please proceed.
And just to follow-up on that, I had breakfast today with somebody a lot smarter than I am. And the question was about sustainability of this M&A driven model versus 10 years ago and I know what you think, but it's interesting that this earnings season, the companies that have disappointed investor expectations actually where these sort of high quality companies with heavy emphasis on M&A model. What do you think about your actual ability to reaccelerate M&A in this environment?
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: I think it's super. I think what we're going to see because we're in this slowness in the industrial economy is we're going to see a lot more properties becoming available. There will be an exodus of companies where they want to sell because they don't want to wait out until market conditions get better. And we have the capital, we have the management talent. So to me, it's one of the two pillars in terms of buying companies right now. I think we'll see the multiples start to come down. As a matter of fact, I heard Bill Eginton in a recent board meeting, first time say he's seeing multiples start to come down. So that's a good sign as well. So we're going to be aggressive. You take advantage of this on the acquisition side, and you focus on cost. There isn't a lot you can do about the global macro. So you just – you sort of have to wait that out. And when they come back, the earnings of this company are going to skyrocket. So I mean, that's the best way I can describe the situation. I know it's difficult for all of us, including yourselves, to really get a handle on exactly what's happening. But that always happens in a recessionary environment. I hope that helps you.
AL
Andrew Burris Obin - Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please proceed.
Thank you very much. No, this is great. Thank you.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: All right.
OP
Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Joe Radigan with KeyBanc. Please proceed.
JI
Joe K. Radigan - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.
Analyst · KeyBanc. Please proceed.
Thanks. Thanks. Good morning, guys.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Hi, Joe.
JI
Joe K. Radigan - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.
Analyst · KeyBanc. Please proceed.
Frank, just to follow up on that M&A comment you made. Looking back at how active you were on the acquisition front last cycle, you closed a lot of deals in 2008. That was just ahead of the downturn. And then 2009 was one of your lightest years in terms of deal flow. Does that make you at all hesitant to get overly aggressive right now ahead of perhaps a worsening macro outlook? Or maybe you can be more opportunistic? I mean, it doesn't sound like it, but what are your thoughts there?
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. I think the downturn in 2008 and 2009 was clearly an abnormality. And the reason is that the whole economy was just crashing. Everybody just stopped is the best way of saying it. And because nobody knew where bottom was and, I mean, that was a different kind of recession probably than I've experienced in my business career. So, yes, your historical picture is exactly right. However, this recession what I'm saying we're in now is different. It's not as deep start there. And I think in 2008 and 2009, I don't remember the actual numbers, but I think we were down about 15% or something of that magnitude. We came back. We came back very strong right after that. But this is not of that magnitude and you can see that in our guidance where we're talking about organic growth for 2016 being just down low-single digits. So it's not anywhere near a significant an issue. So I would not use that as a model. Actually, if you go back to the previous recession, before that, we did buy companies in that downturn. So that's why I think this is just an ideal opportunity to be aggressive. And I don't mean aggressive in the sense of buying companies that are not good. I mean we've got the capital and we've got the manpower. And, I don't know, we're going to continue to look at companies. We're actually pretty happy that already this year, we've announced deployment of about $300 million in capital. And as I said in my opening comments, over the last 24 months, we deployed $1.1 billion in capital. So I think it's going to continue. And I can't sit there and tell you exactly what we're going to acquire and what the capital outlays are going to be. I'm just telling you from a strategic view point, it's a good time. That's probably the best way that I can characterize it. So Joe, I don't know if that helps with your question.
JI
Joe K. Radigan - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.
Analyst · KeyBanc. Please proceed.
Yeah. No, that's helpful. Thanks, Frank. And then in terms of your outlook, the low-single-digit organic growth, how do you see that between segments and – maybe it makes sense to do the business rundown in terms of what you're seeing in the segments or what you saw in the quarter and then rolling that up into the guidance? Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. Sure. I'd be glad to do that, Joe. So let me start with EIG and Aerospace, EIG Aerospace had a strong fourth quarter, with organic sales up mid-single digits on a percentage basis, reflecting strength. And, actually, all parts of that business, commercial OEM, business and regional jets, and our military business, believe it or not. Our EIG Aerospace business had an excellent year as they gained sizable new content on a number of attractive platforms. In 2015, they received a record $620 million in life of program awards on 35 different platforms and that included Rolls-Royce for the Trent 7000 engine on the A330neo; Parker Hannifin, for fuel systems on the Joint Strike Fighter; and GE for the GE9X engine, which will be on the new version of 777. So they've done a really, really good job of getting content. Of course, when you're on these airplanes, that content lasts for 20, 25 years. So looking to 2016, we expect EIG Aerospace sales to be up low- to mid-single digits and that's why the continued ramp-up of key commercial OEM platforms and some growth in business and regional jets mainly due to our content on new aircraft and, in particular, the HondaJet. Moving to our process, organic sales and process were down mid-single digits in the quarter, obviously, driven by weakness in upstream oil and gas. As I mentioned a…
JI
Joe K. Radigan - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.
Analyst · KeyBanc. Please proceed.
I appreciate that. Thanks, Frank.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Okay.
OP
Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Richard Eastman with Robert W. Baird. Please proceed. Richard Eastman - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): Yes. Frank, could you provide us with the order number in the quarter? Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Sure. Orders were down 4%. It was $966 million. Do I have it right, guys? $966 million. Robert R. Mandos - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Right. Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: I got it right. And I'm not looking at anything. Richard Eastman - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): And what's the – can you give us a sense of the core order number? Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Core was down 6%. Richard Eastman - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): 6%? Okay. And then also, it appears that at the midpoint of guidance for 2016, if I kind of walk up the P&L, midpoint of EPS guidance, I walk up the P&L. Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah, sure. Richard Eastman - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): It looks like maybe the EBIT margin is around 23%, maybe at the midpoint? Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: We're projecting EBIT margins at the midpoint to be up 20 basis points to 30 basis points even though it's going to be weaker obviously in the first part of the year. But obviously, we are putting those cost improvements that I talked about through the business, and they will have a greater impact obviously on the second half than the first half. So, overall, we're talking 20 basis points to 30 basis points up. Richard Eastman - Robert W.…
OP
Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Nigel Coe with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed. Andrew J. Ronkowitz - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC: Hey. Good morning. This is Drew on for Nigel. Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Hi, Drew. Andrew J. Ronkowitz - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC: Frank, just going back to the orders real quick. I think in 3Q, you had mentioned that sequentially the orders have actually picked up from July through September. Could you just give us a sense for how things tracked through 4Q? And then what you're seeing in January to-date because we're hearing some commentary that, from some distributors that things are picking up? Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. Through the quarter, actually, our orders did go up. So we had a very strong last month in the quarter. So that trend was definitely there for all of AMETEK. And that also is during this time when I was mentioning the impacts of deflation. I would say in January, no, I have not seen a pickup. But, it's hard to conclude anything from that because our orders tend to be weaker in the first month in a quarter than the third month. But I can clearly tell you, I'm not sitting here with a euphoric outlook that things are getting better. Andrew J. Ronkowitz - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC: Okay. Thanks. And then just one more on the – regarding your comments on still wanting to be aggressive on M&A and valuations potentially coming in. Do you have a target or sort of a max level on leverage that you'd be willing to step up to? Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. Leverage is just not an issue…
OP
Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Brian Konigsberg with Vertical Research Partners. Please proceed.
BL
Brian Konigsberg - Vertical Research Partners LLC
Analyst · Vertical Research Partners. Please proceed.
Good morning. Thanks for taking my question.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Good morning, Brian.
BL
Brian Konigsberg - Vertical Research Partners LLC
Analyst · Vertical Research Partners. Please proceed.
Hey, I just wanted to touch a little bit more on the guidance, especially just with Q1. I know you talked about the deflationary impact on the order trends and presumably the margins with overhead absorption, but, I mean, it does seem like it's – the margin does come down even a couple hundred basis points year-over-year. And then just kind of talking about the comment with margins for the year up 20 basis points to 30 basis points. You have to have a pretty good level of expansion by the back half. Am I actually reading that correctly? And if there is any commentary on the trajectory? Thank you so much.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. Your reading is definitely correct and when we look at the first quarter, there's the oil and gas market, our business. We were depleting backlog last year which obviously it's been now down at a low level. So, when you look at first quarter-over-quarter, you're going to have an impact there plus this material deflation issue that we've talked extensively about. So the first quarter is going to be tough and that's the reason why we decided – we saw this coming obviously. And that's why we decided to do the restructuring or realignment, I should say, where we put a major cost savings through the P&L. And, obviously, we're not going to get significant benefit from that in the first quarter. And, yes, as we go through the quarters, that is going to have a sizable impact. And there's another factor in here, too, and that's that the comps get easier as you go forward, too, overall. So, you get a little leverage from the sales line. But your outlook and your high-level thought process is right on.
BL
Brian Konigsberg - Vertical Research Partners LLC
Analyst · Vertical Research Partners. Please proceed.
Got it. Okay. Thanks. And just separately on the restructuring. So the payback seems particularly high. I think it was 150% conversion with the math you provided. Can you just talk about why the payback really is so good? Is there something specific about what you're doing that is just that productive?
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: No. I would say this is somewhat normal for us, this kind of payback. And I'll give you a high-level view that we're obviously going to do some employment reductions. It's not major but definitely we're going to be doing some, and we're going to be closing some plants. And I don't want to talk about the particulars, but this is standard AMETEK, I would say, where we are able to continue that operational excellence capability that we have. So, yeah, you look at the returns whenever we do this and they're usually very, very good.
BL
Brian Konigsberg - Vertical Research Partners LLC
Analyst · Vertical Research Partners. Please proceed.
If I could sneak one last in? Just on the RD&E. So you're keeping that fairly consistent. Can you talk about where you see particular opportunities to kind of improve the product line and essentially kind of extend your capabilities?
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. No. That's a good point. I mean, we're basically going to invest, as I said in my opening talk, $210 million. That's up about 5% from last year. And it also just coincidentally happens to be about 5% of sales. So it's a very healthy number. And we feel this is the organic pipeline of the company. That investment will go more in EIG than it will in EMG. And I can give you some examples of where we're going to be putting that investment in. I mentioned in my opening talk that UPT is doing extremely well. This is a high-end measurement company. It did not have substantial exposure to some of the things that we have talked about on the negative side. And they're going to continue to invest. You may recall a while back we did the Creaform acquisition. That company has been just superlative in terms of organic growth. I mean, they're growing at numbers in the 15%, 20% region. These are basically instruments that can very accurately look at an object and convert it to a computer, basically a CAD-type of drawing just by waving the instrument across an object. And very, very good marketplace and we're going to continue to invest in that business. And we're also not afraid to invest in some of the markets that are down. If you look some of our businesses that are in oil and gas, probably more in the mid and down area of oil and gas. We'll probably invest more there. And we'll continue to invest in Power & Industrial and I gave some examples of some of the products in my opening talk. So the focus on engineering investment is going to be higher in EIG. The focus on capital deployment will be higher in EMG because those businesses require more capital to grow. So, that's sort of the view of how we're going to invest. Hope that helps.
BL
Brian Konigsberg - Vertical Research Partners LLC
Analyst · Vertical Research Partners. Please proceed.
If Okay. Yeah, that's very helpful. Thank you.
OP
Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Robert McCarthy with Stifel. Please proceed. Robert McCarthy - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Hi. Good morning, everybody. Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Hi, Robert. Robert McCarthy - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: So, I guess a couple of cleanups given the time on a day. I guess, the first question, you may have said this but I was transferring to another call. Were the close of these deals contemporaneous like in January? Or when was the close of these most recent deals? Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. They were right after the first of the year. I mean... Robert McCarthy - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Okay. Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: We have been working on them obviously through the fourth quarter. But both closed right after the first of the year. Robert McCarthy - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Okay. Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: And I decided to just couple them and get it all out at once in essence. Robert McCarthy - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Right. And obviously, rhetorical question, but clearly that's included in the guidance for the full year of 2016 because they've been closed and they're under reported numbers. Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: That is correct. Robert McCarthy - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Yeah. Okay. And then just in terms of the general M&A environment right now, I mean, I guess one thing – obviously the organic environment is very challenging, as you've alluded to, and there's a lot of volatility in kind of not only your businesses but also implicitly in your outlook, as a result. But I…
OP
Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Bhupender Bohra with Jefferies & Company. Please proceed.
BL
Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC
Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed.
Hi. Good morning, guys. Hello?
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. Hi.
KR
Kevin C. Coleman - Vice President-Investor Relations
Management
Hi, Bhupender. A little bit louder.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Could you – yeah, we can't hear you.
BL
Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC
Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed.
Can you hear me now?
KR
Kevin C. Coleman - Vice President-Investor Relations
Management
Yeah. We could hear you. Go ahead.
BL
Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC
Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed.
Frank, can you give us a rundown of sales by region?
KR
Kevin C. Coleman - Vice President-Investor Relations
Management
Sorry, Bhupender, you broke up there. We couldn't hear that question.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Can you get closer?
BL
Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC
Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed.
Can you give us a rundown by region?
KR
Kevin C. Coleman - Vice President-Investor Relations
Management
Okay. Geographic rundown?
BL
Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC
Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed.
Yes.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah, sure. I can do that. I'll do the organically. We talked about the total company being down 4%. The U.S. was down 5%. Asia was down 4% and Europe was down 1%.
BL
Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC
Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed.
And could you talk about China? How much of that was within Asia?
KR
Kevin C. Coleman - Vice President-Investor Relations
Management
Say that one more time, Bhupender? We couldn't catch that.
BL
Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC
Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed.
Could you talk about China?
KR
Kevin C. Coleman - Vice President-Investor Relations
Management
China. Okay.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: China, yeah. China was the driver in that minus 4% down in Asia. China was actually down organically, about 15%. So, obviously, that weighed on us. But on the other side, India did incredibly well. They were up well into the double-digits. But China was weak, no question. Everything you hear about China, at least, and the impact on our business is pretty consistent.
BL
Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC
Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed.
Okay. Now, I think you can hear me clearly.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Oh, yeah. Now, we can hear you.
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Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC
Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed.
Okay. So, I'll make sure you hear this. So the other question on the operating excellence of $120 million for 2016. How should we be thinking about that with the – taking into consideration the midpoint of the guidance? Just give us some color on that $120 million. You said $60 million coming from the global sourcing and procurement? And is that a very conservative number? I mean, usually, the history is like, you guys, actually, kind of up that up as it go through the year. And I just, Frank, if you can?
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Right. The $120 million is a number that would reflect the midpoint of our guidance. And I think, it's reasonable to assume that we can improve that number possibly as we go through the year. So there could be definitely some upside that could come from the cost reduction side. No question.
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Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC
Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed.
Okay. And lastly, on the M&A, we have been talking about here on the call. Just remind us what's your sweet spot in terms of the size of the deals and what's in the pipeline right now.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. I mean, the deal size, we like to do is up to a couple hundred million dollars in sales. That doesn't preclude us from doing something larger. But we have found if we keep the deal size below that $200 million sales number, we typically can get extremely strong synergy with those deals. And therefore, the return on invested capital is excellent. Also, with those smaller deals, the multiples tend to be lower so that you're not paying quite as much as you will for a larger deal. So I would say that sweet spot is in that sort of $75 million to $200 million area in terms of sales. And when I look at the backlog, we have a fair number of deals that are in our backlog that fit that size range. We also have some deals that are larger, and we also have some deals that are smaller. But that is the sweet spot.
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Bhupender Bohra - Jefferies LLC
Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed.
Okay. Thanks a lot, guys.
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Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Joe Giordano with Cowen Group. Please proceed. Joseph Giordano - Cowen & Co. LLC: Hi, guys. Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Hi. Joseph Giordano - Cowen & Co. LLC: Thanks for running late here to get everybody. Frank, I think I even asked you this last quarter. You talk about Floorcare as being the real economic tale, those kind of products for you guys. And you mentioned I think minus 14% for the quarter. And your outlook for next year looks pretty positive, but the way you said it, it kind of sounded like that's an AMETEK-specific thing and not a market-specific thing with new products and things that you guys have done specifically. So can you maybe talk about that market in context of your broader economic evaluation? Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Yeah. No. I mean, I think the broader market is definitely a factor in this business. And the reason that we're talking that we think it's going to be better next year than it was in the fourth quarter is that, yeah, this is not a major part of AMETEK overall. But fundamentally, we saw some inventory realignments in the fourth quarter with our customers and that's going to bleed through, in a positive sense, as we go into next year. So I would say that the Floorcare business is just consistent with the macro outlook that I've provided. And the people who are running this business have just done a superb job and the profitability has done very, very well. So, this is, actually, not going to be a major issue. At least, that's our feeling right now in 2016. Joseph Giordano - Cowen & Co. LLC: All right.…
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Operator
Operator
We have a follow-up question from the line of Richard Eastman with Robert W. Baird. Please proceed.
Richard Eastman - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): Sorry. Just two quick things. I mean, one is, what kind of – maybe Kevin, what FX impact do you have built into the 2016 revenue guide?
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: No, no impact.
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Kevin C. Coleman - Vice President-Investor Relations
Management
No impact.
Richard Eastman - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): None?
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: We're basically saying it's flat.
Richard Eastman - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): Okay. And then just last. Frank, could you just talk about last couple of quarters here, we've bought back a fair amount of stock. And I'm just trying to reconcile that with the commentary around the M&A pipeline and maybe expectations. So for deal flow here going forward, do we kind of back off on the stock buyback then in 2016 or...
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: We know we've done a little bit in the fourth quarter. I would expect we would do some in 2016. But to your point, it's not the primary use of our cash flow.
Richard Eastman - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): Okay. The primary use of our cash flow is for M&A. And there's just no strategy change in terms of that. But we may do some stock buybacks in 2016. But that's not our primary focus.
Richard Eastman - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): Okay. Understood. Thank you again.
Frank S. Hermance - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: All righty, Richard.
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Operator
Operator
Sir, there are no further questions at this time.
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Kevin C. Coleman - Vice President-Investor Relations
Management
Okay. Great. Thank you. Thanks, everyone, for joining. And as always I'm available for calls today. Have a great day.