Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Allbirds' Second Quarter 2023 Conference Call. All participants have been placed in a listen-only mode. After management's prepared remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session at which time instructions will follow. I would now like to turn the call over to Christine Greany of The Blueshirt Group. Please go ahead.

Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. With me on the call today are Joe Zwillinger, CEO and Annie Mitchell, Chief Financial Officer. Before we start, I'd like to remind you that we will make certain statements today that are forward-looking within the meaning of the Federal Securities laws, including statements about our financial outlook, including cash flow and adjusted EBITDA expectations, Q3 guidance targets, impact and duration of external headwinds, simplification initiatives, strategic transformation plan, and related planned efforts, go-to-market strategy, planned transitions to a distributor model in certain international markets, anticipated distributor model arrangements, expected profitability, cost savings targets, gross margin estimates, product plans and expectations, third-party partnership strategy, marketing strategy, and other matters referenced in our earnings release issued today. These forward-looking statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. Please also note that these forward-looking statements reflect our opinions only as of the date of this call, and we undertake no obligation to revise any statements to reflect changes that occur after this call. Please refer to our SEC filings, including our annual report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2023, for a more detailed description of the risk factors that may affect our results. Also during this call, we will discuss non-GAAP financial measures that adjust our GAAP results to eliminate the impact of certain items. These non-GAAP items should be used in addition to and not as a substitute for any GAAP results. You will find additional information regarding these non-GAAP financial measures and a reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures to the extent reasonably available in today's earnings release. Now, I'll turn the call over to Joey to begin the formal remarks.

Thank you, Christine, and welcome, everyone. We are pleased to report another quarter of top and bottom-line results that build our expectations during a transformational time for Allbirds. We laid out a roadmap for our strategic transformation back in March, and now two quarters into our work, we have gained traction and are solidly on track to drive towards profitability expectations. We don't currently have a storm in Missouri, but we believe in the show me faith model. We are sharply focused on reporting sustained and durable cash flow and profit and we'll not rest until we achieve our goals. We continue to make progress on laying the groundwork to drive profitable growth. We are reducing inventory levels, working with our suppliers on cost of goods savings, trimming overhead, and streamlining working capital to grow profitably in our international markets. This past quarter marked incremental progress on all of those dimensions. First, inventory level declined approximately 24% on a year-over-year basis, ending the quarter below $95 million for the first time in two years. This is the result prudent financial and inventory planning and our balanced approach to meeting the consumer where they are on price, while maintaining brand integrity. Next, we continued our strategic sourcing efforts and between materials optimization and factory footprint management, we are confident that we are trending towards the upper end of the target range of cost of goods savings of $20 million to $25 million in 2025 versus 2022 on a volume-neutral basis. Also on cost management, we are to reaffirm our range of expected SG&A cost savings of $15 million to $20 million by 2025 versus 2022. And lastly, we closed the quarter with $140 million of cash, reflecting significantly improved operating cash usage versus a year ago and our commitment to driving…

Thanks Joey. Our second quarter results reflect ongoing progress with our transformation work with significant improvement across the key benchmarks we laid out in March. Including lower inventory levels, reduced usage of operating cash, and cost control. Q2 revenue of $70.5 million declined 10% year-over-year and came in ahead of our expectations. Excluding an estimated $700,000 impact from FX, Q2 revenue would have been $71.2 million, which would have represented a 9% decline year-over-year. We delivered significant expansion in gross margin for Q2, which came in at 42.8%, that's up 6.7 percentage points compared to Q2 2022 and reflects a few key factors. First, inventory write downs were significantly lower on a year over year basis. Second, we captured some benefit from lower inbound freight expense, And lastly, we benefited from an increased mix of higher margin sales in Asia. These factors higher promotional activity in the second quarter of 2023 versus the second quarter of 2022. We're pleased with the continued progress towards our $20 million to $25 million COGS reduction targets for 2025 versus 2022. In Q2, we largely completed the transition to our new manufacturing partner in Vietnam, and our material optimization initiatives are continuing to progress. Moving to expenses. SG&A, excluding depreciation and stock based compensation, increased just $4.5 million compared to Q2 2022. That reflects a continued improvement in trends as we focus on careful cost control, most notably the ongoing tightening of discretionary expenses. Looking at the second half, we anticipate that SG&A dollars in Q3 will be flat to up slightly from Q2 levels. Additionally, we anticipate that Q4 SG&A dollars will be up on both a sequential and a year-over-year basis, primarily reflecting our larger store portfolio. Marketing expenses declined $3.3 million or 21% compared to Q2 2022. In the first half…

Thank you. Again, we will conduct the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Matthew Boss from JPMorgan. Go ahead, Matthew.

Great. Thanks. It's Amanda Douglas on for Matt. So, Joey, with 2Q inventories finishing down 24% year-over-year, could you speak to the composition of inventory levels? Maybe how best to break apart core franchise inventory levels relative to progress you've made on clearing through some of the obsolete styles? And then just what level of promotional activity have you contemplated in your forward guidance?

Hey, Amanda, thanks for the question. So the way that we've been approaching markdowns and our promotions in terms of what assortment we're putting in is primarily focused on kind of eliminating the long tail of product that is outside of the core franchise and then perhaps even deeper when you get to seasonal colors that are no longer relevant. So far, I'm quite pleased at the progress that the team has been making in terms of selecting which assortment and managing the depth of markdown or promotion that we're offering there. Where that lands us is a position where in Q2, a very significant portion of the inventory that we moved was in the Tree Flyer franchise, which you may recall from the last couple quarters, we noted was a bit high and outside of what we would consider a core franchise. So as we transitioned to a much more measured buy and a different positioning on the Tree Flyer too, we wanted to sunset that first generation product. And so alongside that, some of the other ancillary products that we will no longer support going forward, plus some of the more kind of flashy seasonal colors. So, so far so good in terms of the look back. And in terms of the look forward, again, I think we're seeing a really nice methodical pacing to this. And you can see that as we flex things like pulling marketing spend back 21% and moving inventory down 24% in the quarter, that's pretty significant progress and much better than the trend on sales. So that is something that we expect to be able to continue. And while, as Annie noted, continuing to deliver some positive news in terms of sequential growth margin on that.

That's helpful, color. Thank you.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Dana Telsey from Telsey Advisory Group. Please go ahead. Dana, your line is open. All right. One moment, please. The next question comes from the line of Alex Straton from Morgan Stanley. Go ahead, Alex.

Great. Thanks for taking the question. Hi, Joey, Annie. A couple for me. Just on the second quarter guide, it looks like it's embedding a deceleration in the underlying revenue growth trend. So I'm just wondering, is that a function of what you're seeing so far quarter to-date, or is that just some conservatism on your part? Any help there with how you thought that through? And then I think just second on the promo question, I'm wondering if you could speak to like the broader environment. And Joey, I think you also said it trended lower in the last couple of months. If you have any sense for what drove that and kind of how it panned out that way. Thanks a lot.

Sure. I'll follow-up with that one and maybe Annie can give a little color on the Q3 guide.

Hi, Alex. The decelerating trend that we're expecting from Q2 and into Q3 is a number of factors. First is that elevated promotional activity that we had in Q2 that enabled us to clear through so much of that inventory. We do believe there was some level of a pull forward of demand from Q3 into Q2. The other major topic that we are looking at is in Q3 last year, we had a major sell-in moment with our 3P. So as we were ramping up our presence in that channel last year, therefore we're up against a tough comparison year-over-year.

And on the promo environment, Alex, it's an interesting situation. We would have expected at this point for it to subside a bit, but what we're seeing in the overall industry is continued elevated promotional cadence, both frequency and depth in terms of the discount rate. And we're seeing that kind of anecdotally as well as in the numbers that we look at weekly. And in some ways, I think it's a good thing for us, because we're able to really surgically use promo and markdowns on our sale page to drive pretty solid conversion and allow us to be competitive on a price basis with an industry that's a bit over-inventoried, while also moving, very importantly, through the inventory that we don't want to support when we start to reignite growth in 2024. So fortunately we're able to be quite opportunistic during this period and maintain a very premium brand integrity with the way we show up for consumers because of that environment.

Thanks a lot.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Cristina Fernández of Telsey Advisory Group. Go ahead, Christina. Cristina Fernández : Hi, good afternoon. Filling in for Dana today. I wanted to see if you can talk about your core styles. How are those performing and how is the full price selling on those styles?

So, hello, Christina. The core franchises, as we've noted, if you go from non-core to core, you're going to get higher full price sell-through and the trends are going to be better. And when you go from your seasonal colors and particularly the very high pop ones, which are short duration life cycles for us towards more classic neutrals, again, the sell-through gets better. So that is the trend that we're seeing. That said, I think, we've had a couple of franchises that have been iconic for the brand and have been around for quite a long time now. And so one of the key focal areas for us in 2024 is to revitalize some of these core franchises with updated tooling, and in many cases, a lot of new designs on the upper, both reinforcing from a quality perspective but also, and when I say quality, I mean, the actual comfort and the durability of the product, as well as modernizing the aesthetic. And that is going to be a pretty important update for us in Q4 this year in terms of the Wool Runner and we will have subsequent revitalization of those core franchises in 2024. I would say, that's given a lot of optimism inside this building in terms of how we're set up for the coming quarters as we get into 2024 and beyond. Cristina Fernández : And then a second question. I'm not sure how much you can share on the shift to the distributor model, but at least on the ones that you signed the LOIs, will the distributors be running the stores in Canada? And are there any one-time sort of costs here in the second half that we should expect as those deals get closed?

Yes, let me give you a bit of high-level color and then Annie can fill in for that as well. So, in general, just to be clear, when we make a transition, what we expect is that we'll have a decline in revenue on a volume neutral basis, but we will be supported by an immediate benefit to profitability and cash flow. And what we're also looking for in these partners is the ability to drive additional volume due to their footprint within the wholesale marketplace in their regions. So that's the overall expectation, which because we have not invested in infrastructure for wholesale inside of these international markets, we would expect some really interesting growth opportunities. And we're very pleased with the partners that we're having conversations with, and particularly the two that we're mentioning today that we're through the LOI phase with. So that is the high level, and maybe, Annie, if you want to fill in any details for accounting of that.

Absolutely. So to go back to the first part of your question, yes, we do anticipate that our partners in South Korea and in Canada will take over existing operations across e-com and retail, and will have the opportunity to grow the business with potential wholesale partners as well. In terms of impact, we do expect that any impact in the transition in terms of revenue in Q3 will be de minimis, but we do look forward to walking you through more details on these transactions in our next earnings call. Cristina Fernández : Thank you.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of James Duffy from Stifel. Go ahead, James.

Thank you for taking my question. Good afternoon. I have a question about the big picture objectives for the international market transition. So, international currently contributing a loss. Upon transition, do the international businesses under a distributor relationship immediately contribute at positive profitability?

Yes, that is the expectation we have. So upon transition, we would expect virtually an immediate flip to profitable contribution and also a really nice positive impact from working capital. And just to note, these relationships, the way we expect them to happen, there will be from the partners, a minimum marketing commitment. There will also be a minimum volume commitment that they agree to in our arrangements. And they will pick up inventory from us, X factory, which will be a positive improvement in terms of the working capital cycle on an ongoing basis.

Excellent. That seems a meaningful beneficial transition. And then with respect to the big picture objective to be positive by fiscal 2025, I presume the assumption is that the international business is profitable. Would you foresee the domestic business to be contributing profitably as well at that objective or is that not the framework?

Annie, why don't you fill in color here and just to be clear, that is on a -- as we reference that, that's on a calendar year basis to be adjusted EBITDA and cash flow profitable for the full year. But in terms of the segment breakdown, do you want to give a little color for them?

Sure. Yes, moving each of our international businesses to distributor will definitely be positive as Joey has mentioned. We see the immediate benefits, and we also see it over the long term. We have additional work to do between now and then to ensure that our overall business is profitable by the end of 2025. And I can let you know that our team is in lockstep and we are all marching towards that full year 2025 to have a positive cash flow and positive adjusted EBITDA in that year.

Thank you, Annie. Very helpful. Thank you.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Bob Dribble from Guggenheim. Go ahead, Bob.

Hi. Good afternoon. Just a couple of questions for me. The first one is just on the store optimization, can you just expand a little bit more sort of the progress that you've made, you know, sort of how you've approached it and sort of where you see the opportunities, you know, the remainder of the year that you've made, sort of how you've approached it, sort of where you see the opportunities the remainder of the year into next year. And then, Annie, when you think about the cost savings program, have there been any sort of low-hanging fruit surprises that you've found as you've dug in a little bit more the last few months? Thanks.\

Thanks, Bob. So on the first part of your question, I would say kind of zooming out, but the most important thing for our store plates to do is to control what they can control within their floor walls. And so our objective in the stores is to be, is to have that segment, not only contribute what it does from a marketing perspective and a customer experience perspective, shifting customers to that omni-channel, the very valuable omni-channel customer shopping journey, but it's also to be profitable on a four-wall basis and accretive to our overall profitability. So that's the overall framing. And when I say control, that they can control the four walls significantly, putting our resources around training and development, lowering attrition of this door fleet and the staff there, and then driving conversion and units per transaction for every time someone walks in the door. And so those we're starting to see some sequential improvement quarter-over-quarter, and I expect that to continue over time. And as we drive to a more new product and freshness style of marketing and put that recalibrated product line into place, particularly with the materiality of that coming in 2024, we would expect to start lifting traffic as well. So that's kind of how we framed it for the team, pretty happy with the early progress. The team is doing a great job and are working methodically to get the building blocks in place such that when traffic comes significantly, we hold on that conversion and drive continued expansion to AOV.

In terms of overall cost savings, the major savings this year comes from the workforce reduction that we had done in Q2. As you would expect, there are a number of other areas across the P&L and especially in OpEx where we are really reviewing our discretionary spend and we've come up with a plan, and we're executing against it. And as you can imagine, coming up with a plan is sort of the easier part. It's the execution that matters, and this is where the team is really coming together to make sure that we are all driving towards a more profitable business going forward.

Great. Thank you.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Edward Yruma from Piper Sandler. Go ahead, Edward.

Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question, guys. I guess first on new product, I know you said in the last call you'll see a lot more in the second half. Just trying to understand cadence of when it gets released and maybe a little bit of a click down. I thought you guys were exiting technical runs, but we noticed you dropped the new free flyer too. So I'm just trying to understand that. And then as a bigger picture question, what should we expect marketing expenses to kind of re-ramp into some of these new products and productions? Thank you.

Thanks, Ed. So in terms of the recalibrated product, just to kind of clarify the way you framed that question, I would say the second half of this year we'll have some additional products, but probably at the same measure pace that we did in the first half with, I would call it disciplined inventory buys, that will give us a good forward leading read into rebuying those into 2024. The more material changes that we were able to make, starting early this year, aren't really going to take place in any significant quantity until 2024. Albeit, we should see the benefits of a more gender differentiated approach in Q4, and also the first revitalization of the core franchise with the wall runner in November. So that is, I'd say that's, it's trending a little bit more in the direction that you described, but the materiality of those changes are really going to hit home in 2024 for consumers. And then on TF2, we're about halfway through the year here, and frankly, as we saw some of the trends in TF1, we already had purchased some of the TF2, and that was fully through development. And the important thing is, while we may have stealth technology and technical running componentry and performance in our products, we can still take that aesthetic and position it more in that active lifestyle crossover space and expect to see better results when it's positioned more effectively versus what we did in the TreeFire 1, which was a little more hardcore technical running performance and our consumer just wasn't ready for that from us. So that's a big part of the learning. The inventory buy, in this case, is quite measured. I think the colors are fantastic and do great for the lifestyle occasion, and the messaging has improved. So happy with how that is set up, despite the fact that it kind of has the similar aesthetic from the TF1. And then the last one on marketing spend, I will say we're definitely managing this and making those tradeoffs between markdowns and marketing cadence, and really want to save a lot of dry powder in terms of new product, particularly when we revitalize the core franchises. But maybe some specifics Annie can drill in to help you all actually put some numbers to paper too.

Absolutely. As you may recall, we were down in our marketing spend both in Q1 and Q2 by $2 million and $3 million respectively compared to the prior year. And we did that, as Joey said, to be really prudent as we really wanted to make sure that we are allowing the promos and the margin impact from that to drive conversion. In terms of Q3 marketing dollars, we do expect them to decline slightly from Q2 levels, followed by a modest uptick from Q3 and into Q4. And we'll do that as we want to make sure that we capture the opportunity to drive greater conversion and full-price sell-through as the product line improves in the back half of the year.

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from a line of Dylan Carden of William Blair. Go ahead, Dylan.

Great, thanks. And apologies, I've missed some of this call, but I'm just curious what it might take as far as sort of an internal infrastructure standpoint, if you wanted a more fully ramp North America wholesale. And is that sort of something that you're thinking about here as you kind of assess the landscape and sort of where you've come from after this last year?

Yeah, it's a great question. Dylan. We are building the appropriate infrastructure, both from an IT perspective, a personnel perspective on the sales team, as well as the necessary kind of product seasonal muscle that is required to enter that channel effectively. The one thing that I would say is holding us back is not infrastructure, it's that we really want to drive sell-through and margin for our partners and that is the only way that you're going to be successful in that channel. We would much rather have high sell-through first and then have a pull strategy where the retailers are really clawing for more and that is then the time that we would like to methodically expand inside of those accounts with more doors and more SKUs, and then into select other accounts as well. The time that that's really going to be effective for us to drive that approach isn't going to be in any material quantity of growth until 2H24. And that is a bit of a hangover from the fact that we're putting a lot of change and recalibrating our product portfolio to hit those seasonal selling windows. We're just a little bit behind schedule on that and want to make sure we see the sell-through in our own channels before we put it to the partners.

Yeah, all that makes sense. And again, with the same caveat, any update on golf? I know it's small and sort of more of a test, but just kind of curious if it emboldens you as far as sort of category extension, brand extension?

Yeah, the way to think about the Golf Dasher is more of a dasher than an entry into Golf. You know, it's one of those things where we know we have an absolutely star product there, but the resources required to really fully get into golf isn't something we're ready to undertake. And so the idea with that is really just to quench the thirst of customers who have been asking for this for years. And it's an amazing product. As I said, you might have missed it, but there's tour players playing in PG events with these on their feet right now. And it's just a phenomenal shoot. And I think it speaks to the breadth and the idea of franchise expansion and core franchise management that we expect to bring to all of the key core franchises to make sure that they continue to bring energy to consumers.

Very good, thank you very much.

Thank you. One moment as we get the Q&A roster settled. All right, our next question comes from the line of John Kernan from TD Cowen. Go ahead, John.

This is Alex Douglas on for John. I just had one additional question on the international business. It looks like it's outpaced the domestic business for the last three quarters and inflected positively in Q2, which was nice to see. Is there like any specific call-outs there that you guys would have from either a product perspective, brand perspective or consumer behavior perspective that would be driving that? Or is that more just a function of broader market dynamics? Thank you.

Yeah, thanks for the question. I think it's largely the latter. I mean, first of all, the international business in each geography is coming off a smaller base. The second thing is that there was a lot of idiosyncrasies by market. If you think back to the first half of 2022, there was a number of regions with pretty severe COVID lockdowns still at that time. And so we're lapping some kind of unique backdrop in terms of the way those regions were, how the retail environment was in those regions, frankly. So we saw some extreme and stellar growth inside of a couple of regions that had those lapping periods, even though we pulled back on marketing spend pretty significantly and really drove towards a really nice business as we started to explore some of those transitions.

That's helpful, thank you.

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] I'm showing no further questions at this time, I'd like to turn the call back over to management for closing remarks.

Thanks, Haley. I'll just close by noting that we are spending every waking moment focused on driving sustained and durable profit for the future chapter of Allbirds. It is not going to happen overnight, but rest assured that this is our myopic focus, and we are working in all the right areas with the urgency you all would expect. Appreciate your continued support, and we look forward to speaking with you next quarter to update you on our continued progress. Thank you.

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.