Raimundo Monge
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go head, Ernesto.
10 basis points, sorry. And then, that will be partially or fully compensated by lower inflation. We foresee a U.S. inflation, which is what it matters to us to be around 20 basis point lower in 2017 compared to 2016. So those are the moving parts. So net-net, we think that our total spreads will be stable at around 4.8, something like that. We don’t see them dropping unless again, U.S. inflation is below the 2.5 target that we have in mind, yes. In terms of the transformation, fees have been lagging to be clear. And that’s why this year we are putting special emphasis on increasing our fee base, especially usage cycle fees. We have been doing a lot of things in client, in loyalty, a lot of things in terms of simplifying the way we operate it, et cetera. We think that this is the year to start - well, extracting the benefit of that. In 2016, we were held by a very active position in the wholesale market. Today, we think that we should be doing something in the same line on the retail side. And therefore, fees should be growing similar to what we did for this year, between 7% to 8%, but more fueled by retail growth than by wholesale, which tend to be less stable, yes. In terms of OpEx, as we stated in the call, we finished the year with a year-on-year growth of close to 4%, next year probably something similar to that, between 4% and 5% or so, yes. In terms of sovereign risk, probably somewhat tricky question, because if you see countries with one notch below Chile macro ratios, we tend to have better macro ratios than many of the countries that have similar level of rating assuming a cut in the sovereign rating. However, what concerns the rating agencies is the speed of the, especially the indebtedness of the public sector. So there we think that is where most of the concern is today concentrated. It’s difficult to know what the end, because the timing is very tricky. But we think that the Ministry of Finance is doing a very good job in tackling issues that are concerned by the rating agencies. And we hope that Chile will maintain its sovereign ranking. In terms of the presidential election, it’s a very open question. We don’t have a strong view, but the most likely candidates should be more market friendly. And that should be perceived us good news. We have seen some improvement in consumer confidence and business confidence, which I think is a combination of the various external outlooks, especially copper commodity prices and the idea that going forward the political process will be more based on consensus and not necessarily in kind of one-sided approaches as we have seen in some cases in the last year.