Jeffrey D. Capello
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thanks, Hank. Let me begin by providing some overall perspective on the quarter before getting into the details. We generated adjusted EPS of $0.15 in the first quarter. The solid earnings performance in the quarter was driven by higher gross margins due largely to the launches of PROMUS Element in the U.S. and Japan, continued strong attention to cost control and a lower-than-expected tax rate. As a reminder, the adjusted EPS of $0.22 we reported in Q1 last year included $0.10 in positive onetime items, including a true-up on our PROMUS supply agreement, bad debt recoveries in Greece and discrete tax benefits. Consolidated revenue in the first quarter of $1,866,000,000 represents a decrease of 3% on both a reported basis and an operational basis, the latter of which excludes impacts from foreign exchange and the divested Neurovascular business. The actual headwind from foreign exchange on sales was $6 million compared to the $10 million headwind assumed in our first quarter guidance range. And the divested Neurovascular business contributed $5 million less in sales in the first quarter of 2012 compared to the same quarter last year. Let me now move to the detailed review of our business performance and our operating results in the quarter, Starting with DES, I'd like -- I'd first like to remind you that our results for the first quarter last year included a $10 million negative impact from a sales returns reserve related to the launch of TAXUS Element ION in the U.S. In comparison, DES sales for the first quarter of 2012 and the fourth quarter of 2011 included a $6 million positive impact and an $8 million negative impact, respectively, related to the launch of PROMUS Element Plus in the U.S. These reserves impact comparisons of worldwide and U.S. DES revenues and market share between these periods. Worldwide DES revenues came in at $353 million in the first quarter. Excluding sales returns reserves, this represents a constant currency decrease of 8% compared to the first quarter of 2011. Our worldwide DES revenue included $79 million for TAXUS, $79 million for PROMUS and $205 million for PROMUS Element. Following its recent approval in Japan, our self-manufactured PROMUS Element stent is now available in all major countries, and we continue to see strong customer adoption of our broader Element platform. In addition, we are building upon our momentum in the emerging markets of India and China, which we believe represents a significant opportunity for us. Excluding sales returns reserves we once again held clear DES market share leadership in the first quarter with an estimated worldwide share of 34%. U.S. DES revenues were $176 million in the quarter. Excluding sales returns reserves, this represents a decline of 12% compared to the first quarter last year. This decrease was primarily due to lower ASPs, slightly lower share due to recent competitive product launches and some continued softness in PCI volumes. U.S. DES revenue in the quarter included $80 million of PROMUS Element Plus, $50 million of TAXUS and TAXUS Element and $46 million of PROMUS. The launch of PROMUS Element Plus has been extremely well received in the U.S. marketplace, and we expect our conversion from PROMUS and return to self-manufactured DES margins in the U.S. to be substantially complete by the end of the second quarter. We estimate that our U.S. DES share was 46% excluding sales returns reserves, which was down approximately 100 basis points from the fourth quarter of last year due mainly to the launch of a competitor's product in the first quarter, which was earlier than we anticipated. From a pricing perspective, we were pleased to see some relief in the rate of ASP erosion continue again this quarter and are hopeful that it may be sustainable going forward. Either way, we are focused on leveraging the unique value proposition that the differentiating features of PROMUS Element now allow us to bring to all major markets worldwide. International DES sales of $187 million represented a decrease of 3% in constant currency compared to the first quarter of last year. Q1 revenue included $29 million in TAXUS, $32 million in PROMUS and $126 million in PROMUS Element sales. In Japan, we initiated the launch of PROMUS Element in early March, and its acceptance in the marketplace has been extremely positive. In the first 4 weeks alone, we converted over 75% of our PROMUS volume to PROMUS Element and increased our estimated market share from 32% to 42%. We are also continuing to build momentum with our Element platform in emerging markets including India, Brazil and China and expect this to accelerate through the year as we anticipate gaining additional important pricing approvals in India and expanding the ongoing launch of PROMUS Element in China. In CRM, worldwide revenue was $501 million in the first quarter, representing a constant currency decrease of 10% compared to the first -- excuse me, compared to the first quarter of last year. We estimate that we maintained our worldwide CRM share on a sequential basis at close to 19%. In the U.S., CRM revenue of $292 million represented a 14% decrease from the prior year quarter. On a worldwide basis, defib sales were $368 million in the first quarter, which was down 11% in constant currency from the first quarter of last year. In the U.S., defib sales were $229 million. This was down 14% compared to the first quarter of last year due primarily to continued year-over-year market declines, replacement headwinds in our business and a lower level of bulk sales. However, these factors were partially offset by a significant increase in sales of our highly reliable RELIANCE defib lead platform in the quarter. We began aggressively launching our new line of defibrillators in the U.S. in the first quarter, and we believe that this innovative new tiered product offering helped drive a sequential increase in our defib share in the quarter. We also believe that there are opportunities to secure additional share gains based on the features of these products and plan to promote them heavily as we continue the launch. Looking at the broader U.S. market, de novo defib implant volumes continued to show signs of stabilization in the first quarter. Based on the data we have so far relative to the first quarter, it appears market de novo implant rates have continued to be relatively stable sequentially now for the past 2 quarters. However, we want to see how the rest of the market reports and plan to continue to monitor market conditions carefully before calling the bottom on implant rates. International CRM sales of $209 million were down 4% in constant currency compared to the prior year quarter despite a 3% constant currency increase in international pacer revenue off a continued strong double-digit growth in Japan, boosted by our partnership with Fukuda Denshi. International defib sales of $139 million represented a 6% decrease in constant currency from the first quarter of last year. We are launching new products in many countries outside the U.S. and expect improved performance as we move through the year. Our Peripheral Interventions business continued delivering strong growth, including double-digit increases in key regions of the world such as Japan and the rest of Asia Pacific. Worldwide revenue was up 8% constant currency in the first quarter with 7% growth in the U.S. and 9% constant currency growth internationally. We continue to drive higher growth from our refresh pipeline in all 3 PI franchises, and sales growth came from the continued strength of multiple products including stents, balloons and peripheral embolization devices. We recently launched 2 new CTO devices and new below-the-knee accessories and have several other key product launches planned that we expect to help continue to drive growth in 2012 in this $700 million-plus business. Worldwide non-stent Interventional Cardiology was down 4% in constant currency as procedural softness and ASP erosion persisted in the quarter. However, this business grew sequentially, and year-over-year performance improved in every geographic region. We plan to launch new products in vascular access, balloons and IVUS later this year and expect to see continued improvement in this business as a result. Worldwide Electrophysiology was up 1% in constant currency during the quarter, as some softness in both the small tip and large tip business was more than offset by growth in other segments. Our Endoscopy business had another solid quarter with worldwide sales up 5% in constant currency, led by 9% growth in the U.S. This performance was a result of growth across several of our key product franchises: our biopsy business; our biliary device franchise, driven by continued growth in our Expect EUS needles and access products; our Metal Stent franchise, led by our industry-leading WallFlex product family; and our Hemostasis franchise on the continued adoption and utilization of our Resolution Clip for GI bleeding. In constant currency, our worldwide Urology and Women's Health business was flat versus Q1 last year, but was up 5% internationally. The Urology business maintained its leadership position and delivered 7% worldwide constant currency growth, driven by an 8% increase in our core stone management business. Our Women's Health business declined 11% on a worldwide constant currency basis as continued pressure on elective procedures due to the weak macroeconomic environment and concerns around the use of surgical mesh for pelvic organ prolapse more than offset strong double-digit growth of our next-generation Genesys HTA System for the treatment of abnormal uterine bleeding in the quarter. Outside of the U.S., our international Women's Health business experienced excellent growth and was up 22% in constant currency, driven by new product introductions, increased sales investments and the penetration of new therapies. In Neuromodulation, we continued our momentum from 2011 and grew our worldwide business 8% in constant currency during the first quarter, with 8% growth in the U.S. market and 21% international growth. These sales increases were driven by a differentiated product portfolio including our recently launched Infinion lead and strong commercial execution strategies. Moving on from sales. Adjusted gross profit margin for the first quarter was 66.5% or 130 basis points lower than the first quarter of last year. It is important to note that gross margins in the first quarter of last year were positively impacted by approximately 270 basis points due to a $50 million true-up adjustment recorded during that period related to our third-party supply arrangement for PROMUS. Excluding this benefit, gross margins were higher in the first quarter of this year, primarily due to the continued mix shift toward self-manufactured product in the U.S. as a result of the recent launches of PROMUS Element in the U.S. and Japan. This was partially offset by pricing pressure, although the negative impact of pricing was less than expected during the quarter. Looking forward, we expect gross margins to be between 67% to 68% over the remaining of the 3 quarters of the year as we complete our transition back to self-manufactured products in DES and the benefits from our Plant Network Optimization program continue to take hold. Adjusted SG&A expenses were $654 million or 35% of sales in Q1 2012 compared to $592 million or 30.8% of sales in the first quarter of last year. The increase was primarily due to the release of approximately $20 million in bad debt reserves relating to fully reserved accounts receivable collected in Greece in the prior year quarter as well as increased costs in the first quarter this year, resulting from our recent investments in commercial resources and infrastructure to support our emerging markets initiative and to expand the rollout of recently acquired products including Alair and WATCHMAN, as well as litigation-related charges. We continue to expect adjusted SG&A as a percentage of sales to be between 33% and 34% for the full year, which -- with much of the increase compared to 2011 due to onetime benefits realized in the prior year as well as commercial investments related to emerging markets and new products made over the past year and litigation-related charges. Based mainly on the estimated timing of spending within the year, we expect to be near or above the high end of our SG&A guidance range in Q2 and within the range in the third and fourth quarters. Adjusted research and development expenses were $215 million for the first quarter or 11.5% of sales. This compares to $212 million in the first quarter of 2011. We continue to expect R&D spending to increase slightly each quarter as we progress through the year and to be between 12% and 12.5% of sales for the full year as we ramp spending in several of our Priority Growth Initiative areas. Royalty expense was $48 million or 2.6% of sales compared to $51 million in the first quarter of last year. Consistent with the prior year, we expect royalty expense to be relatively consistent from Q1 to Q2 and then decrease in the second half as we reach lower per-unit royalty rate tiers under our annual volume-based arrangements. On an adjusted basis, pretax operating income was $323 million or 17.3% of sales, down 610 basis points from the first quarter of last year. The decrease in adjusted operating income was primarily the result of lower gross margins and higher SG&A expenses and was largely attributable to several positive items in the first quarter of last year including the PROMUS supply agreement true-up and bad debt recoveries in Greece that I mentioned earlier. GAAP operating income, which includes GAAP to adjusted items that had a negative impact of $127 million on a pretax basis, was $196 million in the first quarter. Now I'll move on to other income expense. Interest expense was $69 million in the first quarter, which was $6 million lower than the first quarter of last year, primarily due to our prepaying $1.25 billion of debt in the first half of last year. Our average interest expense rate in the first quarter of this year was 5.8% or about 50 basis points higher than the first quarter of last year, primarily due to prepaying short-term debt with lower interest rates than our long-term public bonds. Our tax rate for the first quarter was approximately 8% on a reported GAAP basis and 12% on an adjusted basis. Our adjusted tax rate in the first quarter reflected a decrease in our expected full year operational tax rate from 17% to 15%. Our Q1 adjusted tax rate also reflected $8 million discrete tax benefits recognized from the first quarter, which primarily related to the release of tax reserves following a favorable court decision, as well as certain timing items during the quarter. We expect our adjusted tax rate to be slightly higher than 16% over the remainder of 2012 as the Q1 timing items reverse. First quarter EPS was $0.15 on an adjusted basis and $0.08 on a GAAP basis, both of which were above our respective guidance ranges. GAAP EPS for the first quarter included about $0.01 per share of restructuring-related costs, amortization expense of $0.06 per share and less than $0.01 per share of both acquisition- and divestiture-related charges. Stock comp was $27 million in the first quarter, and all per share calculations were computed using approximately 1.45 billion shares outstanding. At the end of the first quarter, we had approximately 1.43 billion shares outstanding. Moving on to the balance sheet. DSO of 64 days was up 2 days compared to the first quarter of 2011 due to the continued weakness in EMEA, partially offset by strong U.S. collections. Days inventory on hand was 128 days in the first quarter of both this year and last year. On a reported GAAP basis, operating cash flow was $212 million compared to a $97 million outflow in the first quarter of last year. Q1 2012 cash flow included $39 million of restructuring payments. Q1 2011 cash flow included a $296 million payment to settle a legacy GUIDE legal claim, $31 million in tax audit settlements and $33 million in restructuring payments. Excluding these items, adjusted operating cash flow was $251 million in the first quarter of this year compared to $262 million in Q1 of last year. Capital expenditures were $66 million in the first quarter, comparable to last year. In the first quarter, we returned to full investment-grade status when Moody's raised our credit rating to Baa3 with a stable outlook. This marks the first time since 2007 that all 3 rating agencies assessed our credit profile as investment grade. We also strengthened our financial flexibility by putting in place a new 5-year $2 billion revolving credit facility yesterday, which replaces our previous facility. We believe these developments further support our ability to invest in innovative technologies for use by physicians and their patients, as well as to fund other shareholder value initiatives. Turning to share repurchases. We repurchased 23 million shares for approximately $140 million in the first quarter. During the past 9 months, we have now repurchased approximately 7% of our outstanding shares. At our current stock price, we estimate we have almost $600 million of authorized capacity remaining under our share repurchase programs. We continue to believe that our stock price is undervalued, and we expect our full year 2012 share repurchases to be in line with our prior guidance, subject to business development opportunities, market conditions, our stock price and regulatory trading windows and other factors. We remain very confident that we can balance our priorities of investing in growth and returning capital to shareholders over time, all while improving our investment-grade metrics on the strength of solid cash flow. Let me now walk you through our guidance for the second quarter as well as updated guidance for the full year. We expect Q2 consolidated revenues to be in a range of $1,850,000,000 to $1,950,000,000. If current foreign exchange rates hold constant, the headwind from FX should be approximately $40 million or around 200 basis points relative to the second quarter of 2011. On an operational basis, we expect consolidated Q2 sales to be in a range of up 1% to down 4% compared to the second quarter of last year. On a worldwide basis, we expect DES revenue to be in a range of $345 million to $370 million and CRM revenue to be in a range of $500 million to $525 million. We expect second quarter adjusted EPS to be in a range of $0.14 to $0.17 per cent -- per share and reported GAAP EPS to be in a range of $0.06 to $0.09 per share. Moving to the full year. We now estimate that consolidated 2012 sales will be between $7.35 billion and $7.65 billion. Assuming that current foreign exchange rates hold constant, we expect the full year headwind from FX to be approximately $106 million. On an operational basis, consolidated 2012 sales should be in a range of up 2% to down 2% with year-over-year growth rates improving sequentially as we benefit from new product launches, increasing contributions from emerging markets and continued stabilization and easier comps in the U.S. defib market as we anniversary the significant declines we experienced last year. From an earnings standpoint, we continue to expect adjusted EPS for the full year 2012 to be in a range of $0.60 to $0.70 and would again encourage you to model the midpoint of the range. Excluding any onetime items that may arise, we continue to expect adjusted EPS to increase sequentially as we progress through the year due to increasing level of benefits from several key components of our $650 million to $750 million in cost-saving opportunities. On a reported GAAP basis, we expect EPS to be in a range of $0.25 to $0.38. As a reminder, we expect the pending acquisition of Cameron Health to be approximately $0.01 dilutive to 2012 EPS on an adjusted basis and more dilutive on a GAAP basis. However, we do not plan to incorporate expected impacts from this acquisition into our guidance until the transaction is closed. That's it for guidance. So with that, I'll turn it back over to Sean, who will moderate the Q&A. Sean?