Michael O'Sullivan
Analyst · Cowen.
Good morning, John. It's actually a really good question. Let me do this. I'll provide some high-level commentary on what we're seeing in the industry and how we're working around those issues. And then I'll ask John Crimmins to talk about the financial impact. So the supply chain issues across the retail industry, I would say, over the last several months have been extraordinary. The magnitude of the bottlenecks, the congestion and the delays in getting merchandise into the country, and then moving it around the country, I would characterize all of this as unprecedented. It's not difficult to understand why this has happened. For a good chunk of last year, industry supply chains slowed down or completely shut out in some cases. And then for several months after stores reopened, retailers and vendors were understandably cautious. They didn't know what was going to happen. And then, all of a sudden, in the fourth quarter, there was a rush to bring in merchandise the holiday, and then more recently at the spring. You add to all of that, the ports, the major transportation hubs and the vendor's warehouses have struggled to operate at normal capacity because of COVID-related precautions or because of staffing issues. A few months ago, I would have said, but the situation would solidly correct itself once we got through holiday, that did not happen. There are still very, very significant industry delays coming through the ports, the transportation hubs and our vendor warehouses. And if you cope with these issues, we've had to juggle the timing of purchase orders, reserve releases and inbound CECO. I feel like we live through a version of this last summer, and we learned some important lessons. It's been very challenging. But I would say our buying, planning and supply chain teams have really been able to stay on top of that. And we've been able to get the seats that we need to support our sales trend. Even though we've been able to manage through these issues, there's clearly a financial impact in terms of higher freight rates and supply chain expenses. And in a moment, I'll let John provide more detail on how those might impact us in 2021. But before I hand off to John, let me make one final point. Usually, these situations, where merchandise orders are disruptive or delayed, usually, these situations end up expressing themselves in terms of increased off-price supply. Once these issues unwind, and of course, they will unwind, but maybe not for a little while, we think this could be a very, very good off-price buying opportunity. Okay. I'll let John Crimmins talk about the financial impact.