Earnings Labs

Cable One, Inc. (CABO)

Q3 2017 Earnings Call· Sat, Nov 11, 2017

$98.96

-0.83%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Cable ONE Q3 2017 Earnings Report Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Kevin Coyle, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.

Kevin Coyle

Analyst

Thank you, Chad. Good morning, and welcome to Cable ONE’s Third Quarter 2017 Earnings Call. We’re excited to have you with us this morning as we review our results. Before we proceed, I would like to remind you that today’s discussion may contain forward-looking statements relating to future events and expectations. You can find factors that could cause Cable ONE’s actual results to differ materially from these projections listed in today’s press release and in our current SEC filings. Cable ONE is under no obligation and, in fact, expressly disclaims any obligation to update its forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Additionally, today’s remarks will include a discussion of certain financial measures that are not presented in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures discussed on this call to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in our earnings release or on our website at ir.cableone.net. Joining me on today’s call is our President and CEO, Julie Laulis. And with that, let me turn the call over to Julie.

Julie Laulis

Analyst

Thank you, Kevin. Good morning, and we appreciate you joining us for our third quarter 2017 earnings call. You heard us mention before that our quarter-over-quarter comparisons have been complicated by the change in accounting estimate related to capitalized labor costs as well as incorporating NewWave results. In addition to those factors, our results for this quarter were also impacted somewhat by Hurricane Harvey. Kevin will get into our detailed financial results to help us walk through that later in the call. While Hurricane Harvey had a financial impact, it also had a human one. We felt the effects as it hit our coastal Texas markets in August, and I want to take a moment to acknowledge our customers and our associates in these communities. Our thoughts are with all of those who have been affected by and especially those who are still recovering from these disasters. In true Cable ONE spirit, nearly 200 of our associates, some of whom living in the area, experienced personal impact and loss, worked diligently to care for our customers and restore their service as quickly as possible. I want to thank all of our associates for their hard work and dedication throughout these recovery efforts. I also want to thank our customers for their patience while we made repairs necessary to get their services back up and running. We are also very grateful to our vendors, suppliers and associates who donated to our natural disaster fund, benefiting Cable ONE associates. These donations provided financial assistance to our associates in making needed repairs to their damaged homes. It’s in times like these where we truly feel our local connection to and support of the communities where we live and work. Regardless of the impact of Hurricane Harvey, integration activities, company-wide product rollouts or other…

Kevin Coyle

Analyst

Thanks, Julie. Before getting into the details, I want to remind everyone that our third quarter results include three months of NewWave operations and also reflect the change in accounting estimate related to capitalized labor costs. In addition, as Julie already mentioned, our third quarter results were negatively impacted by Hurricane Harvey with an estimated $1.6 million of revenue loss from waived service offering charges and $1.7 million of additional operating expenses associated with asset disposal, labor and cleanup cost. Please keep in mind that this is a onetime event and should not affect our results going forward. Billing was initially suppressed to approximately 19,000 customers. As of quarter end, this number has been reduced to approximately 6,500 customers. Again, this will affect the growth or sub-growth in the quarter. Adjusted for Harvey, the results are very much in line with our expectations and prior results. The good news is that we currently have a large majority of our customers back to full-time service. We hope to recover some of these costs through insurance reimbursement, but we are not able to quantify specific amounts at this time. Here are some of the highlights from the third quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was 115.5 million, an increase of 32.5% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA margin was 45.5%. The adjusted EBITDA results include a full quarter of NewWave operations and the favorable impact of a reduction in expense of 6.2 million due to a change in accounting estimate related to capitalized labor costs. Without the contribution from NewWave operations, adjusted EBITDA would have been 98 million and adjusted EBITDA growth would have been 12.4% with a margin of 47.5% on legacy Cable ONE. Excluding the negative impact of Hurricane Harvey, adjusted EBITDA would have been 99.7 million and adjusted EBITDA growth would have been 14.4%…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question will come from Philip Cusick with JP Morgan.

Philip Cusick

Analyst

First, I wonder, I’m looking at the deceleration in legacy Cable ONE broadband subs in the last year from a 2.5% growth rate before the price increase to 1% growth today. How much of that do you think was driven by the price increase? And is the elasticity an issue in terms of taking price going forward or has competition changed, or is there a saturation issue on the base?

Kevin Coyle

Analyst

Some of the increase, again, keep in mind, as I mentioned in the narrative, was due to Harvey. The 1% residential data PSUs that you see would have actually been 2%. And on the data PSUs for business, it would have been higher also. If you took the two of those together, we actually would have, after Harvey or recognizing the impact of Harvey, been a 2.6% data growth. So I don’t think it’s been a significant deceleration from prior year. Really, we have the effect of Harvey, which affected 4,300 data PSUs on the video and 500-or-so data PSUs on the business. So I really have to take a look at Harvey and not the numbers without Harvey.

Julie Laulis

Analyst

And Kevin, to add to that, so I’m not sure what price increase you’re referring to. We haven’t raised the rate on our HSD product in almost seven years now. Our last increase was in October of 2015.

Philip Cusick

Analyst

Yes, that’s the one I’m speaking of. I’m sorry. That price increase lined up. But I need to look at it with Kevin’s numbers. And how do you think about the ability to take price going forward?

Kevin Coyle

Analyst

Phil, I guess we’ll -- yes. As we’ve said in the past, we’ll continue to look at it quarter-to-quarter. We think we have an extremely well-priced service for 100 megs at $55. We think that’s very competitive. There probably is some price elasticity. We’re very sensitive to our customers and don’t want to abuse them. So we’ll continue to look at it on a quarter-by-quarter basis as to when to take our next rate increase.

Philip Cusick

Analyst

And if I can do one follow-up there. The broadband ARPU has been stabilizing. Before the price increase, this had been growing as I remember, with customers trading up to higher products. But ARPU in broadband at this point is about flat year-over-year. Do you see the potential for that to lift going forward? Or should we think about that as stable unless there’s a price increase?

Julie Laulis

Analyst

So I have Kevin flipping through, looking at the numbers because I don’t think that our ARPU has flattened for HSD. Actually, I read the Indiana University on price elasticity, and I’m finding the exact opposite in our markets, that there’s elasticity at the higher end versus the lower end. That is to say that our higher level is more expensive levels of service, the 150, 200 in gig services are growing at a rapid rate, pushing our ARPU up.

Kevin Coyle

Analyst

Phil, as I look at that ARPU on HSD, we actually reported a year ago was at 62.49. Now it’s 65.74. So that’s a 5.9% increase in ARPU. Maybe the confusion is our NewWave acquisition. I mean, obviously, they are lower. Their ARPU is at 48.51. And the reason for that is they have a number of tiers, ranging from 10 megs up to 100 megs, and it’s a composite rate for them. Again, it would be our goal to make them look more like us over the next couple of years. But maybe you’re referring to a composite ARPU, including NewWave. But for legacy Cable ONE, we definitely saw ARPU growth year-over-year.

Operator

Operator

The next question will be from Craig Moffett of MoffettNathanson. Please go ahead.

Cathy Yao

Analyst

This is actually Cathy Yao in for Craig. My question was also on broadband ARPU. And Kevin and Julie, you gave a little bit of color there. But in terms of, I guess, thinking about it from the legacy and also NewWave perspective. In the legacy business, would you be able to break it down what part of that 5.9% ARPU increase came from a voluntary take rate of higher speeds and data caps, and involuntary take rate and maybe customers rolling off promotions? I think we’ll ignore debundling since there’s not a ton of bundling discounts that you have. And I think the question I’m trying to get to is how much ARPU uplift is remaining. And then within NewWave, do you have plans to take up broadband ARPU once you deploy gigabit speeds in that footprint as well?

Julie Laulis

Analyst

Thanks, Cathy. This is Julie. I think all the things that you mentioned are part of driving that ARPU increase, and we don’t break it down for outside parties. For NewWave, we absolutely believe that bringing higher speeds and different pricing and packaging, which more closely mirrors Cable ONE, will drive their ARPU closer to ours over time. I do not think broadband ARPU is done growing, as I mentioned earlier.

Cathy Yao

Analyst

Got it. If I could ask a follow-up. Can you talk about capital intensity even adjusted for some of the onetime items in this quarter? It was a little bit higher than what we had expected. Just wanted to get your thoughts on where that will go in the next couple of years and what you think about maybe some of your peers more aggressive capital intensity target.

Kevin Coyle

Analyst

Cathy, as you know, we don’t give future guidance. The last quarter, I did give guidance that we expected our capital as a percentage of revenue would be in the upper teens. What you’re seeing for legacy CABO, we reported 18.6%. And as I said, without the extra whatever, 2.2 million of capital associated with Hurricane Harvey, that would have been 18%. Legacy -- NewWave, as we mentioned, there are additional capital associated with NewWave. Julie already mentioned that. We reported together, as a company, 20% for the quarter. Without Harvey, that would have been 19.6%. So again, most of the additional capital expenditures is associated with NewWave and bringing them to look much like Cable ONE. We told the market that, that would be the case. We’re still running even through the nine months probably in the 17% to 18% range. So we are in the upper teens, and that’s the guidance we gave a quarter ago.

Operator

Operator

The next question will be from Frank Louthan with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Frank Louthan

Analyst

Can you quantify what sort of lift you should see once you -- with the cost savings from the HR system migration and the Northeastern Division migration? And then on the competitive front, where are you seeing competition for broadband, where are you seeing some of the customers go, if they’re leaving you and even materially change their offer in your markets?

Julie Laulis

Analyst

Frank, it’s Julie. The HR system, I wouldn’t be looking for large savings coming from the integration of that. There will be, however, savings in the future because we are running duplicate systems for many types of provisioning for our products right now. So synergies are to come from those. In terms of competition, about 27% of our homes passed overlaps with a hardwire triple play over builder or a provider of significant speeds for HSD. We’ve been competing against those providers in various systems over time now. And I don’t think there have been any dramatic changes in it that competition certainly are seeing what some of our broadband are seeing with AT&T being incredibly aggressive in terms of bundling or giveaways. But our footprint overlap with their fiber-to-the-home builds, which is where they are primarily doing these offers, is incredibly small. That being said, we are trying to be very thoughtful and responsive to competition wherever it exists without engaging in a price war.

Frank Louthan

Analyst

Okay. Great. And can you characterize how the sub trends have been in October, November sort of post the storm or back to sort of the more normalized trends? How should we think about that?

Julie Laulis

Analyst

I’m sorry. That isn’t something that I can comment on.

Kevin Coyle

Analyst

But do keep in mind, Frank, as I said to Phil earlier, the hurricane did impact our sub numbers for the quarter. The good news is almost all of the subs are back now. But there were 6,500 customers that were still in a suppressed billing status at the end of September. So that does affect our growth. But if you add back Harvey, we believe the growth is very much in line with what we’ve seen prior.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Stephan Bisson with Wells Fargo.

Stephan Bisson

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

First, with the rollout of a lot more of the virtual MVPDs out there, are you seeing any impact either on the video sub side or maybe increased demand on the broadband side as people start to migrate a little bit?

Julie Laulis

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Stephan, this is Julie. In terms of video losses, given our strategy, there are folks that we actually welcome because they highlight what a robust high-speed data service can bring to these folks. So I don’t think video’s suffering any more than what it’s been doing for the past couple of quarters with us given our strategy. What was your second question?

Stephan Bisson

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Any uplift on the broadband side as people potentially look at [Indiscernible]?

Julie Laulis

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Absolutely. Again, I don’t want to say I’m surprised by the growth of our higher level tiers, but it is incredibly robust. People taking higher-level services, whether it’s multiple devices in their home, whether it’s gaming, whether it’s more over-the-top, people are electing to go into our 150-meg tier at very high rates.

Stephan Bisson

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

Right. And then I guess a similar question. Are you seeing more competition from those over-the-top type packages than satellite these days?

Julie Laulis

Analyst · Wells Fargo.

I don’t know that I can quantify that, Stephan. We do, do third-party research, independent research. And so we gather market share and we look at where our customers are going, but we don’t put a lot of resources towards video and ascertaining what’s happening with the video customers. Our focus really is on broadband and business services.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Julie Laulis for any closing remarks.

Julie Laulis

Analyst

Thank you, Chad. Now turning to something very close to all of us at Cable ONE. Earlier today, we announced the retirement of Tom Might as Executive Chairman. For nearly 25 years, Tom has guided Cable ONE with his strategic leadership, unquestionable integrity and unwavering commitment to our customers and associates. Under his stewardship, Cable ONE has grown through strategic acquisitions, organic growth and a continued focus on new product innovation. We want to express our sincere thanks and appreciation to Tom for his leadership of our board since 2015 and for his dedicated service to Cable ONE over the past 2-plus decades. He’s leaving behind a legacy of excellence that has our company well positioned for future success. We are thrilled that Tom will continue to serve as a Director, following his retirement, providing his wisdom, insight and experience to our distinguished board. We appreciate you for joining us for today’s call, and we look forward to speaking with you again in 2018.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect.