Earnings Labs

Cable One, Inc. (CABO)

Q4 2017 Earnings Call· Thu, Mar 1, 2018

$98.96

-0.83%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Hello, everyone, and welcome to the Cable One, Inc. Fourth Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Kevin Coyle. Please go ahead.

Kevin Coyle

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Cable ONE's Full Year and Fourth Quarter 2017 Earnings Call. We're excited to have you with us this morning as we review our results. Before we proceed, I would like to remind you that today's discussion may contain forward-looking statements relating to future events and expectations. You can find factors that could cause Cable ONE's actual results to differ materially from these projections listed in today's press release and in our current SEC filings. Cable ONE is under no obligation and, in fact, expressly disclaims any obligation to update its forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Additionally, today's remarks will include a discussion of certain financial measures that are not presented in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures discussed on this call to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in our earnings release or on our website at ir.cableone.net. Joining me on today's call is our President and CEO, Julie Laulis. And with that, let me turn the call over to Julie.

Julia Laulis

Analyst

Thank you, Kevin. Good morning, and welcome to our fourth quarter and full year 2017 earnings call. I'll start by touching on a few highlights and then turn the call over to Kevin to provide a full recap of our financial performance. We announced in our press release this morning that we revised our historical financial statements mainly related to our capitalized labor change that we've discussed on prior calls. Kevin will address this later in the call. I'd like to first take a moment to reflect on 2017, which was a year of growth, opportunity and teamwork for Cable ONE. We acquired NewWave Communications, which enabled us to expand into new markets and bring faster and more reliable service to customers in these cities and towns. I consider the NewWave acquisition a resounding success at this stage. From a financial perspective, adjusted EBITDA as well as both HSD ARPU and margins have improved faster than our original internal forecast. We are also ahead of our operations plan. And we continue to work to culturally assimilate the 2 companies, sharing best practices from both. Capital improvements and streamlining processes and platforms as well as embracing our strategies for success have been areas of emphasis. In keeping with our long-term focus, our work on NewWave, or what we call our Northeast Division, has us targeting actions that will pay off over time. Despite some short-term impacts that decelerated unit growth there, we're confident that a shortened, more disciplined collection cycle, a cessation of deep and lengthy discounts as well as other lifetime value measures focused on profitability, not pure market share at any cost, will benefit us when we roll out our eventual pricing and packaging migration. For Cable ONE as a whole, there are many moving parts to keep track…

Kevin Coyle

Analyst

Thanks, Julie. Before getting into the details, I want to remind everyone that our 2017 results include 8 months of NewWave operations and also the negative impact of Hurricane Harvey. Further, as we mentioned in our earnings release, we revised our historical financial information to properly reflect the accounting for certain categories of capitalized labor costs and other immaterial adjustments. During 2017, as previously mentioned, we changed our accounting related to the capitalization of certain internal labor and related costs associated with construction and customer installation activities. This was the result of additional information available from new systems and processes. Initially, we classified the entire change as a change in accounting estimate. After various discussions with the SEC staff, we determined that a portion of what had been previously disclosed as a change in estimate should have been categorized as a change in accounting principle. A portion was determined to be the correction of an error and a portion remained as a change in estimate. There were no changes to our previously reported results from the change in principle or the change in estimate. We revised our historical financial statements to properly reflect the impact of the labor capitalization, including the related impact of depreciation expense and income taxes based on the correction of the error. The impact of the revision was immaterial on our comparative prior periods with 2016 increases in net income of $2.2 million and adjusted EBITDA of $5.8 million. There are no changes to revenues, adjusted EBITDA or capital expenditures in 2017. And the only effect in 2017 is an immaterial change to net income due to increased depreciation and amortization. And you can find more detailed information available on our press release from this morning. And it will also be included in our Form 10-K…

Operator

Operator

Thank you [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Philip Cusick with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Philip Cusick

Analyst

Hey, guys. A couple, if we can. First, can you expand on the change in broadband promotions and how it impacted churn?

Julia Laulis

Analyst

Phil, this is Julie. The broadband promotions is actually a lack of broadband promotions.

Philip Cusick

Analyst

Right. I just didn't understand how it's impacted the numbers. And you said it has impacted churn. I didn't really get it.

Julia Laulis

Analyst

So let me take you through that. I'll take you behind the scenes about what we're doing and what we're trying to accomplish because the results that you're seeing are essentially of our own making. So first of all, let's talk about the levers. We've talked about different levers that we have to move that are at our disposal in the past. And we're working to calibrate them for sustainable growth over the long term, so a couple percentage unit growth, a couple percentage ARPU growth from upgrading tiers and UBB, usage-based billing, reasonable CPI increases over time, all in accordance with our LTV strategy, our profitability strategy. What we're doing now is we're taking actions that we believe will set us up for the long term and will create a balance between these levers, a titration, if you will. But those tactics are causing a short-term lull. So let me give you a little bit more color, and I'm going to divide it up between NewWave, Northeast Division and legacy CABO. In Northeast Division, through the transition, we are endeavoring to make them look more like Cable ONE. So what that means for them recently is we've been changing their collection cycle, which was 90 days previously, down to 40 days. It means that we are pulling in pre-periods of service. It means we are stopping deep discounting. It means we are stopping lengthy discounting. There are other LTV strategy shifts at play. After normalizing, we expect that multiple factors of growth, both units and ARPU, will restart and gain momentum. But in the short term, you can imagine those things would cause unit growth to lag and it also pushes ARPU up. But the current metrics show that overall, we're heading towards stabilization with Northeast Division. And I think we're getting exactly what we expected from those actions. Now legacy...

Philip Cusick

Analyst

I understand. So churn, churn in the future will be down. I thought you had said that it was down already. That was just my mistake.

Julia Laulis

Analyst

No, it is. It is down. So on the legacy CABO side, still talking about the actions that we're taking that are causing the churn to go down. Still being committed to our strategy, we're using enhanced business intelligence tools and quite honestly, new thinking. And we are refining some of our tactics. So again, we're trying to balance those levers. So one of the things that legacy CABO did is we stopped the year-long sales discounting on our flagship 100 meg product. Our goal there was to firmly establish and dimensionalize our value in our consumers' minds. So things like Wi-Fi ONE, free same-day service, the concierge service for our high LTV customers, all those things going into dimensionalizing the value of the product. We're doing that to set the stage so that we can test sales tactics, sales offers and pricing. And that's what's going on right now. So again, in the short term, with no promos, with nothing being on sale, you get the slowdown in units and the rise in ARPUs. But in the long term, we envision growth in balance. We're also moving away from one-size-fits-all marketing philosophy so that we can better meet market demand. And this, too, will serve to increase unit growth and regulate ARPUs in a more competitive market. So I mean, churn has slowed down, it's because of the actions that we're taking, we're going to go through this normalization period. And then you're going to see a shift, I predict, again to the balance between unit growth and ARPU growth. I'm confident where we're headed. Our journey requires a tad of patience, large doses of data and human sweat, but we are on our way.

Philip Cusick

Analyst

That's great. And I do want to follow up on the move away from one-size-fits-all. Should we think that applies to the video side? Are you sort of moving away from deemphasizing video?

Julia Laulis

Analyst

Well, Phil, I'm smiling because you should not assume anything that we talk about has to do with video. But no, I'm talking about broadband and business services.

Philip Cusick

Analyst

Okay. Thank you

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Craig Moffett with MoffettNathanson. Please go ahead.

Craig Moffett

Analyst · MoffettNathanson. Please go ahead.

Hi. Good morning. I guess, can you talk to us about where the big buckets of cost reduction remain? And how much - separate and apart from just the mix shift from video to broadband and the margin impact of that, how much margin upside is there left in the business from just cost reduction and sort of taking unnecessary activities out of the business?

Julia Laulis

Analyst · MoffettNathanson. Please go ahead.

Well, so how much cost reduction remains? What I'm going to talk to is our sort of industrial engineering mentality and say that we believe that there is always room for continuous improvement. As far as how much margin upside is there, that is not something that I am going to specifically comment on.

Kevin Coyle

Analyst · MoffettNathanson. Please go ahead.

Craig, this is Kevin. I mean, obviously some of the margin is driven by the product mix. As you know, we've said that we believe the margins on residential HSD and business services are 4 to 5x that of the video model. So obviously, as we become more residential HSD and business services-centric, they represent almost 60% of our total revenue base right now, the margins will start to mimic those businesses. And as Julie already said, you can see from an industrial engineering perspective, we continue to look for ways to do things more efficiently. You can see our headcount continually coming down year-over-year, quarter-over-quarter. So we're looking for ways to do it more efficiently, whether that's from installation activities or other. But it's an ongoing process.

Craig Moffett

Analyst · MoffettNathanson. Please go ahead.

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Stephan Bisson with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Stephan Bisson

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Good morning. It sounds like for NewWave, you expect to kind of harmonize ARPUs there on the data product with what you have at legacy CABO. Is the underlying product identical already? Is there work to do there? And over what time can you get that harmonization?

Julia Laulis

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Yes, exactly, Stephan. It will take time to harmonize the ARPUs. As you see, their ARPU - their HSD ARPU is already going up. There is work to be done though. In the last quarter, folks in the Northeast Division worked on largely throughout the footprint bonding 32 channels. We still need to make channels available through an all-digital process in order to complete them looking like Cable ONE, that is to say multiple tiers. We've increased speeds where we can already. We've put sort of a temporary or an interim pricing and packaging in effect. But we have yet to move over to the Cable ONE pricing. So it is going to take time. One of the very first pieces besides the technology platform ones is moving them to our billing system, which is in process for this year.

Stephan Bisson

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Great. And then one more, you guys are clearly generating significant free cash flow. And in the past, you've looked at M&A opportunities, including NewWave. Is that still something you'd be considering if the right deal came along or maybe fiber assets if they were to become available?

Kevin Coyle

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Stephan, this is Kevin. As we've said in the past, and nothing has changed, we continue to look at any and all M&A opportunities that are out there that make sense for the company. It's an ongoing process. We also look from time to time to other activities, whether it be dividends on our stock or share repurchases. So it's a three-pronged approach. I don't think that's changed since we became a public company. But obviously, we'd love to have numerous NewWaves if you could find them. And we continue to look at all opportunities that are out there.

Stephan Bisson

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Great. Thank you

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Frank Louthan with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Frank Louthan

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Great, thank you. I'd just apologize if I missed this, but was there any lingering hurricane impact in Q4 that might have impacted some of your subs? And then the number of homes that you passed in the quarter improved a little bit. Talk to us a little bit about the outlook there and your ability to capitalize on that over next 12 months.

Kevin Coyle

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Frank, the impact financially from Hurricane Harvey was mostly a third quarter event. The good news, almost all of our customers are back and up and running. And great effort by all of our associates to do that. We're very appreciative of all their efforts. But no, there is not much of an impact and we didn't note that because it was so insignificant in the fourth quarter. It was mostly a third quarter event.

Julia Laulis

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

And I think the second half of your question had to do with homes passed growth. Is that correct?

Frank Louthan

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Correct. It was a little bit stronger than what we were looking for. Just curious, your plans to capitalize on that and the subs on the next 12 months. And what should we see in that trend of passing additional homes?

Kevin Coyle

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

I don't think it's that significant. I think we're seeing here 2016, it was a 1.669 million and now it's 1.694 million, not that significant in terms of the actual 3,000 homes passed. I think that's just normal growth within the communities.

Julia Laulis

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Right. We certainly have sections of the country that are growing quite robustly. That would be the West, by and large. And of course, we make sure that we are into those newbuilds first. It's essentially a fiber-to-the-node platform, so we end up taking some more share than we do in our market at large.

Frank Louthan

Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

And this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Julie Laulis for any closing remarks.

Julia Laulis

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Our accomplishments in 2017 would not have been possible without our more than 2,300 dedicated and talented associates. Your willingness to embrace change and your steadfast dedication to taking care of our customers is what makes our company such a success. Kevin and I will be presenting at the Raymond James Institutional Investors Conference in Orlando on March 6. And we look forward to seeing some of you there. Thank you for joining us for today's call.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.