Sean Keohane
Analyst · Loop Capital Markets. Your line is now open.
Sure, Chris. So, well, in the prepared remarks, I commented on the long-term execution of our strategy and how we have now, over a very long period of time, demonstrated quite strong earnings growth. And so I think there are a lot of proof points there that the structural dynamics are very different, particularly in Reinforcement Materials. And as I've said in the past, I think if you go way back in history in this business, you did see a different set of structural dynamics, primarily because there was a tire migration out of the West and to China, and that tire migration has been over now for a number of years. And so that demand picture in each region is much more stable, I think number one. Number two, there have been a number over that period of time of supply side reductions in capacity that have consistently tightened up the balance. And that's been playing out now for seven, eight years, something in that range. And then, when you overlay the environmental capital that is required, if you can get new capacity permitted in a jurisdiction, certainly raises the barriers to entry and the cost recovery and earning a return on the capital is quite a different number from historical. And then finally, I would say, the importance of having regional supply, while this business has always been a regionally-driven business, I think today, with the, call it, derisking or de-coupling or regional supply security, however, you want to sort of phrase the trend, it's pretty clear that there's a level of sort of onshoring back to regions and an effort to try to derisk global supply chains. And so again, this business has always been regionally driven, but I would say the emphasis on that, the importance of that has only gotten stronger. So, I think the structural dynamics here are quite different and quite compelling. And on top of those market factors, we've done a number of things, as I commented on in the prepared remarks, to improve the performance of our business, sort of self-help, if you will, where we've really driven up over a long period of time through operational excellence, our OEE performance. We always are driving our yields, making investments to drive yield. And then finally, energy recovery is really critical not only to the economics of the business, but also to our sustainability goals, if we can produce cogeneration power. So, I think all of those self-help measures combine with the industry structure comments that I made to create a quite different-looking business. And now you're seeing proof points play out over a very long period of time.