Earnings Labs

Cadeler A/S (CDLR)

Q4 2025 Earnings Call· Tue, Mar 24, 2026

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to Cadeler's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Presentation. Presenting today are Mikkel Gleerup, Chief Executive Officer; and Peter Brogaard, Chief Financial Officer. Please be reminded that presenters' remarks today will include forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those contemplated. The risks and uncertainties that could cause Cadeler's results to differ materially from today's forward-looking statements include those detailed in Cadeler's annual report on Form 20-F on file with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. Any forward-looking statements made this morning are based on assumptions as of today, and Cadeler undertakes no obligation to update these statements as a result of new information or future events. This morning's presentation includes both IFRS and certain non-IFRS financial measures. A reconciliation of non-IFRS financial measures to the nearest IFRS equivalent is provided in Cadeler's annual report. The annual report and today's earnings presentation are available on Cadeler's website at cadeler.com/investor. We ask that you please hold all questions until the completion of the formal remarks, at which time in you will be given instructions to the question and answer session. As a reminder, this call is being recorded today. If you have any objections, please disconnect at this time. Mikkel Gleerup, you may begin.

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Thank you very much, and thank you to everyone dialing in to listen to our presentation this morning/afternoon. Yes, I will ask everybody to read through the disclaimer in the presentation. So annual report 2025 and first, taking you through the highlights of 2025. Financial performance in Cadeler in 2025 were above our expectations. We ended at the top end of the range that we guided last year, ending the year with a robust contract backlog of EUR 2.8 billion, which really gives us that earnings visibility into the future that we have been discussing with our investors over the course of the last couple of years. We had 4 newbuilds scheduled for delivery in 2025, and they were all delivered on time and on budget. We added Wind Keeper to the fleet to support Nexra and our partners and really this new O&M service platform. We continued exceptional execution with significant progress made towards the delivering on the Hornsea 3 project. Wind Keeper upgrade successfully completed and multiple campaigns supported with vessel swaps. We have had strong utilization with vessels operating across the world in markets as Europe, U.S. and in APAC. Commercial highlights for the financial year '25. Scylla continued to work in the U.S. on Revolution Wind for Ørsted and have since shifted over to Sunrise Wind. The Wind Orca has been mobilizing for the Hornsea 3 project for Ørsted, where she will be executing the secondary steel scope. On Wind Osprey, we have been mobilizing for the EA3 turbine installation, which is a project we do for ScottishPower Renewables. On Wind Mover, we will shortly be commencing the turbine installation on the Baltic Power project, where she is taking over from another vessel that we previously had working on that project. The Wind Maker stays in…

Peter Hansen

Management

Yes.

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Peter Brogaard...

Peter Hansen

Management

Thank you very much. Yes, the financial highlights for '25. It was really a strong year seen from a financial and operational point of view. As Mikkel said, we ended in the high end of the range that we have guided revenue of EUR 620 million as compared to EUR 249 million. Equity ratio is now at 44%. It's a decrease as compared to last year. But it's also where we see it bottom out, the equity ratio and starts to increase again. Utilization also very high, 88.9% adjusted utilization as compared to 75% last year. And that is -- the adjustment is where we say, okay, we take out what is planned dry docking and transportation from the yard. We think that is a meaningful number to look at when we get all these new vessels delivered. Market cap of EUR 1.8 billion. EBITDA, EUR 425 million as compared to EUR 126 million last year. Net profit, important number for the shareholders, of course, EUR 280 million as compared to EUR 65 million last year. And as elaborated on a backlog of EUR 2.8 billion. Three months daily average turnover EUR 7.1 million on the stock exchanges. If we first look at the last 3 months of the year, Q4 '25, very, very strong quarter, EUR 167 million in revenue, an increase of EUR 82 million compared to Q4 '25, '24 and with the adjusted utilization of 87% cost of sales is, of course, going up with the delivered vessels. And SG&A also is up because of the ramp-up that we have talked about at previous releases where we build up the organization to be able to manage these foundation projects with increased complexity. Finance net isolated for Q4 is EUR 20 million, and that is a shift you…

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Thank you, Peter. As this is something that still remains very important between '24 and '25. We are -- we have been working on biofuel -- fuel blending in our fuels, and that has been successfully introduced across the fleet in 2025, together with our clients and our sustainability team. We have developed a new circularity strategy. We have more than 30% women in leadership, and that was achieved in 2025. We have set a new target of 40% women in leadership by 2030, and also on governance, the CSR leadership group established to execute key ESG priorities. In terms of our path to zero, we have set a target of a net zero target in 2035 and a 2030 target of 50% intensity reduction. Obviously, we are going up in intensity in the beginning, and that's largely due to the fact that we are delivering lots of vessels that are still burning fuel. But we have a path towards achieving our targets here, and we have maintained our targets. And it is as -- what is described on this slide, it's adoption of green fuels, it's enabling electrification, optimizing energy consumption, which we believe is one of the big things because really education and training of teams on board and clients is one of the real big savers here. And that is how we will achieve the first part of this journey. Second part of the journey is continuing to enable electrification and again, optimizing the energy consumption. And also as we start to see it, getting the green fuels on board, which will form a larger part in the second part of this journey. At the moment, the reality is that the green fuels are not available to us. So although we have a portion of our fleet…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Martin Karlsen from DNB Carnegie.

Martin Karlsen

Analyst

I understand that -- can you hear me okay, sorry, it was some...

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

We can hear you, yes.

Martin Karlsen

Analyst

I think I heard during the prepared remarks that you said the Wind Apex would be delivered early and do turbine work. Could you talk a little bit about the background for using the vessels for turbines and not foundations and the decision process behind that?

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Yes, that is a good question. The reason we are discussing it directly that we are looking at delivering the Wind Apex early is because we have been asked whether we were looking at potentially delivering her late. And just to make clear that that is not a thought at all, it's the opposite. We have evaluated opportunities in the industry and the best opportunity, we believe, for Apex right after the yard is to embark on a turbine installation project. The reason for that is that working with the client on a turbine installation project potentially opens up opportunity for other things. And hence, we have decided that here, the best use of the capacity we do have available, as you also heard in my presentation, I said that we consider ourselves fully booked in '27 now. So basically, what we have available for clients now is becoming limited. And this is the opportunity we have for the client, and hence, we have decided to go with the client because we believe that it's the best overall decision for Cadeler to start with a turbine installation project. It doesn't mean that Apex will stay on turbine installation projects, but the first project will be a turbine installation project. So what it means is that she will earlier generate revenue compared to if we did a foundation project. And with the long -- duration of the contract we're looking into, that will also run into a significant part of 2028, but also a potential for something coming on the back of that with the same client.

Martin Karlsen

Analyst

Could you remind us about how much time and cost there would be to get it back to foundation mode?

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

So there is a mission spread, but that is typically part of the project. When you sell a foundation project, the client is contributing to the mission spread there. And typically, it would take somewhere around 2 to 4 months to put her into foundation mode with mobilizing all the equipment on the vessel.

Martin Karlsen

Analyst

And for 2028, you definitely came across as more optimistic, but it seems to be more Cadeler specific than for the industry as a whole. Can you talk a little bit to why Cadeler have been more successful than the industry for '28 and what has changed since last quarter?

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Yes. I think that what we do say, when we talked about '28 after the Q3 announcement, we also said that it looked like a year that could be challenging for the industry. And what we are saying now is that we -- that is still the case. We believe that there are still some companies that will have challenges in 2028, but that we today feel much better about '28 than we did around the Q3 because there were still some things that we believed in at that point in time, but that had to happen. And now we are saying that we are seeing that, that is happening. And hence, we are much more confident on 2028. And one of them is, of course, the preferred supplier agreement on a large-scale foundation project. That is important for '28, but that's not the only thing. It is also how other things we are working on have progressed. So all in all, we are much more positive about '28. But it doesn't mean that everybody else will have the same feeling. But for Cadeler, that is the case. But I also think there is a progression from the Q3 call to now where we are saying today that 2027, we can say we're fully booked now.

Martin Karlsen

Analyst

And last question, you're about to get into a real cash-generating mode with all the newbuilds and delivered. Could you talk to how you look to allocate capital ahead between shareholder returns, delevering, and you also spent some time in the presentation today talking about growth opportunities.

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Yes. I think that, as we have said before, capital allocation ultimately is a Board decision. But I think it's realistic to believe that we will be spending our capital in 3 buckets. One is to delever the company. One is to continue to maintain the position we have in the industry. And then the last bucket is, of course, returning capital to shareholders in some shape or form. And I think that if we look at where we are moving in terms of generating capital, all 3 buckets are possible at the same time. And I think that, that's where I will land it at this point in time.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Jamie Franklin from Jefferies.

Jamie Franklin

Analyst

So firstly, I just wanted to clarify on Hornsea 3 and appreciate the useful slides in the presentation. If I look at Slide 12 specifically, as you understand it correctly, essentially, we're now going to have a much more progressive ramp-up in revenue through the year from that project. So it's going to be very back half weighted. And it looks like the expectation is first turbine installed around 3Q. So if I assume that the margin and EBITDA contribution should really start to sort of kick in from the second half. Is that a fair assumption?

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Yes. I think overall, what you're saying is a fair assumption. And as we are saying that -- and of course, this is what is complicated to sometimes explain when you have projects and calendar years because overall, Hornsea 3 for us is a more value-creating project today than it was when we signed it. But the way the revenues and profits are stretched over time is different. And I think that, that is what we are trying to explain today, and it's due to decisions that have been made by others than Cadeler, but where -- it's in our interest, but also where we are contractually obligated to deliver on this new method. And I think one of the key things on the project without diving too much into the detail is that the flow of the foundations when they come into the project is slower. So we are not building up the buffer we had in the beginning. So the monopile delivery is over a longer period of time, and that is out of Cadeler's control. And it's due to things that is related to the fabrication yards on the monopile foundations.

Jamie Franklin

Analyst

Okay. Got it. And then secondly, just on operations and maintenance. So obviously, you've announced a few shorter duration awards to Nexra platform recently. And as you mentioned, there's been this 10-year O&M contract announced by one of your peers. Could you give us a sense of how you expect to balance the sort of longer-term agreements with the shorter-term contracts? Is the idea to sort of keep Zaratan and Scylla available for more spot O&M while Wind Keeper kind of takes the longer-term contracts? Or could we see you enter into a longer-term contract with a specific one client on those assets?

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

The question is, yes, that could be expected that, that would happen, but it all depends on the project economics. There are limits where we believe that it's better to stay in the spot market rather than to sign up to a long term. And for us, that is an internal evaluation that is happening between us and the team that is dealing with the clients on these long-term opportunities because obviously, there are benefits of having a long-term contract, but the benefit of that can be outweighed by, let's say, what you're sacrificing in terms of annual revenues. So for us, it's a balance. And if we believe that we can generate more money by having the vessel in the spot market and being available to our clients when they need us, then that is the decision we will go for. And I think we have discussed it before as well that one of the real benefits of being, let's say, active in the O&M market is the social capital you're building with your client because when they have problems, if you are able to come and help them and fix them, that is something that is very much appreciated and also where you're able to generate stronger relationships and partnerships with your clients. So I -- per se that the long-term agreement is not just what we are aiming for, but of course, if they are good enough, if they live up to our criteria, then we are happy to enter into them.

Jamie Franklin

Analyst

Okay. Very clear. And finally, there was a wind turbine installation vessel order announced by shipyard Hanwha Ocean for about $530 million last month, very high price tag, obviously, relative to what you paid for your newbuilds. Is there anything you can say in terms of what is driving those higher vessel prices? Is it simply a function of kind of shipyard capacity or material inflation? Any thoughts there would be helpful.

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

I think the reality that we are looking at today is that the shipyards are incredibly busy. So even if you wanted to deliver a vessel in short time, you were not able to. I know that this vessel is it looks on paper like a short time line, but that is mainly because they have been working on it a long time before they actually announced it. It's a vessel targeting the domestic Korean market with a lot of Korean companies going together in that vessel. It's a repeat M-Class vessel more or less that they have paid $530 million for. I think that the underlying practice for the price is a real tightness in the yards, but also in general, what it costs to build a jack-up today. And I think that there are, let's say, that is -- if you look at the price for ordering one vessel, I think that, that is -- you're probably seeing significantly increased prices to what we built at back in -- when we ordered our vessels.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Anders Rosenlund from SEB.

Anders Rosenlund

Analyst

Could you break down the order backlog indicatively on '26, '27, '28 and '29 and beyond?

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Unfortunately, we don't do that, Anders. We only give guidance 1 year ahead. So we don't give guidance year-by-year on the backlog.

Anders Rosenlund

Analyst

Also, do you expect to see more of your competitors to place newbuilding orders for '29 and 2030 or beyond delivery given the outlook comments that you coming with today?

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

I believe that based on the supply and demand balance we are looking into in the beginning of the next decade and the tightness in the yards that I would be surprised if there were not several companies already looking in the yards.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Daniel Haugland from ABG Sundal Collier.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

This is [indiscernible] from China Securities. And thank you for taking my questions. I have 2 questions. The first question is about the foundation installation business. And I noticed that actually the foundation business includes quite large preparation works and it has larger amount. And could you please share with us what's your target of the foundation business in the future? Would the volume or the amount be higher than next year? You just mentioned that next year, the future revenue would be -- maybe would be higher than the installation revenue. So could you please share with us about the foundation business in the future? And your target or your strategy? This is my first question. And the second question maybe for...

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Can we take them one by one. Can we just take them one by one.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

Okay, okay.

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Thank you. I think that to answer your question, we have had a humble approach to the full scope foundation C&I projects. And in 2026, we will be executing the Hornsea 3 project. In 2027, we will be embarking on the EA2 project with ScottishPower Renewables. So we are on a journey here where we are building up together with our clients, two of the biggest developers in offshore wind worldwide. And together with them, we are building up these capabilities to ensure that we do this safely and with the quality that both we and they expect fairly. But our long-term target is, of course, to execute several foundation projects in parallel in a year. That is how we have built the fleet, and that is how we are building the team and, let's say, the protocols around this. So let's say, we have a fully delivered capacity three A Class vessels that are targeting the foundation market. And we would certainly expect that these three A Class vessels would all be doing foundation work in parallel at some point in time in the future. But when I address the fact that I believe that the O&M market could be as big as the installation market, it is because with the outbuild targets that we are seeing in the industry, there will be a lot of requirements for O&M. And hence, we say this, but we cannot say when it will happen or whether they will inflect or whatever. But we do believe that there will be a case for the fact that the O&M market as such will be a very value-creating market to be in and also potentially bigger than the installation market.

Operator

Operator

Okay. Great. And the second question is about the financial expenses. And I noticed that in 2025, the financial expenses are a little bit higher. Could you give us some color about the financial expenses in the near term or in the 1 to 3 years? Because with our 2 vessels delivered in 2026 and 2027, these expenses cannot be go into the -- cannot be capitalized and this should be go to the P&L. And could you give us some colors about that?

Peter Hansen

Management

That is absolutely correct, and also what I talked to in Q4 where you saw net or -- finance net was around EUR 20 million. And that is what you should expect to see going forward and then less and less goes to CapEx when we get one vessel delivered here in '26, then it will be less '27, we get the last one delivered and then it will be to current plans, nothing that we can capitalize. So that is the picture we see. So Q4 is more representative for '26 than the full year.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

Okay, great. Thank you so much. That's very helpful. Thank you.

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Thank you. I don't know whether we missed Daniel from ABG.

Operator

Operator

Yes, we have a question from Daniel. Daniel Vårdal Haugland: I was a little bit back in the line there. So I have a couple of questions on 2027 that you maybe can kind of enlighten me on because I think you now say that 2027 is getting fully booked from your perspective. So what type of utilization level are you kind of targeting or at least some kind of range when you're talking about kind of fully booked this because I think based on announcements, it looks like there's a lot of white space, but obviously, you guys have looked it through. So...

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Yes, so I think... Daniel Vårdal Haugland: Any commentary on that would be helpful.

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Yes. No, that's a totally fair question. I think we have guided from the beginning of the journey of utilization between 75% to 90%, and that is also the target in 2027. And that is an adjusted utilization because, obviously, to assume that a vessel is busy when it's transiting from Asia and back to Europe, for example, that is not possible, even though we would love to install turbines all the way. But -- so that's how we look at it. And then as Peter also said, when he went through his numbers that we exclude planned dry dockings and stuff like that. So the adjusted number, we are expecting between 75% to 90%. And for '27, yes, it is correct that we are considering ourselves to be at the moment fully booked. Daniel Vårdal Haugland: Yes. And just to clarify, then you kind of include this potential contract that you talked about for the Apex.

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Yes, that's how we have to do it because there is a potential contract that is negotiated. And -- but of course, nothing is firmed before it's signed and there's ink on paper. But of course, when we are in a process where we believe that this is something that will materialize, then it's also something where we are saying with what we know today, we think that we are in a situation where we don't have much other stuff to sell. Daniel Vårdal Haugland: Okay. And one question on the Orca. It seems like that will be working together with the Ally on Hornsea 3 on secondary steel. It seems from the slide that you kind of indicate that going through Q1, maybe into Q2. Is that kind of correctly assumed?

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Yes, it's correct that Orca is starting almost side by side with the Ally being mobilized now for the campaign to go to -- on to Hornsea 3, sorry. It was a valuation we did when we secured the project because it was our option to either go with an offshore construction vessel or with one of our jack-ups. There were benefits in the jack-up in terms of the weather downtime during the winter and hence, the progression on the project. And that's why -- and with the project economics, of course, that we were able to provide to our -- one of our own assets that we decided that the O Class vessel was the best option for the task.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. That's all we have time for today, and thank you for your participation. I will now hand the floor back to Mikkel Gleerup for any closing remarks.

Mikkel Gleerup

Management

Yes. Thank you, everybody. And if we did not have time to take your questions, then you all know where to reach Peter and myself or Alexander. And we are, of course, happy to take offline discussions with all of you. But thanks a lot for taking the time to listen to us today. We're looking forward to catch up with you as we move ahead. Thank you.