Mark Smith
Analyst · Citigroup
Yes. I would say most of the actual sales in e-mobility are bus applications, a lot of it here in the U.S. and that's continuing, and we're in a great position there. There's lots of other explorations and discussions. There's been a big shakeout even in the e-mobility industry given, I would say, lower prospects for accelerated growth, even though we're growing the overall -- everybody's projections for growth has come down, and that's led to a shakeout certainly in a lot of the start-up, some of the less well-capitalized participants. So I think there's still a lot of discussion and future opportunity for Cummins in e-mobility. And I think that's been generally been a good story that as the volumes and we've released new iterations of products that we've moved from, yes, significant losses and negative gross margin to something a lot more stable and sustainable going forward. It's still somewhat muted, right, in the grand scheme of a $35 billion company, but we've seen clear progress there, and we're positive and staying invested there. On electrolyzers, we went back a couple of years, we had pretty ambitious targets for growth and we were tracking that trajectory every quarter. It was -- we were tracking years out where do we need to be, and we were on that curve for significant revenue growth for quite some time. And the reality is, yes, it's dried up faster than anything I have seen in my career for a variety of reasons, especially here in the U.S., but also some of the adoption in international markets. So whilst, yes, we probably guided a little cautiously going into the new year, not knowing exactly what would happen. So we're not way off on the revenue from the guidance that we no longer have, but the one that we originally gave. But yes, it's just internally, it's surprised even us to the downside. And so that's why. It might look to you like we're on track, but electrolyzer is way off. And it's not just for now, but then that leaves the orders as a big gestation period between taking an order, shipping a product, having it installed, recognizing the revenue. And so not only is that shorter orders now, that's leaving like a hole in the projections going forward for the next couple of years. So that's why we're acting now. So it's tough, very tough in ex e-mobility, but we're pleased with the progress, and I don't want that to be lost from the e-mobility team.