Operator
Operator
Good morning, my name is Tabitha and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to the fourth quarter and fiscal year-end operating results for 2012 conference call. (Operator Instructions). Thank you, Mr. Galanti, you may begin your conference. Richard A. Galanti – CFO, EVP and Director: Thank you, Tabitha, and good morning to everyone. This morning's report as it relates to our 17-week fourth quarter and 53-week fiscal year 2012 operating results, both which ended September 2nd. For comparison purposes, the fiscal quarter and year are compared to last year's 16-week and 52-week periods for the prior fiscal year '11. As with every conference call, I'll start by stating that these discussions we are having will include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. And that these statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual events resulting in our performance to differ materially from those indicated by such statements. The risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to those outlined in today's call as well as other risks identified from time to time in the company's public statements and reports filed with SEC. For the fourth quarter, to begin with, our 17-week fourth quarter of fiscal 2012 operating results. We reported earnings of per share, of course, this morning of $1.39, up 29% from last year's reported fourth quarter earnings of $1.08. Sales for the quarter were up 14%, which of course, include the extra week in Q4 of this year. We ended at 17 weeks this year versus 16 weeks last year. Now comparable sales, which we do compare like 17-week periods both years, were up 5% on a reported basis and up 6% excluding gas and FX. Last year's fourth quarter results included a $32 million pre-tax LIFO charge that impacted last year's earnings per share by $0.04. This year's fourth quarter results included a $11.5 million pre-tax LIFO charge impacting this year's fourth quarter earnings by $0.02 a share. Now several other items impacting the year-over-year fourth quarter comparisons of earnings include the following. First, the U.S. and Canada membership fee increased that took effect earlier this fiscal year. This added approximately $26 million pre-tax or $0.04 a share in this year's fourth quarter. Second, FX headwinds, earnings from our foreign operations are converted into U.S. dollars when we consolidate and report our results. Year-over-year in the fourth quarter on average, the foreign currencies where we operate weakened versus the U.S. dollar. This resulted in roughly a $20 million pre-tax or $0.03 a share after-tax hit or impact to this year's fourth quarter. That is assuming FX exchange rates were flat year over year, our foreign country operating results in the fourth quarter when reported in U.S. dollars would have been higher by that amount. Third, our $900 million pay-down of 5.3% fixed rate debt this past March. This reduced our interest expense comparison to year-over-year Q4 by approximately $15 million pre-tax or $0.02 a share. Fourth, as reported earlier on July 9th, we completed the acquisition of the remaining 50% ownership interest in our Costco Mexico operations. The impact to our fourth quarter 2012 P&L was twofold. First, about a $0.02 per share benefit to fourth quarter '12 for the extra earnings we now own if you will. And second, a one-time charge of $8.3 million or $0.02 a share to our income tax line. This related to the dividend payment from Costco Mexico to Costco U.S. For the purposes of the year-over-year comparison in the fourth quarter, these two items, relating to the Costco Mexico purchase, were essentially a wash to earnings. The earning accretion from our Costco Mexico acquisition will continue through the first anniversary of the transaction or next July. And finally, a fifth item of comparison, we had an extra week, of course, this year in the fourth quarter, 17 weeks versus last year's 16 weeks. Simply dividing our fourth quarter earnings of $1.39 by 17 weeks, the positive impact to Q4 we estimate to be about $0.08 a share. For the fiscal year, net income came in at $1.709 billion or $3.89 a share. This compared to $1.46 billion or $3.30 a share in last year fiscal '11. This net earnings were up 17% in dollars and up 18% on an earnings-per-share basis. For the entire 2012 fiscal year, our LIFO charge was $20.5 million pre-tax or about a $0.03 hit to earnings. This compares to all of fiscal 2011 when it was an $87 million charge or $0.12 hit to last year's earnings. Lastly on the FX front, the total negative impact to this year's sales was just under $600 million in the earnings hit, if you will, assuming flat year-over-year FX rates, would have been $31 million pre-tax or $0.04 a share. Sales for the fourth quarter, again our 17-week quarter, as like weeks, was up 5% and this included the U.S. number of up 6% and international up 2%. Excluding gas deflation, there was an ever so slight deflation and a negative impact of FX and a sales increase – comp sales increase would be 6% for the total company as compared to the 5% reported. The U.S. would remain unchanged at 6%, again very little impact although as minor gas deflation. And international given the weakness in foreign currencies, international and local currencies, they reported 2% number when in instead it had been plus 7. September sales results were reported last week on October 4th. Briefly, for the five-weeks September reporting period, U.S. comp sales came in at 6%, international at 7%, and total company at 6%. And again, excluding the positive impacts of gas and FX, U.S. comp sales on a normal basis if you will were up 5%, international up 6%, and total company up 5%. For September, the average ticket increased a little over 2% while frequency in air traffic increased by about 4%. Other topics of interest, our opening activities and plans, we opened a total of 16 new warehouses during fiscal 2012. And again, that quarter ended on – that fiscal year ended on September 2nd. Of those 16, 10 were new in the U.S., 4 in Japan, and 1 each in Korea and Taiwan. In addition, we relocated one location during all of last fiscal year in Ontario, Canada. For fiscal 2013, our expansion activities include a plan for approximately 27 to 30 new locations with just under half of those in the United States and the remaining in international markets. During the first four months of fiscal '13, basically September through calendar year end here, we plan to open 14 new locations; almost the same number of new locations we opened in all of last year. Nine of these 14 will be in the U.S, three will be in Canada and one each will be in [inaudible] and Korea. I think most recently I mentioned that we estimated 15 locations; one in Wheaton, Maryland has been delayed due to construction issues and we estimate it now to open in March or April. Also this morning, I'll go over our Costco Online results and some recent activities, our membership trends, additional discussions about our operating results for the quarter, and our stock repurchase activities. Onto the discussion for quarterly results,. Very briefly, sales for the fourth quarter, again up 14%. Total sales at $31.5 billion this year in the fourth quarter versus $27.6 last year. For the quarter, our 5% reported comps were a result of a combination of an average frequency or traffic increase of 4.5% and a flat average transaction year-over-year. I mentioned earlier that we all of a sudden started to see quite a bit of a weakness in foreign currencies. That flat average transaction includes that impact, a negative impact of about 1.5% from FX. So up a little assuming flat year-over-year FX rates. Overall for all of fiscal '12, our average sales per warehouse for the 608 warehouses we have in operation, on an annualized basis was $154 million, up 7% from the $146 million figure in fiscal '11. Moving onto sales by geography. For the fourth quarter, the strongest comp results in the U.S. were in the Northwest and the Midwest. All regions were fairly good and the range between the low and the high among regions was in 4% to 8% range. Internationally, local currencies, Canada, Korea, and Mexico were the strongest and Japan at the weakest. Japan mostly due to cannibalization resulting from the four new locations opened this past year in Japan. In terms of E-commerce, Costco.com and Costco.ca; sales were up 14% for the quarter and up 9% for the entire year. During the fourth quarter, as I think I mentioned, we're planning as of the last quarterly report, during the fourth quarter we launched Costco.com apps for both the Android and the Apple devices. And three weeks ago on September 16th, we transitioned Costco.com and Costco.ca sites to its new platform. The new platform certainly improves the visibility of the sites when using search engines and also we believe made several improvements to the sites from the end user perspective. And lastly, next week we will open our new E-commerce site for the U.K., Costco.co.uk. We go live next Monday, October 15th. In terms of merchandise categories for the quarter, Softlines was a standout for the quarter in the high single digits. Within Food and Sundries, comps were in the positive mid-single digits. Hardlines produced positive comps in the single digit range as well. Strongest sub-categories for the Hardlines were Hardware and Lawn and Garden, which were in the very high single digits. Consumer Electronics produced positive comps in the mid-single digits. Within the Softlines, the strongest numbers were in small electrics and domestics. Lastly, all Fresh Foods comparable sales were up in the mid-to-high single digit range with the strongest results in Deli and Produce. And on the inflation front, Food and Sundries along with Fresh Foods continued to experience inflation in that low single digit range. Moving down the line items in the Income Statement, we'll start with Membership Fees. In the fourth quarter, membership fee income was $694 million or 2.21%. This is up 18% in dollars and up 7 basis points. And it represents an increase of $104 million year-over-year in the fourth quarter. In terms of Membership, we continue to benefit from strong renewal rates rounding up to 90% and U.S. and Canada and worldwide, 86%. We continue to experience increasing penetration of the executive membership. Incremental membership from the fee increase effective last November in the U.S. and Canada benefited the quarter by an estimated $26 million. The benefits from this will continue to show year-over-year increases throughout the four fiscal quarters of fiscal 2013 and into the first quarter of fiscal 2014. That, of course, is based on the fact that we used deferred accounting to book those increases. Our new membership sign-ups in the fourth quarter were up 2% year-over-year. Last year in the fourth quarter, we opened 12 new locations including 4 in Asia and 2 in Australia. Those tend to have outsized new member signups as of through opening day. And that compares to six new openings this year in the fourth quarter, which included two in Asia. In terms of the number of members at fourth quarter end, in terms of Gold Star, 26.7 million, up from 26.4 million at the end of the third quarter. Primary business, 6.4 million both at the end of the third quarter end, fiscal year end. Add-on business, 3.8 million at year end. That's up a little bit from 3.6 million at third quarter end. So total households, 36.9 million at year end, up from 36.4 million 17 weeks earlier. And with add-on with spouse cards, 67.4 million cardholders out there from 66.5 million a quarter ago. At the end of the fourth quarter, we had 12.6 million executive members, which is an increase of about 245,000 or 2% since third quarter end and that's about 14,000 new executive members per week. Executive members, as I mentioned, represented little over a third of our member base and a little over two-thirds of our sales. In terms of renewal rates, as I mentioned earlier, they continue to be strong. Business membership renewal rates ended the year at 93.7%. That's up a tick from 93.6% at the third quarter end. Gold Star, 88.7% at year end, up a tick from 88.6% at the end of the third quarter. So total U.S. and Canada, 89.7%, up a tick from 89.6%. And again as I mentioned, worldwide 86.4%, up from 86.2% at the end of the third quarter. Based on our increasing U.S. and Canada renewal rates, we believe that the last November's renewal membership fee increase had little or no impact on our renewal rates, which continued to move higher. In terms of gross margin, our reported gross margin in the fourth quarter was lower year-over-year by three basis points, coming in at 10.51% of sales this year in the fourth quarter, down from 10.54% a year earlier. I'll ask you to jot down a few numbers. I will have six columns basically looking at the fourth quarter and the prior two quarters. And each of those quarters will have two columns, both reported and without gas impacts, meaning inflation in Q's two and three and a minor amount of deflation in Q4. Line items would be Core Merchandising, Ancillary Businesses, 2% Reward, LIFO, and Total. So going across the Core Merchandise in Q2, reported minus-25 basis points year-over-year and without gas inflation, minus 16. Q3, minus 21 reported and minus 14. And Q4 minus 10 and minus -10 and basically, the Q4 columns will be the same in both columns because again, while there was minor deflation, it was minor. It didn’t even change the basis point variances. Ancillary, minus 2 reported and plus 2 without gas – I'm sorry, let me correct that one. For the second quarter, Ancillary was minus 5 and minus 4without gas. For the third quarter, Ancillary was plus 7 and plus 8. And for the fourth quarter plus 1 and plus 1. 2% Reward, minus 2 and minus 3 in the second quarter. Minus 2 and minus 3 again in the third quarter. And minus 2 and minus 2 in the fourth quarter. LIFO, plus 2 and plus 2 in the second quarter, plus 21 and plus 21 in the third quarter. Recall that last year the third quarter we had the first sizeable amount of LIFO. And in the fourth quarter, plus 8 and plus 8. And then Total, in the second quart of ’12 we reported gross margins down year over year of 30 basis points but without gas inflation it was minus 21. In the third quarter, we reported up 5 basis points total margin. Without gas inflation it would have been up 12. And in the fourth quarter, both reported and without that minor amount of gas deflation, minus 3 basis points. Now, I’ll focus my attention on the without gas column. Note again that in Q4 the gas really didn’t have an effect anyway. As you can see from these overall numbers, the Core Merchandising gross margin in the fourth quarter was 10 basis points lower year over year. Actually, a small relative improvement from the minus 14 in Q3 and the minus 16 in Q2 on the year-over-year comparison. Ancillary business gross margins contributed a small amount up 1 basis point. Unlike prior quarters where our gas business, and again, as inflationary price trends have impacted the gross margin matrix, it didn’t really do a whole lot here in the fourth quarter. And the Core Merchandising categories, Food and Sundries along with Fresh Foods were slightly higher while Non-Foods categories, Hardlines and Softlines margins were a bit lower. The 2% Reward feature of our executive membership was incrementally higher or negatively impacted gross margin by 2 basis points as I mentioned. And again, LIFO, while we did have a charge of $11.5 million this year, that compared to a $32 million charge in the fourth quarter last year so that represented an 8-basis point improvement to our reported margin year over year. We believe our margins are fine. Our inventories are clean. We had a great fiscal year end fiscal inventory result. In all, as you heard from us in the past, we remain committed to driving topline sales as we enter the Christmas holiday season and into calendar 2013. Moving onto SG&A, our SG&A percentage in the fourth quarter year over year were lower or better by 18 basis points coming in at 9.6% of sales for Q4 compared to 9.84% in last year’s Q4. Again, if you would jot down just a few numbers. The same three columns, the same six columns for second and third and fourth quarters. Operations, Core operations at Central, Equity, RSUs, and Total. So again, going across, for Core Operations in the second quarter we reported an improvement or plus 25 basis points. Plus means lower SG&A. Without gas inflation, it was plus 18. In the third quarter, plus 10 and plus 4. And in the fourth quarter plus 12 and plus 13. Central, in the second quarter, plus 5 and plus 4. In the third quarter, minus 8 and minus 9. And in the fourth quarter, plus 6 and plus 6. RSUs, minus 1 and minus 1. In the second quarter 0 and 0 and both in the third quarter and 0 and 0 in the fourth quarter. And then Total, for the second quarter year over year reported SG&A lower or plus 29 basis point, without gas plus 21. In the third quarter, plus 2 and minus 5. And in the fourth quarter, plus 18 and there has been a rounding to plus 19. So again, that’s the matrix that I’ll talk about. In terms of an editorial here, again, Operations were lower or better by 12 basis points year over year as reported, excluding the negative impact of very slight deflation in gasoline, the Core was actually better by 13. Within Core Operations, our payroll as a percentage of sales improved year over year in the fourth quarter by 6 basis points with a 2-basis-point offset to the healthcare cost lines. Our Central Expenses were better year over year, or lower by 6 basis points. This is notwithstanding higher year-over-year IT costs related to our IT modernization efforts of our systems that we have embarked on. So overall, a continued focus, I think, on expense reduction or expense improvement and we think that was evident in the fourth quarter. On the income – I will make one other comment. On the income statement, in terms of formatting, you may note or you probably haven’t noted yet, that we have combined our former income statement line item provision for repaired assets and closing costs within SG&A because of it’s an immaterial amount. I will mention that in the fourth quarter of ’11 we had a charge of $2 million in the quarter on that line so that’s added SG&A and in Q4 ’12, that we had a minor charge of a few hundred thousand dollars. So both minor and historically very minor and will reclassify accordingly. In terms of factors that will impact SG&A in ’13, the main items will continue to be sales trends, healthcare costs and gasoline sales and inflation in terms of percentages and increasing penetration of certain international operations, which have overall – which generally have lower overall SG&A percentages. In terms of the next line item, Pre-Opening expenses, Pre-Opening expenses were $22 million last year in the quarter as compared to $15 million this year. So $7 million lower or 3 basis points better. Note, as I mentioned earlier, last year we had 12 openings in the quarter compared to 6 this year. All totaled operating income in the fourth quarter as up just under 25% year over year from $762 million last year in the quarter to $9 million this year, an increase of $187 million. Again, this includes the benefit of the extra week and the other items mentioned earlier. In terms of interest and other, below the operating income line, we reported interest expense was lower year over year by $14 million with Q4 ’12 coming in at $22 million versus 36 million in last year’s fourth quarter. These amounts, again, may reflect the interest expense on the – no the previously $2 billion offering of [inaudible] of ’07, $900 million of that, of course, on March, this past March 15th was paid off. And again, the anticipated pre-tax interest savings given that we’re essentially paying off 5-plus percent in debt and [inaudible] on cash that’s earing sub-50 basis points ,that’s around $46 million pre-tax a year. For the fourth quarter this represented a reduction in interest expense of 15 million and again, on an annual basis about $46 million. In terms of interest income and other it was lower year over year by 8 million, coming in at 38 million this year in the quarter versus 46 million last year. It was lower year over year largely due to the income last year in the fourth quarter related to gains on non-functional currencies held by certain of our foreign operations. Primarily this represented the U.S. dollars that were being held in Costco Mexico, which of course in Mexico, they’re a non-functional currency. Historically, we’d always – we and our partner had always kept a portion of our cash expressed in dollars and again, we benefited from that even though we [inaudible] peso during this period of time. Overall, reported pre-tax income is up 25% from $772 million last year to $965 million this year. Tax rate, our company’s reported tax rate this quarter came at a 35.6%. This is about 30 basis points higher than last year’s fourth quarter rate of 35.3. The income tax recorded due to the Costco Mexico dividend or the $8.3 million amount accounted for about 85 basis points of our fourth quarter 2012 tax rate and this was offset by year-over-year – well, this was offset year-over-year by increasing earnings attributed to our foreign operations, again, which generally had a lower rate. Now for a quick rundown of a few other items. The balance sheet was included in the press release this morning. Some of you have asked me for the depreciation and amortization in the fourth quarter. For the quarter, it was $292 million which then for the year was $908 million. We always look at our accounts payable ratios. On the balance sheet it shows an improvement from 99% APS as percent of inventory last year to 103%. A big chunk of that difference there would be the payables on non-merchandise payables given all the construction activates we have going on. So if we take out that and look at just merchandising payables and merchandising inventories, it was about the same year over year, 91% last year and 90% this year at quarter end. Average inventory per warehouse was up $458,000 or about 4% from last year’s – our fourth quarter end our average inventory per warehouse was $11.2 million and this year, $11.67 million. Electronics was about half of that, a little over half of that, $240,000 as we’ve been experiencing improving sales in that department. As you know, we continue to focus on the bigger-ticket items, you know, selling lots of things like 60 and 80-inch TVs. The remaining balance of variance is spread over many departments. Again, good inventory showing [inaudible] and good fiscal yearend inventory results. In terms of CapEx, the fourth quarter, we spent $580 million and for all of 2012 just a shade under $1.5 billion. In fiscal ’13, our CapEx is actually [inaudible] quite a bit given the increase level of new openings as well as investments in operations and infrastructure such as depots in both Japan and Taiwan along with increased investment in IT related to our systems modernization projects that I had mentioned earlier. Our current estimate for CapEx in fiscal 2013 compared – as compared to the 1.5 billion last year is somewhere in the range of 1.8 to $2 billion. In terms of our dividend earlier in May, we increased our quarterly dividend 14.5% from $0.24 per share or $0.96 per share on an annual basis, to $0.275 per share per quarter or $1.10 a share annualized. This dividend – this annualized dividend now represents a total cost to the company of just about $488 million. And in terms of expansion, quarter we expect to open 9 warehouses in the first quarter, which is late November and an additional 6 in the second quarter, most of which is before – all but one which I believe is before calendar year end. In the third quarter, which stretches from roughly mid-February to roughly mid-May 7, and fourth quarter, the 16 weeks from roughly mid-May to the end of August 8. That would bring us to 30 for the year. That’s the budget, as I mentioned earlier. We’re talking about 27 to 30 and inevitably there’s always a few that fall out, but I’m happy to report that we have a lot going on between now and calendar year end. Assuming we added 30 on a base of 608, that would be about a 5% square footage growth, which would certainly be our largest square footage expansion in years. Also as a fiscal year end, our total square footage was 86 million ,937,000 square feet. In terms of our stock repurchases, for the year we purchased 7.3 million shares at an average price of $84.75 bringing total expenditures over the last several years – over the entire fiscal year to 617 million, which I believe is about the same as – roughly the same, within 10 or $20 million of the amount we spent in 2011. With that, as always, we’ll have a supplemental information packet and that will posted on the Costco Investor Relations site later this morning. And with that, I’ll turn it back over to Tabitha for Q&A. Thank you.