Thomas Farrell
Analyst · Credit Suisse
Good morning. We continue to move forward on our long-term infrastructure growth plan. Many of the projects announced at the outset of this program in 2007 are either currently in operation or nearing completion, and we are now well into the development of the next round of projects. These investments which we announced last September are spread across all of our regulated lines of business and provide the foundation for our growth in earnings and dividends. We see the potential for this growth to continue beyond the current 5-year window through the end of the decade. Since we began this program in 2007, we have added over 1,500 megawatts of generating capacity to our Virginia fleet, with the construction of a new combined cycle facility, peaking facilities, as well as upgrades to some of our existing plants. In May, the 580-megawatt Bear Garden Power Station in Buckingham County began commercial operation and has run for over 60 days without any forced outage or automatic trips. Bear Garden was completed on time and on budget. We will add another 585 megawatts next summer when the Virginia City Hybrid Energy Center, a coal and wood-burning plant in Wise County, is scheduled to begin commercial operation. Virginia City is about 90% complete and is also proceeding on budget and on time, with about 2,200 workers on site during this past quarter. Our next generating plant will be a gas-fired 3-on-1 combined cycle project in Warren County, Virginia that will provide approximately 1,300 megawatts when operational. The CPCN and Rider applications were filed with the State Corporation Commission on May 2, and an EPC contract was executed on June 30. EPC contract is fixed-price, which significantly reduces the risk of cost overruns to the company and its customers. Site work has commenced and the final notice to proceed was issued with the manufacturer of the major equipment. If regulatory approvals are received, construction should begin in the spring of next year and the plant should be in commercial operation in late 2014. The estimated cost of the project is $1.1 billion, excluding financing costs, or only about $821 per kW, which combined with its 6,600 heat rate, provides substantial economic value for our customers. Even with the planned addition of the Warren County plant, Virginia Power will still need to construct additional generating capacity to overcome its existing shortfall and to meet the demands of its growing service territory. We will provide periodic updates as we refine our growth plans. Virginia Power has also announced plans to convert 3 small generating plants from burning coal to less expensive waste wood as fuel. The air permit applications were filed at the end of May, and the CPCN and Rider applications were filed with the State Corporation Commission on June 27. An EPC contract, which is also fixed-price, was executed on June 30 and we are in the process of contracting with fuel aggregators for each of the facilities. The estimated cost of the conversions is $165 million and if the projects are approved by regulators, should be completed in 2013. On the environmental front, as you are aware, the Environmental Protection Agency issued its Cross State Air Pollution Rule earlier this month. In a change from the earlier drafts, the state of Massachusetts, where our Brayton Point Power Station is located, was excluded from the program. The program also excludes Rhode Island, where our Manchester Street Station is located. We are evaluating our compliance options for our generating fleet in Virginia, including installing control equipment, replacing some of our existing generation with new gas-fired facilities, adding additional transmission capacity, or some combination of all 3. We will discuss our full compliance strategy later this year when we file our integrated resource plan with regulators. The upgrade of our transmission system is a key component of our infrastructure growth plan. I'm pleased to announce that both of our major 500kv additions, the Meadow Brook-to-Loudon and the Carson-to-Suffolk lines are in service. Both were completed on/or ahead of schedule and within budget. Work has begun on the West Virginia portion of our next major transmission project, the modernization of the Mt. Storm-to-Doubs line. A hearing before the State Corporation Commission on the Virginia portion of the line was held on June 20, and we expect an order later this year. Work on this project will be conducted during the spring and fall of the next 3 years, and is estimated to cost about $350 million. Our electric transmission project pipeline contains over 40 additional projects, totaling about $500 million per year or at least each of the next 5 years. The growth program at our natural gas infrastructure business continues to move forward as well. You should expect to see a focus by us on a variety of midstream investment opportunities available in both the Marcellus and Utica Shale formations. Before turning to some developments there, let me update you on our midstream expansion projects that arise from the constraint conventional fields in the Appalachian basin. The Lightburn Extraction Plant, part of our Gathering Enhancement project, was completed during the quarter. The Charleroi propane truck loading terminal, which provides access to the Pittsburgh market, was placed in-service on June 3. Both projects were completed on time and within budget. Our $634 million Appalachian Gateway Project received approval from FERC last month. Construction will begin this summer, and the project should be in service by September 2012. Now to the shale opportunities. Last quarter, we announced 3 new projects which support Dominion Energy's 5-year growth outlook. These were the Tioga Area Expansion, the Allegheny Storage Project and our letter of intent between Chesapeake Energy and Dominion East Ohio to develop gathering systems to support Chesapeake's activities in the Utica Shale formation. Our next major project in the Marcellus and Utica regions has been finalized. We have acquired a site on the Ohio River in Natrium, West Virginia to construct a large gas processing and fractionation plant. With the rising price of oil and the depressed price of natural gas, drilling activity in the region has shifted from a dry gas to wet gas areas of the formation as producers look to capture the economic value of the natural gas liquids. As a result, the region has a significant need for additional processing and fractionation capacity. The Natrium site can access production in both the Marcellus and Utica Shale regions and is able to ship products via barge, rail, truck and pipe, offering significant value to producers. During the second quarter, we executed binding, gathering, processing and fractionation agreements with 3 customers. On July 1, we executed an EPC contract for the construction of facilities that can process 200 million cubic feet of natural gas per day and fractionate 36,000 barrels of NGLs per day. This phase of the project is currently over 90% contracted and is expected to be in-service by December 2012. Chesapeake Energy is the largest customer, having a commitment to provide 100 million cubic feet a day. The Phase 1 cost of Natrium for processing, fractionation, plant inlet and outlet natural gas transportation, gathering and various modes of NGL transportation is approximately $500 million. We can expand the facility to accommodate additional demand for producers and are currently working to secure additional commitments for a second phase of the project. Chesapeake Energy has an existing option for a portion of Phase 2. If the contracts are finalized, we would expand the facility to 400 million cubic feet of natural gas per day and 59,000 barrels of NGLs per day. The expansion of the facility would lead to a significant additional investment opportunity for our midstream business. With the continued successful development of the Marcellus and Utica Shale formations, interest in our Cove Point liquefaction project is growing as well. We are engaged in discussions with numerous potential customers in Europe and Asia, as well as producers in the Appalachian basin. At East Ohio, the company filed a request with the Public Utilities Commission to accelerate the previously approved 25-year, $2.7 billion barrel steel pipe replacement program to nearly double the spending to more than $200 million per year. We have reached a settlement agreement with the commission staff to increase spending by $40 million, bringing the total to $160 million per year. The proposed settlement is subject to the approval of the Public Utilities Commission. The hearing was held on July 22, and we expect an order in the near future. I'll now turn to operating results for the quarter, beginning with safety. Last quarter, I discussed the record safety performance from our Fossil & Hydro and Nuclear business units. This quarter, I want to highlight the safety performance at our natural gas businesses. Gas transmission's lost-time/restricted duty incident rate for the first half of the year matches its best ever performance. Dominion Hope recorded 0 OSHA reportable or lost-time incidents for the quarter and Dominion East Ohio recorded the best safety performance in over a decade. Cove Point was recognized for its safety and security performance, as well as its community involvement, with awards from the United States Coast Guard and the Southern Maryland Economic Development Association. Our other business units continue to register improving metrics for safety performance. Moving to operations, our generating plants performed well in the second quarter. Availability of our Fossil & Hydro fleet has been better than targets, particularly the utility large coal fleet, which achieved its best ever forced outage rate. North Anna Power Station and Millstone Unit 3 have operated at 100% capacity through the first half of the year. A spring refueling outage at Millstone Unit 2 was accomplished in a unit record 30 days. A spring refueling outage at Surry Unit 2 included a low-pressure/high-pressure turbine replacement, which was the final portion of the capacity upgrade project, expected to add about 40 megawatts. The tornado touched down on the site at the outset of the outage which combined with the valve malfunction, delayed the restart of the unit by about 25 days. Economic growth continues to drive improving results for Virginia Power. Projected demand growth in Dominion's service territory is the highest in PJM. Unemployment in Virginia is at 6%, well below the national average of over 9%, and is only 4.5% in Northern Virginia. New connects have been running below expectations, but sales growth has been strong. Weather adjusted, sales were up 3% in the second quarter after rising 2.1% in the first quarter. Last Friday, Virginia Power set a new all-time record peak demand of over 20,000 megawatts, an increase of nearly 2% over the previous peak set in August 2007. Several new data centers have been put into service or are nearing completion. Through the first half of the year, 5 new data centers have been connected, adding about 12 megawatts of new load to our system. We expect to add another 63 megawatts of new load from data centers by the end of this year. Our data center load, which was 295 megawatts at the beginning of the year, should grow to 545 megawatts by the end of next year and 715 megawatts by the end of 2013. Our regulatory calendar has been fairly active this year. I've already mentioned the recent filings related to our new growth projects at Warren County and the biomass conversions. Updates for the Riders for Bear Garden and Virginia City were filed on June 27. Last week, the State Corporation Commission issued an order in our annual commission rate Rider filing, approving an annual revenue requirement of $466.4 million, which fully supports recovery of the cost related to our growth projects. The new rate becomes effective September 1. On June 27, the State Corporation Commission approved our request to recover over $430 million in deferred fuel costs over a 24-month period rather than the traditional 12-month recovery called for in the statute. Our request for the extended recovery period reflects our desire to mitigate the impact on our customers. Finally, a few comments about our biennial review. As many of you know, the first biennial review under Virginia's reregulation statute takes place this year. We submitted our filing on March 31, and the SEC must issue an order by the end of November. Our filing demonstrates that our earnings governed by base rates for 2009 and '10 were within the 100 basis point approved range of 11.4% to 12.4%. Testimony from intervenors was filed last week and raised no unexpected issues. Staff testimony is due on August and hearings are scheduled for September 20. Virginia law allowed the SEC to revise the return on equity to be used in future regulatory proceedings although the governing criteria, such as the use of a peer group average of earned returns and the inclusion of premiums for operating performance and remitting renewable energy targets still apply. Our base rates cannot be changed as a result of this review. So to conclude, second quarter earnings were at the high end of our guidance range. We continue to improve our safety performance, which is already at the top tier in our industry. All 3 of our business units performed well and delivered results that met or exceeded our expectations. We continue to move forward with our growth plans, completing several major projects and beginning several more. This fall, we plan to provide more details around the next stage of our growth plan, including our plans for Virginia Power to comply with new EPA regulations, the continued build-out of midstream infrastructure in the Marcellus and Utica Shale regions, and disclosure of longer-dated hedging activities designed to lock in improving margins for our merchant generating fleet. Thank you, and we are now ready for your questions.