William G. Quigley
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets
Thanks, Roger, and good day, everyone. Slide 10 provides a summary of Dana's second quarter 2013 financial results. Second quarter sales totaled $1.8 billion, lower than a year ago by $136 million. Similar to the first quarter of this year, Light Vehicle Driveline planned program roll-offs and the leisure products divestiture completed last year lowered sales by $84 million. Improving sales in South America were offset by lower commercial vehicle demand in North America and Europe, as well as continued softness in off-highway construction and mining end markets and an in-sourcing action by an off-highway customer a year ago further contributed to the comparison. Currency was unfavorable by about $38 million, including the ongoing impact of the Venezuela bolivar devaluation that occurred in February of this year. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $215 million compared to $225 million in the first quarter of last year. The impact of lower sales was mostly offset by favorable cost performance and recovery actions related to the Venezuela currency devaluation. Adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter was 11.9%, a 40-basis point improvement compared to a year ago. Net income totaled $92 million compared to $86 million a year ago, an increase of $6 million. On a comparative basis, lower restructuring and depreciation and amortization expense in the quarter of about $22 million, more than offset the impact of lower adjusted EBITDA and increased tax expense. As you know, for fully diluted adjusted EPS purposes, we exclude amortization and restructuring expenses. Fully diluted adjusted EPS of $0.54 in the quarter compares to $0.56 a year ago, reflecting lower adjusted net income, partially offset by a lower share count reflecting execution under our share repurchase program. Capital spending for the quarter was $42 million, $5 million higher compared to a year ago. Free cash flow for the quarter was $160 million, $53 million higher compared to last year and included $26 million of prior period accrued interest from the payment of a long-standing note receivable from previous divestiture received in the current quarter. Slide 11 highlights Dana's year-to-date financial results. Through the first 6 months of 2013, sales totaled about $3.5 billion, lower by $424 million compared to a year ago. Light Vehicle Driveline planned program roll-offs and the leisure products divestiture accounted for $185 million of this comparison, while currency provided a further reduction of $68 million. Volume and mix, reflecting lower production demand in commercial vehicle and off-highway end markets, accounted for the remainder of the comparison. Year-to-date adjusted EBITDA was $373 million compared to $437 million a year ago, reflecting lower production volumes and currency impacts, partially offset by favorable cost performance and our recovery initiatives. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 10.7%, 40 basis points lower than last year, 20 basis points of the decline due to the Venezuela devaluation in the first quarter alone. Year-to-date free cash flow was $116 million compared to a use of $80 million last year, which included $150 million voluntary pension contribution in the first quarter of 2012. Adjusting for this pension contribution, free cash flow was higher than 2012 by $46 million. Slide 12 provides a comparison of our consolidated sales, change by business segment, as well as the key drivers year-over-year for the second quarter. On a regional basis, North America sales totaled $800 million in the quarter and represented about 44% of total sales compared to 49% a year ago. Sales were lower than a year ago by about $145 million, reflecting the impact of program roll-offs, the leisure products divestiture and lower commercial vehicle and off-highway end market demand. Europe sales totaled $517 million in the quarter or about 28% of total sales, lower than last year by $33 million, mostly driven by lower construction in mining equipment demand impacting our off-highway business. South America sales totaled $271 million in the quarter or about 15% of sales, an increase of $46 million compared to a year ago, largely reflecting recovery in commercial vehicle demand in Brazil. Asia-Pacific sales totaled $212 million, about $3 million lower than a year ago and represented 12% of total sales, reflecting both light and commercial vehicle softness principally in India, as well as lower construction in mining equipment demand as well. The chart to the bottom left highlights the change in sales by business segment, while the chart to the right highlights the key drivers of the year-over-year sales performance. Currency lowered sales by $38 million, primarily impacting our Light Vehicle Driveline business, $21 million of which was due to the Venezuela bolivar devaluation earlier in the year. In the current quarter, recoveries related to this devaluation increased sales by $12 million. As highlighted, program roll-offs in Light Vehicle Driveline of $72 million and a divestiture in off-highway of $12 million accounted for $84 million of the year-over-year change in sales. Volume and mix accounted for $43 million, mostly driven by lower construction and mining equipment demand and a customer in-sourcing action impacting our off-highway business, while declines in North American commercial vehicle demand were more than offset by increased volume in Brazil. Europe continued to be a slight headwind compared to a year ago. Slide 13 provides a similar comparison of adjusted EBITDA for the quarter with the year-over-year change by business segment presented at the bottom left and the key drivers of the change presented to the right. Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $215 million compared to $225 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA margin in the quarter was 11.9%, a 40-basis point improvement from our 2012 results. In the second quarter, we recovered about $6 million of the Venezuela devaluation that reduced Dana's first quarter adjusted EBITDA by $11 million. We continue to be on track to recover the majority of this impact over the remainder of the year. Volume and mix represented $16 million of the year-over-year change, principally driven by lower construction in mining equipment sales. Performance, which includes the year-to-year impact of our pricing and recovery initiatives, as well as net cost performance, improved adjusted EBITDA by $9 million compared to a year ago. In the next 2 slides, we'll review the sales and EBITDA performance of each of our business segments. This slide highlights sales and segment EBITDA performance for Light Vehicle Driveline and Commercial Vehicle Driveline. Light Vehicle Driveline sales were lower by $62 million or about 8% compared to a year ago, of which $72 million was attributable to program roll-offs and a net $9 million to the ongoing effects of the Venezuela devaluation. Segment EBITDA of $71 million was lower than a year ago by about $5 million. As mentioned earlier, we recovered about $6 million of the first quarter of Venezuela devaluation in the current quarter. Similar to the first quarter of this year, taking into account lower margin program roll-offs and the effects of currency, the business was mostly in line with last year. Volume and performance was impacted by both lower production volume and inflationary pressures in South America, principally around continued economic volatility in Venezuela and Argentina. Segment EBITDA for the quarter was 10.5% compared to 10.3% a year ago. Light Vehicle Driveline margins improved 390 basis points in the current quarter when compared to the first quarter of this year. Commercial Vehicle Driveline sales of $498 million were lower by $15 million or about 3% compared to a year ago. Currency lowered sales by $7 million in the current quarter, while lower demand in North America and Europe of about $47 million was largely offset by a recovery in Brazil. Segment EBITDA was $61 million in the quarter, $4 million higher than last year, driven by ongoing cost improvement actions within the business. Segment EBITDA margin was 12.2% for the quarter, 110 basis points better than last year and 320 basis points better than the first quarter of this year. Turning to Slide 15. Off-highway Driveline second quarter sales of $364 million were lower than last year by $62 million. Lower end market demand in construction and mining equipment was a principal driver again in this quarter with the remaining amount related to leisure products divestiture and the planned impact of an in-sourcing action by 1 customer that we highlighted earlier this year. Off-highway posted segment EBITDA of $46 million in the quarter or 12.6% of sales, 50 basis points lower than a year ago, reflecting the impact of lower volumes, partially offset by continued execution of cost-reduction actions. Compared to the first quarter of this year, off-highway sales increased by about $20 million and segment EBITDA margin increased by 60 basis points, reflecting favorable earnings contribution on increased volumes. Power Technologies second quarter sales of $265 million were higher than a year ago by $3 million, driven by increased volume of $7 million, partially offset by currency. Segment EBITDA of $39 million was $2 million higher than a year ago, reflecting the impact of higher volumes and performance. Segment EBITDA was 14.7% in the current quarter, a 60 basis point improvement compared to a year ago. And compared to the first quarter of 2013, Power Technologies improved segment EBITDA margins by 60 basis points, reflecting favorable earnings contribution on those increased volumes. Similar to the year-over-year comparisons just discussed, Slide 16 presents the key drivers of Dana's sales and adjusted EBITDA performance from the first quarter to the second quarter of this year. Sequentially, sales increased $124 million, primarily driven by increased volume and mix of $129 million and pricing and recoveries of $11 million. Recovery actions related to the first quarter Venezuela devaluation increased sales by $5 million net of the ongoing impact of the currency devaluation. Adjusted EBITDA improved by $57 million, with the key drivers being favorable contribution from higher sales volume, improving recovery and cost performance actions contributed as well. Adjusted EBITDA margins improved 250 basis points on a sequential basis. And as highlighted here, segment EBITDA margin sequentially improved across each of our business segments in the second quarter. Slide 17 highlights free cash flow for the quarter. Free cash flow was $160 million in the current quarter compared to $107 million in the second quarter of last year, an improvement of $53 million. Working capital generated $22 million in the quarter compared to a use of $55 million a year ago. Capital spending was $42 million, $5 million higher than a year ago as we continue to invest in the business to drive efficiencies and support new programs. Net cash interest provided a net inflow of $24 million in the quarter due to a partial payment received on an outstanding note receivable from a prior divestiture of in total $61 million, of which $26 million represented prior period accrued interest. Cash taxes were $32 million, $25 million higher than a year ago, reflecting the timing of our estimated tax payments and the non-recurrence of refunds in the prior year of about $14 million. Restructuring cash outflows totaled $12 million, $4 million higher than last year, and in line with our full year guidance. Pension contributions for the quarter were $4 million compared with $16 million in the second quarter of last year. Year-to-date, free cash flow was positive $116 million. As highlighted here for comparative purposes, we have adjusted last year's free cash flow results for the $150 million voluntary pension contribution made in the first quarter of 2012. Adjusting for this contribution, Dana's free cash flow performance was still $46 million higher compared to last year. Slide 18 highlights our cash, debt and liquidity positions at the end of June. Cash and marketable securities totaled $1.127 billion while outstanding debt was $898 million, providing a net cash position of $229 million. Debt balances did decrease from the first quarter of this year, reflecting lower local borrowings in South America. Total liquidity stood at nearly $1.5 billion, including $394 million of availability under our U.S. and European financing facilities. Year-to-date we have returned capital to shareholders via dividends and execution of our share repurchase program of $116 million. In the current quarter, we repurchased about 3.5 million of outstanding common shares, the cost of about $62 million compared to the repurchase of about 1.4 million shares, $24 million utilized in the first quarter of 2013. In total, we have repurchased over 6 million shares and returned over $100 million to our shareholders since we started the program late last year. We continue to evaluate our capital structure and allocation strategy, and Slide 19 provides a current update on that front. During the second quarter, we refinanced our existing $500 million U.S. credit facility, extending the maturity through June 2018, as well as lowering commitment fees and drawn borrowing costs. In addition to the $100 million returned to shareholders through our existing share repurchase program, as Roger mentioned, on June 28, the company announced the expansion of the program by $900 million to a total of $1 billion to be executed over the next 2 years. In addition to our financial performance, these actions reflect our focus on increasing shareholder value by a continued drive to improve the efficiencies of our business, as well as the productivity of our cash flows and financial position. Slide 20 summarizes our full year financial guidance. We have refined our full year targets for 2013 to the low end of our previous adjusted EBITDA guidance, while maintaining our adjusted EBITDA margin target, reflecting the sales impact of our current end market production outlook for the rest of the year. We now expect sales for 2013 to be about $7 billion, about $100 million lower than our previous estimate, as we expect continued softness in certain end markets for the rest of the year, most notably pressures in India and South America impacting our Light Vehicle Driveline business and continued softness in construction and mining equipment demand impacting off-highway. We expect adjusted EBITDA to be about $800 million at the lower end of our previous guidance and adjusted EBITDA margin to be about 11.4%. We expect diluted adjusted EPS to be about $1.90 for the year, about the midpoint of our previous guidance. This, of course, includes the impact of any future exercise of our share repurchase program. Capital spending is unchanged and is expected to be in the range of $180 million to $200 million, and we have increased our free cash flow target by $25 million to a range of $265 million to $285 million, reflecting the receipt of interest in the current quarter that we discussed earlier in the presentation. Slide 19 highlights the progression and key drivers of our full year sales guidance and our full year adjusted EBITDA margin target of 11.4% based on our first half actual performance and second half expectations. As we discussed in our first quarter call, we did expect an improvement in our sales over the remainder of 2013, and the volume environment did sequentially improve by about $129 million in the second quarter. We do expect further volume to increase sales by about $60 million in the second half of this year with the majority benefiting our commercial vehicle and light vehicle businesses. We have lowered our expectation overall for light vehicle production over continued market pressures in South America and India. While there is still a degree of uncertainty in the North American Class 8 market, we believe that global production forecast is sufficient to maintain our sales target for Commercial Vehicle Driveline. On the off-highway front, we have lowered our full year sales target by about $50 million, reflecting our expectation of continued weak construction and mining equipment demand for the remainder of the year. On the adjusted EBITDA margin front, currency will be a slight headwind, while we expect to convert and improve incremental volume, adding about 40 basis points to our first half margins. We also expect ongoing cost recoveries, including those related to the Venezuelan devaluation to contribute a 30 basis point improvement in margin. Finally, we continue to focus on all areas of cost performance, including supply chain initiatives and conversion and overhead cost reductions throughout all of our businesses, and expect these actions to generate a further 75 basis point improvement over the first half results. While adjustments to our full year sales target reflects continued volatility in a number of regions and certain end markets, each of our businesses have a solid foundation and plan in place to maintain our margin objectives for 2013. This concludes our presentation. And we'll now turn the call back to the operator for questions. Thank you.