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DiamondRock Hospitality Company (DRH)

Q2 2023 Earnings Call· Sun, Aug 6, 2023

$10.25

+0.20%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the DiamondRock Hospitality Company Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Ms. Briony Quinn, Senior Vice President and Treasurer of DiamondRock Hospitality. Please go ahead.

Briony Quinn

Analyst

Thank you, Valerie. Good evening, everyone. Welcome to DiamondRock's Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Call and Webcast. Before we get started, let me remind everyone that many of our comments today are not historical facts and are considered to be forward-looking statements under federal securities laws. As described in our filings with the SEC, these statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause future results to differ materially from those expressed in our comments today. In addition, on today's call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial information. A reconciliation of this information to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure can be found in our earnings press release. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Mark Brugger, our President and Chief Executive Officer.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Thank you for joining us today for DiamondRock's second quarter earnings call. Global travel demand remained strong. TSA throughput in the quarter reached 99% of 2019 levels and hotel stays in the United States this year are expected to surpass annual pandemic record of RMB 1.3 billion rooms. DiamondRock has been a leader in the recovery and later, we'll discuss why we are well positioned to hold and expand our leasing sector in years to come. Against the favorable industry backdrop, however, the slowing macroeconomic environment is weighing on the pace of recovery of business travel and the redistribution of leisure travel from the unfettered competition from cruise lines and international destination is impacting domestic, leisure-oriented properties. In our view, some of these adjustments are just momentary events, but they were a headwind in the second quarter and will remain a headwind until later this year. However, we are seeing an emerging new baseline of travel demand that is more weighted towards leisure travel than in the past, and industry growth will build upon this foundation going forward after firming up its new normal in 2023. DiamondRock's competitive advantage remains the high-quality portfolio of hotels and resorts that we have curated to deeply resonate with the desires of today's travelers. Measured by full year revenue, our portfolio is approximately 60% urban and 40% resort. The 20 urban hotels were tailored to be the hotel of choice for the business group and leisure travelers in their respective cities. The 16 irreplaceable experiential resorts are each in special destinations, and in many of these markets, DiamondRock has been the first mover among the hotel REITs. Perhaps our portfolio's most distinguishing feature is that almost 95% of our hotels are unencumbered by long-term management contracts, which gives us greater control over the operations…

Jeff Donnelly

Analyst

Thanks, Mark. I apologize for our operators' technical difficulties earlier. I understand there might be some call quality issues that we're working to resolve. As I mentioned in our last earnings call, Q2 was set to be a challenging quarter, given difficult comparisons on both revenue and expense. I want to start by breaking down the year-over-year changes to revenue and EBITDA to give you a little more insight into the portfolio and help with comparability to peers. All of the statistics I will discuss are on a comparable basis. Portfolio RevPAR increased 0.5% and total revenue increased 0.9% in the quarter. This breaks down to a 7.1% increase in total revenue for our urban hotels and an 8.3% decrease for our resort portfolio. Our urban hotels were nearly flat to 2019, down just 0.7%, but our resorts were robust 33% higher. Broadly speaking, Florida continues to exhibit the same year-over-year trend we've discussed since late last year. If we excluded all 7 of our Florida hotels, a few of which were up year-over-year in the quarter, RevPAR for our non-Florida hotels increased 3.7% and total revenue increased 3.3%. We had a few sources of disruption and displacement during the quarter. The Hilton Garden Inn in Times Square was closed for a week in June due to a minor electrical fire originating from an MEP repair. We also experienced some disruption from the completion of the rooms upgrade at the Dagny in Boston and the Salt Lake City Marriott. Collectively, these events shaved about 50 basis points off our revenue metrics for the quarter, implying revenue growth would have been about 1.5% for the entire portfolio and closer to 4% for the non-Florida portfolio. Switching to EBITDA. Hotel adjusted EBITDA was $93.6 million at a 32.4% margin. It was 381…

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Thanks, Jeff. I'll conclude with a few thoughts on why we remain constructive on travel generally, and DiamondRock specifically headed into 2024. For the industry, overall U.S. travel is projected to hit a new record next year with occupancy of more than 1.3 billion hotel nights. The leisure segment in the U.S. next year will have its adjustments to the new normal behind it and can resume its long-term trend line of outperformance. And U.S. industry fundamentals should benefit over the next 3 to 5 years from constrained hotel supply as high construction cost and high borrowing costs, limit the viability of many new projects. For DiamondRock, we have room to run. If our urban and resort properties just get back to prior peak occupancy that is worth $54 million in incremental revenue. Group room nights and associated spend just get back to 2019 levels, that alone is worth $30 million in incremental revenue. ROI projects will also continue to pay off. For example, the Dagny Boston repositioning this year is projected to grow profits 35% in 2024 with revenues up about $3.5 million. And importantly, for DiamondRock, we are excited about our group prospects for next year. Group revenue pace is up a terrific 28%. Our hotels in Boston, Chicago, San Diego, Washington D.C., and Phoenix generate nearly 45% of our Urban Hotel EBITDA. Currently, these markets have 3.2 million citywide room nights on the books for 2024. This is 10% or 300,000 room nights more than in 2019 so we are obviously encouraged by a group trajectory in 2024. As you can tell, we remain positive on the future of travel. Travel is one of the most highly valued assets in our society and around the world, and we believe that DiamondRock is well positioned for this cycle with a high-quality portfolio, a focused strategy and ample liquidity to move opportunistically. At this time, we would like to open it up for your questions. Just if I could summarize, I know there's been some technical difficulties. So we will 8-K the transcript of this call.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from the line of Duane Pfennigwerth. Your line is open.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Duane, are you there?

Duane Pfennigwerth

Analyst

Sorry, I didn't hear the name they called, but nice to speak with you.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Sorry for the issue.

Duane Pfennigwerth

Analyst

No, no worries. Can you help us maybe size the year-over-year impact you'd expect from the ROI projects that are underway this year and the acquisitions that you've completed this year. What could that look like on a year-over-year contribution basis into 2024?

Jeffrey Donnelly

Analyst

I'm just thinking about it. And the answer for that is I'm trying to build it up in our head. My suspicion is it's going to be a few million dollars from the acquisitions when you think about all the acquisitions that were effectively closed in this year because we have Chico, obviously, which just happened and then late last year, we had Lake Austin. If you're going back that far. And then this year, we also have some of the ROI projects that are kind of come in, and I think would be another few million dollars on top of that. There will be some offsets this year. Duane, as I mentioned, the Dagny Boston was probably about $8 million of disruption but then next year, I think you should see a good chunk of that begin to reverse.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yes. If I could just jump in, a couple of pieces here. So the Dagny and Chico are probably the easiest one to bridge here. So we said on Dagny is that we expect the revenues next year to be up at least $3.5 million and probably $3 million in EBITDA year-over-year. On Chico which is our acquisition this year, we expected to do north of $3 million in EBITDA in 2024. And then for the disruption, obviously, the disruption from the 1-week closure at Hilton Garden and we expect to get 100% of that back next year. And that Salt Lake City was a rooms renovation and we would expect that to all return in 2024 as well. The Dagny, which we gave specific numbers on, will take probably 3 years since its conversion from a brand to an independent to fully ramp up to its stabilized number.

Duane Pfennigwerth

Analyst

Okay, thanks. And then for my follow-up, maybe you could just give us a sense, I thought the ex-Florida portfolio performance was interesting. But as you look at the balance of the year, markets like Key West, in particular, are you thinking it's just more of the same normalization? Or do you see any potential path to pick up later this year, maybe fourth quarter? Thanks for taking the questions.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Duane. So floor is interesting. I'll let Justin jump in here, too. So every asset is a little different. And Tranquility Bay, which is in Marathon Key, we actually saw it stabilize in July, and we're encouraged by what's going on there. The pace of decline in the Keys is getting better so we're seeing it get better as a summer. It's still negative year-over-year. And as you may recall from our results and comments at the end of last year, we were seeing some deterioration there in the Florida Keys earliest that they've gotten just kind of crazy high. So it was kind of first to start the readjustment, if we will, to the new normal so we would expect it to be one of the markets that we start getting more normalized as we get to November, December of this year. Justin, do you want to add anything to add to that?

Justin Leonard

Analyst

Yes, I think it's really more the sort of normalization of the comparable year as we get to the back half of the year. As Mark mentioned, we saw the Florida Keys being one of the first assets that we had start to drop off from a year-over-year basis in the summer of last year and some of our other leisure assets fell off sort of the back half of the summer. So as we work through third quarter and get to fourth quarter, the comp just gets easier for us on a year-over-year comparable.

Duane Pfennigwerth

Analyst

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. One moment, please. Our next question comes from the line of Anthony Powell of Barclays. Your line is open.

Anthony Powell

Analyst

Hi, good evening, everyone. Thanks for the question. Business transient, you mentioned a plateauing or kind of slowing a bit, a bit different commentary that we're hearing from others. I guess outside of San Francisco, are there any other markets where you're seeing kind of that slowdown or that, I guess, moderation? Or is it more of a broader comment that you're observing?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yes. I mean the data we're looking at on kind of industry-wide is the RevPAR for business transient is focused on special corporate is down about 20% to 2019 levels. It varies -- it can vary dramatically. Obviously, in New York City, we're actually above where we were in 2019, and San Francisco is tragically behind. So it varies a lot depending on the market and what's driving those individual markets. Our rate of recovery in BT was very encouraging in the back half of last year and even in Q1 of this year. We're seeing it kind of moderate where it is now. There's optimism that it starts improving a relatively good jump post Labor Day as people get back to the office, and there's more business travel in the fall than the summer. So we remain hopeful to fall, but we are seeing it moderate and we want to tell you what we're seeing in real time.

Anthony Powell

Analyst

Yes, thanks. And maybe on the conversion in Boston to the independent hotel and the acquisition of the impendent hotel in Montana, you've gone much more heavily independent in your kind of branding and your acquisitions in recent years. Maybe comment on why you're doing that? And are you seeing the value of some of these brands kind of decline? Or are these more special situations in your view?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yes. I think the brands are still valuable and most of our hotels still have brands on them. But we look at each hotel as its individual case and the brands are expensive. In some cases, you get a great return on the brand, and it's the appropriate thing to do. Certainly, on the big group houses are the most obvious places where they add value. But some hotels and Chico would be a great example, they are their own brand in a lot of ways, and we wouldn't see -- I don't think we'd see a material uplift in demand from the brand and the cost. So I think the -- it's not a message that we don't think the brands are valuable. We really do. It's more a message that we try to tailor each individual asset to whether it makes sense to put a brand on it. Clearly, most of our hotels that have brand are performing significantly better than they would without a brand, both top and bottom line.

Anthony Powell

Analyst

I guess maybe in Boston, I guess, what's drove that particular decision?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yes. Boston is kind of a unique location. It's a historic building, and it's in a 7-day a week location. And we looked at what it does not have a material group component, which is often a reason to have the brand to attract the groups. And it performs very well 7 days a week, but it's a great business location. It's also close to Faneuil Hall. It's a great leisure location as well, and we thought that it can perform relatively equally well as a branded hotel with less cost associated with it. The other thing is even if it was just equal profitability, the unencumbered nature of having that hotel probably adds 10%, 50, 100 basis points on the back end. So it probably increases the NAV of the hotel by $15 million to $20 million. So those were the factors that led us to embrace this conversion.

Anthony Powell

Analyst

All right. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. One moment, please. Our next question comes from the line of Floris Van Dijkum of Compass Point. Your line is open.

Floris Van Dijkum

Analyst

Thanks for taking the question. I guess maybe touch on the new acquisition a little bit more. How did you get to this transaction? You say you've been tracking it for a couple of years. What caused the owner to sell now and who else was bidding with you? And maybe just talk a little bit about what -- what you see is this is an 8.1% yield, the right yield for this? Do you think this is the -- talk a little bit about the acquisitions environment perhaps as well?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Sure. So I guess there are a lot of questions in there. So let me just start with the broadest which is the acquisition environment generally. The acquisition volume is down over 70%. There aren't very many trades in the marketplace. In some ways, it's a great time to be a public company because of our cost of debt advantage. We're borrowing for plus 135, profit equity is borrowing at so for plus 450. So there's clear advantage there. We obviously have to consider other capital allocation choices. This is kind of interesting. We love Montana. We like Big Sky, we like Bozeman. We love Paradise Valley. We like things in Jackson Hole and Yellowstone has been a high priority for us in our search for special properties. This one is an institution in Montana. It's a relatively famous small resort. We've been tracking it. The owner-operator has been the owner-operator for more than two decades and he's looking to retire. So it was an opportune time. He staying involved in the property, and we're going to leverage that relationship at the property and with the community. Interesting, this originally went under contract with a, I'll call it, a private equity buyers, we understand it at $40 million about 6 months ago. We looked at it. We were very disappointed because that was more than we were willing to pay. And you could see how there's a -- it's a really special kind of place. And that deal, for reasons we're not privy to, fell apart, and we were selected because we were -- we could pay cash, right? We didn't have any financing risk. We were the buyer of choice. I think we were not even in the top 4 probably in price, but we were the most certain to close. So that gave us an enormous advantage in the process. I think we've got a tremendous value on the deal. So our plan there is to put in our professional kind of best practices, put in modern reservation systems. Enhance the property, it was a constrained buyer before. So we have the ability to improve the property. And hopefully, that leads to more satisfied customers that are increased demand and increased revenues at the property.

Floris Van Dijkum

Analyst

And I think you mentioned it was on 153 acres. I mean is there expansion opportunities here down the road?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

There are. I mean I think, at first, we've owned it for 48 hours. Our first plan is we want to make sure we understand it. There is a lot of land here, and so there are opportunities, but that's not our initial plan. Our initial plan is to make it a better version of itself, get our arms around it. And the nice thing about these kinds of properties, and this is what we talk about internally is there's a lot of ways that you can get lucky and when -- and so it has a lot of those kind of value creation opportunities. But again, our initial game plan, we're not promising we're going to do anything other than make it a better version of itself. And I think that, that alone will make this a very successful investment for DiamondRock.

Floris Van Dijkum

Analyst

And maybe a last follow-up. Does that mean that you are -- does this make you more interested in other properties in the area and sort of to get more of a clustering? Are there other properties nearby that that you would like to have or -- in Montana? And does having one stake in the ground allow you to get more opportunities? Or does this basically say, "no, we're done with Montana. Let's go to another part of the country"?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Remember, this whole investment is $33 million for a company that's got $4 billion assets. So no, it's -- we're not full up on Montana. We love Montana, we love the community. We love the prospects. We like Yellowstone. We like Bozeman. We like Big Sky. There are plenty of other opportunities where we'd like to pursue and grow relationships. We're trying to build our reputation within that community. And hopefully, that will allow us to get off-market transactions. It's a relatively small community. By being good stewards of asset and building those relationships, we would hope that, that would allow us to get more deals in that state, and we would absolutely expand our footprint there if good opportunities emerged.

Floris Van Dijkum

Analyst

Thanks, Mark.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. One moment, please. Our next question comes from the line of Gregory Miller of Truist.

Gregory Miller

Analyst

Thanks, 'have you been. Mark, in the prepared remarks, you spoke briefly about NAV, so I thought to ask a question about it. How do you view your internal NAV today relative to a quarter ago? And in particular, if you're able to comment on the drive-to leisure assets you've acquired in the last number of years, I'd be curious to hear about that as well.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yes, it's a great question. We just had a Board Meeting row this week and we were talking about the same issue. I'd say that the truth is there's so few data points in the market with volumes being so low that I think anyone that's telling you a change in value is really just guessing. There seems to be a tremendous amount of money on the sidelines, several hundred billion dollars of private equity that's interested in real estate that is poised. So there's a lot of potential buyers that are sitting there. And then I think from the seller's perspective, a lot of them are sitting in the sidelines feeling like that's going to get more efficient and cheaper 6, 12 months from now, so why would I bring my assets to market. So volume is low. It's hard to know what changes value. Obviously, the fading and some of the performance of the resorts -- there's going to be some valuation change there. But they still remain the conversation of the private equity fund yesterday. It still remains the -- one of the most interesting theses in leisure and hotel investments. I think generally, people still believe it's going to be the place to be over the next 5 to 7 years. And remember, these assets, unlike buying a hotel in, let's say, San Francisco, these assets have great trailing cash flow, even 6%, 7% compared to 0% in a market like San Francisco or San Jose right now. So they're still financeable. So they still become the kind of very interesting assets. I know there's a recent asset trade in Nashville. We call that a totally lease-oriented asset that traded for -- Troy, what was the cap rate that we looked at?

Troy Furbay

Analyst

Yes, it was about 60 cap rate.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yes. So on trailing cash flow, pretty stabilized asset at a 6 cap. -- and it's relatively independent or unencumbered leisure-oriented asset in Nashville. So there's not a lot of data points out there. And so I think if we told you it was 3% less, that would just be a guess, but we still think there's robust demand for these kind of assets.

Gregory Miller

Analyst

You provided some data points, I appreciate that and thanks for the commentary. For the follow-up question, I thought you asked specifically about the Dagny, a little more depth on the outlook that you provided through 2027. Could you walk us through the bridge and how you get to $17 million of EBITDA in 2027 versus $9 million this year? And how much of the underwriting is driven by operating expense reductions relative to top line gains.

Jeffrey Donnelly

Analyst

Yes, Greg, this is Jeff Donnelly. I mean I can take you through a little bit of it. I mean, a good chunk of it that's going from this year to into next year is going to be the elimination of some of the -- obviously, some of the disruption that you have from the conversion. So there's a few million dollars that, as Mark mentioned, about $3.5 million of EBITDA, I think as we go in the next year, that's going to be a big chunk of that. And then I think there's going to be some cost savings effectively that come with removing the overhead that comes from being a branded asset and effectively enhances profitability because we're able to bring more of that revenue down to the bottom line being an independent versus a branded operator. And then I think the final leg of it is going to be just how we position that asset and how are we better positioned across both the leisure and business transient channels in that market that we can effectively gain share in that marketplace. I think to add more details, right? As an asset, I think we're projecting $35 million of gross revenue this year; '19 revenues were at $43 million. So just simply the return back to '19 peak as with a renovated rebranded asset represents a significant amount of the -- what we're calling potential upside. In general, the brand costs on an asset like this, given that it's all rooms revenue driven between franchise fee and precoat program, we're over 10%. So our $40 million rooms revenue asset, just operating as an independent represents about $4 million of up brand costs that we save. So I think that's really the bridge. The combination of return to prior peak revenues and under a more efficient cost structure, we should be able to drop to at least that at the bottom line.

Gregory Miller

Analyst

That's all very helpful. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. One moment, please. Our next question comes from the line of Smedes Rose of Citi. Your line is open.

Smedes Rose

Analyst

Hi, thanks. I just wanted to ask you, you mentioned that group business in Chicago is slowing or slower in the second half. I was wondering, is that in line with what you were expecting already? Or has that changed from your last update? And then I'm just wondering, on group in general, if you could just talk a little bit about what you're seeing in terms of kind of composition. Is it more corporate? Is it just associations coming back that's helping the citywide calendars or kind of just a little more color around the tenor of group, I guess.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Sure. So in Chicago, in particular, it's driven very much by the citywide layout. And the way the calendar was in 2023 is it's just -- it's way or the more citywides were focused in the first two quarters of the year. So this is as we expected. And frankly, 2024 looks terrific in Chicago and our bookings in 2024 in Chicago are very strong. So we're excited about the prospects. So this is just seasonality and kind of what we expected from the citywides. And a number of our markets, as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, Q4, back half of the year and particularly Q4 looked to.

Smedes Rose

Analyst

[Technical Difficulty]. Just wondering kind of what you do pragmatically to kind of keep sort of short-term disruption to a minimum.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yes. I mean we've been working hard on preparing for the August first state for a long time. We've had weekly revenue calls. We've had strategies. We've had web designs. Probably the most significant defensive thing we did is we took 80 rooms, and we put Delta in there at a decent rate. to kind of cushion the transition period this fall. So there will be some disruption as we kind of -- we gave you, and those are in Jeff's numbers that he provided during the prepared remarks. And I think it's -- listen, the hotel looks beautiful, and we're excited to see what it can do on its own. Justin, do you want to add anything?

Justin Leonard

Analyst

Yes. As Mark mentioned, we did a lot of prep work just to ensure that we really didn't have any significant revenue loss during the dark period. In fact, we intentionally sold the hotel out for the first week of August to sort of insure against that. But we were live, both on GDS and most e-channels within 24 hours so we do have all active reservations up and actively looking. We've also done a significant amount of base building, both through the Delta contract and on the group side. So we're forecasting a drop in revenue as we continue to build brand awareness for the Dagny but we have over $1 million of incremental group rooms on the books for the back half of the year versus last year in addition to the Delta contract. So August and September are both 70% sold, and in we're in a significantly better place than we were at the same time last year for the balance of the back half of the year. So we've got a great base to really preserve rate integrity as we grow brand identity.

Smedes Rose

Analyst

Great. Thanks for the detail.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. One moment, please. Our next question comes from the line of Chris Darling of Green Street. Your line is open.

Chris Darling

Analyst

Thank you. Mark, in the prepared remarks, you mentioned exploring a few dispositions perhaps in the near term. Wondering if you could elaborate on what markets, maybe what assets? And then how are you thinking about seller financing in terms of effectuating the transaction today?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yes. So great question. So we are committed to our resort and leisure-oriented properties. We think that, that is the best long-term place to be so those will not be on the disposition list. We'll continue to pare down some of the urban exposure. I think we want to identify publicly which assets are, but they'll be smaller assets in this market that are financeable. The large loans are the ones that are very difficult. So it will be a couple of smaller assets that are not core to the portfolio. As far as your question about seller financing, one of the reasons we're selecting smaller assets as they are financeable and don't need seller financing. We prefer not to do any and so we'd rather preserve that capacity. If it involved a small piece to kind of fill the capital gap, that might be something we'd entertain but we're not going out to the market offer and seller financing.

Chris Darling

Analyst

Got it. That's helpful. And then one for Jeff maybe. You gave a lot of good detail in terms of the different moving pieces on the expense side this year. But, just curious, maybe taking a longer-term view, '24 and beyond, what do you view as sort of a reasonable run rate for overall expense growth, kind of assuming maybe a more normalized demand backdrop? Is 3% to 5% annually, a decent betting line for us to think about?

Jeffrey Donnelly

Analyst

It's probably a decent range. But when you think about it, I mean, of course, it's going to relate to ultimately what sort of inflation is at the macro. I think for us, when you look at how our properties have recovered and we've largely recovered our revenues and earnings, a lot of the factors that municipalities use to drive things like taxes. I don't expect our taxes are going to see sort of outsized increases over a long period of time. And property insurance is more difficult to forecast. I'd like to believe that this past year was a year, maybe a little bit like a post-Katrina-type event where you saw a big spike and then you had decreases in costs or slowing significantly thereafter. But it's hard to forecast because those rates are renegotiated every year. There might be some catch up in the industry. I can't necessarily speak to us off the top of my head, but on labor cost, but I think same thing that tends to follow inflation over time. So I think your range is reasonable. If I was a betting man, I'd probably be towards the lower to middle end of that, but that's just a guess.

Chris Darling

Analyst

Right. That's all very helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. One moment please. Our next question comes from the line of Michael Bellisario of RW Baird. Your lines is open.

Michael Bellisario

Analyst

Thanks. Good evening, guys. Just a quick first follow-up on the transaction front. Was Chico set up as a reverse 1031? Any pressing need to sell something on the back end of this one?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

It was not set up as a reverse 1031.

Michael Bellisario

Analyst

Got it. Okay. And then just on the transaction, maybe can you give us a little bit of background on who the customer is? Maybe what states people are coming from? And then any percentage if you have it just on a number of repeat guests that come to the property?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yes, this is an institution. The clientele obviously changes depending on the time of the year. It is remarkable because of the hot springs how year-around this asset really is. Obviously, in the peak season when people are going to Yellowstone, this is close to an entrance to the Yellowstone. You get in the summer, you get more out of greater than 50%, but you got a fair amount of repeat folks. And then in the rest of the year, it is kind of the local draw. It's probably the best restaurant within 20 miles of the location. So it's got kind of a great local following from Livingston in other areas. But probably on average, it's about 50% from out in other states from all over the country -- all over the U.S.

Justin Leonard

Analyst

Michael, I'd add, it's a very popular hang out with locals, even just to go to the saloon and take a soak in the hot spring.

Michael Bellisario

Analyst

I won't ask if you guys did that too on your tour.

Justin Leonard

Analyst

Thank you.

Michael Bellisario

Analyst

And in your one page that you put out the other day, you referenced a 40 plus or minus percentage point RevPAR delta. What is your underwriting assumed in that Chico does versus the comp set and maybe how long does it take to get there?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yes. I mean, I think to sum it up, though, is the gap is going to be both on putting in the revenue system and having the revenue gains, but there's probably things we can do in productivity and best practices that we can implement on the expense side that just haven't been done there. So it's going to be on both of those. But if you think about it, we started in 8.1% NOI cap rate and getting to 10% is not a -- we don't have to bridge very much at that gap to get there over time. So the comp set a little bit -- it's pretty broad in that area because there's -- you've got to go down the Gardiner and Livingston, -- so it's kind of a broad comp set. But you'll probably see more ability to move rate over time in the summer than other seasons.

Michael Bellisario

Analyst

Helpful. Thank you,

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the call back over to Mark Brugger for any closing remarks.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Well, thank you, everyone, for tuning in to our call, and we look forward to updating you on our earnings next quarter. Take care, and have a great evening.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's conference. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect. Have a great day.