Earnings Labs

DiamondRock Hospitality Company (DRH)

Q3 2023 Earnings Call· Wed, Nov 1, 2023

$10.25

+0.20%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to the DiamondRock Hospitality Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please note that today's conference is being recorded. I'll now hand the conference over to your speaker host, Briony Quinn, Senior Vice President and Treasurer. You may begin.

Briony Quinn

Analyst

Thank you. Good evening, everyone. Welcome to DiamondRock's Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Call and Webcast. Before we get started, let me remind everyone that many of our comments today are not historical facts and are considered to be forward-looking statements under federal securities laws. As described in our filings with the SEC, these statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause future results to differ materially from those expressed in our comments today. In addition, on today's call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial information. A reconciliation of this information to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure can be found in our earnings press release. With that, I'm pleased to turn the call over to Mark Brugger, our President and Chief Executive Officer. Mark?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Thank you for joining us. Global travel demand remains strong. Annual hotel stays in the United States are expected to surpass the pre-pandemic record of 1.3 billion room nights, 2023 is also setting a new normal in hotel patterns as the changes to the way global citizens travel settles in post-pandemic. During this recovery, DiamondRock has been a leader, and we believe we are well positioned to outperform going forward. Our confidence stems from our high-quality portfolio. We have spent more than a decade renovating, repositioning and recycling our portfolio to curate a collection of hotels and resorts specifically designed to attract today's travelers. By full year revenue, our portfolio remains approximately 60% urban and 40% resort. An important aspect of our strategy, which distinguishes DiamondRock from its peers is that nearly 95% of our properties are unencumbered by long-term management contracts. This gives us greater control over operations at the properties and higher values upon sale. These portfolio advantages are a key element that enabled DiamondRock to deliver solid results. Total revenue for our portfolio in the third quarter is up 12% as compared to 2019 and just over flat to last year. We were pleased with these results, which were modestly ahead of our expectations. RevPAR in the third quarter contracted 1.1% as compared to the same period in 2022. Compared to 2019, RevPAR in the quarter was up 7.6%, which is more than 100 basis points ahead of the midpoint of our expectation. While urban total RevPAR was up 2.9% in the quarter over last year, it was the sequential improvement in resorts that exceeded our expectations. As measured by total RevPAR, we saw strength at the Landing Lake Tahoe Resort up 15.2% last year. Tranquility Bay Resort in the Florida Keys, up 10.4% to last year…

Jeff Donnelly

Analyst

Thanks Mark. Starting at the top, DiamondRock's RevPAR contracted 1.1% in the quarter from the prior period, exceeding our guidance of a 1.5% to 2% decline. This better-than-expected performance was largely due to the improving performance of our resorts. Food and beverage and other revenues saw mid-single-digit growth, pushing same-store portfolio revenue up slightly versus last year. The growth in comparable total revenue breaks down between the 2.9% increase for our urban hotels and a 4.6% decrease in our resort portfolio. It is important to highlight, the steady improvement we are seeing in our resorts comparable total revenues at the resorts declined 8% in the second quarter, just 4.6% in the third quarter. And in September, they declined only 2.8%. We expect this trend to continue in October. Compared to 2019, comparable total revenue at our urban hotels was 5.8% higher with steady mid-single-digit gains each month over the quarter. Comparable total revenue in our resort portfolio finished the third quarter nearly 26% above 2019 and September was the strongest month with nearly 32% in gross. Before I move on to profits, I want to spend a moment on the group segment. We expected group revenue gains in the third quarter to be softer than the strong results seen in the first half of the year. We discussed on our last conference call, this was mainly due to the shifts in the citywide calendar in Chicago. Third quarter group revenues were in line with our original expectation, but group room rates were slightly stronger than forecast. We expect comparable group revenue will exceed 2019 levels this year, but we forecast group room nights will still be 10% or 79,000 room nights below 2019. Next year is shaping up to be very strong, with group revenue pacing up over 23% compared…

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Thanks, Jeff. Overall, travel trends remain solid, but the current environment continues to adjust as the market establishes its new normal in 2023. We expect fourth quarter comparable RevPAR to be approximately flat year-over-year. This represents a 100 basis point sequential improvement from the third quarter, largely due to improving performance at our resorts. We are also pleased that our current full year forecast is generally consistent with Wall Street analyst estimates. For 2024, while the US economy will certainly impact actual industry results, we believe that the industry has a potential to perform relatively well. This belief is based on a few factors. ADR is likely to increase at/or above inflation. Corporate transient should continue to improve, albeit gradually, but with special corporate rates up mid to high single digits. Group demand should continue to stay strong as forward bookings nationally are solid. And finally, limited hotel supply in most markets provides a good backdrop for fundamentals. Now for DiamondRock, we like our particular set up. Let me give you a few specifics. First, we have room to run for our hotels to get back to prior peak occupancy, we expect to end 2023 about 5.5 percentage points of occupancy behind prior peak. Closing that gap is worth $57 million in incremental room revenue. Second, there is an opportunity on group. Our geographic setup is good for 2024 with terrific convention calendars in important markets for us like Chicago, DC and San Diego. If group room nights just get back to 2019 levels, that is worth over $34 million in incremental room revenue and concomitant outside the room spend. As Jeff noted, DiamondRock has a strong group pace for 2024, up over 23%. And lastly, ROI projects will continue to fuel results. For example, the Dagny Boston repositioned in 2023 is expected to experience 50% profit growth in 2024 with EBITDA projected to increase $4 million. As you can tell, we remain constructive on the future of the travel industry. Travel is one of the highly valued assets in our society and around the world. And we believe that DiamondRock is well-positioned for this cycle with a model portfolio, focused strategy and ample liquidity to move opportunistically. At this time, we would like to open it up for any of your questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our first question coming from the line of Austin Wurschmidt with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Austin Wurschmidt

Analyst

Thanks and good morning everybody. Just starting off, I wanted to clarify a couple of items around the recent trends in resorts you referenced, is the sequential improvement in resort performance. Is that a reacceleration in year-over-year growth that you're alluding to? And does that include the Fort Lauderdale Kimpton Beach? And then separately, I'm just curious, is it fair to say that you think the normalization period in resorts is kind of starting to improve and that you expect it to reaccelerate again in 2024?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yes, Austin, this is Mark. It's a great question on resorts. I think it's a mix. So at some resorts like the Florida Keys, we're seeing stabilization. We're also seeing easier year-over-year comps in some of the markets that started, I would say, correcting to the new normal patterns earlier. We're getting into the comparable periods for those now. But there are other resorts that are, I would say, we saw good footing year-over-year, ones we called out. And we are adjusting some of the strategies, given the shift in some of the demands, so I would call out Lake Tahoe, our asset, the landing there, where we did some carefully calculated rate for occupancy trade, which led to substantial outperformance on revenues, but also more importantly, on profits. So I think it's a combination of all three. So it's easier comps in some markets. It is some markets that are, I would say, stabilize or reaccelerating. But really, some of that is, I would say, more focused asset management revenue strategies being executed successfully.

Austin Wurschmidt

Analyst

So if you were to stack up, I guess, the three segments of your business without pinpointing '24 guidance between group, leisure, you mentioned kind of a gradual continued recovery in BT. I guess how would you rank those three segments as it stands today?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

For 2024, we're still just rolling up the budgets right now. So I think it's a little early to give you kind of -- we'll know a lot more in 30 days after we've been through the budgets. I wouldn't want to jump in before then through each of those.

Austin Wurschmidt

Analyst

Okay. All right. Thanks for the time.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question coming from the line of Smedes Rose with Citi. Your line is open.

Smedes Rose

Analyst

Hi. Thanks. It sounds like you just have some improved visibility, I guess into 2024 as the world kind of continues to normalize and some of the asset management tools that you've talked about. Would you consider at some point sort of reintroducing a more kind of formal guidance for the full year? Or are you thinking more in terms of just kind of giving some color around the next quarter as far as you've been doing?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Hey good morning, Smedes. I think as the world settles down, we'll see where we are when we get to February. We'll certainly have the discussion at the Board meeting. We'd like -- right now, you have two wars going on. You have the uncertainty of the Fed going on and a number of other factors. Hopefully, by the time we get to February, things will be a little bit clearer and we'll be able to do kind of give more forward outlook. But I think we'll have to take it kind of one quarter at a time right now.

Smedes Rose

Analyst

Okay. And then can I just ask you, I know it's a relatively small piece of the overall portfolio, but it was the Lake Austin was a big quirky investment and I think when you bought it, you had expected this year's contribution to be in the around $7 million. It looks like it's running significantly below that. And I was just wondering what kind of went wrong relative to your initial forecast? And do you think it can reach the $7 million contribution at some point next year?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Sure. Yes, I think we've had a little bit of struggle in Austin sort of going from an owner-operated resort to more of an institutional set of revenue management tools, while we saw some falloff in high-end leisure demand. So, we've come back from a pricing strategy, that's a little bit more occupancy. We've seen a lot of success there. And I think a lot of the things that we saw as opportunities going from an owner-operated resort in terms of increased group contribution and really group as a significant part of the segmentation, which has never really been there. We've seen a lot of inroads going. So, I think we're still confident about our overall underwriting, especially on the on the group and through the connection to GDS, which didn't previously exist. Just taking a little bit longer to implement, I think some of those revenue growth strategies that we saw at acquisition.

Smedes Rose

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Peter Laske [ph] with Evercore ISI. Your line is open.

Duane Pfennigwerth

Analyst

Hey, this is actually Duane for Peter. How are you guys? Good morning.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Hey Duane.

Duane Pfennigwerth

Analyst

As you think about trends into 2024, just a follow-up on an earlier question, which markets do you think have the most headroom, which ones would you expect to lag? You mentioned, I think, for a couple of quarters now, a good building convention calendar in a market like Chicago, how would you see that market kind of trending in total?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yes. I mean I think the most visibility we have into 2024 is on the group side. So, we can look at the forward bookings at our hotels and the citywide convention calendars. So, if you look at Chicago, we're up, as we mentioned, significantly over 40% in our -- in revenues for next year of forward bookings and the city-wides are actually going to be ahead of and room nights ahead of 2019. So, that one feels very good. Boston is having a good year this year and next year is still supposed to remain significantly above 2019 levels in room nights. And our forward bookings there are low double-digits. That appeal is good as well. D.C. looks like it's going to be outstanding, significantly ahead of where it was last year and 2019. San Diego, kind of, same thing in another very good year substantially ahead of prior peak. So, all those markets are particularly attractive. Our forward bookings at our hotels correspond with the strength in those markets. So, that's where the visibility is right now. We'll go through the budgeting process at the individual hotels that really kicks off this week. And 30 days from now, a little much better sense having spent more time with properties and seeing those detailed budgets on how 2024 will shape up.

Duane Pfennigwerth

Analyst

Thanks. And then just on the conversion to independent like The Dagny, can you talk about how your mix changes and any changes you see on distribution channels. For example, how much of the prior demand was staying on points and what do you backfill that demand with? And is it really as you convert to independent, is it really OTAs that pick up share when you transition to an independent? Thanks for the thoughts.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

I think it's going to be a base building exercise over a couple of years of building market awareness. We have put some contract business, which I think got on really sort of a rate parity basis will supplant probably slightly in excess of the amount that we were getting from redemption out of the Hilton system. And we've got a significant amount of volume out of that system, but the rate wasn't actually that great on an annual basis. So we've really sort of traded like-for-like there with some contract business, which is a more consistent base throughout 12 months. And now we're just in the process of establishing a name for the hotel with a lot of our local partners on the BT side, which we've seen some encouraging results on. And I think we're up about 60% in group for the Dagny specifically. It's not a huge group hotel, unlike the Westin that we have in Boston. But we've seen some good inroads with the renovated product from some of our local corporate customers.

Duane Pfennigwerth

Analyst

Appreciate. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Dori Kesten with Wells Fargo Securities. Your line is open.

Dori Kesten

Analyst

Thanks. I believe you said that Q3 expenses were up 1.5% with flat revenues and now looking into 2024, there are some expense tailwinds. Are you able to give just any more detail on what the potential run rate could be as we're looking into 2024?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Hi, Dori. This is Mark. We're not really giving 2024 guidance, but we are seeing expenses, particularly on comparisons to fully staffed hotels, better food cost. I think a number of the labor initiatives we put in are also helping our productivity per room. So as you saw sequentially, the expenses have come down substantially on a year-over-year basis. That's a trend ex some uncontrollables like property tax that we expect to continue the year and hopefully, as we move into 2024, the comparisons continue to get better. But we do anticipate that we'll have higher banquet revenues in 2024 from the strength of our group book. So there will be some associated expense as we layer the banquet back into 2024 as well.

Dori Kesten

Analyst

Okay. And what's the quick math on Q4 margins based on your comment that you're comfortable with that?

Briony Quinn

Analyst

Yes. That's a good question, Dori. I guess I would explain it this way. Year-to-date, I think our margins for hotel adjusted EBITDA quarter-by-quarter are down about 200 basis points year-over-year versus 2022. The fourth quarter will have a bit larger dip, because as you recall, we have the tax in Chicago or the tax relief in Chicago, that's not going to repeat. So that's about a 240 basis point benefit to last year. We're not going to have this year. And then beyond that, you have the insured -- property tax insurance renewal this year, which is about a 75 basis point drag and then I mentioned the expenditure on something like the Westin landing [ph] and some other small items are about a 40 basis point drag. So if you think of it as sort of adding that on top of the 200 basis point change we've seen before, you're probably something close to almost the 500 basis point differential versus the margins that we did in the fourth quarter of 2022.

Dori Kesten

Analyst

Okay. And then you mentioned testing the market on dispositions. Should we assume that that's going to be primarily in urban markets? And then I guess, second, is it a good time yet to test pricing on larger boxes?

Briony Quinn

Analyst

So we generally don't like to talk too much about pending dispositions, because we always assume that the potential buyers are listening these calls as well. But I will say the assets that we are testing the market on are all urban assets, so that's a correct assumption. I think it's really deals below $100 million, where there seems to be more liquidity and volume, the bigger deal is just because of where the debt markets are and kind of the more difficult large loan market that exists today, it's just hard to get those deals done.

Dori Kesten

Analyst

All right. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. And our next question coming from the line of Chris Woronka with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.

Chris Woronka

Analyst

Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks for all the details so far. Mark, I guess, one of your friends recently sold a hotel in Boston, I think they're going to convert to Hilton. Is there any -- as you look out a couple of years, is that a net positive? And that does it hurt you at all given you have -- you recently converted your Hilton, slightly different neighborhood and then you have the Westin which I don't know what the longer-term plans there are. So can you give us any color on any impact from that?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Sure. One, it's -- I thought a good cap rate, and that's a good, I think that's a good comp to have in the marketplace for assets in Boston. So I thought that was a favorable read through. On the Hilton branding, one of the reasons we want independent is we have a seven day a week kind of location that lends itself because of the kind of consistent demand in our location in Dagny. And it avoided the -- what would have been a problem at Hilton has decided to put another Hilton brand on 1,000 rooms, not too far away from our hotel. So I think in a lot of ways, it vindicates our decision to not be exposed to new Hilton supply within this market. So we feel good about our decision. We feel good about the prospects of the Dagny. It had a very good August, which was ahead of our original anticipated pace. September looked good and for given just on underwriting. So we feel really good about that.

Chris Woronka

Analyst

Okay. I appreciate that, Mark. And then I really just want to follow-up on a couple of quick ones from the prepared comments. One is corporate transient I think a pretty good comment about pricing. Questionnaires, are there any volume guarantees associated with those maybe relative to 2019? And then the second part of it is I think you talked about some cost comps being easier, especially you mentioned insurance there. I guess that caught me a little bit by surprise given what we're seeing. Is that because you have insurance for next year locked in? Or you're just more optimistic in general?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Well, taking this in reverse order, then property insurance, our renewal is April 1, so we're locked in until April 1. I think that's what we're trying to convey in the prepared remarks is that we know what our costs will be through that. And we had a substantial increase last year. Hopefully, the market will be more accommodating when we get to April, but we'll see when we get there. On the BT, I think the surveys that I've seen come back from the largest special corporates is that they intend to travel more in 2024 than they did in 2023 at this time. That's helpful. Most of our BT special corporates don't have minimum guarantees but we're taking some comfort from the fact that they are -- the initial surveys indicate that they are intending to travel more than the restricted levels that they're at 2023. But we don't expect a rapid reacceleration of BT as we move into 2024 and certainly not the way we're engineering the mix is at our hotels.

Chris Woronka

Analyst

Okay. Super helpful. Thanks, guys.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Floris Van Dijkum with Compass Point. Your line is open.

Floris Van Dijkum

Analyst

Hey, good morning, guys. I had a question for you on the capital markets and how that's impacting your business. And obviously, you're testing the market with some asset sales. Should we presume that you're testing the market in sales below $100 million? Or because of the difficulty in getting debt on some of these larger transactions? Or does the Sunstone news make you more positive on some of the bigger potential dispositions? And then the follow-up, I guess, is on the fact that the debt markets are more accommodating for smaller transactions, are you seeing more competition for the types of asset that you've been buying like the Chico and the resort type assets?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Floris, it's -- let me try to parse through those several questions. So I would say, in our portfolio, everything is for sale, and there certainly seems to be an arbitrage between private market values and public market implied values. So I'd like to convince to that arbitrage. With that said, it's not a great sellers market right now. So we're trying to be prudent about making sure that we're doing what's in the best interest of our shareholders on release prices. So we're actively involved in testing the market. I think it's below $100 million, we've seen greater volume in the number of lenders and the number of potential bidders. So you're more likely to get a number of bidders on those on those more small to midsized deals than you are on the $200 million product deals that are out in the marketplace. So we remain -- we think the best arbitrage is still probably in the under $100 million dispositions. The flip side, as you pointed out, is that for acquisition opportunities, there is more competition for those kind of opportunities. That's why we continue to spend our efforts on off-market transactions. And as I mentioned, our proprietary database that we've spent over 10 years now on focused on these kind of unique opportunities like Chico and Lake Austin. They continue to be where we are spending our time on the extra growth front.

Floris Van Dijkum

Analyst

Great. And maybe my follow-up question is you have a mortgage on the Courtyard in New York that's coming due next year, $74 million, pretty low interest potentially, I mean, you could look to sell -- that could be one of your dispositions as well potentially. So you don't have to deal with that. But would you otherwise just simply pay down the mortgage and increase your unsecured borrowing base?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Well, I don't think it makes it more likely that we sell the asset debt's fungible among the assets if we sold another asset, we can certainly use it. But I would say we have -- we ended the quarter with $102 million of cash plus the undrawn revolver, so we could satisfy that mortgage with cash on hand. So we have all the -- kind of all the optionality that we need. It's one of the reasons we keep the fortress balance sheet and the financial flexibility to handle those kind of events when they come without putting any pressure on the company.

Floris Van Dijkum

Analyst

Thanks. That's it for me.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Thanks, Floris.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Anthony Powell with Barclays. Your line is open.

Anthony Powell

Analyst

Hi, good morning. Just a question on business transient. I think you talked about some sluggishness there in the third quarter. Were there any particular markets or, I guess, categories that drove that decline? And what revenue management strategies to implement to counteract that?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yeah. So just to -- good morning, Anthony. It's Mark. Just to clarify, we didn't see BT softness. We just said it substantially remained substantially below 2019 levels. Really, what we're seeing, and you've seen these comments from the big brand companies as well as the small business travelers still remains relatively robust, and they're at levels north of what they did pre-pandemic. But the biggest special corporate, the sensors, PwCs, they're traveling at much, much lower volumes than they did pre-pandemic. And that trend continued in the second quarter and the third quarter. The comps were, obviously, easier to last year. But they remain at those lower levels, and we're seeing it gradually get better post Labor Day, but it remains depressed levels overall.

Anthony Powell

Analyst

Got it. Thanks. And maybe one on cash flow for next year. I mean, you talked about some more developments, redevelopments in 2024. Do you expect the CapEx budget to remain where it is? And also on the dividend, do you have any NOL and whatnot that keep your dividend at current level, or maybe the dividend go up next year as income continues to increase?

Jeff Donnelly

Analyst

Hi, Anthony, it's Jeff. Right now, I mean, as Mark said earlier, we're still pulling together our budgets. I think our CapEx will generally remain as what it was originally contemplated to be this year, which I think is about $100 million. It's a pretty consistent number for us. It might flex a little bit simply because there's timing issues between when projects are started and completed or carryover from the prior year, but it will be about $100 million. And as for the dividend, right now, we paid $0.12 share per year. I'll defer to Mark on that where the Board had that, but I think that's the plan going forward in 2024. Yeah. And we have sufficient net operating losses that we can continue to use to offset the need to pay a dividend, I believe, through much of 2024, if not at all of 2024. So I think we have the ability to keep it at that level.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yeah. I'll just add on, on the dividend policy. It's something we'll review with the Board every quarter. But right now, it looks like the highest and best use of our capital is in other places, while we value the dividend and know it's an important component of long-term returns for lodging REITs. Right now, given one of the stock price is trading, we just think that there are higher and better uses generally for that capital, but it will be something that we talk about every Board meeting we'll evaluate quarter-to-quarter.

Anthony Powell

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question coming from the line of Dany Asad from Bank of America. Your line is open.

Dany Asad

Analyst

Hi, good morning guys. We've heard airlines commenting during this earnings season that there's been -- they're seeing strength on peak holidays, but outside of those windows, there's been a little bit of more weakness in between. Are you seeing any similar behavior in your booking patterns and maybe why or why not we could be different than what we're seeing on the airline side?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Dany, I think it's a little bit of -- we're starting to establish the new normal patterns this year on that. So certainly, there's some Florida fatigue, I would say, and some of that stuff that we had exceptional shoulder seasons. They're remaining better than they were pre-pandemic, but they're coming down into, I think, more sustainable levels that we can build on going forward. So I wouldn't say that's different. We are implementing strategies around that reality. So that may mean that some of our resorts like I'll take a Henderson Beach Resort, which we have invested and has terrific meeting space. Last year, we basically locked it up and barely used it. As we move into 2024, we're going to be much more aggressive in booking and high-end group during the midweek to make sure that we're maximizing profits for the hotels. So I think you need to understand what's happening in the demand channels. You have to be very proactive and anticipatory in the way you said your revenue strategy is particularly midweek group, and I think we've done an excellent job on it so far, and I think we're trying to stay ahead of the curve as we move into 2024 on the shifting patterns as the new normal is established.

Dany Asad

Analyst

Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question coming from the line of Bill Crow with Raymond James. Your line is open.

Bill Crow

Analyst

Hey, good morning. Jeff, let me start with you and recognizing you're still rolling up budgets, but also recognizing that you opened the subject of 2024 expenses and margins in your prepared remarks. So let me frame it this way. One of your peers recently suggested that in order to achieve flat EBITDA margins next year, they need about 4% RevPAR growth. Is there any reason to think that DiamondRock will be materially different than that one way or the other.

Jeff Donnelly

Analyst

I think we have some sort of unique factors going on for us because I mentioned, like with the Dagny that's going to be coming on and adding some significant EBITDA that ramps back up. I think for a portfolio that's maybe a little more static if you will. I think that's probably in the vicinity. It's going to vary, of course, portfolio to portfolio, but I think that's probably sort of a good industry note.

Bill Crow

Analyst

Great. Thanks for answering that. Mark, maybe a subtle question here. But when we look at leisure, is it normalizing? Or is the consumer weakening?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Well, it's hard to extinguish this too. I think it's -- we're seeing normalization. We're not seeing -- maybe it's some consumer weakening, but we're not seeing that. We're seeing the share of wallet still be significant. We're seeing people spend on experiences versus things. To state they're cutting back their material purchases before they're cutting back their travel expenses. But it's hard to always pull out exactly what's driving the behavior. But people are traveling. I think we'll see a pretty robust holiday season as we come up here. So we're relatively optimistic. But clearly, things have settled into new patterns in 2023.

Bill Crow

Analyst

Thanks. Appreciate it. Thank you, guys.

Operator

Operator

And our next question coming from the line of Chris Darling with Green Street. Your line is open

Chris Darling

Analyst

Thanks. Good morning. Mark, can you touch on what's been pretty strong fundamental performance in New York City and how sustainable that might be going forward? And then is it fair to suggest that New York is one of those rare markets where values might actually be up in recent months despite the movement in the tenure?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yes. So I guess I'll speak on -- yes, a couple of kind of detailed questions there. So I think of values, the interest in New York City from investors is always high. I mean it's a market that always gets international and everyone's attention. So I think New York continues -- you could see increase in value. People believe in the thesis in New York, and it's always been active on investors kind of a global scale investor appetite. Fundamentals are good. You have a lot of positive things happening there. Most notably, you've had a lot of supply get taken out and converted to other uses. The 1,000-room Roosevelt getting converted to migrant housing and other big properties getting taken out permanently for student housing, other uses. That's been very helpful. You have the M1 rezoning going forward, which will take out the ability to build nonunion hotels, generally after 2026. That's going to be a nice catalyst, of course, most recently, we've had the change in the laws around Airbnb, which has taken out significant number of available units through that channel. So there's a lot of reasons to do before -- in New York. I'd say the other one is that the type of industry in New York, the financials have probably been the single most aggressive industry in making sure people return to work four or five days a week. You juxtapose that with a tech-centric market like Seattle or San Francisco, those industries have kind of lagged on the return to office stats, which has kind of suppressed the ability to get the transient coming into those markets. So I think there's a lot of reasons to be constructive on New York. We certainly are. I think we'll be constructive as we set our budgets for 2024 there as well. So that feels good.

Chris Darling

Analyst

And any commentary you would have on the investment sales market in New York or?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

There has been some recent trades, particularly smaller select service hotels and at the high end that have gone off. Again, I think, the feedback from the brokers that we talk to that participate in this process is there was fairly -- fairly robust demand for those offerings. I think people are interested in that market, as I mentioned. And New York is one of those markets you will always get the international and high net worth individuals interested in. So I think it's a constructive market for dispositions.

Chris Darling

Analyst

Fair enough. Appreciate the thoughts.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Thank you, Chris.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question coming from the line of Mike Bellisario with Baird. Your line is open.

Mike Bellisario

Analyst

Thanks. Good morning, everyone.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Hi, Mike.

Mike Bellisario

Analyst

Just first on the monthly cadence. Just was September really the main driver of 3Q upside versus your expectations? And then can you provide any color on what you saw in October, particularly relative to what you thought the month was going to look like?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Yes. So September did come in a little better than we anticipated. We gave our expectations about two months ago. So September was the kind of the variable and that came in a little better portion the resorts that we had forecasted. October is a strong month. It will be the strongest month of the fourth quarter for us. The way group laid out their major markets was particularly focused on October. So we were at or ahead of our expectations for October. We don't expect November, December to have the same group strength. So they probably won't be adds on a comp basis as strong as October was. But so far so good this quarter.

Mike Bellisario

Analyst

Got it. Helpful. Thank you for that. And then just switching gears a little bit. The Hersha transaction was announced in late August after your last conference call. So maybe, one, can you provide any updated view on what private equity groups are looking for? What you're hearing from them? And then how that trend maybe shapes or changes your view on relative value in next steps for you looking ahead?

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Well, I would say the Hersha transaction had a positive read through and that they had substantial interest from a number of high-quality, very capable private equity firms. So the depth of the bidding there, I think, was very encouraging. And the debt they were able to secure, I think, was also very encouraging. It was significant that fairly good competition for the debt and the pricing looks like it's going to be on a relative basis, fairly attractive. So I think all that are positive read-throughs. Does that change our outlook? I don't know that it changes our outlook. I think private equity is still interested, but it doesn't feel like this is the moment in time when they're particularly leaning in to get super aggressive on pricing for public REITs. I think based on where we are with the Fed and the concern of slower economy, I would imagine that the middle of next year is probably going to be a more robust time for PE firms to lean in. You'll be hopefully past the peak of the Fed raising the rates. Hopefully, liquidity will get more robust in the debt markets. Today, it's functioning, I would say, but it's not robust. And those things should come together in the middle of next year, and I would imagine that, that will be a more optimal time for people and private equity to make aggressive decisions.

Mike Bellisario

Analyst

Perfect. Thanks for that.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And I see no further questions in the queue at this time. I will now turn the call back over to Mr. Mark Brugger for any closing remarks.

Mark Brugger

Analyst

Thank you. For everyone on the call, we appreciate your interest in DiamondRock, and we look forward to updating you next quarter. Have a great day

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude the conference for today. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.