Kristina Salen
Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open
Thanks, Chad, and hello to everyone. Just to note, unless I say so, all comparisons I'll be referencing here are on a year-over-year basis. Let's start with GMS. During the second quarter of 2016, the Etsy marketplace generated $670 million in GMS, 22.6%, driven by growth in active sellers and active buyers. At the end of the second quarter, Etsy had almost 1.7 million active sellers, up about 12%. As a reminder, an active seller is one who has incurred at least one charge from us in the past 12 months. At the end of the second quarter, we had 26.1 million active buyers, little over 20%. Also as a reminder, active buyers are those who have bought on Etsy at least once in the past 12 months. [indiscernible], roughly 64% of our visits come to us from the mobile device, which is up 400 basis points from last year, continuing to outpace the rate of growth on desktop[ph] . Slightly more than 47% in the GMS came from a mobile device, also up 400 basis points. During the second quarter, our conversation rates increased in desktop, mobile web and mobile app. In addition desktop conversation rate [indiscernible] similar to overall mobile conversation rate and therefore the gap between mobile visits and mobile GMS remained constant when compared with last year. As a reminder, we measure the change in mobile gap by considering the early change in present mobile GMS with the early change in [indiscernible]. We narrow the gap in mobile GMS at a faster pace than mobile visit. Overall, the peak progress was made in mobile. Year-over-year mobile GMS grew 34% and accelerated compared to last quarter. Etsy's international business continued to expand, with international revenue growing roughly 54% in the second quarter and we achieved healthy marketplace growth in each of our key focus markets. Percent international GMS was standard with 30.7%, which was up 50 basis points, compared with last year and up 40 basis points, compared to the first quarter of this year. This is the first year-over-year improvement we’ve seen in this metrics and keep working [ph]. As a reminder percent international GMS was the percent of total GMS from transactions with either the buyer or the seller if outside of the U.S. This includes both [indiscernible] transactions and transaction where both buyer and the seller who are located outside of U.S. The improved international performance this quarter was largely driven by three [indiscernible] First, excluding our French marketplace ALM, we had a poor international GMS category was growing [ph] robust. We’re seeing continued GMS growth between U.S. buyers and [indiscernible] sellers, international buyers and sellers in the same country and international buyers and sellers in different country. These three international categories have each [indiscernible] other GMS between U.S. sellers and international buyers were down 8% this quarter. This metrics has improved for three consecutive quarters. We continue to believe that this year-over-year decline indicative of the indirect impact of fluctuating global currency exchange rate, the international buyer behavior over the [indiscernible] And finally third, decent GMS growth between international buyers and sellers in the same country has continued to accelerate, rose from 67% year-over-year. In fact GMS growth between international buyers and sellers in the same country accelerated to a third consecutive quarter. It’s been the fastest growing category of international GMS for the past three quarters, to the point that it is similar as a percentage of total GMS across all GMS between U.S. sellers and international buyers and GMS between international buyers and sellers located [indiscernible]. Also the smallest category, [indiscernible] continued exploration in its [indiscernible]. The exchange rates continue to have direct healthy leading [ph] impact on Etsy’s overall GMS growth rate when compared to international GMS. Expecting a direct impact, currency translation of GMS for non-U.S. dollar denominated was [indiscernible] and slightly more than [indiscernible]. This proprietary [ph] drive is an [indiscernible] last year and quarter. Although, we’re encouraged by the small improvement in international GMS this quarter, given currency and other geopolitical global events, it’s too early to draw any conclusion [indiscernible]. Finally with regard to currency [indiscernible], I want to touch on Brexit. Most other companies with global business world is watching fluctuation shift [ph], but still very early. [indiscernible],the second quarter impact [indiscernible] against Brexit. We continue to monitor developments in the UK and Greater Europe, [indiscernible]. [indiscernible], impacted currency fluctuations with other macro developments. Turning to revenue, for the second quarter full revenue $85.3 million, up 39%, driven by both growth in seller services revenue and elevated growth [indiscernible]. Marketplace revenue grew 22%, primarily due to growth in transaction fee revenue and, to a lesser extent, growth in listing fee revenue. Seller Services revenue grew 58.1% year-over-year and was driven primarily by revenue growth in Direct Checkout, which continued to benefit from the integration of PayPal. Seller Services revenue also benefited from revenue growth from Promoted Listings and Shipping Labels, [indiscernible]. Our newest seller service [indiscernible] also contributed to revenue growth this quarter. As a reminder we expect [indiscernible]. Gross profit for the second quarter was $56.3 million, 43% and gross margin was 66%, up 160 basis points. Gross profit grew faster than revenue in the second quarter due to the leverage we achieved in technology infrastructure and employee-related costs. Turning now to operating expenses, second quarter operating expenses were $51.6, up 19.3%. Total operating expenses as a percentage in revenues declined to about 60% in the second quarter, compared with approximately 71%. Operating expenses declined as a percentage of revenue due primarily to leverage in digital marketing expenses and, to a lesser extent, employee-related costs. Marketing expenses were $18.3 million [ph], up 11% and about 20% of full revenue versus 25% last year, roughly 19% in the last quarter. The increase in marketing expenses were driven by higher employee related costs, [indiscernible] marketing expenses were up 17.6% [ph] in the second quarter of last year. The second half of this year, we expect growth in revenue to accelerate compared with first half of this year as we ramp up a more significant annual campaign. Marketing expenses in the second quarter declined roughly 7% year-over-year continued to generate strong returns for Etsy, with [indiscernible] involved. Similar to the last few quarters, it was [indiscernible] on our quarter GMS growth rate. Product development expenses grew $78 million, up about 18%, compared to nearly 14% of total value and 16% last year, about 15% past quarter. The increase in product development expenses was driven by high employee related costs, you need to grow [indiscernible]. G&A expenses totaled $23.5 million, up 28% representing roughly 26% of total revenue to roughly 29% to roughly 23% last quarter. [indiscernible] overhead related to new office locations, including depreciation expense related to our new Brooklyn headquarters and expenses associated with Sarbanes-Oxley compliance. Headcount at the end of the quarter was 921 people, compared with 852 as of March 31, 2016, which was an accelerated rate of growth compared with the first quarter. In the second half of 2016, we expect the pace of hiring to continue to be similar to the first half of 2015. The second quarter net loss was $7.3 million, compared with a net loss of $6.4 million last year. Etsy’s net loss included interest expense associated with build-to-suit lease accounting related to our new Brooklyn headquarters, $6.4 million foreign exchange loss, and an income tax provision of $4.3 million, all three of which were primarily non-cash. Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA was $14 million, up roughly 246%. This resulted in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 16.5%, up from 6.6% in the second quarter of 2015. This increase was driven by driven by high-margin incremental revenue growth and, to a lesser extent, leverage in digital marketing expenses and employee-related costs. During the quarter we reported positive cash flow from operation 17.2 million, this compares with $4.7 million in cash from operations stranded at last year. The year-over-year increase in net cash divided by operating activities for the quarter was mainly due to revenue growth and leverage in operating expenses. To date we’ve invested $32 million in the build out of our new Brooklyn headquarters and as we said before, we intend to invest another $15 million for the build out by the end of 2015. As of June 30, 2016, we cash, marketable securities and short-term investments totaling approximately $278 million. To wrap it up, we had a strong first half of 2016, we’re raising our full year guidance for GMS revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin. We’re also reiterating our full year guidance three year guidance. For GMS, we’re raising our 2016 growth outlook to range at 15% to 17% from the midpoint of our original 13% to 17% guidance range. At this time, don’t expect the payment processing issues early in the third quarter to have material financial impact on our future results and our updated guidance [indiscernible]. For revenue growth, we’re raising our 2016 outlook to range at 25% to 28%, up from the high end of 28% to 25% guidance range previously. I’ll add that we expect - 2016 gross margin, we continue to expect 2016 gross margin in the 64% to 65% range. Also in 2016, we now once again leverage total operating expenses for the full year. We continue to expect marketing expense as a percent of revenue to decline and G&A expense to increase with the overhead associated with our new Brooklyn headquarters. We continue to expect to recognize on average, $3 million of additional depreciation and interest expense per quarter for the duration of our lease for our new Brooklyn headquarters. Finally, we’re increasing our 2016 adjusted EBITDA margin guidance to a range of 13% to 14%, from a range of 10% to 11%, reaching higher expectations for revenue growth and operating in roads. This means that at the mid-point of our updated revenue guidance, adjusted EBITDA will grow about two times revenue. As a reminder historically adjusted EBITDA margin in the fourth quarter is seasonally higher than adjusted EBITDA margin in the third quarter. And with that I’d like to turn the call back over to the operator, Esther to open it up for Q&A. Thanks.