Charles Stanley
Analyst · Brian Singer
Good morning. As Richard noted on Monday and Tuesday, we issued separate releases covering our operations and financial results. I'll try to add color to those releases, give you an update on our plans and then we'll move ahead to Q&A. First, let's review some highlights from our operations. QEP Energy grew production 28% in the first quarter of 2011 to 65.9 Bcfe compared to the first quarter of 2010, which was driven by good results in all of our core areas but particularly in the Midcontinent region. As we noted in the release yesterday, our current quarter included a 1.6 Bcfe volume that was from a prior period that resulted from adjustment in our ownership in a federal unit in the Uinta Basin, which obviously distorts the comparison of year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter operating results. If we adjust for the ownership changes, our first quarter production would be up about 25% from the first quarter of 2010 and up almost 4% from fourth quarter of 2010. Rockies production grew 27.1 Bcfe in the quarter. And taking into account the ownership adjustment, Rockies production was up about 1% year-over-year and down about 11% from the fourth quarter. As you all remember, we typically defer completions at Pinedale and elsewhere in the Rockies region during the coldest months of the winter, which obviously had an adverse impact on first quarter production volumes and this winter's especially cold weather also impacted first quarter production volumes in the Bakken due to poor road conditions that constrained our ability to truck oil. Our Western Midcontinent region, driven primarily by liquids-rich Cana and Granite Wash plays, their production was 9.5 Bcfe in the quarter, were approximately 25% higher compared to the first quarter of 2010 and essentially flat with the fourth quarter of last year. Eastern Midcontinent production dominated by our Haynesville Shale play in Northwest Louisiana totaled 29.3 Bcfe in the first quarter. That's a 58% increase over the first quarter of 2010, and we're up about 26% compared to the fourth quarter of last year. As we noted in our earnings release, on an accounting basis, Midcontinent region contributed 59% of QEP's first quarter of 2011 production volumes, and that's up from 51% in the first quarter of 2010 and 54% in the fourth quarter of last year. Let me draw your attention to the slides that were posted yesterday along with our operations release out on our website at qepres.com. I'll refer to the slide numbers as I discuss the operational details. Since our last call, we've turned to sales 10 new QEP-operated Haynesville Shale wells. All with very strong results, initial rates that are in-line with our previously announced well results in the play. We continue to constrain or choke back our Haynesville wells during flowbacks so our initial production rates from recent wells are not comparable to the wells that we've announced earlier back in early 2009 or the results of some of the other operators who are not constraining flowback. We are absolutely convinced with the more data that we see on these wells that constrained flowback is the right approach to managing the Haynesville reservoir. There's a growing body of evidence that suggests that these constrained flowbacks result in flatter -- declined profiles once the wells exit the production plateau phase. This shallower decline should also positively impact ultimate recoverable reserves from each well, and it also has a quite significant impact on overall well economics, because obviously with the shallower decline we're bringing forward production that would occur much later in the well life into the more current periods. We continue to buck the industry trend of escalated completed well costs, and the Haynesville QEP-operated gross completed well cost there was $9.1 million in the first quarter of 2011 down from an average of $9.3 million last year. Our lease saving activity’s winding down. We now have 5 QEP-operated sections left to drill to hold all of our operated leasehold by production. There are an additional 9 undrilled sections, in which we have a working interest that are -- represent about 640 net acres that are operated by others. And those 9 sections have lease expirations ranging from the middle of this year through early 2014. Also note that we've picked up an additional 1,150 net acres in the core of the Haynesville play since our last call, and this interest is in sections where we're actively drilling new wells. We currently have 6 QEP-operated rigs working in the Haynesville play. You can refer to Slides 3 and 4 for more detail. At Pinedale, you'll recall we shut down our well completion activity during the coldest months of the winter. We recommenced the well completion activities in mid-March, and as of yesterday, we had completed and turned to sales 16 new Pinedale wells so far in 2011. We continue to be focused on driving down completed well costs with our relentless focus on drilling and completion cycle times. As we noted in our operations update on Monday, our average drill times at Pinedale continue to improve. First quarter of 2011 spud to TD times averaged 14 days compared to 17-day average last year. And the bar keeps getting lower. You'll also note that our record spud-to-TD drill time is now 11 days, down a half a day from the previous record of 11.5 days. We've recently rigged down and moved another of our Pinedale rigs up to North Dakota to drill Bakken and Three Forks wells, but thanks to the drilling efficiencies I just described, we anticipate still being able to deliver 90 to 100 completed wells at Pinedale in 2011 with just 4 drilling rigs operating for the balance of the year. You can refer to Slides 5 and 6 for more details on Pinedale. Turning to the Anadarko Basin, Woodford or Cana Shale play, we've completed and turned to sales 2 new QEP-operated wells since our last call. The results of both these wells are detailed on the operations release on Monday. Also note that we've added an additional 7,300 net acres in the liquids-rich fairway of this place since our last update. We now have 75,300 net acres in the play. We currently have 3 QEP-operated rigs running in the Cana play and you can refer to Slide 7 for a map that has more details. Up in the Williston Basin in North Dakota. Since our last call, we've completed and turned to sales 2 new QEP-operated middle Bakken horizontal wells. One well, which was located on the up dip eastern edge of the middle Bakken fairway. It had a peak rate of about 600 barrels of oil equivalent per day, and that was on a restricted flowback. We were flowing the well back in bad winter conditions so we were unable to truck the flowback water. If we adjusted for the sort of normal flowback on normal choke size, the well would have had a rate of upwards of 900 barrels of oil equivalent a day. The second well, which was up in the northern extension of our acreage, had a peak rate of 1,500 barrels of oil a day from a short lateral. We're now running 2 rigs in the play. We have a third rig that's moved up from Pinedale and it's rigging up and it will be drilling soon. As we noted on our operations release, we're in the early phases of scoping and permitting our first 10-well pad in the Williston Basin. Depending on when we get the initial permits, we should be able to add 2 more drilling rigs to our Bakken program, bringing the total to 5 sometime around year end. Our plan is to place the 2 rigs on a single 10-well pad and once the wells are drilled and cased, we would move the drilling rigs to the next 10-well pad and then we would commence completion operations on the first pad. This approach obviously addresses one of the biggest rate-limiting steps in the pace of development of our Williston Basin acreage and that’s been surface permitting, but there are a couple of important points to remember. First, these operations won't have any impact on 2011 production. It'll take 6 or 7 months after we move the rigs onto the first 10-well pad before we see a production response. So there'll be 6 or 7 months of capital investment cash outflow and no production in uptick from the increase in rig count. The second, the production response from pad drilling will be lumpy as we bring on 10 new wells in a relatively short period of time, and then we'll have a period of 4 or 5 months after we complete those wells before we bring on the next group of wells from the next 10-well pad. I should point out that this is not our first multi-well pad drilling in the Williston. We've already drilled 2 middle Bakken/Three Forks 2-well pads, one of which we reported last quarter with a Three Forks and a middle Bakken well. We have another 2 wells drilled waiting on completion, a pair in middle Bakken and Williston -- and Three Forks wells. And we currently have one rig drilling on our first 4-well pad, but clearly the addition of 2 more rigs drilling on 10-well pads would be a step change in the pace of development of our Bakken/Three Forks assets. We'll keep you posted on our progress on permitting and the timing around introducing the 2 new rigs as we progress through the year. Also note that we finished connecting our wells on the east side of the lake to an oil and gas gathering pipeline system, and we'll be connecting the producing wells on the west side of the lake later on this spring. So we won't be talking about weather impacts on Bakken production next winter. Slide 8 has details of our Bakken play and also gives the location of our first proposed 10-well pad. At our Granite Wash/Atoka play in the Texas Panhandle, since our last call we've turned 2 new QEP-operated wells to sales. We've talked about the individual well results in our operating release so I won't recite them again here. Needless to say, the Simmons well, the Simmons 209H (sic) [Simmons 9-2H] well, which came on at a little over 3 million cubic feet a day was a disappointment. Our recent well results, combined with the results from that of offset operators, confirmed that the geology of the washes, the wash sequence, is complex and that we don't want to get ahead of ourselves in delineating the limits of each of these target intervals. As a result, we may dial-back our rig count in the Granite Wash play from the 3 rigs we currently have working to make sure that we fully understand the results of one well before we commence drilling the next one. I'll be happy to answer more questions about this in Q&A. I'll also refer you to Slides 9 and 10 for additional details on the washes. Turning to the exploratory front in the Powder River Basin of Wyoming. We've got permitting underway on a number of horizontal well locations that will target the Sussex formation sands. We anticipate drilling our first QEP-operated horizontal wells in the second half of 2011. The exact number of wells that we get down this year will be dependent on timing of the issuance of drilling permits. Most of the wells that we have staked have at least a portion of the leasehold on federal land and that means that permits will take considerably longer than those permits that we receive for wells drilled on private or state lands. As a reminder, several operators have already reported good horizontal well results in the Sussex formation with initial rates of 700 to up to 1,500 barrels of oil per day. We've got over 5,500 net acres in the Powder River Basin, Niobrara Sussex -- frontier formation play, including significant acres positioned directly offsetting some of these recent successful wells. Turning to our Midstream business, QEP Fuel Services had a strong quarter thanks to fee-based gathering volume growth combined with strong frac spreads in our gas processing business. Fuel Services EBITDA, as Richard mentioned, was $61.4 million in the first quarter of 2011, up 22% compared to the first quarter of 2010 and 17% compared to last quarter. The Iron Horse cryo gas processing plant, Eastern Utah, started up and it's performing well. As a reminder, the economics of this plan are underpinned by fee-based contracts with third-party producers. We anticipate that new plants should contribute about $15 million of EBITDA for 2011. We're also making good progress on the construction of our Blacks Forks II cryogenic plant in Southwestern Wyoming. All the major equipment and vessels are now on the ground and the major components are being assembled. We'll soon enter the slower, more complicated phase of plant construction. That's the wiring of all the instruments and controls that make the plant run. When completed in the fourth quarter of this year, Blacks Forks II will process gas that is dedicated for life from QEP-operated acreage on the northern third of the Pinedale Anticline, the largest gas field in the Rockies. The Blacks Forks II plant will have a capacity to recover an incremental 15,000 barrels a day of NGL net to QEP Resources and it will obviously be a substantial contributor to QEP Resources’ EBITDA. You will note that with better visibility from the remainder of the year, yesterday we raised our full year 2011 guidance. We now expect our production to range from 263 Bcfe to 267 Bcfe. That's up from prior guidance range of 258 Bcfe to 265 Bcfe. And with an increase in production volumes, we now forecast our EBITDAX could range from $1.2 billion to $1.3 billion. That's up from previous guidance of $1.115 billion to $1.23 billion. And while our capital allocation's moving around a bit in response to well results and chasing higher returns, we still forecast our capital investment program to be about $1.2 billion, which we believe will fund our forecasted growth while doing what we said we were going to do and that is live in and around forecasted EBITDAX. Before I open the line to questions, I'd like to take this opportunity to recognize Jim Harmon, a long-standing Director of Questar, and now QEP, who will retire from our board at our annual meeting next month. Jim first joined the Questar Board back in 1976, and he served until 1997 when he resigned to become Chairman and President of the U.S. Export-Import Bank. After completing his service at U.S. Ex-Im, Jim was re-appointed as a Director of Questar in 2001. And he served in that capacity until the spinoff of QEP last June when he resigned from the Questar Board and became a Director of QEP Resources. Jim's breadth of experience in both the private and public sectors, in banking and corporate finance, and as an investment portfolio manager has made him an invaluable corporate director as well as a coach and mentor to a succession of managers, including me. On behalf of the shareholders, directors and management teams past and present, we would like to thank Jim for his advice and counsel and selfless dedication to QEP and to our predecessor company over the past 35 years and wish him well in his many ongoing business and philanthropic endeavors. As many of you know, David Trice, the former Chairman and CEO of Newfield Exploration Company, is standing for election as a QEP Director at our annual meeting next month. We look forward to welcoming David to our board and to his guidance and advice as we shape the future of QEP in the years to come. With that, Jackie, let's go ahead and open the lines for questions.