Charles B. Stanley
Analyst · Stephens
Good morning. Richard has already hit the highlights of our second quarter results. I'll try to give you some color, give you an update on our plans for the remainder of 2012 and then move on to Q&A. First, some highlights. QEP Energy grew production to a record 79.6 Bcfe in the quarter, and that's a 23% year-over-year increase and a 7% increase over the first quarter of this year. We continue to make good progress on organic crude oil and NGL production growth at QEP Energy in the second quarter. Crude oil and NGL comprised 20% of total volumes. And at the field level, crude oil and NGL sales represented 52% of QEP Energy production revenues. QEP Energy crude oil and NGL production totaled 2.6 million barrels in the second quarter versus a little less than 1.3 million barrels a year ago, which was roughly 106% increase. Compared to the first quarter this year, crude oil and NGL production was up 7%. Crude oil comprised exactly 50% of the second quarter total liquids production. Northern Region total production was up 30% in the first quarter -- I'm sorry, in the second quarter compared to a year ago driven by a 33% increase in Pinedale gas and liquids production; a 30% increase in Legacy Division production, which was driven by an increase in oil production in the Williston Basin; and also by an 18% increase in Uinta Basin volumes. Northern Region crude oil and NGL production totaled 1.8 million barrels in the second quarter, and that's a 152% increase over the second quarter of last year and a 7% increase over the first quarter of 2012. The year-over-year increases were driven by a number of factors: first, a 93% increase in crude oil production in our Legacy Division primarily from the Williston Basin; second, from a growing volume of NGL at Pinedale, thanks to the startup of the Blacks Fork II cryogenic gas processing plant that came online in the middle of last year; and the third reason was driven by a 244% increase in NGL production associated with the new fee-based gas processing arrangement between QEP Energy and QEP Field Services or cryogenic gas processing of a portion of QEP Energy's growing Uinta basis volumes, and that contract was effective the 1st of May this year. Crude oil comprised 52% of the Northern Region total liquids production in the second quarter of the year. QEP Energy Southern Region production in the second quarter was up 18% from a year ago and 7% sequentially from the first quarter of this year. Midcontinent Division production, driven by increased liquids-rich gas production from the Cana shale and Wash plays and increased crude oil production in the Marmaton and Tonkawa plays was up 14% from a year ago. Production from the Haynesville/Cotton Valley Division was up 20% from a year ago and 10% sequentially from the first quarter of this year as we turn a few new wells to sales late last quarter on one of our 80-acre spaced pilot development units. Southern Region crude oil and NGL production totaled 777,000 barrels in the second quarter, and that was a 43% increase from a year ago and a 5% increase sequentially from the first quarter of this year. Crude oil comprised 47% of the Southern Region total liquids production during the second quarter of 2012. Turning to our midstream field services business. We had a good quarter. Clearly, the financial results at field services were hurt by the sharp decline in NGL prices, coupled with a slight increase in natural gas prices, which together negatively impacted keep-whole processing margins. The average realized NGL price for the second quarter was $0.96 a gallon, and then that compares to $1.26 -- $1.27 per gallon a year ago, and $1.07 per gallon in the first quarter of this year. The biggest component of the decline in the average realized NGL price has been the drop in the average price of ethane at Mont Belvieu, which was down 51% from the average price in the second quarter of 2011 and 31% from the first quarter of this year. The drop in the ethane price is magnified by the increase in the percentage of ethane in field services average NGL barrel as a result of the startup of the Blacks Fork II plant last summer. Ethane comprised roughly 55% of field services' unfractionated raw NGL or Y-grade mix in the second quarter of this year compared to about 48% in the second quarter of 2011. Field services' NGL volumes in the second quarter of 2012 were 41.4 million gallons, and that's a 14% increase over a year ago. Note that field services' NGL volumes were down about 8% sequentially from the first quarter of this year, and that's a result of this new fee-based processing arrangement that QEP entered into with -- QEP Field Services entered into with QEP Energy in the Uinta Basin, which effectively transferred about 3 million gallons of NGL from field services to Energy in the second quarter. While the decline in NGL prices certainly impacted field services, it's important to note that the unfractionated Y-grade NGL product from our plants here in the Rockies all ends up down in Mont Belvieu, which, as you all know, is a premium market for NGLs. And as a result, even with the recent pullback in prices, our processing margins remain positive. Though nearly -- they're not nearly as positive as they were 6 months ago. And we continue to run our cryo plants here in the Rockies in ethane recovery mode. Field services' gathering volumes were up 11% year-over-year, and that was driven primarily by increased volumes on the Blacks Fork and on the Cotton Valley/Hosston and Haynesville systems down in Northwest Louisiana. Now let's look forward -- let me give you a little color on our operations and plans for the remainder of 2012. As I do, I'd ask you to refer to the slides that accompany our release that we posted yesterday on our website at qepres.com. We continue to make changes in our capital allocation in QEP Energy in response to commodity prices and cost pressures. Those changes are summarized graphically on Slide 4. Note that we're now allocating 90% of our forecasted 2012 capital in QEP Energy to crude oil and liquids-rich natural gas plays. At Pinedale, we continue to refine our well design by optimizing the subsurface well placement to avoid fracture interference. We've been able to increase the number of fracture stimulation stages, the individual fracture stimulation size and the total interval that we're treating to maximize the recovery of reserves. The results from the handful of wells that we've completed with this latest optimization show better initial production rates, very similar to declined rates that the wells that we've drilled previously and hence, higher ultimate recoveries that have very attractive finding and development cost. Also note that we started to defer completion of a few wells at Pinedale into next year to take advantage of the contango and the forward natural gas curve. See Slide 5 in the slide deck for some details on Pinedale. In new innovation, we're making good progress on the Red Wash Lower Mesaverde wet gas play. We should get another 20 or so wells completed in this play during the second half of this year, including some additional 10- and 20-acre spaced pilot wells to help us figure out optimum well density and -- for our full field development. Based on our knowledge and experience from Pinedale, we placed these pilot wells adjacent to some of the older wells that had been online for several years in order to accelerate our understanding of potential drainage and frac stimulation interference issues. You can see the location of those pilot wells on Slide 6. And for those of you who are familiar with our Pinedale development story, Slide 7 should strike a familiar chord. We're now building our first of what will be many Pinedale-style, multi-well pads in the Uinta Basin. It's a big step as it signals the shift to our whole manufacturing mode for our talented team of well-delivery specialists in the Uinta basin. With all the focus on shale plays, I think it's important to note that tight sand plays like those at Red Wash and Pinedale offer excellent economics. And are in many ways superior to shale plays because the accumulations are far more concentrated. Pinedale is a world-class gas field in no small part because of the over 1 mile of fixed stack of discontinuous sands that comprise the gross pay interval, that translates into a massive amount of gas per square mile. And the Lower Mesaverde has all the markings of a world-class asset, too. It has stacked discontinuous sands and while the gross pay interval isn't as thick as it is at Pinedale, the interval is shallower. So the wells are cheaper to drill and complete. And because of the richness of the Mesaverde gas, the well economics are every bit as good and in fact even better than those at Pinedale. The concentration of gas in place in both of these assets means there is less wasted motion during drilling and completion operations due to more wells from each surface pad location, which means less investment in gathering systems, all of which translates into lower cost and higher margins. Also note that in addition to the Mesaverde-directed activity wells, we also have a drilling rig in the Uinta Basin that's focused on drilling horizontal and vertical oil wells, targeting various reservoirs in the Green River Formation. Moving to the Williston Basin, Bakken/Three Forks play, I must say I'm disappointed at our recent performance. We continue to fight high cost and permitting delays that are hampering our progress. We're suffering from high secondary service cost -- I call it secondary service cost there. There are things downstream at the completed well, primarily associated with water handling. We have already solved half of the problem by drilling our own water source wells to drive down the cost of obtaining and trucking the water that we use in our fracture stimulations. But on the flowback-produced water side, our wells on the west side of Lake Sakakawea are connected to a third-party gathering system that gathers the water, and that system isn't working properly. We're working diligently with the owner to get it fixed, but parts of it are undersized to handle the ever-increasing volume of water that's coming from QEP and other operated -- other operators' wells in the area. As a result, right now, we're paying to truck most of our flowback water and it's costing us over $1 million per well extra to do so. We will get this problem fixed, but it's a good example of the dangers of relying on third parties to provide gathering services. Permitting on the reservation has also remained a challenge. You'll note from our release yesterday that we dropped a drilling rig from our program mostly because of the cost associated with the water-handling issues but also because we’re struggling to get enough drilling permits on the reservation to keep ahead of our rigs. Despite statements from the Department of Interior that they've improved the process and reduced the permitting backlog, we just haven't seen it. Even with these challenges, we still anticipate completing about 14 new Bakken/Three Forks wells in the second half of this year. See Slide 8 for details, and I'll be happy to answer additional questions when we get to Q&A. Turning to the Powder River Basin in Eastern Wyoming. We're very pleased with the results of our first QEP-operated horizontal Sussex oil well which came online with a 24-hour peak rate of a little over 1,600 barrels equivalent a day. We have a couple of more wells in progress in the play targeting the Sussex. Slide 9 has details. In addition to the Sussex, we have permitting activities underway to permit additional wells to test other deeper targets, including the Shannon sand, which is a look-alike to the Sussex, as well as the Niobrara and Frontier Formations. We have a significant number of additional well locations in various stages of permitting in the play, but unfortunately, the majority of them require BLM approval. And today, we have yet to see our first permit on federal land. We provided details on our Midcontinent Division activities in yesterday's release. We have a number of wells in progress in the liquids-rich portion of the Cana shale play, where we are focused on drilling up our leasehold on 80-acre density. Most of these wells won't come online until late this year. See Slide 10 for details. In the Granite Wash, Marmaton and Tonkawa plays, we reported a number of operated and non-operated well results. All of these horizontal wells are targeting relatively shallow oil and liquids-rich gas horizons. Slide 11 gives some details on the recent activity in the Granite Wash. As I'm sure you'd all expected, we dropped our last rig in the Haynesville play during the second quarter. And to take advantage of the contango in the forward gas curve, we've elected to defer the remaining 5 drilling Haynesville Shale wells until next year. See Slide 12 for details. In a separate release yesterday, we provided you with an update on our estimate of probable and possible reserves and petroleum resource potential on QEP's extensive leasehold positions. The last time we reported estimated probable and possible reserves and resource potential was in our IR materials that we put out in conjunction with our spinoff in the summer of 2010. We strive to update these estimates every other year, and we try to do it outside of the normal year-end reserve reporting cycle just because of the amount of workload involved both for our folks and for Ryder Scott, our reserve evaluators. The key takeaways from the release, in addition to year-end 2011, in proved reserves are 3.6 Tcfe, we reported estimated probable reserves of 7.7 Tcfe, 9.5 Tcfe of estimated possible reserves and almost 20 Tcfe of petroleum resource potential. In short, there's a lot of very high-quality future drilling opportunities in our portfolio that are economic at prices under $4 for gas and $90 for oil. I would encourage you to take a look at the release, which contains much more detail by area and a summary of our methodology that we use to come up with these estimates. Slide 13 also provides a nice visual portrayal of the inventory by producing area, and the inset box in the lower left corner of the slide presents the comparison of the changes in our estimates by category since our last update back in 2010. Jay Neese is here with us today and he'd be happy to give you more color on QEP Energy. At field services, our plans call for investment of roughly $170 million in several major projects and obviously, we have a number of smaller ones. Construction is proceeding smoothly on the Iron Horse II plant, which is our next cryogenic gas processing plant in the Uinta Basin of Eastern Utah. The plant will have an inlet capacity of roughly 150 million cubic feet a day, and we expect it to be operational by early 2013. About half the capacity of this plant is contracted to a third-party producer under a fee-based processing arrangement. The other half will be available to process QEP Energy's growing liquids-rich gas volumes from the Red Wash Lower Mesaverde play. During the second quarter, we also commenced construction of a 10,000-barrel per day expansion of our existing 5,000-barrel per day NGL fractionation capacity at the Blacks Fork complex in Western Wyoming. The expanded facility is designed to provide additional options for marketing purity propane, iso and normal butane and gasoline range products to what are oftentimes premium value local, regional and national markets. And we can deliver these products by truck, obviously, in the close-by markets. But also, we are doubling our rail loading capacity of the plants so that we can deliver into more distant markets. We expect this new fractionator to be in service toward the end of the second quarter of next year. In addition to these projects, we, of course, have ongoing gathering system construction and well-connection activities, as well as we're continuing work on preliminary design, engineering and procurement activities related to additional new gas processing facilities in the Rockies. So in conclusion, we continue to make great progress on our organic growth of crude oil and NGL production at QEP Energy by allocating capital to highest return projects in our portfolio. And so 90% of our capital is being allocated to oil and natural gas liquids-rich plays. Yesterday, we affirmed our production guidance and we're still on track to deliver a production stream this year which will be comprised of at least 20% oil and NGLs. Our teams and very talented asset managers continue to look for ways to drive down cost and enhance the financial performance in both our upstream and midstream businesses. With that, Mary, let's open the lines for questions.