Richard J. Guiltinan
Analyst · BMO Capital Markets
Thank you, Mark. Good morning, everyone. Our third quarter EPS of $1.92 per share included about $0.08 of negative currency effects, primarily related to cash flow hedges. Also included in the third quarter EPS is $0.02 from realignment costs. Offsetting these headwinds was a more favorable tax rate of 22.9% for the quarter. Our third quarter bookings grew 15.9% on a year-over-year basis. Looking at this growth more closely, original equipment bookings were up 12.9%. The original equipment increase reflects continued improvement in the short cycle OE markets, driven primarily by strength in the chemical, general and oil and gas industries. Bookings in the long cycle OE markets remain stable, reflective of both steady to improving smaller project activity and our increased selectivity and competitive large project activity. Aftermarket bookings of $488 million were up 20.3% year-over-year, representing a quarterly record for aftermarket bookings. These results, which were driven by continuing investment in our global QRC network, our growing due to greater Technical Services business and continuing successful execution of our end-user strategy, show how we continue to leverage our local presence to capture a larger share of this valuable business. Third quarter consolidated operating margin was 13.8%, representing an increase, both year-over-year and sequentially. These increases were driven by increased sales volumes from strength in our short cycle and aftermarket businesses, improvement in SG&A leverage and cost controls. These benefits more than offset revenues from a small number of large projects with very low margins, as well as negative currency effects on certain U.S. dollar denominated sales generated in our non-U.S. facilities. We have seen pricing trends firm in our short cycle businesses due to volume improvements and in our long cycle business due to increasingly selective bidding, which should provide additional margin support going forward. The book-to-bill ratio in the third quarter was 1.03, reflecting a broad-based increase in bookings and solid execution on shipments. Our year-to-date bookings and shipments resulted in consolidated backlog of approximately $2.8 billion, up about 8.4% over the end of 2010. About 25% of the backlog relates to aftermarket orders. In considering our full year guidance, we expect the lost opportunity related to ongoing disruption in the Middle East and North Africa will extend through the end of the year. There will also be a small dilutive effect related to the acquisition of Lawrence Pumps. As a result, we have narrowed our 2011 EPS target range to between $7.45 and $7.85, which anticipates a continuation of the recent foreign currency rate environment. Turning to the bookings and industry outlook, which compares bookings performance for the year-to-date 2011 and 2010 by industry, you can see on Slide 5 that much of the 2011 bookings performance has been driven by chemical and general industries, which continues to increase in both absolute and relative terms. These figures further demonstrate the increasing diversity and sustainability of our business platform. Regarding the sales and regional outlook, Flowserve's strong presence in all global regions and strength in emerging markets continued to be a major contributor to the third quarter sales growth. Notably, in the third quarter, we saw the largest increase in activity in the Middle East and relative stability in the mature markets of North America and Europe. The next slide shows year-to-date bookings and sales mix. You will note that our original equipment and aftermarket bookings mix for 2011 and 2010 are roughly comparable, which is consistent with the third quarter result as well. Sequentially, the average booking mix remained constant at 61% original equipment to 39% aftermarket, although there was more variability in the divisional mix which will be discussed later. Given the significant growth in aftermarket, the stable mix is reflective of the strength of the short cycle business and the smaller project long cycle OE business, offsetting the more competitive large project long cycle activity. Turning to Q3 2011 consolidated financial results, sales for the third quarter increased 15.4% on a year-over-year basis and was sequentially comparable to the solid sales levels of the second quarter. The sales increase was driven by FCD and IPD broadly and EPD aftermarket sales, particularly in its mechanical seals products. Gross margin performance in the third quarter of 33.6% was impacted by revenues from a small number of large projects with very low margins and negative currency effects from certain U.S. dollar denominated sales generated in our non-U.S. facilities. Currency considerations are important in understanding year-over-year margin comparisons, particularly within EPD. These factors were partially offset by a slight mix shift to more aftermarket sales in the third quarter 2011 and savings from continuous improvement programs, supply chain and realignment. The increased SG&A expenses for the third quarter of 2011 reflected currency impacts and higher selling related expenses resulting from increased sales volumes in all 3 divisions. However, more notably, SG&A as a percentage of sales in the third quarter of 20.1% was down 130 basis points over the third quarter of 2010, showing how our cost controls increase the leverage of our SG&A in driving sales, even as we continue to invest in growing the company's global capabilities. Operating margin for the third quarter was 13.8% or 13.9% when adjusted for realignment costs, again showing both the year-over-year and sequential improvement. Other income expense net included the effects of foreign currency volatility, which resulted in foreign currency losses of about $6 million in the third quarter, and a foreign currency gain of about $8 million. Other income expense net included the effects of foreign currency volatility, which resulted in foreign currency losses of about $6 million in the third quarter, and a foreign currency gain of about $8 million for the year-to-date period. In the first half of 2011, the strengthening of the euro against the U.S. dollar resulted in substantial currency gains, a trend that reversed itself in the third quarter of 2011. By way of comparison in 2010, the weakening euro against the dollar and the Venezuela bolivar devaluation resulted in large currency losses. As we've discussed before, a positive mark on our cash flow hedges in previous quarters leaves an offsetting effect in our gross margins as we saw in this quarter. While we have a year-to-date net benefit from foreign currency, as clearly shown by the adverse currency effects of the third quarter, currency markets remain volatile. The tax rate of 22.9% for the quarter reflects a more favorable net impact from our foreign operations and resolution of matters in certain jurisdictions. Turning to cash flow. While our third quarter cash flow from operations was generally consistent with our normal sequential trend, the third quarter results continue to reflect additional working capital being deployed in the business. Operationally and consistent with the second quarter, the accounts receivable reflect growing trade in progress billings that you would expect with increasing short cycle sales and backlog. I should point out that we receive progress billings on short cycle orders, as well as on large OE projects. However, collections were a little slower, impacted by longer negotiated payment terms on projects coming out of long cycle backlog and general market conditions in which companies are increasingly mindful of cash flow and opportunistically lengthen payment periods. However, I want to emphasize that we see no real deterioration in credit quality or, equally important, the ultimate collectability of our receivables. Inventory balances decreased modestly, but the accelerating pace of orders and high backlog levels remain as significant drivers. We continue to work through some delays on a few projects, some supply base capacity delays from our vendors and also some customer-driven delays. Optimization of working capital continues to be a sharp focus as we execute more efficiently on our growing order book. We expect improvement in working capital levels in the fourth quarter, which is historically our strongest operating cash flow quarter of the year, as the majority of the delayed projects should be shipped. Capital expenditures were about $23 million in the quarter, and our capital expenditure outlook for the year remains unchanged. Cash flows from financing activities include the normal periodic repayments on our credit facility and cash return to our shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. Our closing cash balance of $228 million resulted in net debt of $280 million. Our ending cash position and available access to credit continued to provide us with the financial flexibility to fund future growth and drive improvements in our business. Additionally, our recently announced $300 million share repurchase program provides us the ability to continue returning value to our shareholders. Turning to primary working capital, as I just discussed and consistent with the second quarter, the increase over the year primarily supported the bookings growth in our business. We continue to work through some project delays, which have influenced past due backlog and tougher negotiated payment terms, which have contributed to the build and working capital. At the end of the third quarter, we began to see past due backlog trend downward due to our efforts to optimize working capital by targeting past due projects. And we remain highly focused on reducing past due backlog by year end. Now I will turn it over to Tom Ferguson to cover FSG operations. Tom?